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On March 30, crypto analyst Willy Woo stated that some traditional on-chain models suggest that the bottom for BTC is roughly between $46,000 and $54,000, while also indicating that there may be a waiting period ahead. The capital stored in BTC has been flowing out since November. However, it is important to note that these models have limitations. They are based on historical behavior, and Bitcoin has only experienced four bear markets in its history, all occurring within the context of a long-term bull market for risk assets. If this foundation is broken, we may enter unknown territory (a deeper bear market). Finally, I personally believe that due to the potential breakdown of the long-term bull market structure at the global macro level, the probability of entering a deeper bear market is quite high.

[Willy Woo: Traditional On-Chain Models Indicate Bitcoin Bottom Between $46,000 and $54,000]On March 30, crypto analyst Willy Woo stated that some traditional on-chain models suggest that the bottom for BTC is roughly between $46,000 and $54,000, while also indicating that there may be a waiting period ahead. The capital stored in BTC has been flowing out since November. However, it is important to note that these models have limitations. They are based on historical behavior, and Bitcoin has only experienced four bear markets in its history, all occurring within the context of a long-term bull market for risk assets. If this foundation is broken, we may enter unknown territory (a deeper bear market). Finally, I personally believe that due to the potential breakdown of the long-term bull market structure at the global macro level, the probability of entering a deeper bear market is quite high.

Willy Woo: Traditional On-Chain Models Indicate Bitcoin Bottom Between $46,000 and $54,000

On March 30, local time Sunday, Trump stated to reporters aboard Air Force One that Iran has "satisfied" most of the 15 ceasefire demands previously presented by the U.S. to Tehran, although it remains unclear whether substantive negotiations are actually taking place. He remarked, "They have met most of our points. Why wouldn’t they? We will put forth a few additional demands." However, he declined to specify what concessions Iran had made. Publicly, Iran has clearly rejected the list of 15 ceasefire conditions and has instead proposed its own five preconditions, which include complete control over the Strait of Hormuz. This weekend, officials from Pakistan, Saudi Arabia, and Turkey held meetings in an attempt to find a way out of the conflict, but there are currently no signs that the talks have made substantial progress. The Pakistani Foreign Minister stated after meeting with his counterparts from various countries, "Both Iran and the U.S. have expressed trust in Pakistan and are willing for Pakistan to host subsequent negotiations." However, neither side has indicated that they are prepared for direct dialogue.

[Trump: Iran Has Met Most of 15 Demands]On March 30, local time Sunday, Trump stated to reporters aboard Air Force One that Iran has "satisfied" most of the 15 ceasefire demands previously presented by the U.S. to Tehran, although it remains unclear whether substantive negotiations are actually taking place. He remarked, "They have met most of our points. Why wouldn’t they? We will put forth a few additional demands." However, he declined to specify what concessions Iran had made. Publicly, Iran has clearly rejected the list of 15 ceasefire conditions and has instead proposed its own five preconditions, which include complete control over the Strait of Hormuz. This weekend, officials from Pakistan, Saudi Arabia, and Turkey held meetings in an attempt to find a way out of the conflict, but there are currently no signs that the talks have made substantial progress. The Pakistani Foreign Minister stated after meeting with his counterparts from various countries, "Both Iran and the U.S. have expressed trust in Pakistan and are willing for Pakistan to host subsequent negotiations." However, neither side has indicated that they are prepared for direct dialogue.

Trump: Iran Has Met Most of 15 Demands

On March 30, the US-Israel-Iran conflict has continued for a month, and the upcoming week will be filled with uncertainties and potential black swan events. Whether peace talks will succeed or conflicts will escalate, every small step will affect the market's tense nerves. In addition to geopolitical conflicts, the Bank of Japan and the Federal Reserve will present their interest rate hike expectations to the market, and the US non-farm employment data will significantly impact market liquidity expectations. The specifics are as follows: On Monday at 07:50, the Bank of Japan will release the summary of opinions from the March monetary policy meeting; on Tuesday at 04:00, New York Fed President Williams will deliver a speech; on Wednesday at 00:00, Chicago Fed President Goolsbee will give an opening speech at an event hosted by the bank; on Wednesday at 23:00, 2026 FOMC voter and Dallas Fed President Logan will speak; on Thursday at 20:30, the US will report initial jobless claims for the week ending March 28 and the US trade balance for February; on Friday at 20:30, the US unemployment rate for March, the seasonally adjusted non-farm payrolls for March, the year-on-year average hourly wage for March, and the month-on-month average hourly wage for March will be released; on Friday at 21:45, the final value of the US March S&P Global Services PMI will be published. Lastly, on April 3 (Friday), the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) and Nasdaq will be closed all day; trading in precious metals and US crude oil futures will be suspended for the entire day; stock index futures will end early (Beijing time 21:15); forex and US Treasury futures will end early (Beijing time 23:15); and Brent crude oil futures will be suspended all day.

