Crypto Market Eyes US CPI as September Fed Rate Cut in Doubt

TheCryptoTimesPublicado em 2025-07-14Última atualização em 2025-07-14

The crypto market awaits key macro events such as the Consumer Price Index (CPI) inflation data this week for further cues on Bitcoin and altcoins’ direction. Traders and analysts expect the crypto market to move higher, but a hot CPI print amid concerns of US tariffs could spoil this positive sentiment.

The U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics will release June’s CPI inflation data on July 15. Economists estimate a 2.7% CPI and a 3% Core CPI YoY increase. This is higher than the earlier 2.4% headline CPI and a 2.8% core CPI inflation data, indicating the impact of tariffs.

Bond traders are now uncertain that the Fed rate cut will resume in September, according to a Bloomberg report. However, the CME FedWatch tool still shows 57% odds of a 25 bps rate cut in September and a 43.3% probability of another 25 bps rate cut in December.

At the time of writing, the US dollar index (DXY) is moving around 97.90 and the US 10-year Treasury yield held its advance at around 4.41% as traders await key economic data. Meanwhile, reports claiming US President Donald Trump can fire Fed Chair Jerome Powell added further uncertainty in the markets.

Bitcoin price hit a new ATH of $123,100 today in response to recent predictions of $135K by analysts, as reported by The Crypto Times. BTC price is trading 4% higher at $122,510 at the time of writing. Analysts expect some profit booking before next leg up.

Altcoins also move higher amid the rising ‘greed’ sentiment in the crypto market. ETH price holds above $3,000 and XRP price aims to hit a new ATH above $3.84.

Also Read: Metaplanet Buys $93.6 Million in Bitcoin, Stock Price Jumps



Leituras Relacionadas

Want to Get Freebies from Robinhood Chain? Which Ecosystem Projects Are Worth Watching?

**Title: Want to Get the Robinhood Chain Airdrop? Which Ecosystem Projects Are Worth Watching?** **Summary:** Robinhood Chain, a key part of Robinhood's push into Layer 2, aims to build a comprehensive ecosystem covering stock tokens, RWAs, perpetual contracts, and spot trading. With its mainnet launch on July 2, 2026, came a 90-day gas fee waiver for swaps, cross-chain transactions, and Perp trading. While the ecosystem's TVL was still modest at around $76.73 million as of July 6, 2026, several early projects present potential opportunities. Key projects highlighted include: * **Arcus:** A stock token and crypto DEX built by dYdX Labs and Robinhood Crypto, focusing on spot and perpetual contracts. Future ARCUS tokens are expected to prioritize the existing dYdX community. * **Lighter:** A ZK-powered decentralized perpetual and spot exchange deployed on Robinhood Chain. It has committed $11 million worth of LIT tokens to the Robinhood community, with users earning points (and double points via Robinhood Wallet) for trading, convertible to LIT. * **Morpho:** Integral to the newly launched "Robinhood Earn" program in the US, where user-supplied USDG stablecoins are lent out via Morpho vaults, targeting a 7% APY. * **Rialto:** An on-chain spot exchange supporting crypto, stocks, ETFs, and commodities. It will initially list over 90 Robinhood stock tokens and uses a "propAMM" system where market makers provide quotes from their own inventory. * **Arrakis:** A non-custodial, on-chain market maker protocol for token issuers to manage concentrated liquidity on DEXs. * **Meridian:** A platform on Robinhood Chain focusing on RWA perpetual contracts and prediction markets, settled in USDe. It rebranded from Ethereal and had previously planned to allocate 15% of its future governance tokens to ENA stakers. * **Native:** An on-chain price discovery and execution system recently deployed on Robinhood Chain, though the team has stated there are no current plans for a token launch. The article emphasizes that this is not investment advice and urges participants to conduct their own research (DYOR).

Foresight NewsHá 28m

Want to Get Freebies from Robinhood Chain? Which Ecosystem Projects Are Worth Watching?

Foresight NewsHá 28m

End of Correction or Continuation of Trend: Technical Structure Review of BTC and HYPE | Guest Analysis

**Weekly Technical Analysis: BTC & HYPE Structure Review** This analysis covers the multi-timeframe technical structure for Bitcoin (BTC) and HYPE. **Bitcoin (BTC) Analysis:** BTC's correction from its May 6 high has formed a clear four-segment pattern on the daily chart. The market is currently in a (3-4) rebound phase. The key determinant for the short-term trend is the endpoint of this rebound ("Endpoint 4"): * **Path 1 (Preferred Scenario):** If the rebound surpasses the $65,700 resistance, subsequent pullbacks are less likely to break the key support at $57,820 (July 1 low). This would suggest a transition into a consolidating range, building energy for a potential bullish reversal. * **Path 2:** Failure to reach $65,700, or even $64,500, increases the probability of a breakdown below $57,820, continuing the downtrend. The 4-hour chart shows a completed five-wave decline from June 15, culminating in a momentum divergence at the low, which supported the recent bounce. **BTC Weekly Outlook & Strategy (Jul 6-12):** * **Core View:** Focus on the high point of the daily rebound from $57,820. * **Key Levels:** * Resistance: $64,500-$65,700; $67,300; $69,500-$71,000. * Support: $60,950-$62,300; $57,820; $55,000. * **Strategy:** * **Mid-term:** Maintain ~20% short position. Consider increasing shorts to <50% if price stalls in the $65,700-$67,300 zone with confirming model signals. * **Short-term:** Use 30% capital for swing trades between support/resistance. * **Plans:** * **Plan A (Short):** Enter shorts (~30%) if price is rejected at $65,700-$67,300. * **Plan B (Long):** Enter longs (~15%) only if price breaks above $65,700 first, then pulls back and finds support near $57,820. **HYPE Analysis:** The rebound from the June 25 low has developed a seven-segment structure on the 4-hour chart. Price is approaching the historical high zone near $76.94. Internal models have triggered top warnings, suggesting caution against chasing the rally and highlighting near-term pullback risks. **HYPE Weekly Outlook & Strategy:** * **Core View:** Observe price action in the $75-$76.94 resistance area. * **Key Levels:** * Resistance: $75-$76.94; $80. * Support: $68; $65.5; $60.5-$61.5. * **Strategy:** Prioritize profit-taking and risk management. If holding longs, consider moving stop-loss to ~$68 to protect gains. Close positions promptly on signs of a downturn. **Trade Recap:** A recent short-term long trade in HYPE, entered at $64 based on model buy signals and exited at ~$70.55 on sell signals, yielded a profit of approximately 10.23%. **General Risk Management:** Always set an initial stop-loss. Move stop-loss to breakeven at +1% profit, and trail it upwards by 1% for every subsequent 1% gain to lock in profits. *Disclaimer: Market conditions change rapidly. All analysis, models, and strategies presented are for educational/log purposes only and do not constitute investment advice. Trade at your own risk.*

Odaily星球日报Há 37m

End of Correction or Continuation of Trend: Technical Structure Review of BTC and HYPE | Guest Analysis

Odaily星球日报Há 37m

Trading

Spot
活动图片