越来越近了!现货以太坊ETF有望最早于7月中旬获批

jin10Publicado em 2024-07-10Última atualização em 2024-07-10

资产管理公司乐观地认为,美国证券交易委员会(SEC)将在7月中旬批准首批现货以太坊ETF ,并表示其与监管机构的沟通仍然富有建设性。

尽管此前市场猜测批准将在7月4日假期期间获得,但据两位知情人士透露,SEC已告知现货以太坊ETF发行人,他们必须在7月8日之前提交更新的文件。在周五到期的这轮申请之后,可能还会有另一轮申请。

知情人士称,SEC上周五向发行人提供了最新反馈,内容包括发行人目前正在解决的一些小问题。5月份,该机构批准了交易所提出的上市这些产品的提议,但产品在上市之前还需要单独获得批准。

Galaxy Digital资产管理主管Steve Kurz预测,现货以太坊ETF将在未来几周内获得批准。他说,Galaxy已经向SEC提交以太坊现货ETF申请。

Kurz周二接受彭博电视采访时表示,“这些都是表面文章,SEC已经介入。我们已经这样做了几个月。我们在推出现货比特币ETF时就有相似的经历——我们知道流程。”

包括贝莱德公司、富达投资、21Shares和Invesco在内的公司都有待批准的申请。许多发行人尚未披露各自基金的收费,这是基金开始交易前的必要步骤。

假设这些基金获得批准,一个关键问题是,现货以太坊ETF是否会像今年1月现货比特币ETF历史性首次亮相时吸引巨大的需求。后者已积累了520亿美元的资产。

截至发稿,比特币下跌1%至61200美元/枚附近,以太坊同样跌逾1%至3400美元/枚下方。这一仅次于比特币的第二大加密货币今年迄今已上涨约50%。

K33 Research分析师认为,在现货以太坊ETF正式上市后,以太坊的表现将超越比特币。

分析师Vetle Lunde和David Zimmerman在7月2日的一份报告中表示,现货以太坊ETF是以太坊价格的坚实支撑,而比特币将面临抛售压力,因为从本周开始,价值85亿美元的比特币交易所Mt. Gox将向债权人还款。

一年多来,以太坊兑比特币的表现一直不佳,今年现货比特币ETF流入的资金超过140亿美元,推动了比特币的涨幅领先。

Lunde和Zimmerman预计,以太坊“在ETF推出后的即时反应是下跌”,但他们指出,就像此前比特币在现货ETF推出后的表现一样,资金流入ETF可能会提振以太坊的价格。

Lunde写道:“我坚定地认为,对于耐心的交易者来说,目前的以太坊兑比特币是一笔便宜的交易。我们继续看好以太坊的前景,预计在现货以太坊ETF推出后的五个月内,净流入相当于以太坊流通供应量的0.75-1%。”

以太坊兑比特币自去年以来一直在下跌,直到现货以太坊ETF意外获批后才出现逆转。

Lunde和Zimmerman表示,以太坊期货的未平仓合约“持续增加”,这表明许多交易员在现货ETF推出前都在使用大量杠杆来押注以太坊的潜在价格走势。

在现货ETF推出前,以太坊期货的未平仓合约大幅增加

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