Bitcoin Bull Cycle Remains Far From Over Despite Price Fall – Here’s Why

bitcoinistPubblicato 2024-12-21Pubblicato ultima volta 2024-12-22

Introduzione

In a rather unseemingly fashion, Bitcoin’s (BTC) journey to a new all-time high at $108,268 was followed by an estimated...

In a rather unseemingly fashion, Bitcoin’s (BTC) journey to a new all-time high at $108,268 was followed by an estimated 17% decline pushing the asset’s price to a local bottom of $92,281.

This heavy price decline has been attributed to the recent policy announcement by the US Federal Reserve which adopted another 25 basis point rate cut at its latest FOMC meeting. While interest rate cuts are bullish signals to the crypto market, the Fed also revealed intentions to reduce its initially projected four rate cuts in 2025 from four to just two, triggering a wide-scale offload of risky assets by investors. 

As expected, the significant decline in BTC’s price prompts questions over the asset’s future, especially in regards to the ongoing crypto bull run.

There’s Nothing To Fear Yet, Analyst Says

In an X post on December 20, popular crypto market expert Burak Kesmeci shared that Bitcoin remains far from a bear market, indicating the asset is yet to hit the bull cycle top. Using four critical simple moving averages, SMA21, SMA50, SMA200, and SMA365, Kesmeci has drawn important insight into Bitcoin’s current market status. 

To begin, the analyst notes the premier cryptocurrency has dipped below its SMA21 at $99,565. However, this development bears little impact on Bitcoin’s immediate future as the SMA21 can be easily influenced by any price breakout.

On the other hand, the SMA50 currently at $91,803, has a significant influence on Bitcoin’s short-term price momentum. If the market bulls are able to retain a daily or weekly close above the price level, it spells a good omen for price appreciation.

Notably, BTC has been on an upward trend since early October. During this period, the maiden cryptocurrency has risen from $60,200 to above $108,000. Commenting on the viability of this uptrend, Kesmeci states that Bitcoin’s distance from its SMA200 and SMA365 indicates the asset’s bullish structure remains intact.

This is because the bottom of any long-term trend in the Bitcoin market is determined when the price breaks below any of both SMAs. In conclusion, Kesmeci tells BTC investors there is nothing to fear despite the price fall over the past week. The analyst states that recorrections of even 20% and 30% are normal based on historical data of any previous bull run.

 

Bitcoin
Source: Burak Kesmeci on X

Bitcoin Price Overview

At the time of writing, Bitcoin trades at $97,354 following a mild recovery from its earlier decline over the past day. Meanwhile, the asset’s daily trading volume has gained by 7.35% and is valued at $103.92 billion. 

Bitcoin
BTC trading at $97,461 on the daily chart | Source: BTCUSDT chart on Tradingview.com
Featured image from Nairametrics, chart from Tradingview.com
Semilore Faleti

Semilore Faleti

Semilore Faleti works as a crypto-journalist at Bitconist, providing the latest updates on blockchain developments, crypto regulations, and the DeFi ecosystem. He is a strong crypto enthusiast passionate about covering the growing footprint of blockchain technology in the financial world.

Letture associate

DeepSeek Announces Permanent Price Cut, But Liang Wenfeng Is Not Trying to Be a "Cyber Bodhisattva"

DeepSeek has announced a permanent 75% discount on its V4-Pro API, significantly reducing its token prices. This move stands out as a major industry-wide price cut while competitors like Anthropic, OpenAI, and Google have been quietly raising theirs. The article contrasts this strategy with the broader trend of AI becoming more expensive, citing examples of companies like Microsoft and Uber struggling with high token costs as usage soars. While CEO Liang Wenfeng is hailed by some as a "Cyber Bodhisattva" for this普惠 approach, the article argues this is a strategic business choice, not mere altruism. DeepSeek's ability to maintain low prices is attributed to several structural advantages: lower-cost AI talent in China, the impending use of domestic昇腾 hardware for further cost reductions, and, most critically, access to China's cheaper and more abundant energy infrastructure, which drastically reduces the electricity costs dominating AI operations. The analysis suggests that for many commercial applications, a "good enough" model that is radically cheaper (e.g., 1% to 11% of GPT-5.5's cost) is more valuable than the absolute top-tier model. This allows for vastly more experimentation and iteration within a budget. Therefore, as AI generally becomes more expensive, DeepSeek's cost-competitiveness—rooted in China's energy and talent advantages—becomes its core strategic value and differentiator in the global market.

marsbit10 h fa

DeepSeek Announces Permanent Price Cut, But Liang Wenfeng Is Not Trying to Be a "Cyber Bodhisattva"

marsbit10 h fa

The Veil of Mythos Becomes Anthropic's Lever to Move Trillions

The article discusses Anthropic's reported upcoming $30 billion funding round, which would value the company at over $900 billion. It analyzes how the company has leveraged strategic narratives around its unreleased "Mythos" model, rather than just its publicly available products, to drive this massive valuation. Key points include Google's surprising $40 billion investment in a competitor, suggesting it is buying strategic positioning. Anthropic's "Glasswing" cybersecurity project and the unreleased Mythos model are portrayed not through direct proof, but through carefully crafted narratives of being "too powerful for public release," creating an aura of exclusive, high-level capability. This is bolstered by reports of the White House and NSA seeking access to Claude/Mythos despite previous security concerns, implying indispensable technology. Furthermore, Anthropic's reported rapid revenue growth—from a $1 billion annual run-rate in late 2024 to over $30 billion by April 2026, largely driven by enterprise API and Claude Code—provides a financial story for investors. The article concludes that Anthropic's core business model is effectively converting unverifiable technical potential, government interest, and future revenue projections into a compelling narrative that secures immense capital, using the actions of wealthy investors and powerful institutions as the ultimate validation of its worth.

marsbit12 h fa

The Veil of Mythos Becomes Anthropic's Lever to Move Trillions

marsbit12 h fa

Trading

Spot
Futures
活动图片