从繁华到复兴:Arbitrum的三支箭,能否再造L2荣耀?

marsbitPublicado em 2025-11-12Última atualização em 2025-11-13

虽然Optimism是第一个TGE的L2,但Arbitrum是L2 浪潮真正的开山怪。23年H1那会儿,韩国巨鲸在GMX上直播炒合约,DeFi Degen们用GLP乐高组合Yield Farming、草根社区抱团炒作远古猫狗Meme币, Arbitrum是23年春季行情最亮眼的板块之一。

但这场如繁花着锦般的生态繁荣,在Arbitrum原生代币ARB史诗级的盛大TGE和空投之后,却黯然落幕。

站在25年11月这个时间点复盘的话,导致这一情况出现的原因主要有三个:

--Arbitrum的史诗级空投产生的巨大正外部性,被友商ZkSync、Starknet、Linea攫取;

--当时天王级L2的核心商业模式,并不是自然有机的,也不是良性自维持的,而是高度依赖空投农民产业化制造的虚假繁荣;

--空投分配给生态开发者给得太多,而这些开发者大部分是伪装得很好的高级空投农民。而拿到空投之后,这些开发者大部分躺平,一部分利用手里大量的ARB在DAO治理中投票给自己分配更多的ARB。

面对以上问题最好的解决方案,只能是时间。

而在经历差不多30个月的沉淀之后,Arbitrum基金会认为时机已经成熟,推出DeFi文艺复兴激励计划(DRIP),重新激活Arbitrum生态活力。

Arbitrum基金会的第一只箭,是利用DRIP第一季的ARB激励补贴生态DeFi借贷协议(Aave, Morpho, Fluid, Euler, Dolomite, Silo等)的Yield收益,以真金白银吸引链上用户使用。

根据Dune看板数据(https://dune.com/entropy_advisors/drip-season-1-lending-protocols),DRIP第一季将DeFi的可借贷资金余额从$1.38B拉升到了$1.67B,贷款余额从$967.52M拉升到了$1.17b。

然而在以上DeFi借贷协议的L2市场份额比例中,Arbitrum的市场份额只从3.09%提升至3.75%。作为对比,同期Base的从市场份额从5.04%提升至6.64%。

这可以看出,就对于链上DeFi借贷Degen们的吸引力而言,真金白银的补贴在有着暴击可能性的空投预期面前,还是有所逊色。

Arbitrum基金会的第二只箭,是孵化新的、与生态耦合度高的PerpDEX Variational Protocol 和 Ethereal Perps。

Arbitrum与当今PerpDEX的Hyperliquid有着英美特殊关系般的好关系,Hyperliquid为Arbitrum桥入了$4.59B USDC,占Arbitrum USDC总供给的69.08%。

但这$4.59B USDC对Arbitrum收入的贡献形式只有转账Gas费,产生其他高价值的收入和正外部性均被Hyperliquid捕获。

在这个得PerpDEX得天下的新版本环境里,Arbitrum生态得有"自己"的PerpDEX。而Variational Protocol的OLP机制,有重现当年GMX的GLP荣光的潜力。

Arbitrum基金会的第三只箭,是与Robinhood深度绑定猛搞美股代币化。

目前Arbitrum RWA资产规模为$1,026.53M,主要构成为美债代币化、欧债代币化以及代币化美股EXOD。RWA资产数量上有615个,主要是Robinhood发行的代币化美股。

由于当前监管限制,代币化美股的结构是由链下SPV托管+CEX/DEX流动性池组成。这导致这个阶段的代币化美股,存在流动性不足、法律地位不清、清结算依赖中心化实体等问题。

但不管是Arbitrum x Robinhood的美股代币化急行军还是Solana的ICM新叙事,它们都指向一个SEC Project Crypto设定的未来愿景:全球金融基础设施的完全区块链化。

总结一下,Arbitrum基金会的三支箭-DRIP计划、孵化Variational、押注美股代币化,既着眼于当下,又指向未来。

Arbitrum基金会,这次是真的在搞事情了。

Leituras Relacionadas

Behind HYPE's Repeated Record Highs, the 'Minions' in the Ecosystem Can't Keep Up

