[Анализ рынка от Huobi] Вероятность скорой смены тренда, объём торгов BTC восстанавливается, ETH в неопределенности

HTX NewsPublicado em 2022-10-11Última atualização em 2022-10-11

Resumo

Вероятность скорой смены тренда, объём торгов BTC восстанавливается, ETH болтается в неопределенности.

1. Объём торгов BTC восстанавливается

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На ТФ 4 часа видно, что хотя цена первой криптовалюты немного снизилась, объем торгов показывает признаки восстановления. Это показывает, что инвесторы начали постепенно наращивать трейдинговую активность. Таким образом, краткосрочные инвесторы могут быть движущим фактором снижения цены BTC.

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2. Объём продаж BTC со стороны китов остается высоким

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В последнее время доля продаж BTC со стороны китов оставалась на высоком уровне, а пиковое значение на уровне около 0,48 означает, что цена BTC по-прежнему находится под сильным давлением продаж. Хотя падение BTC было незначительным, уже седьмой торговый день подряд биктоин находится в стадии коррекции. В настоящее время возможность эффективной поддержки под BTC снижается, и внимание уделяется риску знакового отката.

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3. Ethereum болтается в неопределенности

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На дневном графике цена ETH продолжала падать, и цена закрытия снизилась не сильно, но тенденция к снижению сохранилась. В настоящее время ETH удерживается на уровне 1280 долларов, при этом вторая криптовалюта находится в затяжном боковом движении уже 20 торговых дней. Что касается объема торгов, то текущий низкий объем торгов говорит о том, что инвесторы пока не видят потенциала в монете и заняли выжидательную позицию.

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4. Давление продаж ETH до сих пор держится на высоком уровне

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На рынках есть два типа покупателей и продавцов. Либо трейдер покупает или продает мгновенно по лучшей доступной рыночной цене (тейкер), либо покупает/продает с лимитным ордером (мейкер). В данной метрике мы рассматриваем только объем тейкеров по сравнению с общим объемом. Таким образом, она может показать нам, готовы ли трейдеры покупать актив по более высокой цене или продавать по более низкой. Это хороший показатель того, где в данный момент находится давление продаж.

Данный показатель в отношении Ethereum упал до самого низкого уровня за последнее время, достигнув 8 октября 0,897. Сейчас он немного подрос, но по-прежнему меньше 1. Это указывает на то, что в данный момент больше трейдеров готовы продавать свои ETH по более низкой цене, что свидетельствует о том, что давление со стороны продавцов сильнее, чем давление со стороны покупателей.

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5. В целом ситуация на рынке улучшается

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В последнее время, несмотря на то что рынок находится на стадии коррекции, позиционные данные не только существенно не снизились, но и сохранились на краткосрочном максимуме. В числовом выражении общий объём открытых позиций на 11 октября достиг уровня 29,98 млрд долл. США, что является самым высоким показателем с мая. Опираясь на эти данные, можно сделать вывод, что на рынке в скором времени, вероятно, можно будет ожидать смену тренда.

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