What Ethereum Needs to Rise Above $2000: Bloomberg Analyst

CryptoPotatoPublicado em 2023-06-09Última atualização em 2023-06-09

Resumo

Ethereum (ETH) appears trapped under $2000 after a stock rally has failed to push it past the price point, according to Mike McGlone, Senior Macro Strategist for Bloomberg Intelligence.

Ethereum (ETH) appears trapped under $2000 after a stock rally has failed to push it past the price point, according to Mike McGlone, Senior Macro Strategist for Bloomberg Intelligence.

Here’s what the analyst believes Ethereum needs to break the 12-month-long resistance level.

Ethereum’s Major Resistance

In a tweet on Thursday, McGlone said that $2000 looks like a “resistance ceiling” given that ETH has failed to sustain itself above that, despite the NASDAQ 100 stock index tapping a 52-week high in Q2.

Historically, the correlation between cryptocurrencies and high-beta tech stocks has been strong. This was especially true in June 2022 when both asset classes cratered under macroeconomic pressure, and ETH lost its $2000 level.

“The token may depend on the stock index to lift all boats,” added McGlone.

Besides their concrete correlation, investors have often compared Ethereum and altcoins to tech securities from an investor’s point of view.

Bill Miller, for instance – a famous investor known for outperforming the stock market for over a decade – said last year that investors should view altcoins as “venture assets.” Alternatively, he and others including Paul Tudor Jones have likened Bitcoin to “digital gold” as a safe haven asset, inflation-hedge, and form of resistance to bank failures.

Bitcoin’s correlation to gold has risen in recent months after both assets surged in the aftermath of numerous bank collapses in March, while its correlation to stocks has declined. Given Bitcoin’s influence over the price of ETH and other assets, this could help explain why a tech stock rally has not led ETH to surge alongside it.

Regulatory Pressure

Crypto has also suffered price pressure this week after two of the world’s largest crypto exchanges – Binance and Coinbase – were targeted with lawsuits by the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC).

Both Bitcoin and Ethereum have fallen 1.5% on the week, while other coins like Solana (SOL) and Cardano (ADA) have fallen 10% and 12% respectively. The latter two coins were explicitly named as securities in the SEC’s Coinbase lawsuit, suffering a price fall similar to XRP in 2020 as a result.

While Ethereum wasn’t among the crypto assets to be classified as securities, the SEC has implied numerous times that it could fit the bill.

Leituras Relacionadas

Interview with Robinhood Executive: Meme + Tokenized US Stocks as "Barbell" Customer Acquisition Strategy, All Business Lines Achieve Hundreds of Millions in Revenue

Interview with Robinhood executive Johann Kerbrat reveals the company's "barbell" customer acquisition strategy for its new Robinhood Chain, combining meme tokens with tokenized stocks. Three weeks after mainnet launch, the chain has seen over $3B in weekly DEX volume and 105M transactions. Kerbrat explains the logic behind the permissionless chain: meme tokens attract DeFi users, while tokenized real-world assets (RWA), currently over 90 US stocks and ETFs accessible in 120+ countries, serve global users. The goal is to bring Robinhood's 27 million funded accounts on-chain by simplifying DeFi with a user-friendly interface, exemplified by features like Robinhood Earn which offers yield without requiring wallet management. Built on Arbitrum's technology stack for its speed, low cost, and Ethereum's security, the chain focuses on financial products like Earn, spot trading, and perpetuals. Kerbrat downplays direct competition with platforms like Base, emphasizing the goal of expanding the overall market for on-chain assets. He details selective partnerships (e.g., Morpho, Lighter) based on compliance, unique UX, and differentiation. While regulatory clarity is pending for US perpetuals, the expansion continues via Bitstamp in Europe. Finally, Kerbrat positions Robinhood as a "super app" integrating stocks, options, crypto, banking, and AI trading, with all major business lines generating hundreds of millions in revenue. For the chain, current priority is driving adoption over maximizing gas fee revenue.

marsbitHá 54m

Interview with Robinhood Executive: Meme + Tokenized US Stocks as "Barbell" Customer Acquisition Strategy, All Business Lines Achieve Hundreds of Millions in Revenue

marsbitHá 54m

Fidelity Q3 Report: BTC, ETH, and SOL Continue to Build Bottoms; How Much Further Will This Crypto Bear Market Go?

Fidelity's Q3 Crypto Signal Report analyzes the current bear market, noting Bitcoin (BTC), Ethereum (ETH), and Solana (SOL) are in a prolonged bottoming phase. Key indicators like the weighted Net Unrealized Profit/Loss (NUPL) have turned negative (-0.01), signaling the market is slightly below its aggregate cost basis, with BTC acting as the primary stabilizing asset. BTC's dominance has risen to 68%, indicating a lack of capital rotation to other digital assets. Performance has been weak across the board, with BTC, ETH, and SOL down significantly year-to-date. Market sentiment is depressed, exacerbated by substantial outflows from spot ETPs and a challenging macro environment. The report compares the current ~203-day downtrend to historical ~300-day bottoming cycles, suggesting the process may be two-thirds complete, with late 2026 as a potential timeframe to monitor. For Bitcoin, NUPL at 0.09 indicates cautious sentiment, while momentum signals remain negative. The Yardstick metric points to potential undervaluation relative to network security (hashrate). Ethereum's NUPL is deep in the "capitulation" zone at -0.43, a historically positive signal for future returns, though its momentum and network fee revenue are negative. Solana shows the deepest NUPL at -0.72 but demonstrates relative resilience in on-chain activity and stablecoin transfer volume. The report concludes that while several metrics are near historical capitulation levels, a definitive market bottom has not yet been established. The path forward likely involves continued consolidation, with BTC's relative strength and fundamental on-chain usage for ETH and SOL providing key areas for investor observation.

marsbitHá 1h

Fidelity Q3 Report: BTC, ETH, and SOL Continue to Build Bottoms; How Much Further Will This Crypto Bear Market Go?

marsbitHá 1h

Trading

Spot
活动图片