While HYPE, the native token of the Hyperliquid ecosystem, surges to new all-time highs above $76 and attracts significant institutional ETF inflows, a starkly different reality unfolds within its HyperEVM application layer. Multiple core DeFi protocols across lending, NFTs, stablecoins, and DEXs have announced shutdowns between May and June. The article argues HYPE functions more like an "application stock" than a traditional ecosystem token. Its value is anchored to the trading fees from Hyperliquid's core perpetual contracts platform (HyperCore), which boasts a diversified revenue stream from crypto, commodities, and indices. Approximately 97% of protocol fees fund buybacks and burns of HYPE. This means HYPE's price is largely decoupled from the health of projects built on HyperEVM. The closures of significant projects like lending protocol HypurrFi (peak TVL >$300M) and NFT marketplace Drip.Trade highlight a structural tension. Hyperliquid's minimalist philosophy offers infrastructure without official grants, liquidity support, or marketing coordination for HyperEVM projects. This forces protocols into a fiercely competitive environment from day one. Furthermore, the success of HyperCore creates a liquidity vacuum, and mechanisms like HIP-3 (allowing direct perpetual market deployment) divert user attention and capital away from application-layer projects. The stronger the core perpetual trading business becomes, the more difficult it is for peripheral "DeFi lego" projects to survive and capture value, despite the flagship token's rising price.

Foresight NewsHá 15m

Behind HYPE's Repeated Record Highs, the 'Minions' in the Ecosystem Can't Keep Up

Foresight NewsHá 15m

Conversation with Arthur Hayes: AI Has Drained Market Liquidity, BTC Will Be Below 100k by Year-End

In this June 2026 podcast interview, BitMEX co-founder Arthur Hayes explains his decision to sell his major crypto holdings (HYPE, NEAR, Worldcoin, Zcash). His rationale is based on a macro view linking oil prices, the Iran conflict, US politics, and an impending AI bubble burst. Hayes argues that high oil prices, driven by the ongoing war, will pressure domestic US inflation. To salvage the Republican Party's chances in the midterm elections, he believes Donald Trump may pivot to a populist, anti-AI stance—advocating for taxes and regulation—which would deflate the AI investment narrative. He sees the AI sector, particularly massive capital expenditure on data centers, as having absorbed nearly all excess market liquidity (around $1.5 trillion in debt issuance since 2025), starving other assets like Bitcoin. He highlights the upcoming SpaceX IPO at a ~$1.8 trillion valuation and 100x price-to-sales ratio as a potential tipping point. If these hyped IPOs underperform, it could shatter market confidence in AI. In such a scenario, all risk assets, including crypto, would fall together as correlations converge to 1 during a broad correction. Hayes has moved his portfolio into Treasuries and energy stocks (like ExxonMobil), predicting Bitcoin will be below $100k by year-end. He sees a potential crypto bull market only after the AI frenzy cools, liquidity stops flowing exclusively into AI, and possibly after a significant market downturn prompts new monetary stimulus.

marsbitHá 26m

Conversation with Arthur Hayes: AI Has Drained Market Liquidity, BTC Will Be Below 100k by Year-End

marsbitHá 26m

Fed's Internal Doves Flock to Hawkish Stance, Warsh's Debut "Between a Rock and a Hard Place"

U.S. Federal Reserve officials who previously advocated for rate cuts, including Governor Christopher Waller, have recently shifted their stance, with many now not ruling out the possibility of future rate hikes. This sets a challenging stage for new Fed Chair Kevin Warsh's first policy meeting. Appointed by President Trump based on his dovish views, Warsh now faces a committee where the debate has pivoted from "when to cut" to "whether to hike," driven by persistent inflation above 3%, a strong labor market, and supply-side pressures from AI infrastructure demands and geopolitical tensions. Key figures illustrate the shift. Governor Waller, once concerned about employment, now says data has pushed him toward considering rate increases. Even moderate voices like Governor Lisa Cook, while expecting inflation to ease, have indicated readiness to hike if it fails to do so. Long-time hawks such as regional Fed presidents Beth Hammack, Lorie Logan, and Neel Kashkari have grown more vocal, arguing that the real policy rate is effectively falling and that action may soon be needed. The upcoming Fed meeting is expected to keep rates steady but will likely remove the "easing bias" from its statement, signaling a neutral stance between cuts and hikes. The quarterly "dot plot" is anticipated to show most officials projecting no cuts this year, with some potentially indicating hikes. Chair Warsh, a critic of the Fed's reliance on forward guidance like the dot plot, must navigate communicating this pivot using tools he has questioned, all while steering policy in a direction counter to the preferences of the president who appointed him. The consensus suggests the Fed's next move could well be a rate increase.

