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8 Months To Go: Here’s How Bitcoin Could Trend In 2026 – Analyst ￼ Semilore Faleti Last Updated: May 9, 2026 11:00 pm ￼ ￼ Reason to trust ￼ Bitcoin is presently trading above $80,000, as market bulls 

8 Months To Go: Here’s How Bitcoin Could Trend In 2026 – Analyst

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Semilore Faleti

Last Updated: May 9, 2026 11:00 pm

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Reason to trust

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Bitcoin is presently trading above $80,000, as market bulls sustain the rebound from early April. However, the flagship cryptocurrency remains firmly in bear-market territory, down roughly 37.5% from its all-time high. Amid the ongoing rally, crypto analyst Aralez has outlined a potential price trajectory for the remainder of 2026, highlighting the key macroeconomic and market catalysts likely to shape Bitcoin’s next major move.

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8 Months To Go: Here’s How Bitcoin Could Trend In

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HTX Community April Creation ContestHTX Creation Challenge — Post and Win 1,500U 💥MEGA: Real-Time Execution Layer for EthereumONDO Climbs 17.9% as Treasury Pilot Boosts RWA Narrative: Will Rally Last?

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ONDO Climbs 17.9% as Treasury Pilot Boosts RWA Narrative: Will Rally Last?$ONDO climbed 17.9% today after traders reacted to a tokenized Treasury settlement pilot involving Ondo Finance, Ripple, Mastercard, and JPMorgan’s Kinexys platform. CoinGecko data showed the token rising to about $0.435, extending a sharp early-May recovery.

The move followed a successful test involving OUSG, Ondo’s tokenized U.S. Treasury product. The pilot completed a cross-border, cross-bank redemption, with the $XRP Ledger processing the asset leg in under five seconds.

Treasury Pilot Puts RWA Demand Back in Focus
The rally came after two developments placed Ondo deeper into the real-world asset conversation. On May 4, the Depository Trust & Clearing Corporation named Ondo Finance to its tokenization working group, which included more than 50 financial firms.

Two days later, Kinexys by JPMorgan, Mastercard, Ripple, and Ondo completed the Treasury redemption pilot. The transaction tested how public blockchain networks can link tokenized assets with traditional banking settlement systems.

The key point for traders was utility. The test showed tokenized Treasuries moving across borders and banks in near real time, outside standard banking windows. That gave the market a fresh reason to price the RWA narrative into $ONDO.

ONDO Climbs 17.9% as Treasury Pilot Boosts RWA Nar

HTX Community April Creation ContestBTC Shakes at $80K—Up or Down?Everything Can Be Huobao Equity markets boom – What it means for Bitcoin’s next move The rotation into risk assets is unfolding at une


Equity markets boom – What it means for Bitcoin’s next move
The rotation into risk assets is unfolding at uneven momentum across markets.

In crypto, Bitcoin [$BTC] has rallied 17% in Q2. However, the price structure still reflects consolidation rather than expansion.

From a technical view, $BTC remains 35% below its $126k peak, with persistent resistance in the $80k-$85k range preventing a transition into price discovery despite improving broader risk sentiment.

In contrast, U.S. equities are demonstrating stronger capital absorption. From a technical standpoint, the NASDAQ index has gained over 22% so far in Q2, while the S&P 500 reached a record high of 7,400 on the 8th of May.

Equity markets boom – What it means for Bitcoin’s

HTX Community April Creation ContestHTX Creation Challenge — Post and Win 1,500U 💥MEGA: Real-Time Execution Layer for EthereumWhale Accumulation Strengthens the Move On-chain data also showed larger h

Whale Accumulation Strengthens the Move
On-chain data also showed larger holders adding exposure before and during the rally. Santiment data showed wallets holding 1 million to 10 million $ONDO increased their combined balance from 555.38 million to 594.05 million over the past month.

The 100,000-to-1-million holder group also increased its stash from 145.87 million to 154.95 million. Meanwhile, wallets holding 10 million to 100 million tokens rose from 2 billion to 2.03 billion.Source: Santiment
Together, the three cohorts added about 77.7 million tokens during the month. The spread across several holder groups showed that the accumulation was not limited to a single whale tier, signaling growing confidence in $ONDO’s medium-term prospects.

