pump.fun数据简要分析:Degen的“不归零”内参

Odaily星球日报Publicado em 2024-06-22Última atualização em 2024-06-22

Resumo

如果代币在1小时内没有在 Raydium上部署,考虑提前退出。否则,投资归“零”的可能性超过99%。

原文作者:Moonke Dev(X:@moonkedev)

1/5 作为 @pumpdotfun 的 degen,你有多大可能会亏钱?我们分析了从 6 月 10 日到 6 月 16 日 在 @pumpdotfun 上创建的 75, 991 个代币。让我们潜进去。

pump.fun数据简要分析:Degen的“不归零”内参

2/5 有多少 pumpfun 代币会成功上线 Raydium ?在 6 月 10 日到 6 月 16 日期间创建的 75, 991 个代币中,只有 1.42% 上线了 Raydium。85.85% 的新代币是由独立钱包创建的,而 14.15% 是由重复钱包创建的。

3/5 一个代币需要多久才能上线 Raydium ?在所有从 pumpfun 部署到 Radydium 的代币当中:

  • 第 50 百分位的代币:需要 15 分钟上线 Raydium

  • 第 75 百分位的代币:需要 59 分钟上线 Raydium

  • 第 90 百分位的代币:需要 4.9 小时上线 Raydium

如果你的代币在 5 小时内没有在 Raydium 上部署,可能永远就失去这个机会了。

4/5 你的投资归零的可能性有多大?在我们查询的 75, 991 个代币中, 97.43% 的流动性少于 1 SOL, 98.41% 的流动性少于 10 SOL。如果你的代币没有在 Raydium 上部署,你的投资变为“零”的可能性超过 99% 。

pump.fun数据简要分析:Degen的“不归零”内参

5/5 给 degens 的教训:

1. 只有约 1.4% 的代币最终在 Raydium 上部署

2. 如果代币在 1 小时内没有在 Raydium 上部署,考虑 Jeet(提前退出)。否则,你的投资归“零”的可能性超过 99% 

3. 关注 @moonkebiz 和 @moonkedev 以获取 memecoin 相关的 alpha 信息

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