WikiEXPO 2024曼谷展会落幕，4E荣获「最佳外汇交易平台奖」

区块律动Publicado em 2009-09-24Última atualização em 2024-09-09

#Wiki Finance EXPO 2024#4E#加密货币#外汇#股票

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LIVE: Fed Chair Kevin Warsh Speaks After Interest Rate Decision! Key Moments

Federal Reserve Chairman Kevin Warsh held a live press conference following the Fed's decision to hold interest rates steady. He outlined several key points: The U.S. economy has shown impressive resilience, and the committee remains committed to a 2% inflation target, dismissing notions of a flexible target. Warsh noted the difficult challenge of high inflation over the past five years, stating it cannot be solved quickly. The committee is prepared to act when necessary and appropriate, avoiding forward guidance and focusing closely on incoming inflation data, particularly the PCE index. He emphasized that the current decision should not be simply characterized as "holding rates steady," as market perceptions differ. The Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) voted 9-3 to maintain the federal funds rate at 3.50%-3.75%. The dissenting votes, from the presidents of the Cleveland, Minneapolis, and Dallas Fed banks, called for a 25 basis point hike to combat persistent inflation exceeding the 2% target. They argued for tighter policy, citing household strain from high prices and the need for decisive action to ensure price stability.

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LIVE: Fed Chair Kevin Warsh Speaks After Interest Rate Decision! Key Moments

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Critical Moments in Bitcoin: Cost Zones That Demand Attention Have Been Identified!

Analytics firm Glassnode reported that reduced expectations for U.S. interest rate cuts, along with pricing in possible rate hikes, have suppressed risk appetite in the cryptocurrency market. The Fed's interest rate decisions are crucial for market direction. U.S. Treasury yields have surpassed returns from crypto carry trades, leading investors to favor cash and low-risk interest-bearing instruments over crypto assets. A strong U.S. dollar further weakens marginal demand for crypto. Bitcoin is currently trading below its most intensive cost basis level, with approximately $69,000 identified as the breakeven zone and significant resistance for short-term investors. For a stronger recovery, Bitcoin needs to reclaim the $69,000 threshold with increased trading volume. Renewed active demand for spot Bitcoin ETFs is also deemed critical. According to Glassnode, the current Bitcoin decline represents the shallowest bear market in terms of price drawdown depth to date. However, based on previous cycle durations, this downturn may not be over yet. Spot trading volumes have fallen to multi-year lows, and sell-side order books have thinned, though many buy orders are placed significantly below current prices. Glassnode's risk indicator, Vector, signaled "risk off," suggesting a capital preservation mindset. The current market structure is being driven more by macroeconomic factors like monetary policy, bond yields, and dollar strength than by crypto-sector developments. Losing Bitcoin's support range of $62,000-$68,000, coupled with renewed exchange inflows, could negate the recovery scenario. Conversely, more favorable monetary policy, increased trading volume, a Bitcoin recovery above $69,000, and a resumption of spot ETF buying could signal a market turnaround.

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Critical Moments in Bitcoin: Cost Zones That Demand Attention Have Been Identified!

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Breaking News: Full Detailed Rationale and Explanation of the Fed's Interest Rate Decision Released!

As expected, the Federal Reserve kept its key interest rate unchanged at 3.50-3.75 percent, marking the fifth consecutive meeting without a rate change. The Federal Open Market Committee's (FOMC) decision passed with a 9-3 majority vote. Cleveland Fed President Loretta Mester, Minneapolis Fed President Neel Kashkari, and Dallas Fed President Lorie Logan dissented, voting in favor of a 25 basis point rate hike. This was the first meeting since 2016 where three regional Fed presidents voted against holding rates steady, signaling growing influence among members advocating for tighter monetary policy to combat inflation. The Fed's statement noted that economic activity has been expanding at a solid pace despite high uncertainty, partly due to Middle East conflicts. It highlighted that growth in productivity and investment remained strong, employment gains have aligned with labor force growth, and the unemployment rate has remained relatively stable. The Fed also committed to maintaining ample reserves in the banking system. The statement emphasized that inflation remains above the Fed's 2% target. It noted that supply shocks, including in the energy sector, are adding to inflationary pressures. The Committee stated it will continue to closely monitor incoming data and risks in pursuit of its price stability goal. The dissenting members argued that the target range for the federal funds rate should have been increased by 25 basis points.

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Breaking News: Full Detailed Rationale and Explanation of the Fed's Interest Rate Decision Released!

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LATEST NEWS: Here is the FOMC statement released after interest rates were left unchanged!

At its July meeting, the Federal Reserve left interest rates unchanged in the 3.50–3.75 percent range. The decision was approved by a vote of 9 to 3, with three policymakers dissenting in favor of a 25 basis point hike, signaling heightened internal support for tighter policy within the central bank. The dissenting votes underscored the hawkish stance of the decision. The Fed stated that U.S. economic activity continues to expand at a solid pace while inflation remains above the 2% target, partly due to recent shocks. The statement noted that job gains have kept pace with labor supply growth and the unemployment rate has remained low. It also highlighted that productivity and capital investment growth remain strong. The Federal Reserve affirmed it will continue to maintain ample reserve levels in the banking system. The FOMC stated it will keep closely monitoring incoming data and risks in pursuit of its goals of price stability and maximum employment.

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LATEST NEWS: Here is the FOMC statement released after interest rates were left unchanged!

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LATEST NEWS: Long-Awaited Fed Interest Rate Decision Announced! Here is Bitcoin's Initial Reaction

The Federal Reserve has kept interest rates unchanged as expected. All attention is now focused on the press conference by new Fed Chairman Kevin Warsh, scheduled for 21:00. Bitcoin's initial reaction to the rate decision is shown in the provided chart. Chairman Warsh, like his predecessor Jerome Powell, has emphasized controlling inflation, with some investors perceiving his stance as tougher than anticipated. While rate cuts were expected under Trump-appointed Warsh, market expectations for a potential rate hike by year-end have strengthened. Notably, Trump's frequent public criticism of Powell for not cutting rates fast enough has ceased since Warsh took office, despite no major shift in the Fed's decision-making approach. An investment strategist noted significant continuity between the two Fed chairs. *This is not investment advice.

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LATEST NEWS: Long-Awaited Fed Interest Rate Decision Announced! Here is Bitcoin's Initial Reaction

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