AVAX’s rally odds – Here’s why traders should look out for liquidity

ambcryptoPublicado a 2026-02-11Actualizado a 2026-02-11

Resumen

Despite a quiet broader market, the Avalanche (AVAX) ecosystem has demonstrated significant on-chain strength. It recorded $135 million in monthly net inflows, ranking fourth for both weekly and daily inflows. Most notably, active addresses surged over 242% since early January, surpassing 1.6 million, indicating deep network engagement even as the price fell. Technically, AVAX found support between $8.85–$11.86, with the RSI deeply oversold and the MACD showing a bullish crossover, suggesting a potential local bottom. However, a true price reversal requires a confirmed increase in trading volume. A key factor is the concentration of upside liquidation liquidity between $10–$12, which could be a target for market makers and a potential catalyst for increased volatility. The data presents a tension between strong underlying adoption and bearish price action, setting the stage for a possible move driven by liquidity dynamics.

The AVAX ecosystem has continued to attract investor attention over the last few weeks, despite a quiet market. For example – On 10 February, activity across the sector slowed down significantly.

However, for its part, Avalanche remained as active as ever. In fact, the chain recorded $135 million in monthly net inflows and led the way among the market’s blockchains.

Addiitonally, its inflow trends stood out clearly too. Weekly inflows climbed to $60 million, while daily inflows totaled $7 million. Thanks to the same, Avalanche was ranked fourth in terms of both weekly and daily net inflows.

Hence, the question – Are more significant market moves ahead?

Active Addresses surprise for AVAX

That’s not all either. Avalanche’s [AVAX] active addresses have surged by over 242% since early January, surpassing all prior 2024 levels and hitting new highs.

According to Token Terminal data, monthly active addresses climbed beyond 1.6 million – A clear sign of intensified network engagement. Daily figures pushed even higher on 10 February, hitting record peaks above 1.6–1.7 million on the C-Chain.

This surge occurred despite the price action punishing holders, reflecting fractured confidence and widespread bearish sentiment. And yet, participants have continued to transact robustly, expanding usage despite deteriorating market mood.

Put simply, real adoption and on-chain conviction deepened even as surface-level narratives turned pessimistic. This is the kind of classic decoupling that often precedes reversals on the price charts.

Will the structural support hold on?

AVAX’s price action on the daily time frame told a brutal, unforgiving story. At press time, the altcoin had retraced over 84% from its October peak before stabilizing around the $8.85–$11.86 support zone.

Meanwhile, sellers showed clear exhaustion near the $8-level after sustained downside pressure. Therefore, downside momentum weakened as selling intensity gradually faded.

Notably, the MACD flashed a bullish cross directly at the support level during this phase. At the same time, the RSI remained deeply oversold at 29.87 too. As a result, the RSI holding at such depressed levels suggested AVAX was at or around a local bottom.

Worth noting, however, that technical signals alone might not be enough to shift market structure.

For a meaningful expansion to begin, volume must be expected to rise clearly. Without confirmation, the setup will risk becoming another failure, rather than a true reversal.

Upside liquidity concentrated at $10–$12

Downside liquidity had largely been cleared before 10 February 2026. As a result, the 2-week liquidation data showed growing upside liquidity clustered between $10 and $12 at press time.

This imbalance shifted attention upwards. Not because of optimism, but mechanics. Market makers often target such zones with ruthless efficiency.

Therefore, volatility might just be inevitable, rather than optional. As it stands, the liquidity is above the price, daring the market to react. Only time will tell if this liquidity can ignite the most awaited expansion for AVAX.


Final Thoughts

  • On-chain data reflected tension, not recovery, as capital and activity contradicted the damage seen on the price charts
  • AVAX may be primed for volatility, driven by liquidity.

Criptos en tendencia

Preguntas relacionadas

QWhat was the amount of Avalanche's monthly net inflows and how did it rank among other blockchains?

AAvalanche recorded $135 million in monthly net inflows, leading the way among the market's blockchains.

QBy what percentage did Avalanche's active addresses surge since early January, and what milestone did they reach?

AAvalanche's active addresses surged by over 242% since early January, surpassing all prior 2024 levels and hitting new highs beyond 1.6 million.

QWhat two key technical indicators suggested that AVAX might be at a local price bottom?

AThe MACD flashed a bullish cross at the support level, and the RSI remained deeply oversold at 29.87, suggesting a local bottom.

QAccording to the liquidation data, where was the upside liquidity for AVAX concentrated?

AThe upside liquidity was concentrated in the $10 to $12 price range.

QWhat does the article suggest is the primary driver for potential upcoming volatility in AVAX's price?

