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On the 18th local time, Iranian Deputy Foreign Minister Katibzadeh stated that the messages from the U.S. are "contradictory and vague," and that the specific date for the next round of negotiations has not yet been determined. Katibzadeh expressed that Iran has no intention of interpreting the motives behind the U.S. statements, stating, "I do not want to judge their intentions; whether these statements comply with international law should be judged by the American people." Regarding U.S.-Iran negotiations, Katibzadeh mentioned that the specific timing for the next round of talks has not yet been established.

[Iranian Deputy Foreign Minister Says Date for Next Round of Talks with U.S. Not Yet Determined]On the 18th local time, Iranian Deputy Foreign Minister Katibzadeh stated that the messages from the U.S. are "contradictory and vague," and that the specific date for the next round of negotiations has not yet been determined. Katibzadeh expressed that Iran has no intention of interpreting the motives behind the U.S. statements, stating, "I do not want to judge their intentions; whether these statements comply with international law should be judged by the American people." Regarding U.S.-Iran negotiations, Katibzadeh mentioned that the specific timing for the next round of talks has not yet been established.

Iranian Deputy Foreign Minister Says Date for Next Round of Talks with U.S. Not Yet Determined

On April 18, Al Jazeera reported that when asked about a possible new round of negotiations with the U.S., Iranian Deputy Foreign Minister Seyed Katibzadeh stated that talks cannot proceed until both sides reach an agreement on a common framework. "We cannot determine the date for negotiations until we agree on the framework," Katibzadeh said. He emphasized that any content agreed upon by Iran in the negotiations must be able to uphold its rights under international law. Iran will not accept being an exception outside of international law, nor will it relinquish its rights.

[Iran's Deputy Foreign Minister: Date for Next Round of Talks with U.S. Uncertain Until Agreement is Reached]On April 18, Al Jazeera reported that when asked about a possible new round of negotiations with the U.S., Iranian Deputy Foreign Minister Seyed Katibzadeh stated that talks cannot proceed until both sides reach an agreement on a common framework. "We cannot determine the date for negotiations until we agree on the framework," Katibzadeh said. He emphasized that any content agreed upon by Iran in the negotiations must be able to uphold its rights under international law. Iran will not accept being an exception outside of international law, nor will it relinquish its rights.

Iran's Deputy Foreign Minister: Date for Next Round of Talks with U.S. Uncertain Until Agreement is Reached

On April 18, global markets saw a significant rebound over the past week, driven by expectations of easing tensions in the Middle East, but core uncertainties remain unresolved. Iran had announced the reopening of the Strait of Hormuz, leading to a rapid decline in oil prices, a broad strengthening of risk assets, new highs in US stocks, a weaker dollar, and gold approaching the $4,900 mark. However, Iran subsequently signaled that it remains under military control, combined with the US maintaining its blockade on Iran, which has heightened market concerns about the fluctuating situation. On a macro level, the biggest variable next week will still be the progress of US-Iran negotiations. President Trump indicated that negotiations could advance over the weekend and warned that if an agreement is not reached by next Wednesday, the ceasefire may end, and the risk of renewed conflict exists; meanwhile, Iran's stance on the negotiations remains cautious, particularly regarding key issues such as uranium enrichment. The market has shifted from pricing in 'escalation of conflict' to 'pricing in a path to de-escalation,' but any sudden changes could still trigger significant asset volatility. In terms of interest rate expectations, the decline in energy prices has alleviated inflationary pressures, with the market's expectation for a rate cut by the Federal Reserve this year rising to about 60%. Additionally, Kevin Warsh, the nominee for Federal Reserve Chair, will attend a Senate hearing next week, and his policy stance (especially whether it leans dovish) will be an important variable affecting gold and risk assets. Key upcoming data includes: Tuesday at 20:30, US March retail sales month-on-month; Thursday at 20:30, initial jobless claims for the week ending April 18; Thursday at 21:45, preliminary April S&P Global Manufacturing/Services PMI; and Friday at 22:00, final April University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index and one-year inflation expectations. In the short term, the market's main focus will revolve around three key variables: progress in US-Iran negotiations, oil price trends, and signals from the Federal Reserve.

