律动晚报｜9月4日加密市场动向一览

区块律动Publicado em 2004-09-24Última atualização em 2024-09-05

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AudiusAUDIO
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MantraMANTRA
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Billions NetworkBILL
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THORChainRUNE
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BrevisBREV
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Band ProtocolBAND

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Ethereum has regained bullish momentum after recovering from recent lows, bringing the second-largest cryptocurrency close to the key $2,000 threshold. Currently trading near $1,968, the rally has pushed the price above its 20-day and 50-day Exponential Moving Averages (EMAs). The next significant resistance lies near the 100-day EMA at $1,934 and the psychological $2,000 level. A decisive breakout above these could propel Ethereum toward the $2,050–$2,100 range, with the 200-day EMA at $2,181 as a major technical barrier. Momentum indicators like the Bollinger Band %B suggest buyers are in control, though a strong surge could trigger profit-taking. Support levels are found at $1,934, $1,863 (20-day EMA), $1,780, and $1,728. Activity in the derivatives market is improving, with Ethereum's open interest recovering to approximately $27.77 billion, indicating renewed trader participation. However, this level remains well below the over $60 billion seen earlier in the year, suggesting a more cautious approach. Spot exchange flows also paint a constructive picture, with recent net inflows of around $34.15 million signaling gradual accumulation by investors. Ethereum's near-term outlook hinges on its ability to break and hold above $2,000. A confirmed breakout could attract momentum buyers, targeting $2,100 and eventually $2,181. Conversely, failure to overcome this resistance could lead to a pullback toward $1,934 or $1,863, where buyers must defend support to maintain the recovery. While technicals are improving and investor participation is rebounding, traders remain measured following recent volatility.

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An Undercurrent of Bitcoin Civil War: BIP-110 Raises Fork Concerns

**A Summary of the Bitcoin Governance Crisis: The BIP-110 Showdown and Forking Risks** Bitcoin is facing internal division alongside a market downturn. The core of the conflict is BIP-110, the "Reduced Data Carriage Soft Fork" proposal introduced in December 2025. It aims to restrict non-financial data (like inscriptions) in future transactions, citing concerns over node costs and Bitcoin's original purpose. The controversy lies in its activation mechanism. BIP-110 requires 55% miner support within a difficulty period. However, its voting signal has remained below 1% since monitoring began. If this threshold isn't met by the August 7, 2026 deadline (block height 961,632), compatible nodes (primarily running Bitcoin Knots) are programmed to *enforce* the new rules, rejecting non-compliant blocks. Critics warn this minority-enforced activation could split the chain. Major figures like Michael Saylor, Adam Back, and Jameson Lopp strongly oppose BIP-110. Saylor argues it sets a dangerous precedent for defining "valid" transactions and could stifle future innovations. Opponents view the enforcement strategy as a risky governance overreach, contrasting it with past upgrades that achieved over 90% consensus. BIP-110 was partly a reaction to Bitcoin Core's v30 update in October 2025, which significantly increased the default data relay limit. Core developers called this a policy change, not a consensus rule, but it prompted the creation of the Bitcoin Knots branch and, subsequently, BIP-110. Compounding the pressure, Paul Sztorc plans a separate hard fork around the same time to launch a new chain (eCash) featuring his Drivechain scaling proposal. While independent, these dual forking events create operational and market uncertainty. The market, already in a corrective phase, must now price in this governance tail risk. Analysts predict the original chain, backed by the vast majority of miners and exchanges, would likely retain primary value and liquidity if a split occurs. However, the process would be disruptive, causing short-term chaos with replay attacks, exchange confusion, and widened spreads. August 2026 presents a critical test of Bitcoin's ability to resolve deep governance disputes without fracturing.

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Stripe in Talks to Acquire OpenRouter: Is AI the New Focus of Future Payment Landscape?

Payment giant Stripe is reportedly in talks to acquire AI model routing platform OpenRouter, potentially valuing the startup at around $10 billion, according to The Wall Street Journal. This move follows Stripe's recent strategic push into AI and crypto infrastructure over the past 18 months, including the acquisitions of stablecoin company Bridge, wallet infrastructure provider Privy, and the launch of its Tempo blockchain with a Machine Payments Protocol. These steps aim to enable AI agents to autonomously handle payments and transactions. OpenRouter, founded by OpenSea co-founder Alex Atallah, aggregates over 300 models from more than 60 providers, handling billions of inference requests. Its integration would complement Stripe's existing AI agent infrastructure—covering ordering, payment, and settlement—creating a comprehensive pipeline for AI-driven commerce. Stripe's goal appears to be positioning itself as the default infrastructure layer for AI-to-user interactions, akin to "AWS for money." The deal is not yet finalized and faces potential competition or disruption. However, it highlights a broader trend where major players like Circle and Google are also developing payment protocols for AI agents. While current on-chain AI agent payment volume remains a tiny fraction of overall stablecoin settlements, the industry is betting on this nascent market to drive future growth and validate the synergy between AI and blockchain.

