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HTX Year-End Carnival: 150,000 USDT Over 28 Days!比特币价格在去年12月形成的9.4万-9.6万美元区间高点遭遇强劲阻力，直接限制了2026年1月的反弹势头。回顾年初表现，2026年初的复苏本以超10亿美元的强劲机构资金流入为鲜明标志——正是这些资金的进场，推动BTC价格从8.75万美元一路攀升至9.47万美元的关键位置。 然而好景不长，截至发稿时，

HTX Year-End Carnival: 150,000 USDT Over 28 Days!

比特币价格在去年12月形成的9.4万-9.6万美元区间高点遭遇强劲阻力，直接限制了2026年1月的反弹势头。回顾年初表现，2026年初的复苏本以超10亿美元的强劲机构资金流入为鲜明标志——正是这些资金的进场，推动BTC价格从8.75万美元一路攀升至9.47万美元的关键位置。

然而好景不长，截至发稿时，多头始终未能突破去年12月形成的横盘整理结构。更严峻的是，受流动性追逐行为影响，比特币价格已回落至9万美元关口。据交易员Cryp Nuejo预测，市场甚至可能出现向8万美元低点的深度回调，短期下行压力不容忽视。

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分析师对BTC复苏的核心看法

尽管短期回调降低了比特币快速突破10万美元心理关口的概率，但机构玩家似乎正在暗中加大对这一关键价位的布局力度，为后续行情蓄力。

Wintermute场外市场负责人Jake Ostrovskis透露，近期的仓位布局已显现出“一季度初释然性反弹”的明确迹象。他具体表示：“看涨需求始终持续存在，昨夜市场又为2月27日到期的10万美元看涨期权，以及1月30日到期的9.8万美元看涨期权支付了1300万美元权利金。新的看涨仓位正在持续建立，当前市场方向明确预示，一季度大概率会出现释然性反弹。”

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这一表态背后，是市场预期的悄然转变——投资者重新押注比特币可能在1月或2月实现向9.8万-10万美元区间的看涨突破，而持续增长的看涨期权需求，正是这一预期最直接的体现。

除了基于期权市场的短期判断，另有多位分析师结合历史数据与资产相关性，给出了更为乐观的中长期复苏预测。

例如，21Shares加密研究策略师Matt Mena在接受AMBCrypto采访时明确指出，鉴于2025年比特币的惨淡表现，2026年市场极有可能迎来反转。他给出的核心依据是：“从历史数据来看，过去15年中，比特币从未出现过连续两年下跌的情况。”

Matt Mena进一步补充，在2025年大幅落后于其他顶级资产之后，BTC有望在2026年逆袭成为表现最佳的资产。他强调：“更关键的是，市场存在一个明确的规律——在加密资产成为年度表现最差资产的年份之后，其通常会在次年强势反弹并登顶最佳表现资产。这一模式在2014与2015年、2018与2019年，以及2022与2023年都精准应验过。”

VALR加密交易所CEO Farzam Ehsani则给出了更为激进的预测，他认为若黄金、白银的涨势完全冷却，全球避险资金将持续流入比特币市场。据其分析，比特币有望在2026年一季度攀升至13万美元的高位，而当前的横盘整固格局，恰恰可能成为后续暴涨的“跳板”。

“比特币当前在黄金、白银创下历史新高背景下的横盘走势，本质上就是‘暴风雨前的平静’。从历史经验来看，这种格局出现后，往往会迎来更广泛的加密市场反弹行情。”Farzam Ehsani补充道。

收复10万美元的概率与关键变量

需要明确的是，当前市场对3月、4月收复10万美元的预期，显著高于1月的短期预期。这一市场情绪，与前文Ostrovskis基于期权市场洞察得出的结论形成了完美呼应。

￼

Bitwise首席投资官Matt Hougan则梳理了影响比特币走势的核心变量。他表示，推动比特币上涨的关键看涨催化剂主要包括两项：一是加密行业相关法案的顺利通过，二是股票市场维持“合理的稳定走势”。反之，若出现类似2025年10月10日那样的突发性暴雷事件，将严重削弱2026年加密市场的积极前景。

最终观点

1. 部分分析师观点认为，比特币价格大概率将在1月底或2月突破关键阻力，实现向10万美元区间的有效突破。

2. 另有乐观派分析师预测，BTC有望在2026年一季度迎来爆发，创下13万美元的历史新高。



比特币价格在去年12月形成的9.4万-9.6万美元区间高点遭遇强劲阻力，直接限制了2026年1月的反

火币2025年度人物颁奖典礼

HTX Year-End Carnival: 150,000 USDT Over 28 Days!Brev: ZK Omnichain Data ProofB: Hybrid L2 with Bitcoin Security & EVM￼ 加密货币板块萎缩，美国股指再创新高 市场概览 1月10日的金融市场呈现出传统股票基准指数与蓬勃发展的加密货币股票板块之间显著的分化。尽管宏观经济指标乐观，整体市

