Curve一月6倍,协议收入角度透视谁是真正的“价值币”?

Odaily星球日报Publicado em 2024-12-05Última atualização em 2024-12-05

Resumo

Meme工具表现亮眼但发币概率低;Solana协议营收最强;冷门链出现黑马。

原创 | Odaily星球日报(@OdailyChina

作者|南枳(@Assassin_Malvo

Curve一月6倍,协议收入角度透视谁是真正的“价值币”?

近日,在比特币领涨行情中,普涨的除了“老山寨币”板块之外,DeFi 项目代币也普遍表现亮眼。以 CRV(Curve)为例,过去一个月从 0.2 USDT 一路上涨至最高 1.24 USDT,涨幅超 500% 。据 Token Terminal 数据, Curve Finance 在过去 30 天内的年化收入接近 3700 万美元,环比增长近 23% 。

此类代币的共同特征为代币已流通多年,未解锁比例少,并且协议收入的可持续性也经过时间验证。除了 CRV 外,哪类代币符合此类特征?Odaily 将于本文进行统计。

基本情况说明

本文数据基于 DefiLlama 与 CoinGecko,其中:

  • 项目选取:DefiLlama 中 24 小时收入前 60 名;

  • 数据选取:协议 24 小时收入与 30 日收入(DefiLlama)、协议代币流通市值与 FDV(CoinGecko)

  • 其他情况:存在协议未发币、即将发币、与多个协议混用代币等特殊情况,由作者通过其他资料验证判断。

由于数据过多故不作图展示, 60 个项目的完整数据详见链接:https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1He_Ms6NZ434Qt7lMC6ozGC71kszdVC_P_L6lDUKY5OI/edit?usp=sharing

收入前 20 项目

前 20 项目如下图所示,表中我们可以看出几点:

  • TOP 收入项目主要分为三类,网络(链)、DeFi 与 Meme 工具;

  • 多数代币已解锁过半,仅 JTO(Jito)与 ETHFI(ether.fi)解锁比例较低;

  • Meme 工具均未发币,在前 20 中占 20% ,其中 Pump、Photon、BullX 为手续费收入且均在 Solana 链上,DEX Screener 则主要为 Meme 代币的广告收入;

  • 30 日总收入÷流通市值超三位数的仅两个项目,分别为 Jito 和 Raydium,均在 Solana 链上;

(注:排名第十的为 Uniswap Labs,第二为 Uniswap 协议本身。)

Curve一月6倍,协议收入角度透视谁是真正的“价值币”?

谁性价比最高?

排除掉未发币项目,以 30 日总收入÷流通市值降序排名得到表单如下。

Curve一月6倍,协议收入角度透视谁是真正的“价值币”?

其中比较小众的项目是排名第一的 Gamma 和第五的 WigoSwap。Gamma 是 ZKsync 上的流动性管理协议,长期以来协议收入都较为稳定,月收入约在 100 万美元-400 万美元左右,而代币的质押者有权利获得 Gamma 金库收入分成。

Curve一月6倍,协议收入角度透视谁是真正的“价值币”?

WigoSwap 是原 Fantom 上的 DeFi Hub,将随着 Fantom 向 Sonic 变更改名为 DeFive,协议业务也扩展至 Swap、任务平台(类 Galaxy)、资产交易市场、游戏等多个领域。

WigoSwap 的收入近期才开始增长,可持续性暂时不明,但随着 Sonic 的到来值得着重关注。

代币用例上,根据官方文档可以可以得到 WIGO 只作为生态内的流通代币使用,未看到收益权方面的说明。

Curve一月6倍,协议收入角度透视谁是真正的“价值币”?

其他协议属于大家耳熟能详的产品(LFJ 为原 Trader Joe),在此不过多赘述,可着重关注其数据边际拐点,另有 30 日总收入÷FDV 如下。

Curve一月6倍,协议收入角度透视谁是真正的“价值币”?

未发币项目是否有机会?

收入排名前 60 且未发币的项目如下图所示。可以看到绝大多数为 Meme 工具,发币概率较小,目前发币概率较高的仅有 Pump 和 OpenSea,但二者主动刷量性价比均非常低,建议读者在表外寻找机会。

Curve一月6倍,协议收入角度透视谁是真正的“价值币”?

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