Đợt suy thoái tiền mã hóa cho thấy khoảng cách giữa định giá VC và vốn hóa thị trường

cointelegraphPublished on 2025-12-24Last updated on 2025-12-24

Abstract

Sự sụt giảm của thị trường tiền điện tử đang làm lộ ra khoảng cách lớn giữa định giá từ các quỹ mạo hiểm (VC) và vốn hóa thị trường thực tế. Nhiều startup blockchain từng được định giá gần 1 tỷ USD hiện có vốn hóa thấp hơn đáng kể, như Humanity Protocol (285 triệu USD), Fuel Network (11 triệu USD) và Bubblemaps (6 triệu USD). Các dự án khác như Camp Network, Treehouse và Everlyn cũng chứng kiến mức sụt giảm mạnh. Theo CryptoRank, trong giai đoạn thị trường tăng giá, các VC thường định giá dự án quá cao, nhưng khi bối cảnh thay đổi, thị trường điều chỉnh lại các con số này. Báo cáo cũng cho thấy hoạt động gọi vốn VC trong lĩnh vực crypto vẫn đang suy yếu, dù có một số vòng gọi vốn lớn. Các chuyên gia khuyến nghị nhà đầu tư nên giữ cái đầu lạnh và đánh giá rủi ro kỹ lưỡng.

Nhiều startup blockchain từng được định giá gần 1 tỷ USD hiện có vốn hóa thị trường chỉ bằng một phần nhỏ so với các con số đó, khi thanh khoản thắt chặt buộc phải thiết lập lại định giá.

Điều này thể hiện rõ ràng ở nhiều dự án nổi bật, theo dữ liệu được tổng hợp bởi CryptoRank.

Humanity Protocol, từng mang định giá mạo hiểm khoảng 1 tỷ USD, hiện có vốn hóa thị trường vào khoảng 285 triệu USD. Fuel Network, cũng từng được định giá gần 1 tỷ USD, hiện đang giao dịch gần mốc 11 triệu USD, trong khi Bubblemaps, từng được gán định giá vốn mạo hiểm (VC) tương tự, có vốn hóa thị trường khoảng 6 triệu USD.

“Trong các đợt tăng giá và cơn sốt tâm lý, các VC có xu hướng định giá quá cao cho các dự án và gán các mức định giá mạnh tay,” Fundraising Digest, công cụ theo dõi thỏa thuận mạo hiểm của CryptoRank, đã viết trên X. “Tuy nhiên, một khi tâm lý phai nhạt hoặc câu chuyện mất đi sức hút, hầu hết các dự án phải đối mặt với thực tế và thị trường thiết lập lại những con số hưng phấn đó.”

Đợt suy thoái gần đây của thị trường tiền mã hóa đã phơi bày khoảng cách giữa định giá vốn mạo hiểm và định giá thị trường công khai, tiết lộ mức độ mạnh tay trong định giá các dự án trong chu kỳ tăng giá trước.

Liên quan: HashKey huy động thành công 250 triệu USD cho quỹ tiền mã hóa mới giữa ‘sự quan tâm đáng kể’

Nhiều dự án tiền mã hóa chứng kiến sự điều chỉnh mạnh từ định giá VC

Khoảng cách này tiếp tục với các dự án có định giá tương đối thấp hơn.

Plasma, từng được các nhà đầu tư mạo hiểm định giá khoảng 500 triệu USD, hiện giao dịch quanh mốc 224 triệu USD. ICNT giảm từ định giá VC 470 triệu USD xuống vốn hóa thị trường gần 247 triệu USD. DoubleZero, được định giá khoảng 400 triệu USD trong vòng gọi vốn gần nhất, hiện ở mức khoảng 373 triệu USD.

Các dự án khác cho thấy sự chênh lệch thậm chí còn lớn hơn. Camp Network và Treehouse, mỗi dự án trước đây được định giá khoảng 400 triệu USD, hiện có vốn hóa thị trường lần lượt vào khoảng 15 triệu USD và 16 triệu USD. Everlyn, từng được định giá gần 250 triệu USD, giao dịch quanh mốc 26 triệu USD, trong khi SoSoValue đã tụt từ mức định giá 200 triệu USD xuống còn khoảng 152 triệu USD.

Định giá VC so với vốn hóa thị trường. Nguồn: Fundraising Digest

“Đó là lý do tại sao việc giữ cái đầu lạnh và cân nhắc rủi ro trên nhiều kết quả khác nhau là quan trọng trước khi đầu tư,” Fundraising Digest cho biết.

Liên quan: Từ sự sụp đổ của FTX đến nguồn vốn mới: Cựu giám đốc điều hành Hoa Kỳ huy động 35 triệu USD cho sàn giao dịch mới

Nguồn vốn VC cho tiền mã hóa vẫn yếu

Như Cointelegraph đã đưa tin, nguồn vốn mạo hiểm trong lĩnh vực tiền mã hóa vẫn trầm lắng trong tháng 11, kéo dài đợt suy giảm đã dai dẳng từ cuối năm 2025.

Mặc dù tổng vốn huy động đã được hỗ trợ bởi một số vòng gọi vốn lớn, nhưng hoạt động giao dịch tổng thể vẫn tiếp tục tụt lại phía sau, với chỉ 57 vòng gọi vốn được tiết lộ được ghi nhận trong tháng.

Các khoản tài trợ nổi bật bao gồm vòng gọi vốn 1 tỷ USD của Revolut và 800 triệu USD của Kraken trước khi phát hành lần đầu ra công chúng (IPO) được mong đợi, điều này đã che giấu sự yếu kém rộng hơn trong đầu tư giai đoạn đầu và giữa.

Tạp chí: 2026 là năm của sự riêng tư thực tế trong tiền mã hóa — Canton, Zcash và hơn thế nữa

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