AThe article suggests that the primary driver for potential volatility is liquidity mechanics, with market makers likely to target the concentrated liquidity zones above the current price.

Lecturas Relacionadas

Bitcoin Has Yet to Hit Bottom, While Exchange AscendEX Has Already "Run Away"

On July 6, 2026, cryptocurrency exchange AscendEX officially announced it is ceasing operations, with a complete shutdown scheduled for July 1, 2026. The platform cited the full implementation of the EU's MiCA regulation alongside market, financial, and operational challenges. Users can no longer perform most functions, with accounts limited to withdrawal purposes only. Prior to the announcement, on-chain investigator ZachXBT had issued warnings about significant withdrawal delays and a severe lack of high-liquidity assets (like ETH, USDT, SOL) in AscendEX's public hot wallets. Following the news, ZachXBT confirmed that the exchange lacks sufficient liquid assets to process multiple verified seven-figure withdrawal requests. AscendEX acknowledged that all withdrawals now require manual review, with no guarantees on processing times. Chain analysis via Arkham Intelligence shows the platform's marked wallets hold minimal readily accessible funds, with most recent activity being small withdrawals. One highlighted wallet reportedly contains only $13.46 million in altcoins. AscendEX, formerly known as BitMax, launched in 2018 and raised $50 million in a 2021 funding round. However, it suffered a major security breach in December 2021, losing approximately $77.7 million from hot wallets. The exchange compensated users but never fully recovered. The current crisis underscores the inherent risks of centralized exchanges, where poor liquidity management, regulatory pressure, and bear market conditions can trigger a collapse. The event is seen as part of a broader industry shakeout, highlighting the importance for users to prioritize non-custodial wallets or exchanges with transparent proof-of-reserves.

Foresight NewsHace 37 min(s)

Bitcoin Has Yet to Hit Bottom, While Exchange AscendEX Has Already "Run Away"

Foresight NewsHace 37 min(s)

Sevenfold Oversubscription, Can SK Hynix Save the Semiconductor Industry This Time?

SK Hynix's planned US ADR listing is drawing intense interest, with its offering reportedly oversubscribed by over seven times, potentially making it the largest foreign listing in US history. The fundraising of approximately $24.5 billion is intended for expanding its Korean production capacity, including advanced packaging and EUV equipment. This massive demand from long-term funds and prominent institutions like Baillie Gifford and Situational Awareness Partners (led by noted investor Leopold Aschenbrenner) presents a stark contrast to the recent downturn in the broader semiconductor sector. The sector has faced a significant correction, with SK Hynix's own stock falling nearly 30% from its June high. This sell-off was triggered by concerns that major tech giants might slow their AI infrastructure spending, following signals like Meta's reported plan to sell surplus computing capacity. The strong ADR appetite suggests long-term investors still believe in the AI investment cycle's fundamentals, viewing the recent decline more as a valuation reset than a demand collapse. Some market speculation even suggests the pre-IPO price drop could be strategic, setting the stage for a stronger post-listing performance. While SK Hynix's successful listing may act as a short-term positive catalyst for market sentiment, the article argues the true signal for a sustained semiconductor recovery will come from upcoming earnings reports of tech giants like Microsoft, Google, Meta, and Amazon. Their future capital expenditure plans will be crucial in determining whether the AI-driven growth cycle can continue.

Odaily星球日报Hace 1 hora(s)

Sevenfold Oversubscription, Can SK Hynix Save the Semiconductor Industry This Time?

Odaily星球日报Hace 1 hora(s)

Breaking News: Musk Delivers the Most Powerful Grok 4.5, Slashes Price of Top-tier Opus Intelligence Drastically

**Elon Musk Launches Grok 4.5: A Cost-Effective, High-Performance AI Rival** SpaceXAI, in collaboration with Cursor, has released Grok 4.5, its new flagship AI model designed specifically for coding and agentic tasks. Trained on tens of thousands of NVIDIA GB300 GPUs using massive, high-quality data filtered from trillions of Cursor developer interactions, the model emphasizes "per-token intelligence." In benchmark performance, Grok 4.5 is highly competitive. It scores 64.7% on SWE Bench Pro (surpassing GPT-5.5's 58.6% and Opus 4.7's 64.3%), 83.3% on Terminal Bench 2.1 (nearly matching GPT-5.5), and 62.0% on DeepSWE 1.0 (beating Opus 4.8). Overall, it ranks fourth in AAAI official tests and first in the Harvey legal agent benchmark. The model's key advantage is its combination of speed, efficiency, and low cost. It generates responses at 80 tokens per second and, crucially, uses far fewer tokens to complete tasks—4.2 times fewer than Opus 4.8 on SWE Bench Pro. It is priced at $2 per million input tokens and $6 per million output tokens, significantly undercutting competitors. Musk stated it is "roughly equivalent to Opus 4.7, but much faster." Early user tests show Grok 4.5 can generate functional code for applications like 3D solar system simulators and basic games from simple prompts, though some note it still lags behind top models in certain creative tasks. Musk has hinted at a major update next month, leveraging real-world engineering data from his companies, with an even larger 2-trillion parameter version reportedly in development. Grok 4.5 positions itself not as the absolute strongest model, but as a highly efficient and affordable alternative in the top tier.

