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On March 19th, the Federal Reserve's dot plot showed that among the 19 officials, 7 believed interest rates should remain unchanged throughout 2026, 7 believed in a cumulative rate cut of 25 basis points, 2 believed in a cumulative rate cut of 50 basis points, 2 believed in a cumulative rate cut of 75 basis points, and 1 believed in a cumulative rate cut of 100 basis points.

[Federal Reserve Dot Plot Median: Cumulative 25 Basis Point Rate Cut by 2026]On March 19th, the Federal Reserve's dot plot showed that among the 19 officials, 7 believed interest rates should remain unchanged throughout 2026, 7 believed in a cumulative rate cut of 25 basis points, 2 believed in a cumulative rate cut of 50 basis points, 2 believed in a cumulative rate cut of 75 basis points, and 1 believed in a cumulative rate cut of 100 basis points.

Federal Reserve Dot Plot Median: Cumulative 25 Basis Point Rate Cut by 2026

On March 19th, the Federal Reserve maintained its forecast of one interest rate cut each in 2026 and 2027.

[The Federal Reserve maintains its forecast of one rate cut in both 2026 and 2027.]On March 19th, the Federal Reserve maintained its forecast of one interest rate cut each in 2026 and 2027.

The Federal Reserve maintains its forecast of one rate cut in both 2026 and 2027.

Federal Reserve Chairman Powell stated that the possibility of the next move being a rate hike was indeed mentioned; the vast majority do not consider a rate hike to be the baseline scenario for the next move.

[Powell: The possibility of a further interest rate hike next was indeed mentioned.]Federal Reserve Chairman Powell stated that the possibility of the next move being a rate hike was indeed mentioned; the vast majority do not consider a rate hike to be the baseline scenario for the next move.

Powell: The possibility of a further interest rate hike next was indeed mentioned.

On March 19th, the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps of Iran announced in a statement on the night of the 18th local time that its missile forces launched missile attacks on the US military's Salam base in Sulaymaniyah Governorate, Iraq, and Kurdish armed bases in Zagoye, Sulaymaniyah Governorate. (CCTV News)

[Iran Strikes US Military Bases and Kurdish Militant Bases within Iraq]On March 19th, the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps of Iran announced in a statement on the night of the 18th local time that its missile forces launched missile attacks on the US military's Salam base in Sulaymaniyah Governorate, Iraq, and Kurdish armed bases in Zagoye, Sulaymaniyah Governorate. (CCTV News)

Iran Strikes US Military Bases and Kurdish Militant Bases within Iraq

On March 19, all three major U.S. stock indices closed lower, with the Dow Jones down 1.64%, the Nasdaq down 1.46%, and the S&P 500 down 1.36%.

[The three major U.S. stock indexes all closed lower.]On March 19, all three major U.S. stock indices closed lower, with the Dow Jones down 1.64%, the Nasdaq down 1.46%, and the S&P 500 down 1.36%.

The three major U.S. stock indexes all closed lower.

On March 19th, the Federal Reserve's FOMC economic projections showed median expected US GDP growth rates of 2.4%, 2.3%, and 2.1% at the end of 2026, 2027, and 2028, respectively. These compare to the December projections of 2.3%, 2.0%, and 1.9%. The projections also indicated median expected core PCE inflation rates of 2.7%, 2.2%, and 2.0% at the end of 2026, 2027, and 2028, respectively, compared to December's expectations of 2.5%, 2.1%, and 2.0%.

[The Federal Reserve's FOMC economic projections show a median expectation of 2.4% for US GDP growth by the end of 2026.]On March 19th, the Federal Reserve's FOMC economic projections showed median expected US GDP growth rates of 2.4%, 2.3%, and 2.1% at the end of 2026, 2027, and 2028, respectively. These compare to the December projections of 2.3%, 2.0%, and 1.9%. The projections also indicated median expected core PCE inflation rates of 2.7%, 2.2%, and 2.0% at the end of 2026, 2027, and 2028, respectively, compared to December's expectations of 2.5%, 2.1%, and 2.0%.

The Federal Reserve's FOMC economic projections show a median expectation of 2.4% for US GDP growth by the end of 2026.

On March 19th, QatarEnergy announced on the 18th local time that Qatar's Ras Laffan Industrial City was hit by a missile attack that evening. The statement indicated that the attack caused a fire and significant property damage, but no casualties. Civil defense forces have since brought the fire under control. Earlier that day, Iran's Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps issued an urgent warning stating that five oil and gas facilities in Saudi Arabia, the UAE, and Qatar were legitimate targets for strikes within the next few hours, urging residents in related areas to evacuate, including the oil and gas facilities in Qatar's Ras Laffan Industrial City. Following this, Ras Laffan Industrial City underwent an evacuation. (CCTV News)

[Missile Attack on Qatar's Ras Laffan Industrial City Hours After Iran's Warning]On March 19th, QatarEnergy announced on the 18th local time that Qatar's Ras Laffan Industrial City was hit by a missile attack that evening. The statement indicated that the attack caused a fire and significant property damage, but no casualties. Civil defense forces have since brought the fire under control. Earlier that day, Iran's Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps issued an urgent warning stating that five oil and gas facilities in Saudi Arabia, the UAE, and Qatar were legitimate targets for strikes within the next few hours, urging residents in related areas to evacuate, including the oil and gas facilities in Qatar's Ras Laffan Industrial City. Following this, Ras Laffan Industrial City underwent an evacuation. (CCTV News)

Missile Attack on Qatar's Ras Laffan Industrial City Hours After Iran's Warning

US short-term interest rate futures indicate that traders are gradually losing confidence in the Federal Reserve cutting interest rates this year.

