# Options Related Articles

HTX News Center provides the latest articles and in-depth analysis on "Options", covering market trends, project updates, tech developments, and regulatory policies in the crypto industry.

A Critical Signal for Bitcoin (BTC) Ahead of the Fed Meeting: Options Bulls Have Shifted Course and Are Targeting This Level!

A critical week has begun for Bitcoin and altcoins as markets await the Fed's July decision. While the Fed is widely expected to keep rates unchanged, Chairman Jerome Powell's remarks are anticipated to significantly impact cryptocurrencies. In this climate, BTC options traders have notably reduced their short-hedging positions ahead of the Fed announcement. Analysts at Glassnode observed that the put-call ratio, which was 0.76 at the end of June indicating downside protection, has dropped sharply to approximately 0.52. This plunge suggests investors are scaling back on insurance against a potential correction and shifting their focus back to bullish strategies. Data shows large investors are actively accumulating call options with a $70,000 strike price, reinforcing market expectations for a short-term upward price move for Bitcoin. However, analysts warn that if the Fed signals a different policy path than markets anticipate, Bitcoin's volatility could surge rapidly due to the reduced protective positioning.

cryptonews.ru07/27 15:11

A Critical Signal for Bitcoin (BTC) Ahead of the Fed Meeting: Options Bulls Have Shifted Course and Are Targeting This Level!

cryptonews.ru07/27 15:11

Crypto Outperforming Stocks: How Digital Assets Are Withstanding Macroeconomic Pressure

Crypto Outperforms Stocks Amid Macro Pressure Trading firm QCP Capital's report analyzes the divergent performance of crypto and stock markets ahead of the July 29 FOMC meeting. While major US stock indexes showed mixed results, with tech weakness pressuring the Nasdaq, crypto assets like Bitcoin (up ~11.6% in July) and Ethereum (up ~24.6%) have outperformed despite a challenging macro backdrop, including rising Treasury yields and risk-off sentiment. Key focus points include the upcoming Fed decision and commentary from Chair Kevin Warsh, which could signal the regulator's stance on inflation and growth. Spot Bitcoin and Ethereum ETFs saw a net outflow of ~$311 million on July 24, ending a seven-day inflow streak, highlighting shifting institutional sentiment. Option market data reveals increased demand for downside protection, indicating caution, though constructive long-term positioning remains. Implied volatility for Ethereum trades at a premium to Bitcoin, and perpetual funding rates stay positive. The week's key events are the FOMC decision, Treasury yield movements, ETF flow trends, and US regulatory developments like the CLARITY Act. The market balances crypto's resilience against growing option market caution, with the Fed's decision poised to tip the scales. Analysis compares the current Fed pause to historical rate-cutting cycles, questioning whether crypto's strength can persist if monetary policy tightening persists.

cryptonews.ru07/27 13:56

Crypto Outperforming Stocks: How Digital Assets Are Withstanding Macroeconomic Pressure

cryptonews.ru07/27 13:56

$2.5 Billion Bitcoin Bet Aims for $70,000 with Only 6 Days Left

Traders have long blamed the "options wall" for suppressing Bitcoin's price throughout July, but with two major weekly expirations now passed and BTC remaining stagnant around $64,000, that narrative has weakened. The core issue appears to be simply thin spot market demand. While a massive ~$2.5 billion bullish options bet targeting prices of $70,000-$72,000 expires on July 31st, market-implied odds of Bitcoin reaching even $70,000 by then are low (~14.5%). Recent data shows subdued leverage, mixed ETF flows, and forced long liquidations, indicating a lack of strong directional conviction. The upcoming expiry coincides with a narrow window for US crypto legislation and follows a key Fed meeting, adding uncertainty. With the weekly "max pain" expirations failing to move price, Bitcoin's range seems determined by the absence of significant spot buyers or sellers.

marsbit07/27 11:30

$2.5 Billion Bitcoin Bet Aims for $70,000 with Only 6 Days Left

marsbit07/27 11:30

Cardano Price Forecast: Can ADA Surpass $0.20 as Ark Invest and Hoskinson Debate Its Relevance?