[Macroeconomic Outlook This Week: Non-Farm Payrolls Meet US Stock Market Closure, Key Turning Point in US-Iran Conflict]On March 30, the US-Israel-Iran conflict has continued for a month, and the upcoming week will be filled with uncertainties and potential black swan events. Whether peace talks will succeed or conflicts will escalate, every small step will affect the market's tense nerves. In addition to geopolitical conflicts, the Bank of Japan and the Federal Reserve will present their interest rate hike expectations to the market, and the US non-farm employment data will significantly impact market liquidity expectations. The specifics are as follows: On Monday at 07:50, the Bank of Japan will release the summary of opinions from the March monetary policy meeting; on Tuesday at 04:00, New York Fed President Williams will deliver a speech; on Wednesday at 00:00, Chicago Fed President Goolsbee will give an opening speech at an event hosted by the bank; on Wednesday at 23:00, 2026 FOMC voter and Dallas Fed President Logan will speak; on Thursday at 20:30, the US will report initial jobless claims for the week ending March 28 and the US trade balance for February; on Friday at 20:30, the US unemployment rate for March, the seasonally adjusted non-farm payrolls for March, the year-on-year average hourly wage for March, and the month-on-month average hourly wage for March will be released; on Friday at 21:45, the final value of the US March S&P Global Services PMI will be published. Lastly, on April 3 (Friday), the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) and Nasdaq will be closed all day; trading in precious metals and US crude oil futures will be suspended for the entire day; stock index futures will end early (Beijing time 21:15); forex and US Treasury futures will end early (Beijing time 23:15); and Brent crude oil futures will be suspended all day.

Macroeconomic Outlook This Week: Non-Farm Payrolls Meet US Stock Market Closure, Key Turning Point in US-Iran Conflict

On March 30, data from TokenUnlocks revealed that this week will see significant one-time token unlocks for SUI, EIGEN, ENA, and others. Specifically, SUI will unlock approximately 42.94 million tokens on April 1, valued at around $38.32 million, accounting for 1.16% of its circulating supply; OPN will unlock about 32.09 million tokens on April 5, valued at approximately $6.44 million, representing 13.91% of its circulating supply; EIGEN will unlock around 36.82 million tokens on April 1, valued at about $6.23 million, which is 7.54% of its circulating supply; ENA will unlock approximately 40.63 million tokens on April 2, valued at around $3.64 million, making up 0.52% of its circulating supply; and OP will unlock about 31.27 million tokens on March 31, valued at approximately $3.19 million, accounting for 1.55% of its circulating supply.

[Weekly Token Unlock Overview: SUI, EIGEN, ENA and Others to Experience Large-Scale Unlocks]On March 30, data from TokenUnlocks revealed that this week will see significant one-time token unlocks for SUI, EIGEN, ENA, and others. Specifically, SUI will unlock approximately 42.94 million tokens on April 1, valued at around $38.32 million, accounting for 1.16% of its circulating supply; OPN will unlock about 32.09 million tokens on April 5, valued at approximately $6.44 million, representing 13.91% of its circulating supply; EIGEN will unlock around 36.82 million tokens on April 1, valued at about $6.23 million, which is 7.54% of its circulating supply; ENA will unlock approximately 40.63 million tokens on April 2, valued at around $3.64 million, making up 0.52% of its circulating supply; and OP will unlock about 31.27 million tokens on March 31, valued at approximately $3.19 million, accounting for 1.55% of its circulating supply.

Weekly Token Unlock Overview: SUI, EIGEN, ENA and Others to Experience Large-Scale Unlocks

On March 30, FTSE China A50 Index futures opened down 0.92%.

[FTSE China A50 Index Futures Open Down 0.92%]On March 30, FTSE China A50 Index futures opened down 0.92%.