Derivative activity also expanded sharply. Futures volume jumped 183.27% to $1.61 billion, while open interest rose 30% to $240 million within 24 hours.

Whale Accumulation Strengthens the Move On-chain

Perpetual market activity drives bullish sentimentHTX Community April Creation ContestBTC Shakes at $80K—Up or Down?HTX Creation Challenge — Post and Win 1,500U 💥 A significant portion of the current 

Perpetual market activity drives bullish sentiment



A significant portion of the current bullish momentum has also been driven by increased activity in Jupiter’s perpetual Futures market.

CoinGlass data shows that Open Interest (OI) climbed by more than 22% in the past day, reaching approximately $67.26 million.


The latest increase pushed OI to its highest level since February 2026, signaling renewed speculative participation in the market.

At the same time, the positive OI-Weighted Funding Rate confirms that long traders continue to dominate positioning in the perpetual market, with the metric holding near 0.0140%.

While the broader setup remains supportive of further upside, derivatives volume data continues to reflect some caution.

The Taker Buy/Sell Ratio still leans toward sellers, indicating that sell-side trading volume remains elevated despite rising bullish positioning.

This divergence suggests that although traders continue opening long positions, selling activity has not fully weakened, leaving room for short-term volatility to persist.



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HTX Community April Creation ContestHTX Creation Challenge — Post and Win 1,500U 💥MEGA: Real-Time Execution Layer for EthereumWhat the Bitcoin Charts Say BTCUSD (Weekly): As of May 09, 2026 (14:00 UTC

What the Bitcoin Charts Say
BTCUSD (Weekly): As of May 09, 2026 (14:00 UTC), Bitcoin trades at $80,391.53, up +0.25% on the week. The weekly Parabolic SAR sits at $85,000 — still above price, keeping the macro trend technically bearish.BTCUSD Weekly Chart. Source: TradingView.
But the MACD histogram has expanded aggressively to +2,065.12. That is the most bullish weekly MACD reading since early 2025.

The histogram bars are growing with each passing week. The MACD and signal lines have crossed and are diverging upward — not compressing.

Every major Bitcoin recovery since 2023 has been anchored by exactly this pattern.

BTCUSD (Daily): Bitcoin trades at $80,367.01, up +0.22% on the day. The Bollinger Bands are expanding — upper band at $81,678.62, mid-SMA at $78,323.27, lower at $74,967.92.

Price is pressing the upper band from below. The daily RSI at 63.06 is rising with conviction — above the midline and climbing.The RSI signal line at 61.74 is tracking in tandem. Neither reading is near the overbought 70 level. There is room to run before exhaustion enters the picture.

What the Bitcoin Charts Say BTCUSD (Weekly): As o

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Everything Can Be HuobaoBTC Shakes at $80K—Up or Down?MEGA: Real-Time Execution Layer for Ethereum The Nobitex dilemma: How Iran's biggest crypto exchange stays off the OFAC blacklist Iran’s internet 


The Nobitex dilemma: How Iran's biggest crypto exchange stays off the OFAC blacklist
Iran’s internet formally remained part of global routing, but user activity fell almost to zero. That points to a managed restriction on citizens’ access to the external network. Source: IODA.

But in that digital darkness, one vital financial service continued to operate without interruption: Nobitex, a cryptocurrency exchange linked to Iran’s ruling elite.

We compiled the available information about the platform and tried to understand how Iranian authorities use it, what investigations by analytics firms have revealed, and why, despite all these findings, the exchange is still not on OFAC's SDN List.

The Nobitex dilemma: How Iran's biggest crypto exc

HTX Community April Creation ContestBTC Shakes at $80K—Up or Down?Everything Can Be HuobaoA major fight over U.S. crypto regulation is heating up as lawmakers prepare to advance the CLARITY Act, a pro

