# CME Related Articles

HTX News Center provides the latest articles and in-depth analysis on "CME", covering market trends, project updates, tech developments, and regulatory policies in the crypto industry.

2026 Must-Read: Who Pays for the Bull Market

"Who Pays for the Bull Market in 2026?" by Dovey Wan of Primitive Ventures analyzes the structural shifts in Bitcoin's market dynamics post-ETF approval and institutional adoption. Despite regulatory tailwinds and mainstream integration, BTC underperformed traditional assets like gold and equities in 2025, with suppressed volatility due to Wall Street arbitrage and derivatives trading. Key insights include: - **Onshore vs. Offshore Divergence**: U.S. investors (via Coinbase) drove buying at highs, while offshore exchanges (e.g., Binance) saw selling pressure. - **Institutional Role**: Corporate buyers (e.g., MSTR) used NAV premium arbitrage to accumulate BTC, but ETFs are largely held by non-institutional investors, with hedge funds reducing exposure. - **Retail Absence**: Retail participation declined as wealth shifted to AI stocks and traditional markets, with crypto CEX traffic falling. - **Native Sellers Emerge**: Early BTC holders and miners sold significantly, with miners diverting resources to AI infrastructure. Bitcoin’s financialization ("paper BTC") introduces systemic fragility, tying its future to macro liquidity and DAT/ETF premiums. The 2026 outlook hinges on macro conditions and institutional proxy valuations, with potential risks from leverage unwinds. The article calls for genuine on-chain adoption to transform passive holdings into active utility, envisioning crypto as a global, supranational financial rail.

比推01/13 17:21

2026 Must-Read: Who Pays for the Bull Market

比推01/13 17:21

Web3's Failed Assumption: Ultimately Just Another Expansion of Wall Street's Balance Sheet

The article argues that the core assumption of Web3—that it would revolutionize finance by moving traditional assets on-chain—is failing. Instead, a one-sided absorption is occurring: Traditional Finance (TradFi) is successfully expanding into crypto, while the reverse movement of crypto into traditional assets is struggling. The pivotal moment was November 10, 2023, when CME's Bitcoin futures open interest surpassed Binance's, signaling a major shift. This is because TradFi giants like CME or BlackRock can launch crypto products with near-zero marginal cost, leveraging their existing regulatory licenses, mature risk models, and institutional networks. Conversely, crypto-native platforms face an insurmountable "compliance cost" barrier when trying to tokenize real-world assets (RWA), such as stocks. The stringent regulatory requirements for securities trading make it a prohibitively expensive endeavor. The author concludes that true liquidity comes from large, regulated institutional capital (pension funds, etc.), which prioritizes security and compliance. Products like Bitcoin ETF provide this, allowing traditional capital to enter easily. Therefore, crypto is being stripped of its ideological attributes and is becoming a pure, volatile financial asset class within the traditional system. The financial upper layers of trading and derivatives will likely remain dominated by TradFi, with Web3's role reduced to the base layer of asset generation and settlement.

比推01/09 08:43

Web3's Failed Assumption: Ultimately Just Another Expansion of Wall Street's Balance Sheet

比推01/09 08:43

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