"Transparency" Act Will Not Save U.S. Treasury Market, Analyst Warns

cryptonews.ruPublicado em 2026-08-24Última atualização em 2026-08-24

Resumo

An analyst warns that the proposed "Digital Asset Market Clarity Act" will not save the U.S. Treasury bond market. While some proponents believe the legislation would enable stablecoins to boost demand for U.S. debt, investment manager Lawrence Lepard argues this is a misconception. He notes the total market cap of stablecoins (primarily backed by Treasuries held by firms like Circle and Tether) is around $255 billion and has stabilized, which is insufficient against the trillions in debt the Treasury must refinance annually. He estimates stablecoins would cover only about 3% of the needed funding. Most analysts agree clear regulations would increase stablecoin demand, but Lepard contends expecting it to significantly offset declining foreign investor demand—down from 57% post-financial crisis to 32% in 2025—is unrealistic. However, figures like Coinbase's Fariar Shizarad stress that dollar-pegged stablecoins could convert global digital dollar demand into Treasury demand, which is needed across the yield curve.

While some supporters of Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent believe the Digital Asset Market Clarity Act is a key element to fixing the U.S. government debt market, others dismiss the idea as misguided.

Lawrence Lepard, an investment manager and author of "The Big Print," emphasizes that even if the CLARITY Act overcomes all hurdles and secures the 60 votes needed for passage in the Senate, the demand for U.S. debt from stablecoins would still be insufficient to normalize the current situation.

"Just want to dispel one misconception that seems widespread among some Bessent supporters. The notion that passing CLARITY will lead to stablecoins rescuing the Treasury market is not supported," Lepard stated on social media.

Lepard pointed out that the current market capitalization of stablecoins, primarily backed by Treasury bonds purchased by Circle and Tether, has reached $255 billion and has been declining since January when it hit $263 billion, indicating a stabilization in the growth curve of these stable assets.

"The Treasury needs to roll over more than $8 trillion in debt annually. 3% coverage is not that much. It would require the 'Clarity Act' and significant growth. This reminds me of DOGE," he concluded.

While most analysts agree that clear regulatory status would undoubtedly boost demand for payment stablecoins, Lepard's comments suggest expecting a significant surge in demand capable of offsetting the need for debt instruments seems unrealistic.

However, these new sources of liquidity need to be found if the U.S. aims to maintain healthy demand for its debt instruments, as the share of debt held by foreign investors has declined from 57% post-financial crisis to 32% in 2025.

Coinbase's Chief Strategy Officer, Faryar Shirzad, recently highlighted the need to at least kickstart this market. "Dollar-pegged stablecoins turn growing overseas demand for digital dollars into demand for U.S. Treasury bonds. We need this across all segments of the yield curve," he concluded.

Perguntas relacionadas

QWhat is the main argument that analyst Lawrence Lepard makes against the idea that the CLARITY Act will save the U.S. Treasury market?

ALawrence Lepard argues that even if the CLARITY Act is passed, the demand for U.S. debt from stablecoins would be insufficient to normalize the situation. He points out that the current market cap of stablecoins is around $255 billion and is stabilizing or declining, while the Treasury needs to refinance over $8 trillion annually. Stablecoin demand would only cover a small fraction (around 3%) of this need.

QWhat does the author state has happened to the share of U.S. debt held by foreign investors since the financial crisis?

AThe article states that the share of U.S. debt held by foreign investors has fallen from 57% after the financial crisis to 32% in 2025.

QAccording to the article, why do some, like Coinbase's Farjaar Shirsad, believe stablecoins are still important for the U.S. Treasury market?

AFarjaar Shirsad argues that dollar-pegged stablecoins convert growing overseas demand for digital dollars into demand for U.S. Treasury bonds. He states this source of demand is needed "across the yield curve" as a new source of liquidity.

QWhat does Lawrence Lepard use the example of DOGE (Dogecoin) to illustrate in his critique?

ALawrence Lepard uses the example of DOGE (Dogecoin) to illustrate that the expectation that the CLARITY Act will lead to a massive, market-saving influx of stablecoin demand for Treasuries is unrealistic and speculative, likening it to a meme-driven hype cycle.

QWhat is the current trend in the total market capitalization of stablecoins, and what assets primarily back them according to the article?

AAccording to the article, the total market capitalization of stablecoins, primarily backed by Treasury bonds purchased by companies like Circle and Tether, reached $255 billion. This figure has been decreasing since January when it peaked at $263 billion, indicating a stabilization or slowdown in their growth curve.

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