marsbitHá 1h

Fed's Internal Doves Flock to Hawkish Stance, Warsh's Debut "Between a Rock and a Hard Place"

marsbitHá 1h

The Trillion-Yuan Market Cap 'Yi Zhong Tian': Who is the True Value King?

The article analyzes the three leading Chinese optical module companies, collectively nicknamed "Yi Zhong Tian": Xinyisheng, Zhongji Innolight, and TFC Optical Communication. It evaluates their "cost-performance" not by current stock price, but through three lenses: PEG ratio (growth vs. valuation), earnings quality, and premium/discount for certainty. Xinyisheng shows the most attractive PEG ratio and high profitability, but its valuation reflects discounts for risks like high customer concentration and reliance on overseas markets. Zhongji Innolight, the most expensive, commands a premium for its market leadership, dominant share in key products like 800G/1.6T modules, and higher earnings certainty, though it faces geopolitical risks. TFC Optical, as an upstream component supplier ("water seller"), has the highest gross margin and bets on the long-term CPO/NPO architecture trend, but trades at a high valuation with more stable, less explosive growth. The core argument is that while these companies dominate module assembly, the true profit pool and technological moat lie upstream in laser and switch chips, currently controlled by U.S. firms like Lumentum and Coherent. The long-term "cost-performance" for these Chinese leaders hinges on whether the domestic industry, exemplified by companies like Yuanjie Technology, can successfully move up the value chain into high-power laser chips. Otherwise, their high growth may remain confined to the lower-margin assembly segment.

marsbitHá 1h

The Trillion-Yuan Market Cap 'Yi Zhong Tian': Who is the True Value King?

marsbitHá 1h

Trading

Spot
Futuros

Artigos em Destaque

Como comprar GMX

Bem-vindo à HTX.com!Tornámos a compra de GMX (GMX) simples e conveniente.Segue o nosso guia passo a passo para iniciar a tua jornada no mundo das criptos.Passo 1: cria a tua conta HTXUtiliza o teu e-mail ou número de telefone para te inscreveres numa conta gratuita na HTX.Desfruta de um processo de inscrição sem complicações e desbloqueia todas as funcionalidades.Obter a minha contaPasso 2: vai para Comprar Cripto e escolhe o teu método de pagamentoCartão de crédito/débito: usa o teu visa ou mastercard para comprar GMX (GMX) instantaneamente.Saldo: usa os fundos da tua conta HTX para transacionar sem problemas.Terceiros: adicionamos métodos de pagamento populares, como Google Pay e Apple Pay, para aumentar a conveniência.P2P: transaciona diretamente com outros utilizadores na HTX.Mercado de balcão (OTC): oferecemos serviços personalizados e taxas de câmbio competitivas para os traders.Passo 3: armazena teu GMX (GMX)Depois de comprar o teu GMX (GMX), armazena-o na tua conta HTX.Alternativamente, podes enviá-lo para outro lugar através de transferência blockchain ou usá-lo para transacionar outras criptomoedas.Passo 4: transaciona GMX (GMX)Transaciona facilmente GMX (GMX) no mercado à vista da HTX.Acede simplesmente à tua conta, seleciona o teu par de trading, executa as tuas transações e monitoriza em tempo real.Oferecemos uma experiência de fácil utilização tanto para principiantes como para traders experientes.

140 Visualizações TotaisPublicado em {updateTime}Atualizado em 2026.06.02

Como comprar GMX

Discussões

Bem-vindo à Comunidade HTX. Aqui, pode manter-se informado sobre os mais recentes desenvolvimentos da plataforma e obter acesso a análises profissionais de mercado. As opiniões dos utilizadores sobre o preço de GMX (GMX) são apresentadas abaixo.

活动图片