Strategy Watch #4

insights.glassnodePublicado em 2026-06-03Última atualização em 2026-06-03

Resumo

Strategy Watch #4 analyzes institutional activity in digital assets for April. It reports a gradual recovery in Bitcoin (BTC) capital flows, while stablecoin demand surged. However, Ethereum (ETH) remained in persistent net outflow. A notable turnaround was observed in ETH ETF flows, shifting from significant outflows to inflows by month-end. Conversely, DeFi Total Value Locked (TVL) on Ethereum reversed course sharply, with accelerated outflows indicating renewed allocator caution. CME basis yields for both BTC and ETH deteriorated sharply, turning negative and suggesting reduced institutional risk appetite. The report is structured across six sections covering institutional flows, fund performance, a deep dive into DeFi/yield strategies, on-chain vault performance, manager positioning, and allocation updates.

The full report is freely available in PDF format.

Download PDF version

Welcome to Strategy Watch #4

Strategy Watch was built to address a clear demand for high-signal, impartial analysis of fund-level performance and allocation trends in digital assets.

Our objective is straightforward — to make Strategy Watch a must-read monthly publication for the digital asset investment community.

This publication is strengthened by direct input from market participants. Funds and allocators that contribute data and insights help shape a more complete and valuable view of the landscape. If you have insights, data, or allocation updates worth sharing, we welcome your contribution.

Present your latest initiatives and updates to a curated audience of institutional allocators.

Share updates ↗

Inside the Latest Strategy Watch

The report is structured across six core sections, each focused on a distinct dimension of institutional activity in digital assets:

01 Institutional Flow Monitor | Defensive positioning persisted through April as BTC and ETH outflows eased further, stablecoin demand accelerated, and ETF inflows remained constructive.

02 Fund and SMA Performance | Every sub-strategy posted gains for the month, a level of cross-strategy alignment not seen in recent memory. Is this a rebound or repositioning?

03 Strategy Deep Dive: DeFi/Yield | Hear a CIO's perspective on where edge comes from as lending spreads compress and smart contract risk evolves

04 On-chain Vault Performance | Curator yields narrowed the gap to Treasuries as on-chain yield strategies stabilize.

05 Manager Monitor | Find out how more than 400+ managers are positioning for Q2, with cash levels climbing to multi-year highs despite a more constructive market backdrop.

06 Allocation Updates | Pension allocations rise alongside strategic acquisitions and new launches across yield, trading, and digital asset strategies.

in partnership with

The Premier Digital Assets Allocator Platform. Learn more


Institutional Flow Monitor

  • BTC capital flows nearly recovered to neutral through April while stablecoin inflows surged to multi-month highs, though ETH remained persistently in net outflow.

Bitcoin capital flows recovered materially through April, improving from -$6.9B at month-open to nearly neutral at -$0.7B by month-end, continuing the gradual deceleration of outflows observed in March. Stablecoins showed the strongest directional move, with inflows accelerating from +$1.8B in early April to +$5.4B by month-end, suggesting a meaningful rotation of capital into dollar-denominated on-chain instruments. Ethereum stood apart from both trends, remaining in persistent net outflow throughout the month and closing at -$1.6B, broadly unchanged from its March reading. The divergence between a stabilizing BTC, surging stablecoin demand, and a lagging ETH points to a selective rather than broad-based recovery in capital allocation.

ETF & DAT Net Flows

  • BTC ETF and DAT flows held positive through April while ETH staged a notable turnaround, flipping from deep outflow in early April to meaningful inflows by month-end.

Bitcoin ETF flows maintained positive territory throughout April, recovering from a mid-month dip to close at +26.3k BTC, while DAT flows strengthened progressively to +58.8k BTC by month-end. The more significant shift came from Ethereum, where ETF flows opened the month at -135k ETH before turning positive around April 18 and closing at +140.6k ETH. ETH DAT flows remained constructive throughout, finishing at +408.6k ETH. While BTC institutional demand showed consistency, the ETH turnaround is the more notable development, though it remains early and the magnitude of the late-month recovery warrants monitoring before drawing conclusions about a durable change in positioning.

DeFi TVL & Stablecoin Cap

  • DeFi TVL flows on Ethereum reversed sharply in April, erasing the March stabilization as outflows accelerated to multi-month highs in the final week.

