十二年加密老兵,Pantera Capital的币股新战场

Odaily星球日报Publicado em 2025-07-23Última atualização em 2025-07-23

Resumo

多家融资买币的上市公司背后,都有 Pantera的影子。

原文作者:Fairy,ChainCatcher

原文编辑:TB,ChainCatcher

Pantera 正在搭建“多币版微策略投资矩阵”。

作为加密世界最早一批下注者,Pantera Capital 曾押中比特币的黎明、DeFi 的盛夏、也踩过 FTX 的深坑。

十二年过去,它依然活跃,甚至在新一轮的币股浪潮中更加激进。多家融资买币的上市公司背后,都有 Pantera 的影子。

这个加密叙事的老将、周期战场上的不死玩家,究竟是一个怎样的 VC?如今,又在布局怎样的新版图?

Pantera 的下注故事

Pantera Capital 于 2013 年开始下注加密行业,是最早期的加密风投之一。它曾推出美国第一支专注比特币的投资基金,并在 2013 至 2015 年间买入了全球约 2% 的比特币,最终实现超 1000 倍的回报。

不过,真正支撑 Pantera 穿越周期的,并非一次成功押注,而是对市场结构变化的持续回应能力。

ICO 热潮兴起时,Pantera 率先推出早期代币基金;DeFi Summer 来临后,其又设立 Pantera 区块链基金,提供全方位的加密货币和区块链市场投资机会。从基金形态到策略配置,Pantera 的应变思路紧贴市场。

目前,Pantera 管理五种主要基金:风险基金、比特币基金、早期代币基金、流动代币基金以及 Pantera 基金。据官网数据,其管理资产规模超过 42 亿美元,累计已实现收益约 5.47 亿美元。

Pantera 出手节奏依然紧凑。据 RootData 显示,其共投资了 214 个项目,在所有投资机构里排名第 13 ,近一年内参投项目达 18 个。投资布局主要集中于四大板块:基础设施、DeFi、CeFi 以及链游。

十二年加密老兵,Pantera Capital的币股新战场
在其投资组合中,不乏 Circle、Ripple、Polkadot、Coinbase、StarkNet 等明星项目。但并非每一次出手都迎来佳绩,截至目前,已有 33 个项目宣告终止运营,其中包括 FTX、Lithium Finance 等。

在 2024 年,Pantera 曾高调押注 TON,认为其拥有 9 亿活跃用户网络的潜力。这一判断促使其做出基金史上最大规模的一笔投资。据链上分析师 AI 姨 估计,Pantera 对 TON 的投资可能超过 2.5 亿美元。然而,如今 TON 价格已较 2024 年高点回撤超 60% 。

即便如此,Pantera 的投资轨迹仍清晰展现出一个老牌加密 VC 的自我迭代与阶段性冒险。

新战场:币股崛起与 Pantera 的策略切换

2025 年初,一级市场降温,流动性和退出路径成为加密 VC 的新命题。然而,在这样的背景中,“币股浪潮”悄然兴起。

这一次,Pantera Capital 再次嗅到了战场切换的味道。数月时间内,它评估了超 50 家以“融资+买币”为核心策略的上市公司,并开始深度参与。

为了吃下这块新蛋糕,Pantera 还专门推出了“DAT 基金”。当前,多位 Pantera 基金有限合伙人已承诺出资,预计将在多个 DAT 项目中累计投入超 1 亿美元。

如今,在不同币种的“微策略”中,都能看到它的出资与布局。以下是 Pantera 投资的部分数字资产财务策略(Digital Asset Treasury,简称 DAT)公司:

十二年加密老兵,Pantera Capital的币股新战场

值得注意的是,表中已有数家公司在短短一个月内股价涨幅超过百倍。Pantera 合伙人 Cosmo Jiang 称这类投资为“正面赢,反面也输不多”的结构。

【注:Pantera 通常在 DAT 公司尚未公开交易,或仍以接近其代币净资产(1.0x NAV)定价时入场,避开公开市场的高溢价。】

无论如何,Pantera Capital 已在这波币股浪潮中占据了关键位置。如加密 KOL AB Kuai.Dong 所言:“生,死,Pantera。”

Dan Morehead,“宏观玩家”的加密转身

理解 Pantera Capital 的风格时,绕不开的是它的创始人 Dan Morehead。

Dan Morehead 的履历出身极为“传统”:普林斯顿大学工程系毕业,后进入华尔街,在高盛、德意志银行等机构打磨交易技巧,最终成为对冲基金巨头 Tiger Management 的首席财务官与宏观策略主管。彼时,他管理的资产达十亿美元级,在全球货币、利率间游刃有余。