[Macroeconomic Outlook for Next Week: Focus on US-Iran Negotiations and Federal Reserve Personnel Changes, Middle East Situation Continues to Disturb Markets]On April 18, global markets saw a significant rebound over the past week, driven by expectations of easing tensions in the Middle East, but core uncertainties remain unresolved. Iran had announced the reopening of the Strait of Hormuz, leading to a rapid decline in oil prices, a broad strengthening of risk assets, new highs in US stocks, a weaker dollar, and gold approaching the $4,900 mark. However, Iran subsequently signaled that it remains under military control, combined with the US maintaining its blockade on Iran, which has heightened market concerns about the fluctuating situation. On a macro level, the biggest variable next week will still be the progress of US-Iran negotiations. President Trump indicated that negotiations could advance over the weekend and warned that if an agreement is not reached by next Wednesday, the ceasefire may end, and the risk of renewed conflict exists; meanwhile, Iran's stance on the negotiations remains cautious, particularly regarding key issues such as uranium enrichment. The market has shifted from pricing in 'escalation of conflict' to 'pricing in a path to de-escalation,' but any sudden changes could still trigger significant asset volatility. In terms of interest rate expectations, the decline in energy prices has alleviated inflationary pressures, with the market's expectation for a rate cut by the Federal Reserve this year rising to about 60%. Additionally, Kevin Warsh, the nominee for Federal Reserve Chair, will attend a Senate hearing next week, and his policy stance (especially whether it leans dovish) will be an important variable affecting gold and risk assets. Key upcoming data includes: Tuesday at 20:30, US March retail sales month-on-month; Thursday at 20:30, initial jobless claims for the week ending April 18; Thursday at 21:45, preliminary April S&P Global Manufacturing/Services PMI; and Friday at 22:00, final April University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index and one-year inflation expectations. In the short term, the market's main focus will revolve around three key variables: progress in US-Iran negotiations, oil price trends, and signals from the Federal Reserve.

Macroeconomic Outlook for Next Week: Focus on US-Iran Negotiations and Federal Reserve Personnel Changes, Middle East Situation Continues to Disturb Markets

Former UK Prime Minister Liz Truss stated that the UK economy is on a very negative trajectory, attributing the issues to currency devaluation and a lack of a 'sound monetary system', while expressing her support for Bitcoin. Truss pointed out that long-term inflation and monetary expansion weaken the value of the pound, and that Bitcoin can serve as a tool to combat currency devaluation and excessive centralized control. She mentioned that she is 'very interested' in cryptocurrencies and revealed that she had encountered cryptocurrencies during her earlier work at the UK Treasury.

[Former UK Prime Minister Truss: Bitcoin as a Tool Against Currency Devaluation and Excessive Centralized Control]Former UK Prime Minister Liz Truss stated that the UK economy is on a very negative trajectory, attributing the issues to currency devaluation and a lack of a 'sound monetary system', while expressing her support for Bitcoin. Truss pointed out that long-term inflation and monetary expansion weaken the value of the pound, and that Bitcoin can serve as a tool to combat currency devaluation and excessive centralized control. She mentioned that she is 'very interested' in cryptocurrencies and revealed that she had encountered cryptocurrencies during her earlier work at the UK Treasury.

Former UK Prime Minister Truss: Bitcoin as a Tool Against Currency Devaluation and Excessive Centralized Control

On April 18, the maritime intelligence company 'TankerTrackers' reported on social media that two Indian vessels attempting to cross the Strait of Hormuz were forced back by the Iranian Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps Navy, during which gunfire occurred. One of the vessels was a very large tanker flying the Indian flag. Iran has not yet commented on the incident.

[Iranian Military Fires on Tankers Attempting to Cross Strait of Hormuz]On April 18, the maritime intelligence company 'TankerTrackers' reported on social media that two Indian vessels attempting to cross the Strait of Hormuz were forced back by the Iranian Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps Navy, during which gunfire occurred. One of the vessels was a very large tanker flying the Indian flag. Iran has not yet commented on the incident.