Cardano (ADA) is trading at $0.1659 on July 27, compressed at the apex of a triangle pattern. This coincides with Ark Invest's Director of Research questioning the industry's continued focus on Cardano as newsworthy, prompting a rebuttal from founder Charles Hoskinson who called the criticism institutional bias. Technically, ADA is caught between a descending trendline from May's peak and an ascending line from June's low of ~$0.1386, with the 20-day EMA at $0.1669 adding resistance. Key support is the 0.236 Fibonacci level at $0.1618, with resistance at the 50-day EMA ($0.1750) and the 0.382 Fib level ($0.1762). Derivatives data shows extremely low options volume at $6.59K, similar to previous low-volatility compression phases before directional moves. Open interest and 24-hour volume have dropped significantly, and long/short positioning is nearly balanced, indicating trader caution ahead of the upcoming FOMC meeting. Price Forecast: * **Bullish Case:** An upward triangle breakout above the 20-day and 50-day EMAs could target the 0.382 Fib ($0.1762) and 0.618 Fib ($0.1995) levels, potentially fueled by a risk-on FOMC outcome and renewed attention from the Hoskinson-Ark debate. * **Bearish Case:** A breakdown below the 0.236 Fib support at $0.1618 could see ADA decline toward the June low of $0.1386, driven by the negative narrative from Ark and risk aversion from FOMC uncertainty.

cryptonews.ru07/27 11:23

Cardano Price Forecast: Can ADA Surpass $0.20 as Ark Invest and Hoskinson Debate Its Relevance?

cryptonews.ru07/27 11:23

Ethereum validator exit queue drops to zero – Will it boost ETH’s Q3 recovery?

The Ethereum validator exit queue has fallen to zero, eliminating any waiting time for withdrawals. This contrasts sharply with late last year's market crash, which saw a peak of 2.6M ETH waiting to exit with a 44-day delay. Meanwhile, the entry queue for new stakers remains significant, with approximately 2.5M ETH waiting to enter and a 44-day processing time. This imbalance indicates strong, long-term staking demand and supports tighter ETH supply dynamics, with the staking ratio hitting a record 33.97% of total supply. Additional demand is driven by the U.S. spot ETH ETF inflows and institutional activity. Option market data shows dominant bullish bets targeting $2K and $2.4K price levels. While ETH's price has risen towards $2K, its near-term movement is tied to the potential passage of the CLARITY Act, with regulatory developments remaining a key catalyst for Q3.

ambcrypto07/24 08:09

Ethereum validator exit queue drops to zero – Will it boost ETH’s Q3 recovery?

ambcrypto07/24 08:09

Selling Block Space is Dead: Public Chains Must Find a New Way

"Blockchain infrastructure as a neutral, generalized platform is no longer a viable business model. This article argues that simply selling block space has failed, evidenced by the fact that only one public blockchain, Hyperliquid, was among 14 crypto firms surpassing $200M in annual revenue recently. Hyperliquid's revenue vastly outpaces others like Arbitrum, highlighting a crisis. The future lies in public chains pivoting away from neutrality to become product studios, application distributors, payment rails, or vertical SaaS providers, directly serving paying customers. The piece also covers key industry events: a major exploit on Ostium, attributed to vulnerabilities in its off-chain price oracle, underscores the critical security needs for protocols bridging off-chain markets. Additionally, it discusses the necessity of abstracting complex financial instruments like options. Experts argue that to achieve mass adoption, options should be packaged as user-friendly products—such as yield vaults, binary options, or structured products—rather than marketed with their technical complexity. Finally, the radar section notes developments including Yearn's fixed-rate lending product Flex, community backlash over Base's strategy changes, the launch of a DXY perpetuals DEX called Plether, and Starknet's focus on institutional-grade privacy and quantum resistance."

marsbit07/22 05:28

Selling Block Space is Dead: Public Chains Must Find a New Way

marsbit07/22 05:28

Mysterious Whale Bets $2.5 Billion on BTC Surpassing $72,000 by August, $70,000 Mark Becomes Key

An anonymous trader executed a large bullish spread on Deribit, buying 20,000 Bitcoin call options with a $70,000 strike price and simultaneously selling 20,000 calls with a $72,000 strike. The trade, with a notional value of $2.5 billion, expires on July 31st—just two days after the upcoming Federal Reserve policy meeting. This structure positions for Bitcoin's price to rise above $70,000 by expiry, capping gains at $72,000. Bitcoin currently trades around $64,289, requiring a roughly 9% surge to reach the lower strike. The trade faces immediate obstacles, including key on-chain resistance near $69,000 and volatile inflows into U.S. spot Bitcoin ETFs, which have seen recent large daily outflows. Market predictions provide contrasting context, with some institutional analyses setting short-term support levels as low as $58,000-$59,000, while others maintain long-term bullish year-end targets. The outcome hinges on whether post-Fed demand can overcome these technical and ETF flow hurdles within the trade's brief 10-day window.

