Трейдер допустил формирование биткоином дна на уровне $101 000

cryptonews.ruPublicado em 2025-09-02Última atualização em 2025-11-03

После восстановления до $110 000 на выходных первая криптовалюта скорректировалась до $107 000. Трейдер под ником CrypNuevo считает, что впереди цифровое золото ждет «одна из самых сложных торговых недель».

$BTC Sunday update:

In all honesty, it looks like this could be one of the most difficult trading weeks of Q4.

That makes me think we might be in a range-bound environment; therefore, I should be aware of a potential range lows retest.

Let's give this a thought:

🧵↓(1/6) pic.twitter.com/QzhiSqha8i
— CrypNuevo 🔨 (@CrypNuevo) November 2, 2025

«Это наводит меня на мысль, что мы, вероятно, находимся в боковом диапазоне, а значит, следует быть готовым к потенциальному повторному тестированию его нижних границ», — отметил он.

Эксперт обратил внимание на совпадение: ценовые минимумы соответствуют уровню 50-недельной экспоненциальной скользящей средней на $101 150. По его словам, это повышает вероятность формирования дна именно в этой зоне.

Аналогичная ситуация наблюдалась в октябре, когда курс биткоина резко откатился от исторического максимума на отметке $126 200.

«Если это действительно точный диапазон, пробой, вероятнее всего, произойдет вверх из-за прочной поддержки на нижних границах и дисбаланса ликвидности выше верхних», — добавил CrypNuevo.

При этом исторически первая неделя ноября считается одной из самых благоприятных для первой криптовалюты.

Historically, this is one of Bitcoin’s most bullish weeks of the entire year 🔎

Reversal incoming? 🤔 pic.twitter.com/bNKE6Mf8Je
— Bitcoin Archive (@BTC_Archive) November 3, 2025

Трейдер под псевдонимом Daan Crypto Trades считает, что для определения ближайших ценовых ориентиров необходимо учитывать распределение ликвидности в биржевом стакане.

Gm! New week ahead. Video live in a few hours. Speaking about exactly this current region for $BTC and my view on the cycle.$BTC Two big liquidity levels had built up in the short term during the weekend range.

Price took out the lower bound that was sitting at $108.5K.… pic.twitter.com/4fKvDvTrIF
— Daan Crypto Trades (@DaanCrypto) November 3, 2025

Он подчеркнул, что на выходных — 1 и 2 ноября — сформировались два значительных кластера. Существенный объем ордеров сохраняется около отметки $112 000, а на более широких временных интервалах — в зонах $105 000 и $117 000.

Биткоин-максималист Марк Каллен обратил внимание на риски, связанные со скоплением ликвидности ниже текущих уровней:

«Первая криптовалюта выглядит слабой, и нижний кластер кажется заманчивой целью. Вопрос в том, увидим ли мы еще одну попытку роста перед более глубокой коррекцией в ближайшие дни или недели. Все будет зависеть от первой американской торговой сессии».

«Старая гвардия» давит на цену

Аналитики QCP зафиксировали перевод крупных сумм в биткоине на биржу Kraken со стороны ранних инвесторов. По их словам, игроки продолжили начатую ранее тенденцию, что «объясняет первый “красный” октябрь для криптовалюты с 2018 года».

«Версия о том, что именно давние держатели инициируют текущую консолидацию, выглядит обоснованной. Недавние распродажи, включая сегодняшнюю, не имели явного макрокатализатора, даже несмотря на рост акций и других рисковых активов в условиях поддерживающей политики», — добавили эксперты.

Они также подчеркнули, что за прошедшую неделю выросли волатильность и спрос на защитные опционы. Однако общая ситуация «указывает на отсутствие паники и страха» перед потенциальным обвалом.

Цифровое золото также устойчиво — за последний месяц рынок поглотил 450 000 BTC из «старого» предложения, не допустив падения ниже $100 000.

«Несмотря на замедление накопления корпорациями вроде Strategy и Metaplanet, а также незначительные продажи со стороны малых казначейств, спотовые цены сохраняют поддержку. Даже отток из ETF на прошлой неделе не смог пробить текущий диапазон биткоина», — отметили в QCP.

По мнению экспертов, текущая консолидация напоминает период перед прорывом в 2024 году. В противном случае она может означать начало криптозимы, подытожили аналитики.

Напомним, CEO Sigma Capital Винит Будки допустил падение биткоина на 70%.

Подробнее о динамике цифрового золота в октябре — читайте в последнем дайджесте ForkLog.

Главное за месяц: октябрьский обвал, неловкие вопросы про ЦФА и новое в ИИ

Leituras Relacionadas

Singapore Bets on AI Advantages as Hong Kong Lures Fund Managers with Tax Cuts

Singapore is leveraging its access to cutting-edge AI technology from both the US and China, including models from firms like Moonshot and DeepSeek, to attract and retain investment managers. This strategy positions the city-state as a neutral hub amidst US-China tech competition. In contrast, Hong Kong's primary draw is a proposed tax exemption scheme for fund managers, family offices, and private equity specialists, though proprietary trading firms like Jane Street are currently excluded. While Hong Kong's tax incentives could lower costs, industry experts note that Singapore's superior access to advanced AI tools is a critical long-term advantage, especially for quantitative funds reliant on complex algorithms. This technological gap is reportedly prompting some Hong Kong-based quant funds to consider moving key research operations to Singapore. The competition highlights how financial centers are increasingly competing through both fiscal policy and technology access, with firms weighing lower taxes against superior tech infrastructure.

cryptonews.ruHá 7m

Singapore Bets on AI Advantages as Hong Kong Lures Fund Managers with Tax Cuts

cryptonews.ruHá 7m

Bitcoin ETFs Lost Nearly $390 Million Over the Week, While SOL ETFs Attracted New Capital

