Crypto index funds ‘a big deal’ as market complexity grows: Bitwise CIO

cointelegraphPublished on 2025-12-09Last updated on 2025-12-09

Abstract

Bitwise CIO Matt Hougan predicts crypto index funds will surge in popularity in 2026 as investors seek diversified exposure amid growing market complexity. He argues that predicting individual token performance is nearly impossible due to regulatory, macroeconomic, and execution variables. Instead, he advocates for market-cap-weighted crypto index funds to capture broad growth without risking wrong bets on specific chains. Hougan believes the market could grow up to 20 times in a decade, driven by tokenization, stablecoins, DeFi, and other emerging use cases. Despite recent market gains fueled by pro-crypto policies, uncertainty around tariffs and interest rates persists.

Funds that track a basket of cryptocurrencies are likely to rocket in popularity next year as investors look to get easy exposure to a broader range of digital assets, according to Bitwise’s investment chief Matt Hougan.

“Crypto index funds are going to be a big deal in 2026,” Hougan said in a note on Monday. “The market is getting more complex and the use cases are multiplying.”

He added that while the overall crypto market is poised to grow, it isn’t possible to predict which tokens will perform, so owning a fund that tracks the market is a “great place to start,” although it’s “not right for everyone.”

Many exchange-traded fund issuers, including Bitwise, offer funds that track multiple cryptocurrencies, drawing inspiration from indexes such as the S&P 500, which track the top 500 companies on US stock exchanges.

Multi-crypto ETFs already exist, with some going live in the US earlier this year that hold crypto in proportion to each token’s market capitalization. However, these have seen relatively modest inflows as they largely hold Bitcoin (BTC), which currently dominates nearly 60% of the market, per CoinGecko.

“Buy the market” as crypto is unknowable

Hougan said that despite his experience and network of experts within crypto, he can’t say “with confidence which chain will win, or precisely how things will turn out.”

“At this stage of crypto’s development, I’d argue it’s unknowable,” he added. “Outcomes will be shaped by regulation, execution, macro conditions, the actions of a few key individuals, luck, and a hundred other variables.”

“Forecasting all of that correctly would require supernatural foresight.”

Crypto markets rallied from November 2024 to January through Donald Trump’s presidential election and inauguration and have remained elevated on his pro-crypto policies.

However, crypto has felt the negative effects of sweeping US tariffs and uncertainty over further interest rates cuts as traditional finance becomes more involved in the market.

“Given that uncertainty, my approach is simple: I buy the market,” Hougan said. “Specifically, I buy a market-cap-weighted crypto index fund.”

He added that crypto “will be far more important in 10 years than it is today,” and the market could grow up to 20 times over that time.

Hougan pointed to Securities and Exchange Commission chair Paul Atkins’ comment on Wednesday that the US financial system could embrace tokenization in a “couple of years.”

Related: Bank of America backs 1%–4% crypto allocation, opens door to Bitcoin ETFs

“Stablecoins will matter more. Tokenization will matter more. Bitcoin will matter more. And I think a dozen other major use cases will follow: prediction markets, decentralized finance (DeFi), privacy tech, digital identity,” Hougan said.

“I don’t want to risk picking the wrong chain,” he added. “Imagine correctly calling a market that goes up 100,000x—and still underperforming because you backed the wrong horse.”

“So I use a crypto index fund as the core of my portfolio,” Hougan said, “knowing that, however crypto evolves, I’ll own exposure to the potential winners.”

Magazine: Solana vs Ethereum ETFs, Facebook’s influence on Bitwise — Hunter Horsley

Related Reads

Interop Roadmap Accelerates: After Fusaka Upgrade, Ethereum Interoperability May Take a Key Leap

Recent Ethereum Fusaka upgrade, while primarily focused on Blob capacity expansion, introduced the underappreciated EIP-7825, a critical enabler for Ethereum's zero-knowledge (ZK) and interoperability roadmap. This proposal sets a hard per-transaction gas limit (~16.78 million gas), preventing "mega-transactions" from monopolizing a block. This change transforms block proof generation from a sequential logic problem into a parallelizable computational task, making real-time ZK proofs an engineering feasibility rather than a theoretical impossibility. This foundational shift is pivotal for the L1 zkEVM vision, where Ethereum itself generates verifiable proofs for its state transitions. L1 zkEVM acts as a universal "trust anchor," allowing Layer 2s (L2s) to instantly and trustlessly verify the mainnet's state without waiting for challenge periods. This eliminates the speed-trust decentralization trade-off, enabling near-instant, decentralized cross-chain interoperability. Concurrently, ZK technology is evolving from EVM-compatible zkEVMs to more efficient, ZK-optimized zkVMs. EIP-7825's parallelizable environment allows these zkVMs to operate at peak efficiency, drastically reducing proof generation cost and time. The convergence of EIP-7825, L1 zkEVM, and advanced zkVMs paves the way for the final stage of interoperability (Interop)—abstracting away chain boundaries to deliver a single-chain user experience where cross-chain actions are seamless, secure, and instantaneous.

marsbit6분 전

Interop Roadmap Accelerates: After Fusaka Upgrade, Ethereum Interoperability May Take a Key Leap

marsbit6분 전

Trading

Spot
Futures
活动图片