7*24

Hot topic

Market

Activities

more and more options traders are ruling out expectations of a Federal Reserve rate cut in 2026, instead betting that rates will remain unchanged throughout the year. This trend can be traced back at least to last Friday, when U.S. employment data showed an unexpected drop in the unemployment rate. According to market price calculations, this almost eliminated the possibility of a Fed rate cut this month and prompted more traders to delay their expectations for rate cuts in the coming months. David Robin, interest rate strategist at TJM Institutional Services, pointed out: "From a data perspective, the probability that the Fed will keep rates unchanged at least until March has increased, and as each meeting passes, the likelihood of rates remaining stable grows." The recent options flows in secured overnight financing rates, which are closely linked to the Fed's short-term benchmark rate, signal a more hawkish stance. New options positions are mainly concentrated in the March and June contracts to hedge against the continued delay of the Fed's next rate cut. Other positions on longer-dated contracts are expected to profit from the Fed maintaining rates unchanged throughout the year. Robin stated that whether the market believes the Fed will hold steady or not, the cost of these trades is very low, and as a prudent risk manager, you would want to hold such positions. (Jin10)

[Options market bets are increasing that the Federal Reserve will keep rates unchanged for the whole year.]more and more options traders are ruling out expectations of a Federal Reserve rate cut in 2026, instead betting that rates will remain unchanged throughout the year. This trend can be traced back at least to last Friday, when U.S. employment data showed an unexpected drop in the unemployment rate. According to market price calculations, this almost eliminated the possibility of a Fed rate cut this month and prompted more traders to delay their expectations for rate cuts in the coming months. David Robin, interest rate strategist at TJM Institutional Services, pointed out: "From a data perspective, the probability that the Fed will keep rates unchanged at least until March has increased, and as each meeting passes, the likelihood of rates remaining stable grows." The recent options flows in secured overnight financing rates, which are closely linked to the Fed's short-term benchmark rate, signal a more hawkish stance. New options positions are mainly concentrated in the March and June contracts to hedge against the continued delay of the Fed's next rate cut. Other positions on longer-dated contracts are expected to profit from the Fed maintaining rates unchanged throughout the year. Robin stated that whether the market believes the Fed will hold steady or not, the cost of these trades is very low, and as a prudent risk manager, you would want to hold such positions. (Jin10)

Options market bets are increasing that the Federal Reserve will keep rates unchanged for the whole year.

&nbsp;Ethereum co-founder Vitalik Buterin reviewed the blockchain vision of 2014 on social media: at that time, the idea was to have permissionless decentralized applications that could support functions such as finance, social media, shared mobility, organizational governance, crowdfunding, and more, potentially creating a completely different alternative network, all built on a single set of technologies. Over the past five years, this core vision has sometimes become blurred, with various "meta-narratives" and "themes" once dominating. But the core vision has never disappeared. In fact, the core technology supporting this vision is becoming increasingly powerful.

[Vitalik published an article reflecting on his 2014 vision for blockchain, stating that a decentralized revival is on the horizon.]&nbsp;Ethereum co-founder Vitalik Buterin reviewed the blockchain vision of 2014 on social media: at that time, the idea was to have permissionless decentralized applications that could support functions such as finance, social media, shared mobility, organizational governance, crowdfunding, and more, potentially creating a completely different alternative network, all built on a single set of technologies. Over the past five years, this core vision has sometimes become blurred, with various "meta-narratives" and "themes" once dominating. But the core vision has never disappeared. In fact, the core technology supporting this vision is becoming increasingly powerful.

Vitalik published an article reflecting on his 2014 vision for blockchain, stating that a decentralized revival is on the horizon.

&nbsp;news of a possible early election by the Japanese government continues to spread, and the Japanese stock market has hit a historic high for the second consecutive day. The Nikkei 225 index closed up 1.48% at 54,341.23 points, with the closing price exceeding 54,000 points for the first time. On the other hand, the yen and bonds continue to decline, with the USD/JPY hovering above the 159 level, currently up 0.14%.&nbsp;

[The Nikkei stock index hit a new record high for the second consecutive day, closing above 54,000 points.]&nbsp;news of a possible early election by the Japanese government continues to spread, and the Japanese stock market has hit a historic high for the second consecutive day. The Nikkei 225 index closed up 1.48% at 54,341.23 points, with the closing price exceeding 54,000 points for the first time. On the other hand, the yen and bonds continue to decline, with the USD/JPY hovering above the 159 level, currently up 0.14%.&nbsp;

The Nikkei stock index hit a new record high for the second consecutive day, closing above 54,000 points.

