Bitcoin climbs above crucial $40,000 mark as Fed ponders interest rate hike

FinboldPublicado em 2022-04-12Última atualização em 2022-04-12

Resumo

Despite losing territory for seven of the previous eight days, Bitcoin (BTC) climbed back over $40,000 on Tuesday, April 12, regaining some ground after recently falling below that mark.

Bitcoin climbs above crucial $40,000 mark as Fed ponders interest rate hike

Despite losing territory for seven of the previous eight days, Bitcoin (BTC) climbed back over $40,000 on Tuesday, April 12, regaining some ground after recently falling below that mark.
Due to historically high inflation and ongoing geopolitical uncertainty, Bitcoin and the larger cryptocurrency market have suffered in recent weeks, as the Federal Reserve started raising interest rates in response.
Economists polled ahead of the release of statistics on Tuesday expect that inflation in the United States will have increased to 8.4% in March, the strongest rate since early 1982. 
According to Goldman Sachs Group Inc. Chief Economist Jan Hatzius, the Federal Reserve may be forced to hike interest rates “significantly” higher than it currently forecasts in order to calm an unsustainable U.S. economy.
Bitcoin price analysis
Related
Share of ADA supply held by Cardano whales hits 2-year high Number of active addresses on Ethereum decreases by nearly 10% in just a week Crypto industry on ‘unstoppable trajectory’ into global economic mainstream, says commodity expert
Currently, Bitcoin is trading at $40,266, down 4.77% on the day and 13.66% in the last week after seeing a steady climb up until the Bitcoin 2022 conference in Miami, according to CoinMarketCap.

Bitcoin 1-day price. Source: CoinMarketCap Interesting, prominent crypto trading analyst Michaël van de Poppe pinpointed the $40,000 mark as an important level for BTC “while equities are also still dropping. Let’s see. I’d like to see a reaction here. Other crucial levels if lost; $38K Sub $33K.”

Bitcoin chart levels. Source: Van de Poppe Equities correlated to yields
Notably Lead Insights Analyst Will Clemente noted the fixed-income market is selling off aggressively, with the 10-year yield breaking out of a multi-decade long downtrend.
“Equities are generally inversely correlated to yields because of DCF models. The higher the 10Y yields, the lower equity valuations go.”

10y yield. Source: Will Clemente
Clemente highlighted this is putting pressure on equities, especially the Nasdaq. Tech stocks as Finbold reported are ‘feeling the heat’ as US 10-year yields rise to the highest level since 2019
According to the analyst: 
“This roll over in tech is effecting BTC as well. Whether I agree or not, the market appears to be viewing BTC as a high beta play on tech, trading at an increasing correlation over the last month.”

Bitcoin vs US Dollar. Source: Will Clemente In his opinion personal view, he sees closing above $47,000 as momentum and still sees the low $30,000 as value.

Leituras Relacionadas

Hubei State-Owned Assets Achieve the Largest Return in History

After years of anticipation, Yangtze Memory Holdings Co., Ltd. (YMTC) has filed for an IPO on Shanghai's STAR Market, seeking to raise 33 billion yuan—the largest offering in the board's history. This move follows the recent listing of its peer, ChangXin Memory Technologies (CXMT), which reached a market valuation exceeding 4 trillion yuan. Dubbed the "twin stars of domestic memory," both companies, founded in 2016 in Hefei and Wuhan respectively, symbolize China's push for semiconductor self-sufficiency. YMTC's journey began with its predecessor, Wuhan Xinxin, established in 2006. Backed by substantial state investment from Hubei and Wuhan, it evolved into a national memory base. The company achieved key technological breakthroughs, and now ranks as the world's third-largest and China's top NAND Flash manufacturer by sales. Its recent financials are strong, with Q1 2026 revenue of 47.04 billion yuan and net profit of 33.38 billion yuan. Post-IPO, its market value is widely expected to surpass 1 trillion yuan. The potential windfall highlights the success of long-term, patient capital from Hubei's state-owned entities. Key shareholders like Hubei Changsheng, Xintech, and government-backed funds have supported YMTC through years of development. Their collective stake could be worth hundreds of billions after the listing. This model mirrors other successes in Wuhan, such as Huagong Tech, where local state investment during a low point later yielded massive returns. The story reflects a broader national trend of regional transformation through strategic, high-tech investments. Hefei's bet on CXMT, now worth over 3.7 trillion yuan, propelled the city's A-share market cap to 4th nationally, showcasing how a major firm can reshape an entire local industry ecosystem. Similarly, Wuhan's photoelectronics cluster, now worth over 850 billion yuan, aims to become a world-class hub. The takeaway is clear: in the reshuffling of Chinese cities, patient, courageous state investment in core technologies—from memory chips to advanced manufacturing—is proving to be a decisive factor, turning long-term visions into economic reality.

marsbitHá 22m

Hubei State-Owned Assets Achieve the Largest Return in History

marsbitHá 22m

The Myth of AI Investment Collapses

"The AI Investment Myth Bursts: The Swift Collapse of a $45 Billion Fund The high-flying hedge fund Situational Awareness (SA), founded by 24-year-old former OpenAI researcher Leopold Aschenbrenner, neared total collapse in late July. Once a Wall Street darling, the fund saw its assets under management rocket from $1.5 billion to $45 billion in under a year, driven by a massively leveraged bet on the AI boom. Its core strategy was a 'Texas hedge'—simultaneously buying stocks seen as AI beneficiaries (like chipmakers) and shorting those deemed AI victims (like certain software firms). In reality, both sides of this trade were dependent on unbroken market confidence in AI. This strategy generated staggering returns, peaking at 439% year-to-date. However, it concealed extreme concentration, high leverage (reportedly 3-to-1), and liquidity risks from illiquid private holdings like Anthropic. When semiconductor stocks corrected sharply in late July, SA's long positions plummeted. Simultaneously, its short bets failed as 'AI victim' stocks rose, causing losses on both sides. The fund faced immediate, massive margin calls. With minutes to spare before a forced liquidation by its prime brokers, SA sold its entire public market portfolio at a discount to Citadel on July 30, narrowly avoiding a market-wide cascade. The fund's value crashed from $45 billion to roughly $10 billion (excluding its remaining Anthropic stake). The episode exposes the systemic risks embedded in the frenzied, highly leveraged chase for AI returns. It serves as a stark reminder of the old Wall Street adage: markets can stay irrational longer than investors can stay solvent. The crisis shifts focus from Aschenbrenner's AI predictions to whether capital markets will continue ignoring such dangerous concentration and leverage in pursuit of the next 'sure thing' narrative."

marsbitHá 23m

The Myth of AI Investment Collapses

marsbitHá 23m

Trading

Spot
活动图片