￼

加密货币板块萎缩，美国股指再创新高

市场概览

1月10日的金融市场呈现出传统股票基准指数与蓬勃发展的加密货币股票板块之间显著的分化。尽管宏观经济指标乐观，整体市场情绪依然看涨，但与数字资产挂钩的股票却遭遇了一波抛售压力，导致两者表现明显脱钩。

华尔街上涨势头强劲

美国三大股指全线收涨，表明投资者对整体经济充满信心。道琼斯工业平均指数（DJIA）领涨，盘中创下新高，最终收涨0.48%。这一上涨势头也蔓延至其他股指，标普500指数上涨0.65%，而科技股为主的纳斯达克综合指数表现更为出色，涨幅达0.81%。此次反弹表明，随着投资者权衡当前的利率环境和企业盈利潜力，资本仍在持续流入传统蓝筹股和高增长科技板块。

加密货币板块的回调

与华尔街的欢庆氛围形成鲜明对比的是，加密货币相关股票普遍下跌。数字资产领域固有的波动性暴露无遗，主要参与者的估值均有所缩水。

跌幅最大的是MicroStrategy (MSTR)，这家机构比特币投资的风向标股价暴跌5.77%。其他行业领军企业也面临类似的逆风；Coinbase (COIN)下跌1.96%，而Gemini (GEMI)和Alt5 Sigma (ALTS)的跌幅更大，分别达到4.51%和4.17%。挖矿和基础设施公司也未能幸免于难，Bitmine (BMNR)下跌3.9%，American Bitcoin (ABTC)下跌4.19%。

脱钩分析

这种背离凸显了市场动态的关键转变。通常情况下，加密货币股票与纳斯达克指数和整体风险偏好情绪高度相关。然而，当前数据显示，从监管不确定性到近期反弹后的获利回吐，各行业特有的压力目前超过了美国股指的整体上涨趋势。

在这一下跌趋势中，Circle (CRCL) 是一个值得注意的例外，它逆势上涨了 2.78%，与整个行业的低迷形成鲜明对比。这表明，尽管投机性和高杠杆的加密货币股票正在重新定价，但投资者或许仍然可以在基础设施和稳定币相关实体中找到价值。

￼ 加密货币板块萎缩，美国股指再创新高 市场概览 1月10日的金融市场呈现出传统股票基准指数与

Tether has launched Scudo, a new fractional unit for Tether Gold (XAUT), aimed at improving on-chain pricing precision and expanding the use of tokenized gold in everyday transactions and DeFi applica

Tether has launched Scudo, a new fractional unit f

Consistency is key in crypto! 🔑 Just did my daily check-in to win prizes. It’s the easiest way for us new creators to stay active and earn while we learn. Don’t miss out on your daily rewards! 🎁✨ #Che

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The U.S. nonfarm payrolls [NFP] report released on Friday, 9 January, added another data point to an already cautious macro backdrop. The data showed that 50,000 jobs were added, which is below most f

The U.S. nonfarm payrolls [NFP] report released on Friday, 9 January, added another data point to an already cautious macro backdrop. The data showed that 50,000 jobs were added, which is below most forecasts, which ranged from around 60,000 to 66,000.

Also, the unemployment rate was around 4.4%, slightly lower than the expected 4.5%, while average hourly earnings remained around 3.8% YoY.

However, crypto markets showed little sign of stress in response. Instead of a sharp directional move, the total cryptocurrency market capitalisation remained broadly stable above the $3 trillion mark.

At the time of writing, the total crypto market cap hovered around $3.07 trillion, holding recent gains after a volatile fourth quarter.

The muted reaction suggests that labour market data alone is no longer sufficient to dictate near-term crypto direction, particularly with monetary policy expectations largely unchanged.

Crypto market holds steady after a volatile quarter

Following a sharp drawdown in November and early December, the crypto market entered the new year in a stabilisation phase.

Price action over the past several weeks shows lower volatility and tighter ranges across major assets, reflecting reduced speculative leverage and more selective risk-taking.

Friday’s NFP release did little to disrupt that pattern. Rather than triggering a breakout or sell-off, market participants appeared content to maintain their existing exposure, indicating a broader wait-and-see approach across risk assets.

Why NFP still matters — even if crypto doesn’t trade it directly

While crypto does not react mechanically to labour data, NFP remains relevant because it influences U.S. monetary policy. Employment strength feeds into inflation expectations, which in turn shape Federal Reserve decisions on interest rates and liquidity conditions.

