Аналитик Маркус Тилен: индикаторы указывают на охлаждение рынка биткоинов

cryptonews.ruPublicado em 2025-05-21Última atualização em 2025-10-22

По данным анализа исследователя компании Matrixport Маркуса Тилена, представленного 22 октября 2025 года, индикатор True Market Mean Price (также известный как Active Investor Price) показывает: средняя цена входа активных участников рынка по-прежнему находится ниже текущих котировок криптовалюты Bitcoin (BTC). По мнению эксперта, это указывает на сохранение прибыли в более широком рыночном контексте.

Специалист крипторынка отметил, что сопоставление с 90-дневной моделью импульса (AVIV Momentum Indicator) выявляет устойчивое сокращение доходности. Показатели демонстрируют, что прибыльность рынка снижается. Такое положение дел исторически рассматривается как четкий медвежий сигнал.

Тилен подчеркнул, что в течение 2023 года и начала 2024 года индикатор оставался преимущественно в бычьей зоне, отражая уверенность инвесторов и приток капитала. Но к осени 2025 года импульс заметно ослаб, что указывает на снижение активности и растущую осторожность участников рынка.

«Текущие значения AVIV Momentum Indicator опустились ниже нейтрального уровня, переходя в отрицательную область, что усиливает риск трансформации рынка в фазу устойчивой консолидации», — заявил аналитик Тилен.

Он также подчеркнул, что, согласно данной модели, уменьшение рыночной уверенности может привести к затяжному периоду бокового движения цены биткоина. Эксперт отметил, что волатильность будет снижаться, а новые импульсы формироваться на фоне накопления ликвидности. Тилен подытожил: общая картина указывает на то, что рынок Bitcoin пока сохраняет структурную прибыльность, однако его рыночная динамика становится все менее устойчивой. Участникам торгов стоит ожидать более сдержанных колебаний и замедления восходящего тренда.

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