Аналитик отметил позитив трейдеров опционами касательно биткоина

cryptonews.ruPublicado em 2024-11-17Última atualização em 2025-02-17

Самой популярной позицией на бирже криптодеривативов Deribit в феврале стали колл-опционы на биткоин по $110 000 со сроком истечения 28 марта. На это обратил внимание Омкар Годбоул из CoinDesk.

Покупатели этих контрактов уже заплатили совокупную чистую премию свыше $6 млн за бычий риск, отметил эксперт.

Колл дает право, но не обязанность, приобрести в будущем базовый актив по установленной цене в определенный срок или ранее. Покупатели таких опционов делают неявную ставку на рост рынка.

С начала месяца биткоин торгуется в диапазоне $95 000-100 000. У быков были некоторые позитивные события вроде покупок цифрового золота Strategy (ранее MicroStrategy) и раскрытия суверенным фондом Абу-Даби инвестиций на $436 млн в BTC-ETF от BlackRock.

Однако проблемы макроэкономики, которые подчеркнули негативные данные по инфляции в США, отток ликвидности, вызванный участившимися циклами «бум-спад» в мем-токенах, ограничили потенциал роста, считает Годбоул.

В выходные рыночная капитализация монеты LIBRA взлетела выше $4 млрд, но затем цена за минуты обвалилась на 94%. Изначально мем-коин пропиарил президент Аргентины Хавьер Милей, впоследствии удалив пост. В результате политик столкнулся с юридическими проблемами и угрозой импичмента.

Директор по деривативам Amberdata Грег Магадини подтвердил, что ряд новостей был оптимистичным для биткоина, имея в виду в первую очередь инвестиции Абу-Даби. Но это не привело к реальному всплеску спотовых котировок, добавил он.

«Объедините эти новости с медвежьими событиями в сегменте мем-коинов (источник негативных заголовков), такими как падение LIBRA, pumpfun-мания и растущее предложение альткоинов, и увидите, что рынок топчется на месте. Все это подкрепляет мой тезис о «боковике» с пониженной волатильностью», — заявил Магадини.

Напомним, эксперты CryptoQuant пришли к выводу, что биткоин может вступить в новую медвежью фазу из-за снижения склонности инвесторов к риску.

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