Analysts indicate that before Ripple's retreat from $2, transaction fees have significantly declined, which may prompt a deeper price correction.

Key Information:

  • Ripple transaction fees have dropped to 650 XRP per day, the level since December 2020.

  • The target for Ripple's descending triangle is $1.73.

Ripple Transaction Fees Hit Five-Year Low

According to on-chain data provider Glassnode, since the beginning of the year, the total daily transaction fees on the Ripple Ledger (XRPL) have significantly declined.

In a post on X on Thursday, Glassnode stated that the total daily fees paid in Ripple have dropped from 5,900 XRP per day on February 9 to approximately 650 XRP per day, adding:

"This marks an 89% drop, returning to levels since December 2020."
Ripple Transaction Fees. Source: Glassnode

The decline in transaction fees coincides with a sharp decrease in Ripple futures open interest (OI), which has dropped from 1.75 billion XRP in early October to 740 million XRP, a 59% reduction.

Coupled with the funding rate falling from 0.01% (7D-SMA) to 0.001%, this indicates that derivative traders' confidence in Ripple's ability to rebound is weakening.

Ripple: Futures Open Interest. Source: Glassnode

As reported by Cointelegraph, market sentiment towards Ripple has fallen into the "fear zone," the highest level of FUD since early October. Some analysts suggest that such a decline could be a precursor to a significant price rebound for Ripple, similar to past situations.

Ripple's Descending Triangle Points to $1.73

The technical chart of Ripple/USD also shows that if a descending triangle pattern completes, there is a potential risk of further decline.

The chart below shows that if the price breaks below the $2 triangle support line, there is a greater downside risk.

The measured move target of this pattern (calculated by adding the height of the triangle to the breakout point) is $2.20, a 15% drop from the current price.

Ripple/USD Daily Chart. Source: Cointelegraph/ TradingView

As reported by Cointelegraph, the area between $2 and $1.98 remains a key support zone for Ripple, and holding this range is crucial to avoid a further decline to $1.61.

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This article does not contain investment advice or recommendations. Every investment and trading move involves risk, and readers should conduct their own research when making a decision.