# Trump Related Articles

HTX News Center provides the latest articles and in-depth analysis on "Trump", covering market trends, project updates, tech developments, and regulatory policies in the crypto industry.

Elections, Oil Prices, and the Money Printer: Why Bitcoin Only Cares About Trump

Arthur Hayes, co-founder of BitMEX, analyzes the U.S. election, oil prices, and monetary expansion through a trader’s lens, arguing that Bitcoin’s performance hinges on Trump’s policies. He asserts that politicians’s primary goal is reelection, driven by economic perceptions of voters. For electoral success, Trump must boost nominal GDP through credit expansion while suppressing oil-driven inflation, particularly gasoline prices, which significantly influence voter behavior. Hayes suggests that controlling Venezuelan oil is a strategic move to keep energy costs low. If oil prices remain stable or fall amid economic growth, Trump’s camp benefits; rising oil costs could favor opponents. The key for investors is to monitor oil prices and Treasury yields—if they spike, credit expansion may slow, hurting risk assets. Otherwise, continued money printing will likely propel Bitcoin and cryptocurrencies upward. Hayes concludes that persistent dollar liquidity expansion, driven by deficit spending and Fed policies, will cause Bitcoin to "moon." His fund, Maelstrom, is positioned long on privacy-focused crypto assets like ZEC, expecting them to outperform major cryptocurrencies amid ongoing monetary inflation.

marsbit01/06 07:12

Elections, Oil Prices, and the Money Printer: Why Bitcoin Only Cares About Trump

marsbit01/06 07:12

If You're Long on Oil, Maduro's Arrest Is Not Good News

The article argues that the capture of Venezuelan leader Nicolás Maduro by the U.S. could be negative for oil bulls. It posits that his removal could pave the way for a potential U.S.-backed intervention to reclaim nationalized oil assets and restore the rule of law. With the world's largest oil reserves, Venezuela's production has collapsed to just 1% of global supply due to corruption and mismanagement. The author, an oil sector investor, contends that with secure property rights and investment from major oil companies, Venezuela's output could surge from its current ~900,000 barrels per day (bpd) to over 5 million bpd, structurally altering global oil markets and leading to lower long-term prices. This outcome would weaken petrostates like Russia and Iran, benefit global prosperity, and is a geopolitical victory for peace. The analysis is highly supportive of such U.S. action and pessimistic on oil prices if it succeeds.

marsbit01/06 03:42

If You're Long on Oil, Maduro's Arrest Is Not Good News

marsbit01/06 03:42

Ten Almost Risk-Free Absurd Bets on Polymarket

Polymarket, a prediction market platform, lists numerous speculative event contracts. This article highlights ten seemingly "risk-free" betting opportunities based on high-probability outcomes, where users can earn modest returns by wagering against unlikely events. The selection criteria include contracts with over $3000 in order book depth (excluding sports), "yes/no" probabilities between 90%-99%, and minimal real-world risk of a black swan event. Examples include betting that Jesus Christ will not return by 2027 (2-3% return), the US will not confirm alien existence (6-7%), and a US civil war will not occur (4-5%). Other opportunities involve predictable outcomes, such as US national debt exceeding $39 trillion (near-certain, 1-2% return) and Elon Musk remaining the world's richest person (9-10%). The article cautions that while these bets appear safe, unexpected events or resolution disputes could pose risks.

Odaily星球日报01/06 02:13

Ten Almost Risk-Free Absurd Bets on Polymarket

Odaily星球日报01/06 02:13

Bitcoin Ignites Higher as Trump’s Venezuela Seize Unleashes Oil Chaos — Will BTC Price Hit $1M ‘Sooner Than Expected?’

Bitcoin surged above $90,000 following the U.S. military capture of Venezuelan President Nicolás Maduro, rising nearly 5% and adding approximately $100 billion to the crypto market. Traders reacted to the geopolitical shift, which could significantly impact global oil markets, given Venezuela’s vast oil reserves. Some analysts viewed Bitcoin’s rally as an early indicator of broader market stress, while bullish commentators revived predictions of BTC reaching $1 million. The operation, described by former President Trump as a move to stabilize Venezuela’s oil infrastructure, triggered speculation and volatility. Technical analysis suggests Bitcoin could target $98,000–$100,000 if momentum holds, though a drop below $85,000 remains possible if the breakout falters.

ccn.com01/05 10:46

Bitcoin Ignites Higher as Trump’s Venezuela Seize Unleashes Oil Chaos — Will BTC Price Hit $1M ‘Sooner Than Expected?’

ccn.com01/05 10:46

TRUMP memecoin jumps 15% – What traders should watch next

The TRUMP memecoin surged 15% amid heightened attention following recent events involving former US President Donald Trump. While the token saw an 8.6% gain in 24 hours and a 35% increase in Open Interest, its longer-term trend remains bearish. After a significant rally in April and a 72% jump in October, the token has consistently retraced gains. The recent bounce from $4.68 to $5.46 was partly driven by Bitcoin's rise above $90k, but indicators like RSI and CMF still reflect dominant bearish momentum. A bullish reversal to $8+ is possible but unlikely. Traders are advised to consider taking profits, as the higher timeframe trend remains unfavorable. Short-term long positions should be approached with caution and clear exit strategies.

ambcrypto01/05 01:02

TRUMP memecoin jumps 15% – What traders should watch next

ambcrypto01/05 01:02

When War Is Settled Before the News: How Prediction Markets 'Priced' Maduro's Capture Six Days in Advance