[US short-term interest rate futures indicate that traders are gradually losing confidence in the Federal Reserve's ability to cut interest rates this year.]US short-term interest rate futures indicate that traders are gradually losing confidence in the Federal Reserve cutting interest rates this year.

US short-term interest rate futures indicate that traders are gradually losing confidence in the Federal Reserve's ability to cut interest rates this year.

On March 19th, the U.S. Federal Reserve concluded its two-day monetary policy meeting on the 18th, announcing that it will maintain the target range for the federal funds rate between 3.5% and 3.75%. Fed Chair Powell stated that from September to December last year, the Fed lowered the policy rate by 0.75 percentage points, bringing it back within a reasonable range of the estimated neutral interest rate. However, the impact of the evolving situation in the Middle East on the U.S. economy remains uncertain. In the short term, rising energy prices will push up overall inflation, but it is still too early to judge the breadth and duration of its potential economic impact. Powell also indicated that according to the median forecast of participants, the appropriate level for the federal funds rate will reach 3.4% by the end of this year and 3.1% by the end of next year, a forecast consistent with the December prediction. However, Powell noted that, as always, these individual projections are subject to uncertainty and do not represent the committee's plans or decisions. Monetary policy does not have a predetermined course, and the Fed will make decisions meeting by meeting. Powell's term as Fed Chair will end in May of this year. Powell stated that if his successor has not been confirmed by the end of his term as Fed Chair, he will continue to serve as "acting chair" until the successor is officially confirmed. Since taking office in January 2025, U.S. President Trump has repeatedly pressured the Fed to lower interest rates, criticizing Fed Chair Powell's actions as always "late and wrong," while Powell has repeatedly affirmed his firm commitment to maintaining the Fed's independence from political influence. (CCTV News)

[Powell says he is prepared to "temporarily stay on" after his term as Fed Chair ends.]On March 19th, the U.S. Federal Reserve concluded its two-day monetary policy meeting on the 18th, announcing that it will maintain the target range for the federal funds rate between 3.5% and 3.75%. Fed Chair Powell stated that from September to December last year, the Fed lowered the policy rate by 0.75 percentage points, bringing it back within a reasonable range of the estimated neutral interest rate. However, the impact of the evolving situation in the Middle East on the U.S. economy remains uncertain. In the short term, rising energy prices will push up overall inflation, but it is still too early to judge the breadth and duration of its potential economic impact. Powell also indicated that according to the median forecast of participants, the appropriate level for the federal funds rate will reach 3.4% by the end of this year and 3.1% by the end of next year, a forecast consistent with the December prediction. However, Powell noted that, as always, these individual projections are subject to uncertainty and do not represent the committee's plans or decisions. Monetary policy does not have a predetermined course, and the Fed will make decisions meeting by meeting. Powell's term as Fed Chair will end in May of this year. Powell stated that if his successor has not been confirmed by the end of his term as Fed Chair, he will continue to serve as "acting chair" until the successor is officially confirmed. Since taking office in January 2025, U.S. President Trump has repeatedly pressured the Fed to lower interest rates, criticizing Fed Chair Powell's actions as always "late and wrong," while Powell has repeatedly affirmed his firm commitment to maintaining the Fed's independence from political influence. (CCTV News)

Powell says he is prepared to "temporarily stay on" after his term as Fed Chair ends.

Bloomberg analyst James Seyffart stated in a tweet that Valkyrie is expected to become the first ETF with Ethereum futures on October 3rd or 4th, but it will also include Bitcoin &amp; Ethereum. Vol Shares is expected to become the first pure Ethereum futures ETF on October 12th.

[Bloomberg Analyst: Roundhill Investments’ Ethereum Futures ETF Management Fee Is 0.19%]Bloomberg analyst James Seyffart stated in a tweet that Valkyrie is expected to become the first ETF with Ethereum futures on October 3rd or 4th, but it will also include Bitcoin &amp; Ethereum. Vol Shares is expected to become the first pure Ethereum futures ETF on October 12th.

Bloomberg Analyst: Roundhill Investments’ Ethereum Futures ETF Management Fee Is 0.19%

Isenção de responsabilidade：O conteúdo acima não representa as posições da HTX.，A HTX não faz quaisquer recomendações de negociação.。

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