marsbit07/21 06:25

Mysterious Whale Bets $2.5 Billion on BTC Surpassing $72,000 by August, $70,000 Mark Becomes Key

marsbit07/21 06:25

BTC Market Pulse: Week 30

After rebounding from around $58,000 to briefly touch $65,000, Bitcoin has entered a consolidation phase near $64,500. While the recovery is intact, upward momentum has cooled with subdued spot trading volumes, indicating the market is seeking a firmer equilibrium. Derivatives markets show compressed volatility spreads, suggesting a reduced risk premium as sentiment becomes less defensive. Speculative activity is gradually returning, evidenced by rising futures and options open interest and a shift to net buying in perpetual markets. Demand for downside protection has eased. However, lower funding rates indicate this exposure is being rebuilt cautiously, avoiding excessive leverage. On-chain metrics show stabilization, with modest improvements in economic activity. Capital flows remain cautious, but recovering US spot ETF inflows and ETF cohorts nearing breakeven point to fading institutional selling pressure. The market appears increasingly balanced, supported by long-term holder profitability but remains sensitive to shifts in momentum due to a growing share of short-term capital.

insights.glassnode07/20 20:40

insights.glassnode07/20 20:40

Crypto Watch This Week: Uniswap Fee Switch Vote Starts Today, CLARITY Act Could Face Senate Vote This Week

**Weekly Crypto Watch: Key Events & Catalysts** This week’s crypto focus is on pivotal governance votes, potential regulatory progress, and major protocol upgrades. **Uniswap** takes center stage with two crucial on-chain proposals going to vote from July 19-26. The first aims to activate protocol fees for Uniswap V2/V3 on the new Robinhood Chain and direct them to a UNI token burn mechanism. The second seeks to activate V4 fees across seven major chains, including Ethereum and Base. Robinhood Chain has already seen over $60B in Uniswap volume since its launch 18 days ago. The proposals build on last year's UNIfication plan, which transformed UNI into a fee-generating asset. On the **U.S. regulatory front**, the **CLARITY Act** could face a Senate floor vote this week. While some lawmakers are optimistic, the bill faces hurdles, needing at least 60 votes to overcome a filibuster. Prediction market Polymarket currently gives it only a 34% chance of being signed into law this year. Other notable catalysts include: * **Morpho's** fixed-rate lending protocol, **Morpho Midnight**, is set for its public launch, starting with a single market (cbBTC/USDC) on Base. * **Derive** (formerly Lyra) is preparing for its largest-ever upgrade, **V3**, which will reportedly introduce 0DTE options and a more retail-friendly UX. * **Pendle** will hold a community call on July 22 to share its roadmap, with a focus on expanding its RWA (Real World Assets) capabilities. * An undisclosed privacy-focused application for **Polymarket**, built on **Starknet**, is reportedly launching on July 20.

marsbit07/20 10:13

Crypto Watch This Week: Uniswap Fee Switch Vote Starts Today, CLARITY Act Could Face Senate Vote This Week

marsbit07/20 10:13

Strategy’s MSTR falls 79% – Could calls become ‘a weapon’ if STRC restarts?

Michael Saylor's company, MicroStrategy's (MSTR) stock has fallen 79% over the past year. This decline coincides with a strategic shift from aggressive Bitcoin (BTC) accumulation to defensive capital management. In recent months, the company sold a small fraction (0.43%) of its Bitcoin holdings, totaling 3,620 BTC, while raising significant cash through share sales. Its USD Reserve has doubled to $3.0 billion, strengthening its balance sheet to cover obligations and increasing its preferred stock (STRC) dividend coverage. The core debate revolves around the company's future path. Critics, like Peter Schiff, question the investment thesis. Supporters, however, speculate that if MicroStrategy restarts its STRC financing mechanism to fund new Bitcoin purchases instead of diluting common shares (MSTR), leveraged call options on MSTR could become highly profitable. The company's next major decision is whether to resume Bitcoin buying in a future bull market and potentially sell some holdings for gains, deviating from its historical buy-and-hold strategy. The article notes these recovery scenarios are speculative.

ambcrypto07/17 10:46

Strategy’s MSTR falls 79% – Could calls become ‘a weapon’ if STRC restarts?