"Prediction markets, particularly Polymarket, demonstrated their ability to forecast major geopolitical events ahead of official announcements, as illustrated by the fictional yet plausible account of insider trading prior to the U.S. military operation that captured Venezuelan President Maduro in early January 2026. According to the article, several anonymous accounts on Polymarket placed large bets days before the actual event, with one address initiating trades as early as December 27, 2025—six days before the operation occurred. These insiders, likely individuals with access to classified U.S. government or military intelligence, collectively profited over $630,000. The piece highlights how Polymarket’s structure—anonymous, non-KYC, and crypto-settled—enables such trades with minimal risk of exposure. While prediction markets can serve as decentralized early-warning systems for the public, they also raise serious concerns about national security and insider trading. The incident may prompt stricter U.S. regulatory measures, such as the proposed 'Predictive Markets Integrity Act,' aimed at preventing officials from trading on non-public information. The tension between market transparency and state secrecy underscores a growing challenge: when prediction markets outpace official narratives, they risk disrupting traditional information control and operational security."

Odaily星球日报01/04 07:44

When War Is Settled Before the News: How Prediction Markets 'Priced' Maduro's Capture Six Days in Advance

Odaily星球日报01/04 07:44

Must-Watch Next Week｜Nonfarm Payrolls Resume Regular Release Schedule; Infinex Token Sale Concludes (Jan 5-11)

Next Week's Key Events (Jan 5-11): - Jan 5: Bitget TradFi launches gold and traditional asset trading; Cambodia's Huione Pay resumes operations after a temporary halt due to a bank run; Huma Finance extends Vanguard badge grace period. - Jan 6: Binance delists multiple FDUSD margin trading pairs; Infinex and Ranger token sales conclude; Hyperliquid unlocks 1.2 million HYPE tokens. - Jan 7: ZKsync stops Etherscan, shifts to native block explorer. - Jan 9: US Nonfarm Payrolls data resumes regular release schedule (21:30 Beijing Time). - Other: Trump considers legal action against Fed Chair Powell, with a new Fed Chair announcement expected in January.

marsbit01/04 03:48

Must-Watch Next Week｜Nonfarm Payrolls Resume Regular Release Schedule; Infinex Token Sale Concludes (Jan 5-11)

marsbit01/04 03:48

Bitfinex Hack Mastermind Released Early From Prison, Credits 2018 Trump Law – Details

Ilya Lichtenstein, the mastermind behind the 2016 Bitfinex hack that stole 119,574 Bitcoin, has been released early from prison after serving 14 months of his five-year sentence. He credited his release to the First Step Act, a 2018 criminal justice reform law signed by former President Donald Trump. The stolen Bitcoin, initially worth $71 million, is now valued at nearly $11 billion. Lichtenstein expressed remorse and pledged to contribute positively to cybersecurity. His wife, Heather Morgan, who was also convicted for laundering the stolen funds and released early under the same law, celebrated their reunion. The couple used sophisticated methods to launder a portion of the stolen cryptocurrency.

bitcoinist01/03 15:13

Bitfinex Hack Mastermind Released Early From Prison, Credits 2018 Trump Law – Details

bitcoinist01/03 15:13

Trump's Year of Embracing Cryptocurrency

Under the Trump administration's pro-crypto policies, the cryptocurrency industry has rapidly expanded into traditional finance and public policy. This period, dubbed "DAT Summer," saw the emergence of Digital Asset Treasury (DAT) companies—public firms accumulating cryptocurrencies like Bitcoin and Dogecoin to attract investors. Over 250 companies adopted this strategy, often using significant leverage, with plans to borrow over $20 billion for crypto purchases. However, a market crash in October, triggered by new tariff announcements and amplified by high leverage, led to massive liquidations—$19 billion in leveraged bets were wiped out, affecting 1.6 million traders. The administration’s supportive regulatory shift, including the SEC’s new crypto task force, facilitated innovations like tokenized stocks and high-leverage trading products. Companies like Coinbase introduced 10x leverage options, while firms like Plume sought to tokenize real-world assets, blurring lines between crypto and traditional markets. Critics, including former regulators, warn of systemic risks, such as contagion to the broader economy and excessive speculation. Trump-linked entities, such as World Liberty Financial, played a role in this expansion, though some ventures, like ALT5 Sigma, faced significant declines and governance issues. Despite the volatility, industry leaders argue these developments modernize finance, offering higher returns and accessibility. The ongoing experiment highlights the tension between innovation and financial stability, with regulatory oversight struggling to keep pace.

marsbit01/02 02:42

Trump's Year of Embracing Cryptocurrency

marsbit01/02 02:42

Is TRUMP being soft-rugged? On-chain data points to a $94mln exit

The team behind the "official" TRUMP memecoin has withdrawn approximately $94 million in USDC from its liquidity pools over three weeks, transferring the funds to Coinbase. Rather than a sudden hard rug pull, they used a calculated soft-unwinding method via the Meteora DLMM on Solana, strategically selling TRUMP tokens without causing an immediate price crash. This mirrors the same tactic used for the MELANIA token. TRUMP has collapsed over 90% from its peak, trading at $4.94 by December 31st, signaling a severe loss of market confidence and raising questions about the viability of Trump-branded crypto ventures.

ambcrypto12/31 13:21

Is TRUMP being soft-rugged? On-chain data points to a $94mln exit