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币界网Publicado em 2024-08-05Última atualização em 2024-08-05

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If Ethereum Had Never Switched from PoW to PoS: An Unrealized Game

"The Great Merge: What If Ethereum Had Stayed on PoW?" This article explores a counterfactual scenario: What if Ethereum had not transitioned from Proof-of-Work (PoW) to Proof-of-Stake (PoS) in 2022? It examines the potential trade-offs of this historical decision. The key argument for a continued PoW path is the missed opportunity in the AI era. Ethereum's GPU miners, unlike Bitcoin's specialized ASICs, could have formed a massive, globally distributed computing network. This infrastructure might have evolved into a decentralized AI cloud, giving Ethereum a strategic position in the AI compute market. Critics argue the switch to PoS prematurely ended this possibility. However, sticking with PoW would have carried significant costs. PoS drastically reduced ETH's daily issuance and miner sell pressure, aiding its "digital gold" narrative and attracting institutional capital. PoW's higher, continuous inflation could have hindered price stability. Furthermore, PoS provides greater design flexibility for scaling solutions (like Rollups and data blobs) and aligns better with environmental (ESG) and regulatory concerns for mainstream finance adoption. In conclusion, the shift from PoW to PoS represented a fundamental strategic choice between two distinct paths: one potentially leading to a smart-contract-enabled "digital commodity" network with vast compute resources, and the other aiming to become a global, efficient settlement layer for the digital economy. The rise of AI has only made the road not taken more intriguing to contemplate.

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If Ethereum Had Never Switched from PoW to PoS: An Unrealized Game

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