Iranian Military Fires on Tankers Attempting to Cross Strait of Hormuz

On April 18, an Israel Defense Forces (IDF) spokesperson issued a statement regarding the situation during the ceasefire in Lebanon, stating that in the past 24 hours, IDF troops operating south of the 'Blue Line' in southern Lebanon eliminated several members of Hezbollah who violated the ceasefire agreement and posed an 'immediate threat' to the IDF. The statement noted that the IDF used artillery to support ground operations in the area. In response to the threats faced, the IDF destroyed some of Hezbollah's infrastructure. The IDF spokesperson emphasized that the military operations were conducted based on directives from the political level. The IDF is authorized to take necessary measures for self-defense against threats, and such self-defense actions and efforts to eliminate threats are not restricted by the ceasefire agreement.

[IDF Continues Strikes Against Hezbollah in Southern Lebanon, Accuses Violating Ceasefire Agreement]On April 18, an Israel Defense Forces (IDF) spokesperson issued a statement regarding the situation during the ceasefire in Lebanon, stating that in the past 24 hours, IDF troops operating south of the 'Blue Line' in southern Lebanon eliminated several members of Hezbollah who violated the ceasefire agreement and posed an 'immediate threat' to the IDF. The statement noted that the IDF used artillery to support ground operations in the area. In response to the threats faced, the IDF destroyed some of Hezbollah's infrastructure. The IDF spokesperson emphasized that the military operations were conducted based on directives from the political level. The IDF is authorized to take necessary measures for self-defense against threats, and such self-defense actions and efforts to eliminate threats are not restricted by the ceasefire agreement.

IDF Continues Strikes Against Hezbollah in Southern Lebanon, Accuses Violating Ceasefire Agreement

U.S. Central Command: The U.S. military is implementing a naval blockade on vessels entering and exiting Iranian ports and coastal areas.

[U.S. Central Command: U.S. Military Implementing Naval Blockade on Vessels Entering and Exiting Iranian Ports and Coastal Areas]U.S. Central Command: The U.S. military is implementing a naval blockade on vessels entering and exiting Iranian ports and coastal areas.

U.S. Central Command: U.S. Military Implementing Naval Blockade on Vessels Entering and Exiting Iranian Ports and Coastal Areas

On April 18, according to Xinhua News Agency, vessel tracking data indicated that approximately 10 ships attempted to pass through the Strait of Hormuz on the 18th but ultimately turned back. Shipping trajectories showed that several vessels turned back after reaching waters near Iran's Larak Island. The data revealed that many of these vessels were oil tankers, with several having their destination listed as India in the Automatic Identification System. Iranian Foreign Minister Amir-Abdollahian announced on the 17th that the Strait of Hormuz would be open to all commercial ships during the ceasefire between Lebanon and Israel. However, Iranian media reported on the 18th that due to the United States' 'repeated breaches of promises,' the Iranian military has tightened its control over the Strait of Hormuz again.

[Multiple Vessels Attempt to Transit the Strait of Hormuz but Ultimately Turn Back]On April 18, according to Xinhua News Agency, vessel tracking data indicated that approximately 10 ships attempted to pass through the Strait of Hormuz on the 18th but ultimately turned back. Shipping trajectories showed that several vessels turned back after reaching waters near Iran's Larak Island. The data revealed that many of these vessels were oil tankers, with several having their destination listed as India in the Automatic Identification System. Iranian Foreign Minister Amir-Abdollahian announced on the 17th that the Strait of Hormuz would be open to all commercial ships during the ceasefire between Lebanon and Israel. However, Iranian media reported on the 18th that due to the United States' 'repeated breaches of promises,' the Iranian military has tightened its control over the Strait of Hormuz again.