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TRX Futures listing launches on Bitnomial, broadening regulated U.S. derivatives access to TRON

TRON DAO announced the launch of a regulated TRX futures contract on the U.S.-based, CFTC-regulated Bitnomial exchange. This listing provides eligible U.S. traders and institutions with a new tool to manage exposure to the TRON ecosystem through exchange-traded derivatives. TRX is the native token powering the TRON blockchain, a leading platform for stablecoin settlement with over $90 billion in circulating USDT and significant total value locked. Justin Sun, Founder of TRON, stated this expands regulated access to the ecosystem as digital assets integrate with traditional finance. Michael Dunn, President of Bitnomial Exchange, highlighted that a regulated U.S. futures market for a major asset like TRX enables hedging and meets a key regulatory milestone for potential future spot ETF eligibility. The futures launch follows Bitnomial's earlier introduction of TRX spot trading and aligns with broader institutional adoption, including custody services through Anchorage Digital. Bitnomial operates a unified CFTC-regulated platform offering leveraged spot, futures, options, and more. This development offers market participants additional trading and portfolio management tools while further connecting TRON with traditional financial markets.

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In the current crypto bear market, the concept of founder-market fit emerges as the most enduring investment signal. While markets, regulations, and products constantly change, the alignment between a specific founder and a specific market remains the constant, compounding factor, especially when prices stall. The blockchain space is now attracting a higher caliber of founders than ever before. Talent has converged on solving serious problems in two key verticals: AI and fintech. The most compelling challenge has become building institutional-grade financial infrastructure, drawing serious operators from firms like Citadel, Stripe, Block, Nvidia, and Goldman Sachs. This shift is supported by maturing on-chain data: stablecoin settlement now surpasses Visa and Mastercard combined, institutional adoption is rising, and tokenized real-world assets are growing rapidly. When evaluating founders, four key traits are sought: deep domain expertise, high agency, an unfair advantage in networks, and obsession. Examples like Offchain Labs (Arbitrum), Ondo Finance, Morpho, Circle (USDC), and Alchemy demonstrate that projects possessing all four traits can define categories and endure through cycles. For founders already building, bear markets strip away momentum and reveal true conviction. This period offers the quiet, uncrowded space to build foundational products that will define the next cycle when capital returns. Capital is still available, and lower valuations present an opportunity. The advice is to extend runway, focus on genuine product-market fit, and recruit strategically. For talented individuals still within traditional finance giants, the moment to act is now. The hard problems in crypto now align with their skills in institutional infrastructure—settlement, credit, custody, compliance. The bear market is not a risk but a testing ground, clearing out noise and creating the ideal conditions for builders with the right fit to establish themselves. The defining founders of the next cycle are not waiting; they are building in the quiet of the winter, anchored by a deep belief in their market that price action cannot shake. The ultimate question is not if the market will return, but who will be standing, stronger, in the market they were inherently meant to win.

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Bem-vindo à HTX.com!Tornámos a compra de SUN (SUN) simples e conveniente.Segue o nosso guia passo a passo para iniciar a tua jornada no mundo das criptos.Passo 1: cria a tua conta HTXUtiliza o teu e-mail ou número de telefone para te inscreveres numa conta gratuita na HTX.Desfruta de um processo de inscrição sem complicações e desbloqueia todas as funcionalidades.Obter a minha contaPasso 2: vai para Comprar Cripto e escolhe o teu método de pagamentoCartão de crédito/débito: usa o teu visa ou mastercard para comprar SUN (SUN) instantaneamente.Saldo: usa os fundos da tua conta HTX para transacionar sem problemas.Terceiros: adicionamos métodos de pagamento populares, como Google Pay e Apple Pay, para aumentar a conveniência.P2P: transaciona diretamente com outros utilizadores na HTX.Mercado de balcão (OTC): oferecemos serviços personalizados e taxas de câmbio competitivas para os traders.Passo 3: armazena teu SUN (SUN)Depois de comprar o teu SUN (SUN), armazena-o na tua conta HTX.Alternativamente, podes enviá-lo para outro lugar através de transferência blockchain ou usá-lo para transacionar outras criptomoedas.Passo 4: transaciona SUN (SUN)Transaciona facilmente SUN (SUN) no mercado à vista da HTX.Acede simplesmente à tua conta, seleciona o teu par de trading, executa as tuas transações e monitoriza em tempo real.Oferecemos uma experiência de fácil utilização tanto para principiantes como para traders experientes.

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