Pump упал на 23% за несколько часов: что дальше

cryptonews.ruPublicado em 2025-02-16Última atualização em 2025-07-17

Токен Pump.fun, PUMP, показывает признаки усталости после стремительного роста. 16 июля он достиг локального максимума $0,006899, воспользовавшись популярностью мемкоинов на Solana и повышенным вниманием рынка

Однако вскоре цена PUMP упала до $0,005294, что составило снижение на 23,2%. Это произошло из-за активной фиксации прибыли ранними держателями.

Умные деньги сбрасывают активы

Ончейн-данные показывают, что топовые держатели активно фиксируют прибыль. 10 крупнейших кошельков реализовали более $17 млн прибыли, полностью выйдя из позиций.

Кошелек CxSZ84Ui зафиксировал $1,79 млн, а восемь других получили прибыль $1,5 млн или более. Более 95% топовых кошельков теперь держат 0% от своих первоначальных позиций, что говорит о полном выходе.

Цена PUMP и агрессивная фиксация прибыли: Nansen

Тем временем кошельки «умных денег» сократили накопления на 34,5% до 3,17 млрд токенов. Баланс кошельков-китов PUMP также уменьшился на 3,63%, что показывает активные продажи крупных игроков.

Это говорит о том, что выкуп PUMP не смог компенсировать постоянное давление продаж. Расходы на обратные выкупы компенсируются или даже превышаются фиксацией прибыли китами, которые продают крупные порции токенов.

Держатели PUMP и их 24-часовые действия: Nansen

С другой стороны, таблица лидеров по нереализованной прибыли PUMP показывает тревожную ситуацию: кошельки все еще держат почти $10 млн в бумажной прибыли. Например, 9mKy1K8S имеет $1,38 млн нереализованной прибыли. Это указывает на то, что эти трейдеры могут стать следующими продавцами.

Нереализованная прибыль сигнализирует о осторожности: Nansen

Супертренд разворачивается в медвежий сценарий

На часовом графике индикатор Supertrend окрасился в красный, что указывает на смену краткосрочного тренда на медвежий. Это совпадает с действиями крупных держателей, которые начали выходить после роста, что, похоже, тянет цену вниз.

Индикатор Supertrend для PUMP: TradingView

Когда крупные игроки перестают покупать, а трендовый индикатор меняется, это часто сигнализирует о возможном дальнейшем снижении.

Цена PUMP рискует пробить ключевую поддержку

На ценовом графике уровни коррекции Фибоначчи наблюдаются от локального максимума $0,00689 до минимума $0,00529. На момент написания PUMP торгуется около $0,00535, что опасно близко к базовому уровню Фибоначчи (0,0 уровень).

Ключевые уровни уже пробиты. Уровень 0,382 на $0,00590 и уровень 0,236 на $0,00567 не удержались в качестве поддержки. Если цена опустится ниже $0,00529, это может вызвать каскадные распродажи, особенно учитывая, что многие кошельки все еще в зоне нереализованной прибыли.

Анализ цены PUMP: TradingView

Медвежий сценарий продолжится, если быки не смогут поднять цену выше уровня 0,618 по Фибоначчи на $0,00628, который сейчас служит ключевой поддержкой/сопротивлением. Уверенный прорыв выше этого уровня станет сигналом о возвращении покупателей и подготовит почву для ретеста $0,00689.

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