Kaiko: Власти четырех стран способны в сентябре обрушить курс биткоина

cryptonews.ruPublicado em 2023-09-01Última atualização em 2024-09-01

По данным экспертов компании Kaiko, власти США, Китая, Великобритании и Украины могут начать распродажи своих запасов биткоинов в сентябре. Курс первой криптовалюты из-за этого способен приблизиться к отметке $53 000.

Специалисты Kaiko назвали количество биткоинов, находящихся в распоряжении правительств стран:

США — 203 220;

Китай — 190 000;

Великобритания — 61 200;

Украина — 46 350 BTC.

Дополнительным потенциальным источником продаж выступают кредиторы, получившие первую криптовалюту от биржи-банкрота MtGox.

«Избыток предложения был горячей темой на крипторынке все лето. Власти четырех стран могут стать источником давления продаж в ближайший месяц, что приведет к падению котировок», — заявили аналитики Kaiko Адам Морган Маккарти (Adam Morgan McCarthy) и Десислава Оберт (Dessislava Aubert).

По их словам, страх перед ордерами на продажу сочетается с истощением ликвидности на рынке, что может еще больше усилить колебания стоимости первой криптовалюты.

На этом негативном фоне биткоин упал на 8% с начала августа, несмотря на чистый приток средств в спотовые биткоин-ETF, в то время как глобальные индексы акций и облигаций компаний выросли на 2%, подчеркнули эксперты.

Ранее аналитики трейдинговой компании QCP Capital сообщили, что финансовый отчет корпорации Nvidia вызвал негативную реакцию среди инвесторов и оказал давление на фондовый и криптовалютный рынки.

Leituras Relacionadas

Margin Exhausted, "Brother Huang Li Cheng" Begins Selling Monkeys at a Loss

Taiwanese crypto whale "Machi Big Brother" Jeffrey Huang has been forced to sell his prized Bored Ape Yacht Club (BAYC) NFTs at significant losses to cover mounting losses from a highly leveraged ETH long position on Hyperliquid. Over the past month, Huang sold 34 BAYC NFTs for 326 ETH (approx. $514,000), realizing a loss of 399 ETH (approx. $631,000). The proceeds were transferred to Hyperliquid to replenish margin for his perpetual contract trades. One ape, BAYC #6057, bought for 76.84 ETH four years ago, was sold for just 7.65 ETH, a 90% loss in ETH terms. Huang began his high-leverage (25-40x) ETH long strategy in September 2025 when ETH was around $4,700. While his account once showed over $45 million in unrealized profit, the subsequent crash of ETH to the $1,600 range erased all gains. As of June 26, his cumulative losses on Hyperliquid reached $33.85 million, with over 335 liquidations earning him the community nickname "King of Liquidations." With conventional funds depleted, Huang's once-valuable NFT collection, which at its peak included around 200 BAYCs and was worth tens of millions, has become a lifeline. His remaining ~150 BAYCs, valued at roughly $1.6 million at current floor prices, provide only limited runway for his persistent high-stakes trading. Huang rose to prominence in crypto as a key figure in popularizing BAYC NFTs in Asia during the 2021 bull market. His pivot to perpetual contracts has now led to a cycle where his iconic "monkeys" are being sold to fund a failing trading strategy.

Foresight NewsHá 21m

Margin Exhausted, "Brother Huang Li Cheng" Begins Selling Monkeys at a Loss

Foresight NewsHá 21m

Quantum Computing Approaches "Q-Day": How Encryption Policy, Investment Logic, and Risk Management Are Reshaping the Landscape

Quantum Computing Nears 'Q-Day': Shaping Encryption Policy, Investment Logic, and Risk Management Quantum technology is increasingly intersecting with cryptocurrency policy and cybersecurity discussions as the potential 'Q-Day'—when quantum computers could break current encryption—approaches. While summer brings fast-paced crypto market dynamics, new U.S. legislation, and AI debates, the emerging dimension is how quantum advancements will reshape the digital asset landscape. The next phase of crypto investment is being shaped by two converging forces: clearer regulatory frameworks and cryptographic evolution driven by quantum computing. Investors stand to benefit from reduced uncertainty, but must also recognize that quantum readiness is becoming a core risk factor. Public blockchains rely on cryptography for security, and sufficiently advanced quantum machines could undermine these foundations. This does not mean imminent network collapse, but investors can no longer dismiss the timeline as irrelevant. Key questions now include whether projects have identified their cryptographic dependencies, formulated migration plans to post-quantum cryptography, and established governance for upgrades. For policymakers, the link is clear. Effective crypto policy must look beyond token classification and disclosure to address the underlying infrastructure. As stablecoins, tokenized assets, and blockchain payments integrate deeper into finance, cryptographic resilience becomes a systemic issue. Failure to prepare could lead to investor losses, operational failures, and legal disputes. Policy should encourage risk disclosure, require major intermediaries to maintain upgrade and response plans, and foster coordination across the ecosystem—rather than impose a single technical fix. The sustainability of cryptocurrencies will increasingly depend on their security infrastructure's ability to adapt to these accelerating technological pressures.

