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On June 17, CNBC reported that the Federal Reserve will release its latest dot plot on Wednesday, showing officials' expectations for interest rate trends. However, most Wall Street Fed watchers expect that new Fed Chair Waller may not participate, either because he feels unprepared or simply because he dislikes the dot plot. Waller has previously expressed opposition to the dot plot and other forward guidance methods, arguing that these approaches limit the Fed's decision-making capabilities. If Waller refuses to provide dot plot expectations, it would contradict nearly 14 years of practice since the financial crisis and could alienate him from other Fed officials who support this communication method. However, for Waller, who has committed to fundamentally reforming the institution's operations, this may be an effective first step. "In my view, he likely does not want to submit interest rate forecasts," said former Fed monetary policy chief and current Yale professor Bill English. "There may be others on the committee who also dislike the dot plot, and they might be willing to do the same." (The image shows the dot plot released by the Fed in March this year.)

[Waller May Refuse to Provide Fed Dot Plot Expectations, Breaking 14-Year Tradition]On June 17, CNBC reported that the Federal Reserve will release its latest dot plot on Wednesday, showing officials' expectations for interest rate trends. However, most Wall Street Fed watchers expect that new Fed Chair Waller may not participate, either because he feels unprepared or simply because he dislikes the dot plot. Waller has previously expressed opposition to the dot plot and other forward guidance methods, arguing that these approaches limit the Fed's decision-making capabilities. If Waller refuses to provide dot plot expectations, it would contradict nearly 14 years of practice since the financial crisis and could alienate him from other Fed officials who support this communication method. However, for Waller, who has committed to fundamentally reforming the institution's operations, this may be an effective first step. "In my view, he likely does not want to submit interest rate forecasts," said former Fed monetary policy chief and current Yale professor Bill English. "There may be others on the committee who also dislike the dot plot, and they might be willing to do the same." (The image shows the dot plot released by the Fed in March this year.)

Waller May Refuse to Provide Fed Dot Plot Expectations, Breaking 14-Year Tradition

On June 17, according to CME's 'FedWatch': The probability of the Federal Reserve keeping interest rates unchanged in June is 99.5%, with a cumulative probability of a 25 basis point cut at 0.5%. The probability of the Fed maintaining rates unchanged until July is 92%, with a cumulative probability of a 25 basis point increase at 7.9%, and a cumulative probability of a 25 basis point cut at 0%.

[99.5% Probability of Fed Keeping Rates Unchanged This Week]On June 17, according to CME's 'FedWatch': The probability of the Federal Reserve keeping interest rates unchanged in June is 99.5%, with a cumulative probability of a 25 basis point cut at 0.5%. The probability of the Fed maintaining rates unchanged until July is 92%, with a cumulative probability of a 25 basis point increase at 7.9%, and a cumulative probability of a 25 basis point cut at 0%.

99.5% Probability of Fed Keeping Rates Unchanged This Week

The once-dominant Memecoin issuance platform on Solana, Pump.fun, has seen a continuous deterioration in activity, with a significant decline in token graduation rates, platform revenue, and Solana network fees in recent months. Data shows that the seven-day average token graduation rate for Pump.fun dropped to 0.26% last week, marking an 80% decrease over the past three months. Meanwhile, the platform's average revenue from June to date is approximately $800,000, significantly lower than the average daily revenue of about $4.8 million six months ago. In June, Pump.fun's revenue fell by 25% month-over-month, and the token graduation rate decreased by 53% in the same period. This disparity indicates that the platform may still be maintaining some dollar revenue through auxiliary income from PumpSwap AMM trading fees and sponsorship for token listings, but its core function—pushing newly issued tokens to higher market cap stages—has significantly weakened. The decline of Pump.fun is also reflected in the price of the PUMP token, which has dropped about 40% over the past six months. At the same time, trader interest is shifting from Memecoin issuance on the Solana chain to other trading scenarios such as perpetual contracts, further driving down Solana network fees.