marsbitHace 1 hora(s)

Breaking News: Musk Delivers the Most Powerful Grok 4.5, Slashes Price of Top-tier Opus Intelligence Drastically

marsbitHace 1 hora(s)

Today, The Hong Kong Exchange Was Once Again Overwhelmed

Hong Kong's stock exchange witnessed an exceptionally busy day on July 9, with a record seven companies conducting initial public offerings (IPOs) simultaneously. The list included major firms such as Luxshare Precision, which launched the largest Hong Kong IPO of the year, and other notable names like Tri-Ring Group and Qiyunshan Food. However, the market reception was sharply divided on the first trading day. While Qiyunshan Food's shares surged over 110%, several other newcomers, including Luxshare Precision, Dingtai High-Tech, and Rigol Technologies, opened below their issue prices, with some falling nearly 20%. This event highlights a broader, bustling IPO scene in Hong Kong for 2024, with 82 Chinese companies listing in the first half alone—more than double the figure from the same period last year. A significant portion of this activity comes from dual "A+H" listings, where mainland China-listed firms seek secondary listings in Hong Kong. These larger companies have accounted for nearly 60% of total fundraising. Despite the high volume, recent trends show a cooling market sentiment for many new listings. Several IPOs in early July, including that of Tongrentang Healthcare, debuted with significant losses, indicating increased investor caution and selectivity. The market narrative is shifting, with capital increasingly concentrating on high-growth sectors like artificial intelligence, robotics, and semiconductors, while traditional manufacturing and consumer goods face greater pressure and volatility. This divergence underscores a market where success is no longer guaranteed by merely listing, but depends heavily on a company's growth prospects and sector appeal.

marsbitHace 1 hora(s)

Today, The Hong Kong Exchange Was Once Again Overwhelmed

marsbitHace 1 hora(s)

Trading

Spot

Artículos destacados

Cómo comprar AVAX

¡Bienvenido a HTX.com! Hemos hecho que comprar Avalanche (AVAX) sea simple y conveniente. Sigue nuestra guía paso a paso para iniciar tu viaje de criptos.Paso 1: crea tu cuenta HTXUtiliza tu correo electrónico o número de teléfono para registrarte y obtener una cuenta gratuita en HTX. Experimenta un proceso de registro sin complicaciones y desbloquea todas las funciones.Obtener mi cuentaPaso 2: ve a Comprar cripto y elige tu método de pagoTarjeta de crédito/débito: usa tu Visa o Mastercard para comprar Avalanche (AVAX) al instante.Saldo: utiliza fondos del saldo de tu cuenta HTX para tradear sin problemas.Terceros: hemos agregado métodos de pago populares como Google Pay y Apple Pay para mejorar la comodidad.P2P: tradear directamente con otros usuarios en HTX.Over-the-Counter (OTC): ofrecemos servicios personalizados y tipos de cambio competitivos para los traders.Paso 3: guarda tu Avalanche (AVAX)Después de comprar tu Avalanche (AVAX), guárdalo en tu cuenta HTX. Alternativamente, puedes enviarlo a otro lugar mediante transferencia blockchain o utilizarlo para tradear otras criptomonedas.Paso 4: tradear Avalanche (AVAX)Tradear fácilmente con Avalanche (AVAX) en HTX's mercado spot. Simplemente accede a tu cuenta, selecciona tu par de trading, ejecuta tus trades y monitorea en tiempo real. Ofrecemos una experiencia fácil de usar tanto para principiantes como para traders experimentados.

587 Vistas totalesPublicado en 2024.12.12Actualizado en 2026.06.02

Cómo comprar AVAX

Discusiones

Bienvenido a la comunidad de HTX. Aquí puedes mantenerte informado sobre los últimos desarrollos de la plataforma y acceder a análisis profesionales del mercado. A continuación se presentan las opiniones de los usuarios sobre el precio de AVAX (AVAX).

活动图片