After nearly reaching neutral at month-end March, Ethereum DeFi TVL flows deteriorated steadily through April. The first half of the month was relatively contained, with flows oscillating near neutral before turning more negative around mid-month. The picture changed materially in the final ten days, with outflows accelerating to a peak of -$11.3B around April 25 before partially recovering to -$7.6B at month-end. Total ETH locked in DeFi fell from ~$54B at month-open to ~$44.9B by close. The reversal of March's stabilization trend suggests the earlier recovery was fragile, and the renewed pace of withdrawal points to sustained allocator caution toward on-chain yield strategies heading into May.

CME Basis Yield

  • CME basis yield deteriorated sharply through April for both BTC and ETH, with carry returns turning deeply negative by month-end as futures markets shifted into persistent backwardation.

After closing March at -$3.9M and +$0.9M respectively, BTC and ETH CME basis yields both briefly recovered in early-to-mid April, with BTC reaching +$3.3M and ETH +$1.7M around April 9-12. The recovery proved short-lived. Both assets deteriorated sharply through the second half of the month, with BTC closing April at -$21.2M and ETH at -$6.0M. The depth and pace of this reversal suggests futures markets moved into meaningful backwardation, removing the economic basis for cash-and-carry strategies entirely. For institutions running market-neutral books, the carry environment in April offered no compensation, reinforcing the broader picture of reduced leverage deployment and subdued institutional risk appetite.


Disclaimer: This report does not provide any investment advice. All data is provided for information and educational purposes only. No investment decision shall be based on the information provided here and you are solely responsible for your own investment decisions.
Exchange balances presented are derived from Glassnode’s comprehensive database of address labels, which are amassed through both officially published exchange information and proprietary clustering algorithms. While we strive to ensure the utmost accuracy in representing exchange balances, it is important to note that these figures might not always encapsulate the entirety of an exchange’s reserves, particularly when exchanges refrain from disclosing their official addresses. We urge users to exercise caution and discretion when utilizing these metrics. Glassnode shall not be held responsible for any discrepancies or potential inaccuracies. Please read our Transparency Notice when using exchange data.

Criptomoedas em alta

Perguntas relacionadas

QWhat is the primary objective of the Strategy Watch publication?

AThe primary objective of Strategy Watch is to make it a must-read monthly publication providing high-signal, impartial analysis of fund-level performance and allocation trends for the digital asset investment community.

QAccording to the report, what was a notable divergence in capital flows among BTC, ETH, and stablecoins in April?

AThe notable divergence was that Bitcoin capital flows nearly recovered to neutral, stablecoin inflows surged to multi-month highs, while Ethereum remained persistently in net outflow throughout the month. This points to a selective rather than broad-based recovery in capital allocation.

QWhat significant turnaround is noted for Ethereum ETF flows in April?

AEthereum ETF flows staged a notable turnaround, flipping from a deep outflow of -135k ETH in early April to meaningful inflows of +140.6k ETH by month-end.

QWhat happened to DeFi TVL on Ethereum in the final ten days of April?

AIn the final ten days of April, outflows from Ethereum DeFi TVL accelerated sharply, reaching a peak of -$11.3B around April 25, which erased the stabilization trend observed in March and signaled renewed allocator caution.

QWhat trend did CME basis yields for BTC and ETH show in the second half of April?

AIn the second half of April, CME basis yields for both BTC and ETH deteriorated sharply, turning deeply negative by month-end. This indicates futures markets moved into persistent backwardation, removing the economic basis for cash-and-carry strategies.

Leituras Relacionadas

Raoul Pal: Bitcoin's 87% Correlation with Global Liquidity Outweighs Financial Results and News

Raoul Pal, founder of Real Vision and former Goldman Sachs hedge fund manager, asserts that Bitcoin and major indices like the Nasdaq trade primarily based on global liquidity conditions, not fundamentals like earnings or news. He claims an 87% correlation between Bitcoin and global liquidity, with Nasdaq showing a 97% correlation. Global liquidity is measured by central bank balance sheets, the M2 money supply, and bank lending growth. Analysts at crypto market maker Keyrock developed a model supporting Pal's correlation claim, noting an eight-month lag between Treasury bill issuance and Bitcoin's price response. Pal's theory, which he detailed earlier this year, posits that central banks are forced to inject liquidity in a recurring cycle to manage global debt refinancing every four years. This forms the basis for his $450,000 Bitcoin price target, contingent on continued liquidity expansion. The high correlation suggests Bitcoin and tech stocks are trading as similar liquidity indicators rather than distinct asset classes. This view challenges narratives centered on Bitcoin's own supply dynamics, halving cycles, or adoption news. Michael Saylor of MicroStrategy has expressed a similar sentiment, downplaying the halving cycle's dominance in favor of capital flows from ETFs, corporate treasuries, and sovereign reserves. It's noted that Pal's post does not include the original datasets or methodology. Furthermore, the correlation's strength has fluctuated in 2026, and Keyrock's model indicates an eight-month lag, meaning current correlations reflect past, not real-time, liquidity conditions. The future path of central bank balance sheet expansion remains a key test for Pal's thesis.