Foresight NewsHá 47m

Quantum Computing Approaches "Q-Day": How Encryption Policy, Investment Logic, and Risk Management Are Reshaping the Landscape

Foresight NewsHá 47m

Loopring Ends Its Pioneer zk-Rollup DEX After Years of Limited User Adoption

Loopring has officially shut down its decentralized exchange, ending one of Ethereum's earliest zk-rollup platforms. The project, which raised $45 million in 2017, pioneered scaling solutions but ultimately failed to achieve significant user adoption. The team cited several reasons for the closure: the platform's lack of a virtual machine limited developer innovation, business execution was insufficient, and new zkEVM networks like zkSync and StarkNet surpassed its technology. User funds remain safe, with a two-week balance verification period before direct distribution to wallets begins. This follows the discontinuation of its wallet services in 2025, marking Loopring's complete exit from the DEX business.

TheNewsCryptoHá 55m

Loopring Ends Its Pioneer zk-Rollup DEX After Years of Limited User Adoption

TheNewsCryptoHá 55m

Bitcoin's Five-Wave Adjustment Nears End, Opportunities Emerge in HYPE Support Zone | Invited Analysis

**Bitcoin's Five-Wave Adjustment Nears End, HYPE Support Zone Presents Opportunity | Guest Analysis** This week, Bitcoin (BTC) is in the final stage of a five-wave corrective structure. The formation of 'Endpoint 44' is key: a level above $58,110 suggests a high probability of a technical rebound, leading likely to wide-range consolidation. A break below $58,110 without bullish divergence warrants caution for further downside. Mid-term bearish positions are maintained at 20%, with 30% of capital reserved for short-term scalping opportunities based on predefined support/resistance levels and three scenario-based plans (A/B/C). Simultaneously, HYPE has entered the 55-56 segment of its own five-wave correction from its $76.94 high. If 'Endpoint 56' forms above the prior low (Endpoint 54), creating a double-bottom pattern, a rebound is significantly likely. A light long position (under 30% allocation) can be considered upon stabilization in the support zone. Last week's BTC short-term strategy, guided by proprietary quantitative models, successfully executed two short trades (1x leverage), yielding a total return of approximately 6.21%. The market move validated the prior weekly forecast of a retest towards the $59,100 support. **Core Trading Views Summary:** * **BTC:** Focus on the formation of 'Endpoint 44'. A scenario above $58,110 allows for tentative longs. Key resistances: $60,900-$62,300, ~$65,500, $67,300-$69,500. Key supports: ~$58,100, ~$55,000. * **HYPE:** Monitor the final position of 'Endpoint 56'. Key resistances: ~$65.5, ~$71.5. Key supports: ~$58.5, $52-$54 zone. Strategy favors buying on dips upon stabilization in support areas with confirmed model signals, with strict position control. **Risk Disclaimer:** Financial markets are volatile. All analysis, models, and strategies herein are based on personal technical analysis for journaling purposes only, not investment advice. Trade at your own risk.

Odaily星球日报Há 1h

Bitcoin's Five-Wave Adjustment Nears End, Opportunities Emerge in HYPE Support Zone | Invited Analysis

Odaily星球日报Há 1h

AI Sweeps the Globe, So Why Is Crypto + AI Facing Gloom?

The article "AI Sweeps the Globe, But Why Is Crypto + AI So Bleak?" analyzes the disconnect between the booming AI industry and the struggling crypto+AI sector. It argues the issue is not flawed logic but severe demand-supply mismatch across four key sub-sectors. Decentralized compute and storage projects offer theoretical benefits like cost savings and data sovereignty but lack a decisive technical edge over entrenched cloud providers (AWS, GCP). Enterprises are unwilling to risk migration for unproven infrastructure that can't guarantee the performance and reliability needed for critical AI workloads. ZKML and privacy solutions address important issues like model verification but solve non-urgent, long-term concerns for most businesses currently focused on core performance and ROI. Demand here is likely to be regulation-driven (e.g., EU AI Act) rather than organic. AI agent infrastructure is developing foundational tech for a future multi-agent economy. However, the current market phase is dominated by internal process automation within single companies, making this technology premature. AI agent payments is highlighted as the only sub-sector where blockchain competes on a level playing field with traditional finance, as neither has adequately solved the challenges of machine-to-machine micropayments and real-time settlement. Overall, crypto+AI projects are building for future needs (data ownership, decentralization, transparency) that don't align with the industry's immediate priorities (performance, cost, stability). The absence of a flagship, large-scale use case further hinders mainstream adoption and capital inflow. The path forward requires either adapting to current market demands or patiently building the foundational infrastructure for the next phase of AI.

marsbitHá 1h

AI Sweeps the Globe, So Why Is Crypto + AI Facing Gloom?

marsbitHá 1h

Trading

Spot