Bitcoin’s 4% drop in 12 hours looks painful – Here’s why it could be opposite

ambcryptoPublicado em 2026-03-22Última atualização em 2026-03-22

Resumo

Bitcoin's recent 4% price drop to $68.2k triggered $111.4 million in long liquidations, potentially influenced by US-Iran tensions. Despite the decline, analysis suggests the dip may present a buying opportunity. Key factors include the underestimated potential impact of Morgan Stanley's Spot Bitcoin ETF and a 10.2% drop in hash rate indicating miner stress but not significant selling. Technical charts show a bearish swing structure but bullish internal momentum, with projections indicating a possible rally toward $78.4k-$89.8k. A bullish RSI divergence and Fibonacci golden pocket support this outlook. However, a drop below $65.6k would invalidate the bullish scenario.

It was reported that the potential impact of the upcoming Morgan Stanley Spot Bitcoin ETF could be underestimated.

In fact, it was projected that a 2% allocation by the $8 trillion AUM Morgan Stanley Wealth Management, which recommends a BTC allocation of up to 4%, could flip BlackRock’s IBIT in size.

Alongside these projections, the hash rate witnessed a 10.2% drop. It showcased miner stress and signaled tactical shutdowns and weaker operators leaving the network.

AMBCrypto reported that the miner reserves reflect reward absorption and not significant selling.

Volatility during weekends continued to threaten short-term holders and traders. The most recent price drop to $68.2k on Sunday, the 22nd of March, triggered $111.4 million in long liquidations in 24 hours.

It was likely a result of the flaring US-Iran tensions.

These were relatively tame numbers compared to liquidation flushes earlier this year. Could this mean that the price has further to fall?

Exploring the Bitcoin retracement phase

Source: BTC/USDT on TradingView

The 1-day chart was straightforward. The swing structure was bearish, but the internal structure has flipped bullishly.

This meant that Bitcoin [BTC] was likely to push higher in the coming weeks, despite the dip in hash rate.

The current rally is part of a wider retracement that can go up to $83.4k-$89.8k.

Traders’ call to action- Buy

In a post on X, crypto trader CrypNuevo observed that the drop to the $69k level could see a price rebound. It could also be accompanied by a deeper price drop, which has occurred in recent hours.

Source: BTC/USDT on TradingView

The buying opportunity has arrived. The BTC price has made a bullish divergence with the RSI indicator. It also has a bullish swing structure on the 4-hour chart.

Though the internal structure was bearish, the price was within the Fibonacci golden pocket.

The divergence and golden pocket combined to suggest that Bitcoin is likely to rally to the 23.6% extension level at $78.4k over the next week or two.

However, the downtrend in the OBV over the past week was telling of steady bearish pressure. If it continues and forces a price drop below $65.6k, the bullish idea outlined here would be invalidated.

Final Summary

  • The Bitcoin price action was in a bearish long-term trend and a bullish short-term trend.
  • BTC’s recent retracement below $69k likely offered a buying opportunity. It has already made a bullish divergence with momentum.

Perguntas relacionadas

QWhat was the potential impact of the upcoming Morgan Stanley Spot Bitcoin ETF, according to the article?

AThe article stated that the potential impact of the upcoming Morgan Stanley Spot Bitcoin ETF could be underestimated, and a 2% allocation by the firm could flip BlackRock's IBIT in size.

QWhat two key factors did the article cite as reasons for the recent drop in Bitcoin's hash rate?

AThe drop in hash rate was attributed to miner stress, which signaled tactical shutdowns and weaker operators leaving the network.

QAccording to the trader CrypNuevo, what did the drop to the $69k level represent?

ACrypNuevo observed that the drop to the $69k level could see a price rebound, indicating a potential buying opportunity.

QWhat two technical analysis signals suggested that Bitcoin price rally was likely?

AThe two technical signals were a bullish divergence with the RSI indicator and the price being within the Fibonacci golden pocket.

QWhat key price level would invalidate the bullish idea presented in the article?

AThe bullish idea would be invalidated if the price dropped below $65.6k.

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