Brian Martin, Head of G3 Economies Research at ANZ Bank, stated that the Federal Reserve may keep interest rates unchanged in January, but the view that the rate-cutting cycle will be paused for a long time lacks reasonable basis. He expects the Federal Reserve to lower the federal funds target rate by 25 basis points in March, cut another 25 basis points in June, and reduce the target rate to 3%-3.25% by mid-year. Martin pointed out that U.S. inflation will gradually ease in 2026.&nbsp;

[ANZ Bank: The Fed's rate-cutting cycle will not be paused for long.]Brian Martin, Head of G3 Economies Research at ANZ Bank, stated that the Federal Reserve may keep interest rates unchanged in January, but the view that the rate-cutting cycle will be paused for a long time lacks reasonable basis. He expects the Federal Reserve to lower the federal funds target rate by 25 basis points in March, cut another 25 basis points in June, and reduce the target rate to 3%-3.25% by mid-year. Martin pointed out that U.S. inflation will gradually ease in 2026.&nbsp;

ANZ Bank: The Fed's rate-cutting cycle will not be paused for long.

according to OnchainLens monitoring, as the market rises, the pension-usdt.eth whale address has closed a long position of 10,000 ETH (3x leverage, 50%), profiting 2.39 million USD. The address still holds a position of 10,000 ETH, with an unrealized profit of 2.34 million USD, and has placed an order to close the position at the price of 3710 USD.

[pension-usdt.eth closed out a long position of 10,000 ETH, making a profit of $2.39 million.]according to OnchainLens monitoring, as the market rises, the pension-usdt.eth whale address has closed a long position of 10,000 ETH (3x leverage, 50%), profiting 2.39 million USD. The address still holds a position of 10,000 ETH, with an unrealized profit of 2.34 million USD, and has placed an order to close the position at the price of 3710 USD.

pension-usdt.eth closed out a long position of 10,000 ETH, making a profit of $2.39 million.

several Bitcoin advocacy organizations, including the Bitcoin Policy Institute, recently jointly sent a letter to the US Congress tax leaders, urging them to expand the minimum exemption scope to include Bitcoin and major network tokens, not just stablecoins. The alliance proposed giving cash-like treatment to stablecoins that meet the GENIUS standard, while setting a $2.5 billion market cap threshold for eligible network tokens to determine which network tokens qualify for exemption, along with a single transaction limit of $600 and an annual cap of $20,000.

[Bitcoin supporters are urging Congress to extend transaction tax exemptions to BTC and major online tokens.]several Bitcoin advocacy organizations, including the Bitcoin Policy Institute, recently jointly sent a letter to the US Congress tax leaders, urging them to expand the minimum exemption scope to include Bitcoin and major network tokens, not just stablecoins. The alliance proposed giving cash-like treatment to stablecoins that meet the GENIUS standard, while setting a $2.5 billion market cap threshold for eligible network tokens to determine which network tokens qualify for exemption, along with a single transaction limit of $600 and an annual cap of $20,000.

Bitcoin supporters are urging Congress to extend transaction tax exemptions to BTC and major online tokens.

Bitcoin Fear and Greed Index is 48. Neutral.
Current Price: $94998.87.

[Bitcoin Fear and Greed Index is 48]Bitcoin Fear and Greed Index is 48. Neutral.
Current Price: $94998.87.

Bitcoin Fear and Greed Index is 48

crypto market maker Wintermute analyzed in its digital asset OTC market review: Bitcoin's traditional four-year cycle will perform weakly in 2025, and the altcoin cycle will almost disappear. This is not a temporary adjustment but a structural change. Therefore, for the crypto market to truly rebound strongly in 2026, it highly depends on the following three key outcomes, with at least one needing to occur:

[Wintermute: Whether the market can recover in 2026 depends on three major factors; the market urgently needs an injection of fervent momentum.]crypto market maker Wintermute analyzed in its digital asset OTC market review: Bitcoin's traditional four-year cycle will perform weakly in 2025, and the altcoin cycle will almost disappear. This is not a temporary adjustment but a structural change. Therefore, for the crypto market to truly rebound strongly in 2026, it highly depends on the following three key outcomes, with at least one needing to occur:

Wintermute: Whether the market can recover in 2026 depends on three major factors; the market urgently needs an injection of fervent momentum.

BTC falls below $95,000

According to Cointelegraph, during the ecosystem’s annual gathering at Breakpoint 2022 in Libson, Solana made a series of launch announcements as it prepares to go mainstream. Vibhu Norby, the CEO and founder of Solana Spaces further unveiled the Solana Store in Miami, showcasing a walkaround video of people checking out the store. In addition, the CEO revealed that: “Now anyone, anywhere can build their own Solana Store.” While explaining the process of building a Solana store, Norby announced the launch of GeoNFTs — a nonfungible token (NFT) implementation — that allows users to geo-tag an area in their city. He further explained: “If you have a GeoNFT, you can redeem it 1-for-1 with the exclusive rights to open a Solana store in that region.” Gearing up for the Web3 disruption, Solana announced the launch of the Solana dApp Store. During the conference, a Solana spokesperson highlighted the need for a good user experience in Web3. Supporting the cause, Solana’s dApp store promises to do away with charges, revenues and fees. Moreover, the company confirmed with the interested participants that submissions would open january 2023.