In this context, the latest jobs data reinforced the narrative that the U.S. economy is slowing gradually but not deteriorating sharply enough to

The U.S. nonfarm payrolls [NFP] report released on

B: Hybrid L2 with Bitcoin Security & EVM

Canaan’s 3MW Manitoba pilot reuses Avalon rigs’ waste heat to warm Bitforest tomato greenhouses, cutting fossil fuel use. Summary Canaan and Bitforest launch a 3MW pilot in Manitoba to recycle Bitcoin

Bitcoin miners turn tomato greenhouses with 3MW waste-heat project

The US federal debt passed $38 trillion on January 3, 2026, according to Treasury tracking. That new milestone was reached as some in the cryptocurrency community observed Genesis Day, the anniversary

Bitcoiners Celebrate ‘Genesis Day’ As US Debt Swells Past $38 Trillion

2025 Investment: Share Your Insights, Win 200 USDT

HTX Year-End Carnival: 150,000 USDT Over 28 Days!Love & Consensus: The Heart of $BroccoliClaim1,200 USDT in the Monthly Creation ChallengeЦена Zcash (ZEC) колеблется около $380.25 Zcash (ZEC), ориенти

Claim1,200 USDT in the Monthly Creation Challenge

Цена Zcash (ZEC) колеблется около $380.25
Zcash (ZEC), ориентированная на конфиденциальность криптовалюта, в настоящее время торгуется вблизи $380.25, демонстрируя повышенную волатильность на фоне общей неопределённости на криптовалютном рынке. Последние ценовые движения привлекли внимание как трейдеров, так и долгосрочных инвесторов.
Динамика цены и реакция рынка
В последние торговые сессии ZEC столкнулся с усиленным давлением продавцов, после чего цена снизилась к уровню $380. Однако на этих отметках появился покупательский интерес, что помог монете стабилизироваться. Уровень $380 рассматривается как важная зона поддержки.
Интерес инвесторов и техническая картина
Аналитики отмечают рост активности крупных держателей, которые используют коррекцию для накопления. С технической точки зрения, удержание цены выше текущих уровней может открыть путь к восстановлению, тогда как пробой поддержки усилит риск дальнейшего снижения.
Общая ситуация на рынке
Рынок криптовалют в целом остаётся чувствительным к новостям и макроэкономическим факторам. Поведение Zcash отражает осторожные настроения инвесторов, особенно в сегменте privacy-coin проектов.
Прогноз и ожидания
Эксперты считают, что дальнейшее движение ZEC будет зависеть от общего рыночного настроения и объёмов торгов. При сохранении поддержки в районе $380 возможен постепенный рост в кратко- и среднесрочной перспективе.

Цена Zcash (ZEC) колеблется около $380.25 Zcash (Z

Brev: ZK Omnichain Data Proof

HTX Year-End Carnival: 150,000 USDT Over 28 Days!Brev: ZK Omnichain Data ProofSQD: Decentralized Multi-Chain DataSolana (SOL) известна своими высокоскоростными транзакциями и низкими комиссиями, что д

Solana (SOL) известна своими высокоскоростными транзакциями и низкими комиссиями, что делает её очень привлекательной для разработчиков DeFi и NFT. Рыночная активность свидетельствует о том, что трейдеры внимательно следят за стабильностью сети и развитием экосистемы. На движение цены SOL обычно влияет общее рыночное настроение, а долгосрочный интерес зависит от постоянного участия разработчиков и практического применения. Благодаря постоянным инновациям в экосистеме Solana, сеть остаётся сильным конкурентом в пространстве блокчейна первого уровня.

Теги:

#SOL #Solana #Layer1 #NFT #HTXCommunityMonthlyCreationChallenge

Solana (SOL) известна своими высокоскоростными тра

2026 will be more consequential: Ripple's Brad GarlinghouseXRP at center of Ripple's vision Advertisement Brad Garlinghouse, the CEO of the San-Francisco based blockchain company, has finally shown up

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Yi Lihua: Most of the time in investing is spent waiting; he once bought SOL but missed out on its potential 15-fold increase.

us currently trades at 0.00686 USDT, up 20.10% in 24h, according to HTX market data.

BTC broke through 92000  USDT

The Atlanta Fed's GDPNow model projects U.S. GDP growth of 5.1% in the fourth quarter of 2025, down from a previous forecast of 5.4%.

ir currently trades at 0.0845 USDT, up 10.03% in 24h, according to HTX market data.

U.S. Labor Secretary Dremer: The economy is ready for further growth.

White House economic advisor Hassett: If nominated, he will accept the position of Federal Reserve Chairman.

ETH fell below 3100  USDT

BTC fell below 91000  USDT

This week, US Bitcoin spot ETFs saw net outflows of $680.9 million.

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