cryptonews.ruHá 3m

Raoul Pal: Bitcoin's 87% Correlation with Global Liquidity Outweighs Financial Results and News

cryptonews.ruHá 3m

The Heart of the 'Artificial Sun': China Builds Largest Magnet for Fusion Reactor

On June 27, 2026, China's Institute of Plasma Physics announced the successful development and comprehensive testing of two key superconducting magnets for its "artificial sun" fusion reactor project. These magnets are crucial for containing plasma exceeding 100 million degrees Celsius within a vacuum chamber using powerful magnetic fields. The first is a D-shaped toroidal field magnet, claimed to be the world's largest for a fusion reactor. Measuring 21m long and weighing 582 tons, it has 1.3 times the volume and triple the stored energy of its counterpart in the international ITER project. Key parameters include a 98 kA operating current and 120 GJ of stored energy. Sixteen such magnets will eventually form a ring generating a central field of 6.5 Tesla to confine the plasma. Concurrently tested was a high-temperature superconducting central solenoid. It stably carries 60 kA of current and plays a critical role in inducing and sustaining the plasma current, essentially "igniting" the fusion reaction. All key technologies and materials are domestically developed, with 47 patents filed. The magnets are destined for the BEST (Burning Plasma Experimental Superconducting Tokamak) device, with assembly planned by 2027 and a demonstration of power generation targeted for around 2030. Fusion is pursued as a potential source of vast, clean energy without long-lived radioactive waste. While this marks a significant technical achievement, the article's concluding AI perspective notes the ongoing race between China's state-funded, large-scale approach and private ventures in other countries betting on compact, high-field magnets, highlighting funding sustainability as a key long-term factor.

cryptonews.ruHá 57m

The Heart of the 'Artificial Sun': China Builds Largest Magnet for Fusion Reactor

cryptonews.ruHá 57m

Trading

Spot

Artigos em Destaque

Como comprar 4

Bem-vindo à HTX.com!Tornámos a compra de 4 (4) simples e conveniente.Segue o nosso guia passo a passo para iniciar a tua jornada no mundo das criptos.Passo 1: cria a tua conta HTXUtiliza o teu e-mail ou número de telefone para te inscreveres numa conta gratuita na HTX.Desfruta de um processo de inscrição sem complicações e desbloqueia todas as funcionalidades.Obter a minha contaPasso 2: vai para Comprar Cripto e escolhe o teu método de pagamentoCartão de crédito/débito: usa o teu visa ou mastercard para comprar 4 (4) instantaneamente.Saldo: usa os fundos da tua conta HTX para transacionar sem problemas.Terceiros: adicionamos métodos de pagamento populares, como Google Pay e Apple Pay, para aumentar a conveniência.P2P: transaciona diretamente com outros utilizadores na HTX.Mercado de balcão (OTC): oferecemos serviços personalizados e taxas de câmbio competitivas para os traders.Passo 3: armazena teu 4 (4)Depois de comprar o teu 4 (4), armazena-o na tua conta HTX.Alternativamente, podes enviá-lo para outro lugar através de transferência blockchain ou usá-lo para transacionar outras criptomoedas.Passo 4: transaciona 4 (4)Transaciona facilmente 4 (4) no mercado à vista da HTX.Acede simplesmente à tua conta, seleciona o teu par de trading, executa as tuas transações e monitoriza em tempo real.Oferecemos uma experiência de fácil utilização tanto para principiantes como para traders experientes.

659 Visualizações TotaisPublicado em {updateTime}Atualizado em 2026.06.02

Como comprar 4

Discussões

Bem-vindo à Comunidade HTX. Aqui, pode manter-se informado sobre os mais recentes desenvolvimentos da plataforma e obter acesso a análises profissionais de mercado. As opiniões dos utilizadores sobre o preço de 4 (4) são apresentadas abaixo.

活动图片