2003 年,他创立了 Pantera Capital,起初是一家普通的投资公司。直到 2013 年,他与两位朋友进行了一场长达四小时的深度讨论。那次谈话彻底点燃了他对比特币的兴趣。从此 Pantera 转型成为加密领域的风险投资机构。

当时,比特币的价格和特斯拉不相上下,Morehead 做出了一个大胆决定:卖出所有特斯拉股票,全力押注比特币。而这也有了 Pantera Capital 的第一次成功——比特币投资基金。

十二年加密老兵,Pantera Capital的币股新战场

Dan Morehead 曾坦言,投资的关键在于锁定那些潜在收益远超风险的机会。风险永远存在,但真正重要的是找准能够带来爆发性回报的标的。

他强调:“若想获得超额回报,就不能跟随主流,不能投资那些每个华尔街公司都有二十个分析师盯着的项目。这也是我们在投资者信中反复强调‘让另类投资变得更另类’的原因。”

如今,虽然 Morehead 很少出现在公众视野,但 Pantera Capital 仍保有他留下的深刻印记:大胆、前瞻、紧贴市场结构。

十二年加密老兵,Pantera Capital的币股新战场

十二年、多轮叙事、数百个项目,Pantera Capital 在混沌中寻找信号,在结构裂变中重塑路径。

加密这场没有终点的竞赛中,Pantera 仍在下注。

原文链接

Leituras Relacionadas

Report Interpretation: J.P. Morgan Details Micron's Pre-Earnings Sentiment, Current Hardware Sector Dynamics

Morgan Stanley analyst Joshua Meyers' report (June 21, 2026) highlights key trends in the hardware and semiconductor sector ahead of Micron's earnings. The core takeaways are: 1. **Micron & Memory:** Memory remains a high-conviction long theme, driven by strong AI demand and rising ASPs. However, investor focus is shifting to the sustainability of Micron's >80% gross margins and the specifics of potential new long-term supply agreements (SCAs). 2. **Hardware Supply Chain:** AI-related demand for servers, networking, and storage remains robust, but company performance is diverging. Celestica (CLS) shows improved margin confidence, Western Digital and Seagate benefit from pricing, Fabrinet (FN) sees predictable AI optics growth, and Teradyne (TER) anticipates a new Google customer. 3. **AI Capex & WFE Forecasts:** JPMorgan increased its Wafer Fab Equipment (WFE) market growth forecasts to 28% in 2026 and 29% in 2027. AI infrastructure financing is evolving, with higher project-level debt reducing constraints on capex expansion. The report signals that while the AI-driven hardware cycle is strong, the market is entering a phase focused on execution verification (e.g., Micron's SCA details, Fabrinet's ramp with Amazon) and valuation sustainability. Key near-term signals include Micron's guidance, Arista Networks' outlook, and the pace of demand normalization post potential tariff-related pull-ins.

marsbitHá 9h

Report Interpretation: J.P. Morgan Details Micron's Pre-Earnings Sentiment, Current Hardware Sector Dynamics

marsbitHá 9h

Research Report Analysis: The Fed's New Chair's Debut – New Leader, But Same Script?

Report Analysis: Federal Reserve's New Chair Debut – A New Captain, But the Same Script? Morgan Stanley's chief global economist Seth B. Carpenter analyzes the first FOMC meeting under new Fed Chair Kevin Warsh in a June 21 report. Warsh deliberately avoided providing forward guidance on interest rates, aligning with his philosophy. However, market expectations for a rate hike this year were reinforced. Key signals lie elsewhere: inflation may fall more than expected, and quantitative tightening (QT) could be more aggressive than anticipated. The FOMC's "dot plot" suggests only one rate hike in 2026. Carpenter argues that if inflation undershoots forecasts, the logic for even a single hike weakens, especially as projections indicate potential rate cuts in 2027. On QT, Warsh's stance is clear. Carpenter notes that measures like halving the Treasury's account balance could shrink the Fed's balance sheet by around $500 billion with minimal market impact. Combined with adjustments to reserve interest and liquidity rules, the ultimate QT scale may exceed expectations, though its market effect might be less disruptive unless the Fed actively sells Mortgage-Backed Securities (MBS). While Warsh initiated a review of the Fed's policy framework, the 2% inflation target remains intact for now. The report concludes that the market may be overestimating the significance of reduced forward guidance and the near-term rate hike risk, while potentially underestimating the scope and manageable nature of the coming balance sheet reduction. The key debates will hinge on upcoming core PCE data, the specifics of the QT path, and the framework review's findings.

marsbitHá 9h

Research Report Analysis: The Fed's New Chair's Debut – New Leader, But Same Script?

marsbitHá 9h

Trading

Spot
Futuros
活动图片