Between August 10 and 14, 2026, the US spot Bitcoin ETF sector experienced a significant net outflow of $389.71 million, according to SoSoValue data. Outflows were recorded on four of the five trading days, primarily affecting major funds like Fidelity's FBTC ($153.23M outflow) and BlackRock's IBIT ($78.96M outflow). While Grayscale's BTC and Morgan Stanley's MSBT saw inflows, most Bitcoin ETFs ended the week with outflows or neutral flows. The spot Ethereum ETF sector also saw a net outflow of $2.26 million for the week, led by BlackRock's ETHA. In contrast, several altcoin-based ETFs attracted new capital. SOL-ETFs led with an inflow of $10.26 million, followed by funds tied to HYPE, XRP, LINK, and HBAR. DOGE-ETFs were an exception with a minor outflow. Activity in the Hong Kong market remained minimal. This follows a week where over $1 billion flowed into various crypto funds.

cryptonews.ruHá 8m

Bitcoin ETFs Lost Nearly $390 Million Over the Week, While SOL ETFs Attracted New Capital

cryptonews.ruHá 8m

Crypto Adoption in the EU Stalls: ECB Finds Only 0.2% of Online Payments Use It

The European Central Bank (ECB)'s latest survey on cash use by eurozone companies reveals a very low adoption rate for cryptocurrencies in the region. The survey of 8,205 firms found cash remains the most widely accepted payment method at physical points of sale (92%), followed by cards (88%). Mobile payments grew significantly from 36% in 2024 to 68% in 2026. However, digital assets have minimal penetration: only 0.2% of businesses accept crypto or stablecoins for online purchases, rising to just 1% at physical stores. This is far below adoption levels in emerging markets. The ECB emphasized the need to prevent growing payment automation from undermining cash's viability. Despite acknowledging crypto's potential benefits like reduced intermediaries and fees, financial institutions have been slow to implement systems. Consequently, European payment operators have yet to capitalize on the regulatory clarity provided by the full implementation of the Markets in Crypto-Assets (MiCA) framework. An Elliptic policy head noted MiCA now allows operators to confidently develop compliant crypto payment solutions for the European market.

cryptonews.ruHá 9m

Crypto Adoption in the EU Stalls: ECB Finds Only 0.2% of Online Payments Use It

cryptonews.ruHá 9m

Media: Anthropic Aims for Revenue Up to $200 Billion by 2028 Ahead of IPO

Anthropic, the AI company behind Claude, is reportedly projecting its revenue could reach between $190 billion and $200 billion by 2028, according to sources cited by Reuters. This forecast, significantly higher than its reported $47 billion annual run-rate in May 2026, is being used by investors and bankers to value the company ahead of a potential IPO. Anthropic has confidentially filed with the SEC, with listing details dependent on market conditions and regulatory approval. The valuation reportedly applies a revenue multiple (EV/Revenue) to these future 2028 figures, an approach common for high-growth tech firms but unusual for a forecast two years ahead of an IPO. This reflects confidence in Anthropic's rapid scaling; its annual run-rate grew tenfold yearly for three years leading into 2026, jumping from ~$9B in late 2025 to over $47B by May 2026. Investors are betting the company's massive spending on GPUs, model training, and infrastructure will eventually outpace costs, leading to expanding margins. Public companies like Palantir, Cloudflare, and SpaceX, valued at high multiples of their forward revenue, serve as benchmarks. While this forward-looking method has precedents, some analysts question the sustainability of such valuations and the actual productivity gains from AI. Despite these concerns, earlier reports suggested Anthropic could be valued at over $1 trillion for its IPO.

cryptonews.ruHá 11m

Media: Anthropic Aims for Revenue Up to $200 Billion by 2028 Ahead of IPO

cryptonews.ruHá 11m

Open Blockchain Business: Who Gets the Fees and Why a Foundation is Needed

Business of Open Blockchain: Who Gets the Fees and Why a Foundation is Needed In public blockchains, user transaction fees do not simply become "revenue" for a single entity. The flow of money is complex and protocol-dependent. In Ethereum, fees consist of a base fee (burned, permanently removing ETH from circulation) and a priority tip (paid to the validator). In Solana, half the base fee is burned and half goes to the validator, while priority fees go entirely to validators. Thus, "fees" are not synonymous with "project revenue"; they may go to network operators or be destroyed. Foundations like the Ethereum Foundation do not take a cut of user fees. They are funded by their own treasuries, which can generate income (e.g., from staking rewards) and finance ecosystem development, research, and security. Their role is to fund public goods that are hard to monetize directly. Developers of open-source blockchain code can monetize through services, not the code itself. For example, Optimism provides its technology freely but sells enterprise support and managed services (OP Enterprise). Additionally, networks built on Optimism's tech, like Coinbase's Base, share a portion of their revenue with the Optimism ecosystem via agreements, creating an economic link. Token holders do not automatically receive fees as dividends. In Optimism, a portion of protocol revenue is now used to buy back and treasury-lock OP tokens, creating an indirect link between network usage and token economics. In Ethereum, fee burning reduces ETH supply but doesn't distribute funds to all holders; stakers and validators receive direct rewards. For evaluation, analysts should look beyond total fee figures. Key questions are: Who paid and for what? Where did the money go (to validators, operators, treasury, or burning)? What were the recipient's costs? Is there a mechanism linking this income to the token? The same fee amount impacts different blockchain economies in vastly different ways depending on these factors.

cryptonews.ruHá 12m

Open Blockchain Business: Who Gets the Fees and Why a Foundation is Needed