FTSE China A50 Index Futures Open Down 0.92%

On March 30, according to HTX market data, Bitcoin briefly rose above $67,000, currently priced at $66,935, with a 24-hour increase of 0.78%.

[Bitcoin Briefly Surges Above $67,000]On March 30, according to HTX market data, Bitcoin briefly rose above $67,000, currently priced at $66,935, with a 24-hour increase of 0.78%.

Bitcoin Briefly Surges Above $67,000

On March 30, sources indicated that the U.S. Treasury will hold a series of meetings in the coming weeks with domestic and international insurance regulators regarding recent developments in the private credit market.

[U.S. Treasury to Hold Series of Meetings with Domestic and International Insurance Regulators on Recent Developments in Private Credit Market]On March 30, sources indicated that the U.S. Treasury will hold a series of meetings in the coming weeks with domestic and international insurance regulators regarding recent developments in the private credit market.

U.S. Treasury to Hold Series of Meetings with Domestic and International Insurance Regulators on Recent Developments in Private Credit Market

On March 30, sources indicated that the U.S. Treasury will hold a series of meetings in the coming weeks with domestic and international insurance regulators to discuss recent developments in the private credit market.

[U.S. Treasury to Hold Series of Meetings with Domestic and International Insurance Regulators on Recent Developments in Private Credit Market]On March 30, sources indicated that the U.S. Treasury will hold a series of meetings in the coming weeks with domestic and international insurance regulators to discuss recent developments in the private credit market.

On March 30, U.S. President Trump stated in an interview with the Financial Times that he hopes to 'seize Iran's oil resources' and may even occupy the strategic export hub of Khark Island. Trump emphasized that indirect negotiations between the U.S. and Iran, facilitated by a 'messenger' from Pakistan, are progressing well. He mentioned that an agreement could be reached soon. Meanwhile, the U.S. has deployed thousands of soldiers to the Middle East. Trump also compared this potential action to the situation in Venezuela. He said, 'To be honest with you, my greatest desire is to get oil from Iran, but some idiots in the U.S. say, 'Why would you do that?' But they are just a bunch of idiots.' Trump added, 'Maybe we will occupy Khark Island, maybe we won't. We have many options.' 'This also means we would have to stay on Khark Island for a while.'

[Trump: My Greatest Desire is to Acquire Iranian Oil]On March 30, U.S. President Trump stated in an interview with the Financial Times that he hopes to 'seize Iran's oil resources' and may even occupy the strategic export hub of Khark Island. Trump emphasized that indirect negotiations between the U.S. and Iran, facilitated by a 'messenger' from Pakistan, are progressing well. He mentioned that an agreement could be reached soon. Meanwhile, the U.S. has deployed thousands of soldiers to the Middle East. Trump also compared this potential action to the situation in Venezuela. He said, 'To be honest with you, my greatest desire is to get oil from Iran, but some idiots in the U.S. say, 'Why would you do that?' But they are just a bunch of idiots.' Trump added, 'Maybe we will occupy Khark Island, maybe we won't. We have many options.' 'This also means we would have to stay on Khark Island for a while.'

Trump: My Greatest Desire is to Acquire Iranian Oil

According to Glassnode data, the Bitcoin hash price has reached an all-time-low of $66,500 per Exahash. This means that $BTC miners are earning the smallest reward relative to hashpower applied in history, and likely puts the industry under extreme income stress.

Detail

【The Bitcoin hash price reaches an all-time-low of $66,500 per Exahash】According to Glassnode data, the Bitcoin hash price has reached an all-time-low of $66,500 per Exahash. This means that $BTC miners are earning the smallest reward relative to hashpower applied in history, and likely puts the industry under extreme income stress.

The Bitcoin hash price reaches an all-time-low of $66,500 per Exahash

Article

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cfg soared to 0.1688 USDT, a new high with a 24-hour increase of 4.96%. It currently trades at 0.163 USDT on HTX.

Analysts: 'CLARITY Act' May Pose Bearish Pressure on Yield-Bearing DeFi Tokens

The Bitcoin hash price reaches an all-time-low of $66,500 per Exahash

Isenção de responsabilidade：O conteúdo acima não representa as posições da HTX.，A HTX não faz quaisquer recomendações de negociação.。

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