A major fight over U.S. crypto regulation is heating up as lawmakers prepare to advance the CLARITY Act, a proposed bill designed to create a clear regulatory framework for digital assets and stablecoins. The legislation has triggered strong opposition from traditional banking groups, which argue that some provisions could threaten bank deposits and reshape the financial system.According to Bloomberg, several powerful banking organizations, including the American Banking Association and the Consumer Bankers Association, are urging lawmakers to tighten restrictions on stablecoin rewards. The groups want a complete ban on incentives offered by stablecoin issuers, warning that loopholes in the current draft could encourage consumers to move funds away from traditional bank accounts and into digital assets.The debate centers on a bipartisan compromise reached by Republican Senator Thom Tillis and Democratic Senator Angela Alsobrooks. Their proposal would allow crypto companies to offer rewards tied to active stablecoin usage, such as transaction-based incentives and blockchain loyalty programs. Supporters argue that these benefits encourage innovation without turning stablecoins into traditional interest-bearing accounts.Crypto industry leaders have strongly criticized the banking sector’s push for stricter rules. Coinbase Chief Legal Officer Paul Grewal accused banking lobbyists of attempting to “kill competition” by limiting consumer rewards and slowing blockchain adoption. He emphasized that the crypto industry is focused on expanding practical blockchain use cases rather than competing directly with savings accounts.Despite resistance from major banks, the Senate Banking Committee is moving forward with the markup process, signaling renewed momentum for digital asset legislation after previous delays. Senators Tillis and Alsobrooks defended the compromise, stating that th

A major fight over U.S. crypto regulation is heati

专注于 XRP 的研究员 SMQKE 最近发表了一篇博文，引起了人们对 XRP 一个经常被忽视的功能特性的关注，强调了其超越可交易资产的作用。 SMQKE 在一条推文中引用了一篇已发表的学术或政策导向型文章的摘录，并强调了其中的一句话：“XRP 不仅仅是一种资产，更是调节 XRP 账本的开关。” SMQKE 提供的这段摘录深入探讨了 XRP 在 XRP 账本运营结构及其周围复杂动态中扮演的重要角色。 XRP 作为账本交互的必要组件 这段文字可能来自行业分析，将 XRP 定位于一个多层面系统的中心。文中指出，要在 XRP 账本上激活账户并参与分布式货币兑换，用户必须持有 XRP 作为储备，开通信任线并发出要约。 这一要求实际上使XRP成为账本活动的必要组成部分，其功能远不止于价值储存或投机资产。从这个意义上讲，将XRP描述为“交换机”体现了其在初始化和维护账本生态系统功能方面的技术必要性。

<div><span style="font-size: 15px;">专注于 XRP 的研究员 SMQKE 最近发表了一篇博文，引起了人们对 XRP 一个经常被忽视的功能特性的关注，强调了其超越可交易资产的作用。</span></div><div><span style="font-size: 15px;"><br /></span></div><div><span style="font-size: 15px;">SMQKE 在一条推文中引用了一篇已发表的学术或政策导向型文章的摘录，并强调了其中的一句话：“XRP 不仅仅是一种资产，更是调节 XRP 账本的开关。” SMQKE 提供的这段摘录深入探讨了 XRP 在 XRP 账本运营结构及其周围复杂动态中扮演的重要角色。</span></div><div><span style="font-size: 15px;"><br /></span></div><div><span style="font-size: 15px;">XRP 作为账本交互的必要组件</span></div><div><span style="font-size: 15px;"><br /></span></div><div><span style="font-size: 15px;">这段文字可能来自行业分析，将 XRP 定位于一个多层面系统的中心。文中指出，要在 XRP 账本上激活账户并参与分布式货币兑换，用户必须持有 XRP 作为储备，开通信任线并发出要约。</span></div><div><span style="font-size: 15px;"><br /></span></div><div><span style="font-size: 15px;">&nbsp;这一要求实际上使XRP成为账本活动的必要组成部分，其功能远不止于价值储存或投机资产。从这个意义上讲，将XRP描述为“交换机”体现了其在初始化和维护账本生态系统功能方面的技术必要性。&nbsp;</span><img src="https://d1x7dwosqaosdj.cloudfront.net/images/2025-06/a59113106bdc48808e90ef3f7d70e3a6.jpeg" alt="4c3030bb5ed04438a72357d71f66a645.jpeg" style="margin-top: 10px; margin-bottom: 10px; width: 353px; height: auto;" /></div><div><br /></div>

专注于 XRP 的研究员 SMQKE 最近发表了一篇博文，引起了人们对 XRP 一个经常被忽视的功能

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专注于 XRP 的研究员 SMQKE 最近发表了一篇博文，引起了人们对 XRP 一个经常被忽视的功能

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