SignalPlus波动率专栏(20240529)：IBIT超越GBTC

Odaily星球日报Publicado em 2024-05-29Última atualização em 2024-05-29

Resumo

数字货币方面，首先关注到ETF，昨日GBTC净流出量达到1.052亿美元，但同时IBIT以1.025亿美元的流入扛住了市场。

SignalPlus波动率专栏(20240529)：IBIT超越GBTC

SignalPlus波动率专栏(20240529)：IBIT超越GBTC

昨日（28 MAY）明尼阿波利斯联储主席卡什卡利放出鹰派发言：尽管加息可能性很低，但不认为可以排除这个可能，预计今年降息次数不会超过 2 次。另外，受美债标售疲软的影响，美债收益率在盘中拉升，两年期和十年期现分别为 4.956% 和 4.564% 。美国三大股指涨跌分化，其中道指下跌 0.55% ，标普持平，纳指收涨 0.59% 

SignalPlus波动率专栏(20240529)：IBIT超越GBTC

Source: Investing

数字货币方面，首先关注到 ETF，昨日 GBTC 净流出量达到 1.052 亿美元，但同时 IBIT 以 1.025 亿美元的流入扛住了市场，至此，比特币 ETF 的持仓情况迎来了历史性的反转时刻，根据 HOLD 15 Capital 记录的数据，昨日 BlackRock 的 IBTC 超过 Grayscale 的 GBTC 成为了净资产价值最大的比特币现货 ETF。

SignalPlus波动率专栏(20240529)：IBIT超越GBTC

SignalPlus波动率专栏(20240529)：IBIT超越GBTC

Source：Twitter；Farside Investors

另一方面，承接昨日消息，Mt.Gox 前首席执行官 Mark Karpeles 表示 Mt.Gox 正常运营，不会立刻出售比特币；Galaxy 的研究主管 Alex Thorn 也认为大部分比特币将被持有而不是立即出售，一度缓解了市场对突发消息的恐慌，使币价慢震荡回到接近 59000 的位置。从期权上也能看到 BTC 整体 IV 水平基本上回吐了昨日的涨幅，下降了 1-2% Vol，RR 也有所反弹。但今日结算前价格突然短线跳水至 67700 附近，或是市场仍对可能的抛售压力保持谨慎。

SignalPlus波动率专栏(20240529)：IBIT超越GBTC

Source: TradingView

SignalPlus波动率专栏(20240529)：IBIT超越GBTC

Source: Deribit （截至 29 MAY 16: 00 UTC+ 8）

SignalPlus波动率专栏(20240529)：IBIT超越GBTC

Source: SignalPlus

SignalPlus波动率专栏(20240529)：IBIT超越GBTC

Source: SignalPlus

SignalPlus波动率专栏(20240529)：IBIT超越GBTC

SignalPlus波动率专栏(20240529)：IBIT超越GBTC

Data Source: Deribit， ETH 交易总体分布

SignalPlus波动率专栏(20240529)：IBIT超越GBTC

Data Source: Deribit，BTC 交易总体分布

SignalPlus波动率专栏(20240529)：IBIT超越GBTC

Source: Deribit Block Trade

SignalPlus波动率专栏(20240529)：IBIT超越GBTC

Source: Deribit Block Trade

SignalPlus波动率专栏(20240529)：IBIT超越GBTC

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