Detail

【Solana launches GeoNFT and Solana dApp Store】According to Cointelegraph, during the ecosystem’s annual gathering at Breakpoint 2022 in Libson, Solana made a series of launch announcements as it prepares to go mainstream. Vibhu Norby, the CEO and founder of Solana Spaces further unveiled the Solana Store in Miami, showcasing a walkaround video of people checking out the store. In addition, the CEO revealed that: “Now anyone, anywhere can build their own Solana Store.” While explaining the process of building a Solana store, Norby announced the launch of GeoNFTs — a nonfungible token (NFT) implementation — that allows users to geo-tag an area in their city. He further explained: “If you have a GeoNFT, you can redeem it 1-for-1 with the exclusive rights to open a Solana store in that region.” Gearing up for the Web3 disruption, Solana announced the launch of the Solana dApp Store. During the conference, a Solana spokesperson highlighted the need for a good user experience in Web3. Supporting the cause, Solana’s dApp store promises to do away with charges, revenues and fees. Moreover, the company confirmed with the interested participants that submissions would open january 2023.

Solana launches GeoNFT and Solana dApp Store

Chasing Beta, Letting Go of Alpha: The Harsh Conclusion from a Century of U.S. Stock Market Data

Ethereum vs Solana: Who Really Won 2025 Across DeFi, Users, and Institutions

Can Ethereum Hit $5,000 In 2026? Prediction Markets Surge With Bullish Bets

Solana’s Network Performance Reaches Historic Peaks As Transaction Activity Climbs

Buck Foundation Launches Bitcoin Dollar Savings Coin With 7% Minute-By-Minute Rewards

2026 Potential Airdrop Projects Mega List and Tutorial (Part 1)

Why crypto Bitcoin feels harder to break despite fading capital inflows

XRP To Take Over The Solana Meme Coin Craze? Analyst Shares Best Memes To Buy

Ethereum’s BPO fork: How it will shape ETH’s 2026 prediction

‘Increasing Ethereum’s bandwidth is safer’ – Vitalik Buterin explains why

Article

Fitch Ratings expects the yen to appreciate by about 6% against the dollar this year.

BTC broke through 93000  USDT

kas soared to 0.048299 USDT, a new high with a 24-hour increase of 1.67%. It currently trades at 0.047713 USDT on HTX.

ETH broke through 3200  USDT

BTC broke through 94000  USDT

ETH broke through 3300  USDT

BTC broke through 95000  USDT

BTC broke through 96000  USDT

Spot silver once rose above the $90 mark.

XMR breaks $700, setting a new all-time high.

News

Tariffs Crash Crypto

Share Your HTX Earn Strategies and Earnings

Claim1,200 USDT in the Monthly Creation Challenge

Hit March's Interaction Leaderboard

Share Your Thoughts on Popular Assets in March

Share Crypto Stories to Win 400 USDT

Contest for HTX Community's Most Popular Post

Post To Earn Bonus

Share Your Thoughts on Popular Assets in June

Check In Daily, Win Prizes Daily — Join the Fun!

Topic

Special

Post

HTX Year-End Carnival: 150,000 USDT Over 28 Days!

The Sichuanese "老子" Meme Taking Crypto by Storm

人生K线: The AI Fortune-Telling Meme Coin

“我踏马来了”: The Meme Coin from Yi He's 2026 Tweet

Love & Consensus: The Heart of $Broccoli

Brev: ZK Omnichain Data Proof

B: Hybrid L2 with Bitcoin Security & EVM

SQD: Decentralized Multi-Chain Data

ZkPass: zkTLS Oracle Network

2025 Investment: Share Your Insights, Win 200 USDT

Kaspa: Scalable L1 via GHOSTDAG

IR: Core Infrastructure for Berachain's PoL

Building AI DApps on US

Kyo: Top Native veDEX on Soneium

SOMI: EVM L1 for Mass Consumer Apps

U: Programmable Stablecoin Infrastructure

Economy of 1 Billion $RAVE

FHE & HTTPZ: New Web Protocol

WET: Solana's Dark Pool AMM

Recommend

Follow

Articles

Community

Solana launches GeoNFT and Solana dApp Store

Disclaimer：Il contenuto di cui sopra non rappresenta le posizioni di HTX.，HTX non fornisce alcuna raccomandazione di trading.。

Articoli correlati

Tutti i commenti0RecentePopolare

Temi di tendenza

Articoli correlati