# Forecast Related Articles

HTX News Center provides the latest articles and in-depth analysis on "Forecast", covering market trends, project updates, tech developments, and regulatory policies in the crypto industry.

Don't Be Fooled by the Rebound! Bitcoin Could Retest Lows at Any Moment | Exclusive Analysis

**Bitcoin Weekly Analysis: Beware of a Potential Secondary Pullback** Last week, Bitcoin experienced significant volatility, forming a weekly doji candle with a slight gain of 0.03% and a wide 12.36% range. The price action perfectly validated the pre-defined key level of $89,000. Our analyst successfully executed two short-term trades based on this framework, resulting in a total gain of 6.93%. **Technical Outlook:** The weekly chart indicates Bitcoin is on the verge of entering a bear market, with momentum indicators pointing south. The daily chart shows a weakening bullish rebound within a broader bearish structure. **Price Projections for the Week (Dec 8-14):** The market is expected to remain range-bound. Key resistance levels are identified at $91,000, $94,000-$96,500, and $98,500-$100,000. Crucial support zones lie at $85,500-$87,500, $83,500, and around $80,000. **Trading Strategy:** A core medium-term short position (65% allocation) is maintained. For short-term swings (30% allocation), two scenarios are outlined: * **Scenario A (Rebound & Short):** Sell into strength if the price rallies to the $91,000-$94,200 or $98,500 resistance zones, with a stop-loss above $100,000. * **Scenario B (Dip & Buy):** Buy a potential bounce if the price drops to the $83,500-$80,000 support area, with a stop-loss below $80,000. **Macro Focus: The Fed's "Super Week":** This week's price action is heavily dependent on the Federal Reserve's policy decision. While a December rate cut is widely expected, the crucial factor for Bitcoin and risk assets will be the Fed's "dot plot" guidance for 2025 rate cuts. A hawkish dot plot (signaling fewer cuts) could trigger a pullback toward $85,000. A dovish signal (more cuts anticipated) could fuel a rebound above $90,000. Chairman Powell's commentary will be key to short-term volatility.

marsbitYesterday 19:49

Don't Be Fooled by the Rebound! Bitcoin Could Retest Lows at Any Moment | Exclusive Analysis

marsbitYesterday 19:49

Bitcoin 'Rally Only for Selling': Three Core Arguments of BTC Market Bears

Multiple analysts are warning that Bitcoin's recent rebound to around $93,000 (a 14.5% rise from recent lows) is a "bull trap" and signals a "rally for selling," not the start of a sustained bull run. They present three core bearish arguments. First, a "bear flag" pattern has been identified on BTC's charts. This technical formation, often a continuation signal in a downtrend, suggests a potential breakdown with a projected target near $77,100, which would represent a 16% decline from current levels. Second, comparisons are drawn to the 2021 market cycle. Analysts note the current structure is "almost identical," featuring a double-top pattern, a sharp drop to cycle support, and a deceptive rebound that formed a bull trap before a more severe crash. If this pattern repeats, BTC could plummet over 50% to the $40,000 range by early 2026. Third, Google Trends data shows searches for "Bitcoin bear market" have hit a five-year high, indicating peak public fear. Historically, such spikes in fear have preceded major sell-offs. One analyst warns BTC may反弹 to $97,000 to "trap" bullish investors before the true bear market begins. In conclusion, these analysts believe the current uptick is an opportunity to sell, forecasting significant further downside risk in the coming months.

cointelegraph_中文18h ago

Bitcoin 'Rally Only for Selling': Three Core Arguments of BTC Market Bears

cointelegraph_中文18h ago

"Pause, Not a Reversal": When Bitcoin Will Break the Lull

The article "Pause, Not a Reversal": When Bitcoin Will Break the Lull" discusses the current state of the cryptocurrency market, which is in a holding pattern ahead of key macroeconomic decisions. According to analysts from Wintermute, the market's attention is focused on upcoming interest rate decisions from the US Federal Reserve (December 10) and the Bank of Japan (December 19). The recent price action is seen as a pause rather than a trend reversal, with liquidity concentrating in Bitcoin and Ethereum. The potential for the Fed to cut rates could improve the investment climate, while concerns exist that the Bank of Japan may raise its rate again, which could cause market stress given Japan's status as a major holder of US debt. Trading volumes have fallen by up to 30% since October, attributed to a shift away from speculative altcoins towards fixed-income instruments. Market expectations for Bitcoin's price by year-end are split between $85,000 and $100,000. The report concludes that in the absence of macroeconomic surprises, cryptocurrency volatility will be driven more by liquidity flows than by fundamental factors.

RBK-crypto5h ago

"Pause, Not a Reversal": When Bitcoin Will Break the Lull

RBK-crypto5h ago

Bitcoin at $100,000 by the End of the Year. What Are the Chances

Cryptocurrency analysis from Standard Chartered has revised its year-end 2025 Bitcoin price forecast down to $100,000 from $200,000. The bank's analysts cite two primary reasons: a halt in purchases by corporate entities following Michael Saylor's accumulation strategy and a significant slowdown in inflows into spot Bitcoin ETFs. Despite this near-term adjustment, the long-term outlook remains bullish, with a target of $500,000 by 2030. Market experts offer mixed views on Bitcoin's potential to reach $100,000 by the end of this year. Some, like Alexander Peresich, suggest that a return of liquidity to ETF markets could push BTC to test this level in December, contingent on positive signals regarding US monetary policy easing. Conversely, analysts from Bitget Research express skepticism, citing a current "extreme fear" sentiment among investors, high volatility, and macroeconomic uncertainty. They believe a test of the $95,000-$100,000 range is more likely in early 2026, as the market currently lacks the momentum for a powerful bullish surge.

RBK-crypto4h ago

Bitcoin at $100,000 by the End of the Year. What Are the Chances

RBK-crypto4h ago

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