[Pump.fun Activity Declines by 80% Over Three Months]The once-dominant Memecoin issuance platform on Solana, Pump.fun, has seen a continuous deterioration in activity, with a significant decline in token graduation rates, platform revenue, and Solana network fees in recent months. Data shows that the seven-day average token graduation rate for Pump.fun dropped to 0.26% last week, marking an 80% decrease over the past three months. Meanwhile, the platform's average revenue from June to date is approximately $800,000, significantly lower than the average daily revenue of about $4.8 million six months ago. In June, Pump.fun's revenue fell by 25% month-over-month, and the token graduation rate decreased by 53% in the same period. This disparity indicates that the platform may still be maintaining some dollar revenue through auxiliary income from PumpSwap AMM trading fees and sponsorship for token listings, but its core function—pushing newly issued tokens to higher market cap stages—has significantly weakened. The decline of Pump.fun is also reflected in the price of the PUMP token, which has dropped about 40% over the past six months. At the same time, trader interest is shifting from Memecoin issuance on the Solana chain to other trading scenarios such as perpetual contracts, further driving down Solana network fees.

Pump.fun Activity Declines by 80% Over Three Months

On June 17, foreign media reported on the 16th that a memorandum of understanding between the United States and Iran includes a $300 billion private fund aimed at stimulating investment in Iran, with over half of the amount already secured in funding commitments. According to sources, the fund is designed to 'provide economic incentives for both parties to facilitate the final agreement' and is a 'private investment tool' that does not include any government funds or grants. Companies based in the United States, Gulf countries, as well as those from Asia, South America, and Africa have already committed to invest, covering sectors such as energy, logistics, manufacturing, and transportation. (Xinhua News Agency)

[Foreign Media: Over Half of $300 Billion Fund in US-Iran Agreement Secured Funding Commitments]On June 17, foreign media reported on the 16th that a memorandum of understanding between the United States and Iran includes a $300 billion private fund aimed at stimulating investment in Iran, with over half of the amount already secured in funding commitments. According to sources, the fund is designed to 'provide economic incentives for both parties to facilitate the final agreement' and is a 'private investment tool' that does not include any government funds or grants. Companies based in the United States, Gulf countries, as well as those from Asia, South America, and Africa have already committed to invest, covering sectors such as energy, logistics, manufacturing, and transportation. (Xinhua News Agency)

Foreign Media: Over Half of $300 Billion Fund in US-Iran Agreement Secured Funding Commitments

On June 17, Iranian sources reported on the 16th that Iran will not allow International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA) personnel to enter its nuclear facilities for inspections during negotiations with the United States.

[Iran Temporarily Denies IAEA Access to Nuclear Facilities]On June 17, Iranian sources reported on the 16th that Iran will not allow International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA) personnel to enter its nuclear facilities for inspections during negotiations with the United States.

Iran Temporarily Denies IAEA Access to Nuclear Facilities

On June 17, OpenAI developers announced that more features of Codex are being gradually rolled out to users across Europe this week. We are providing computer operation capabilities, the Codex Chrome extension, personalized memory features, and Chronicle to Codex users in the European Economic Area, the UK, and Switzerland.

[OpenAI Developer: More Codex Features Rolling Out Across Europe This Week]On June 17, OpenAI developers announced that more features of Codex are being gradually rolled out to users across Europe this week. We are providing computer operation capabilities, the Codex Chrome extension, personalized memory features, and Chronicle to Codex users in the European Economic Area, the UK, and Switzerland.

OpenAI Developer: More Codex Features Rolling Out Across Europe This Week

On June 17, U.S. intelligence assessments indicated that Iran, after demonstrating relevant capabilities during conflicts, still has the potential to close the Strait of Hormuz again. Although a deal to reopen the Strait is anticipated, Tehran retains capabilities in missiles, drones, speedboats, and mine-laying, which could disrupt global energy transportation. Intelligence officials stated that Iran has gained leverage over this critical trade route and may use regional energy infrastructure as a tool for pressure.

[U.S. Intelligence: Iran Still Capable of Closing the Strait of Hormuz Again]On June 17, U.S. intelligence assessments indicated that Iran, after demonstrating relevant capabilities during conflicts, still has the potential to close the Strait of Hormuz again. Although a deal to reopen the Strait is anticipated, Tehran retains capabilities in missiles, drones, speedboats, and mine-laying, which could disrupt global energy transportation. Intelligence officials stated that Iran has gained leverage over this critical trade route and may use regional energy infrastructure as a tool for pressure.