Multiple Vessels Attempt to Transit the Strait of Hormuz but Ultimately Turn Back

On April 18, U.S. President Trump released several key signals regarding the situation in the Middle East within the past 24 hours: The Strait is open but the blockade continues: confirmed that the Strait of Hormuz has resumed navigation, but the maritime blockade against Iran will remain in place until the agreement is '100% completed.' Major statement on nuclear issues: stated that Iran has agreed to indefinitely suspend its nuclear program, and the U.S. will participate in recovering its enriched uranium and transporting it back to the U.S., while emphasizing that no unfrozen funds will be provided. Ceasefire and negotiation window: indicated that negotiations will continue over the weekend, and if no agreement is reached by next Wednesday, the resumption of war cannot be ruled out. Response to policy differences: regarding the inconsistent statements from the U.S. and Iran, he stated that Iran 'needs to say different things internally.' Strait toll controversy: clearly stated that no tolls will be charged for passage through the Strait of Hormuz. Regional security intervention: mentioned that the U.S. has prohibited Israel from continuing to bomb Lebanon and plans to handle the Hezbollah issue separately. Additionally, Trump released several strong political signals: criticized NATO as 'useless at critical moments' and condemned some allies for not cooperating; once again accused media outlets such as The New York Times and CNN of inaccurate reporting; expressed gratitude to Saudi Arabia, the UAE, Qatar, and Pakistan for their support in actions; revealed that he will soon publish the first batch of UFO-related documents and announced that he will sign an executive order and hold a press conference on Saturday. Overall, Trump is dominating market and diplomatic expectations through frequent statements, continuously releasing signals of both toughness and uncertainty within the framework of 'ceasefire—negotiation—blockade' operating on multiple fronts.

[Trump's Intensive 24-Hour Statements: Escalation on Iran Issues, Blockade Policies, and NATO Controversies]On April 18, U.S. President Trump released several key signals regarding the situation in the Middle East within the past 24 hours: The Strait is open but the blockade continues: confirmed that the Strait of Hormuz has resumed navigation, but the maritime blockade against Iran will remain in place until the agreement is '100% completed.' Major statement on nuclear issues: stated that Iran has agreed to indefinitely suspend its nuclear program, and the U.S. will participate in recovering its enriched uranium and transporting it back to the U.S., while emphasizing that no unfrozen funds will be provided. Ceasefire and negotiation window: indicated that negotiations will continue over the weekend, and if no agreement is reached by next Wednesday, the resumption of war cannot be ruled out. Response to policy differences: regarding the inconsistent statements from the U.S. and Iran, he stated that Iran 'needs to say different things internally.' Strait toll controversy: clearly stated that no tolls will be charged for passage through the Strait of Hormuz. Regional security intervention: mentioned that the U.S. has prohibited Israel from continuing to bomb Lebanon and plans to handle the Hezbollah issue separately. Additionally, Trump released several strong political signals: criticized NATO as 'useless at critical moments' and condemned some allies for not cooperating; once again accused media outlets such as The New York Times and CNN of inaccurate reporting; expressed gratitude to Saudi Arabia, the UAE, Qatar, and Pakistan for their support in actions; revealed that he will soon publish the first batch of UFO-related documents and announced that he will sign an executive order and hold a press conference on Saturday. Overall, Trump is dominating market and diplomatic expectations through frequent statements, continuously releasing signals of both toughness and uncertainty within the framework of 'ceasefire—negotiation—blockade' operating on multiple fronts.

Trump's Intensive 24-Hour Statements: Escalation on Iran Issues, Blockade Policies, and NATO Controversies

On April 18, Fed's Daly stated that rates may remain unchanged; however, if inflation accelerates, rate hikes will be necessary; if conflicts end quickly, rate cuts may be possible.

[Fed's Daly: Rate Hikes Needed if Inflation Accelerates]On April 18, Fed's Daly stated that rates may remain unchanged; however, if inflation accelerates, rate hikes will be necessary; if conflicts end quickly, rate cuts may be possible.

Fed's Daly: Rate Hikes Needed if Inflation Accelerates

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Disclaimer：Il contenuto di cui sopra non rappresenta le posizioni di HTX.，HTX non fornisce alcuna raccomandazione di trading.。

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