U.S. Intelligence: Iran Still Capable of Closing the Strait of Hormuz Again

The US Dollar Index fell 0.09% on the 16th, closing at 99.540 in the foreign exchange market.

[US Dollar Index Falls 0.09% on 16th]The US Dollar Index fell 0.09% on the 16th, closing at 99.540 in the foreign exchange market.

US Dollar Index Falls 0.09% on 16th

On June 17, the three major U.S. stock indices showed mixed results, with the Dow Jones rising by 0.64%, the S&P 500 falling by 0.57%, and the Nasdaq dropping by 1.15%. SpaceX saw an intraday increase of over 16%, but fell back in the closing hours to finish with a gain of 4.8%. Most chip stocks declined, with Intel down over 8%, AMD down over 7%, Micron Technology down over 6%, SanDisk down over 5%, ASML and Broadcom down over 4%, while Western Digital rose by 4.2%.

[U.S. Stock Indices Mixed, SpaceX Falls Back but Still Gains 4.8%]On June 17, the three major U.S. stock indices showed mixed results, with the Dow Jones rising by 0.64%, the S&P 500 falling by 0.57%, and the Nasdaq dropping by 1.15%. SpaceX saw an intraday increase of over 16%, but fell back in the closing hours to finish with a gain of 4.8%. Most chip stocks declined, with Intel down over 8%, AMD down over 7%, Micron Technology down over 6%, SanDisk down over 5%, ASML and Broadcom down over 4%, while Western Digital rose by 4.2%.

U.S. Stock Indices Mixed, SpaceX Falls Back but Still Gains 4.8%

16 июня Банк Японии повысил свою процентную ставку на 25 базисных пунктов, увеличив целевую ставку с 0,75% до 1,00%, что является самым высоким уровнем за 31 год, в соответствии с ожиданиями рынка. Это решение последовало после трех последовательных заседаний, на которых ставки оставались без изменений.

[Банк Японии повышает процентную ставку на 25 базисных пунктов, как и ожидалось]16 июня Банк Японии повысил свою процентную ставку на 25 базисных пунктов, увеличив целевую ставку с 0,75% до 1,00%, что является самым высоким уровнем за 31 год, в соответствии с ожиданиями рынка. Это решение последовало после трех последовательных заседаний, на которых ставки оставались без изменений.

Банк Японии повышает процентную ставку на 25 базисных пунктов, как и ожидалось

Just Now, Claude Mythos 5 Released, Handles 50 Million Lines of Code in One Day

SemiAnalysis Report Claims Delay in Two Key Technologies, Triggers Sharp Decline in 'Optoelectronics', Sparking Online Debate Over CPO

$500 Billion, 20-Year Lease: OpenAI in Talks for 10GW Ohio Data Center, Nvidia Set to Act as Credit 'Backstop'

Internet-Famous Institution Battles White-Haired Stock God: What Does the Report That Crashed CPO Stocks Actually Recommend?

SpaceX's Core Window for Listed Trading: July 7th Nasdaq Inclusion Date and Post-Q2 Earnings Lockup Expiration

TON Revives the Gram Brand, a Name That Disappeared Six Years Ago Returns

Top Crypto Coins With Real Use Cases To Watch in June 2026: NEAR, HYPE, Humanity Protocol, and BlockDAG Compared

Sequoia Dialogue with Jensen Huang: Computing Model Undergoes a 60-Year Transformation; You Won't Be Replaced by AI, But You Will Be Dimensionality-Reduced by 'Those Who Master AI'

The Recursive AI Anthropic Warned About: Tian Yuandong's New Company Has Just Taken the "First Step"

"Agents' Last Exam", Claude Fable 5 Actually Loses to GPT 5.5

Article

Musk's Wealth Increases by Nearly $140 Billion in One Day

Vance: US-Iran Memorandum is Approximately One and a Half Pages Long

Банк Японии повышает процентную ставку на 25 базисных пунктов, как и ожидалось

Disclaimer：Il contenuto di cui sopra non rappresenta le posizioni di HTX.，HTX non fornisce alcuna raccomandazione di trading.。

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