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On Friday, the demand for put options (the right to sell) on the Deribit platform was nearly 2.5 times that of equivalent call options (the right to buy), indicating an increased demand for neutral to bearish strategies in the market. Some of this pessimism can be attributed to soaring energy prices. WTI crude oil prices have remained above $94 since March 12th, a 50% increase from the previous month. Disruptions to oil and gas production and logistics in the Middle East have negatively impacted economic growth expectations and limited the Federal Reserve's ability to significantly cut interest rates due to inflationary pressures.
While net outflows of $254 million over two days are unlikely to signal a shift to bearishness among institutional investors, traders are not convinced that Bitcoin can hold the $68,000 level. Trader sentiment is primarily driven by deteriorating macroeconomic conditions and the uncertainty brought by ongoing conflicts, leading to increased demand for downside protection in derivatives.

[Analysis: Bitcoin Options Show Fear, Traders Doubt $68K Support]On Friday, the demand for put options (the right to sell) on the Deribit platform was nearly 2.5 times that of equivalent call options (the right to buy), indicating an increased demand for neutral to bearish strategies in the market. Some of this pessimism can be attributed to soaring energy prices. WTI crude oil prices have remained above $94 since March 12th, a 50% increase from the previous month. Disruptions to oil and gas production and logistics in the Middle East have negatively impacted economic growth expectations and limited the Federal Reserve's ability to significantly cut interest rates due to inflationary pressures.
While net outflows of $254 million over two days are unlikely to signal a shift to bearishness among institutional investors, traders are not convinced that Bitcoin can hold the $68,000 level. Trader sentiment is primarily driven by deteriorating macroeconomic conditions and the uncertainty brought by ongoing conflicts, leading to increased demand for downside protection in derivatives.

Analysis: Bitcoin Options Show Fear, Traders Doubt $68K Support

President Trump's decision to go to war with Iran, partly influenced by external allies while his own White House team adopted a more restrained stance, highlights how existing checks and balances have been replaced by a "green light" signal in his second term. Those who privately urged Trump to act against Iran include Israeli Prime Minister Netanyahu, media mogul Rupert Murdoch, and some conservative commentators, according to sources familiar with the matter. The News Corp founder communicated with Trump multiple times, urging him to take action against Tehran. Meanwhile, some of Trump's closest advisors were more reserved about the prospect of armed conflict, including Vice President Vance, Secretary of State Rubio, and White House Chief of Staff Susie Wells. Few, if any, told him to his face that it was an ill-considered decision. Wells reportedly tried to ensure the president was fully briefed on the various options, while Vance urged senior officials to speak frankly with the president and discuss the possibility of war. In a closed-door meeting before the attack, Vance also inquired about the specifics of how a war would unfold. The initiation of this war marks one of the most significant decisions of Trump's second term. The decision has pushed his administration to the brink of domestic and international crisis, shaken U.S. alliances, driven up energy costs, and complicated the Republican Party's prospects in the midterm elections. Despite these factors, Trump remained resolute, stating that the decision on when to end the war would be his alone. This demonstrates the extent of the president's power to act on his own instincts and shows how little opposition he faced within his team, even as he abandoned key campaign promises such as ending overseas wars.

[Analysis: Trump's Decision to Engage Iran Exposes Limitations of a 'Compliant Cabinet']President Trump's decision to go to war with Iran, partly influenced by external allies while his own White House team adopted a more restrained stance, highlights how existing checks and balances have been replaced by a "green light" signal in his second term. Those who privately urged Trump to act against Iran include Israeli Prime Minister Netanyahu, media mogul Rupert Murdoch, and some conservative commentators, according to sources familiar with the matter. The News Corp founder communicated with Trump multiple times, urging him to take action against Tehran. Meanwhile, some of Trump's closest advisors were more reserved about the prospect of armed conflict, including Vice President Vance, Secretary of State Rubio, and White House Chief of Staff Susie Wells. Few, if any, told him to his face that it was an ill-considered decision. Wells reportedly tried to ensure the president was fully briefed on the various options, while Vance urged senior officials to speak frankly with the president and discuss the possibility of war. In a closed-door meeting before the attack, Vance also inquired about the specifics of how a war would unfold. The initiation of this war marks one of the most significant decisions of Trump's second term. The decision has pushed his administration to the brink of domestic and international crisis, shaken U.S. alliances, driven up energy costs, and complicated the Republican Party's prospects in the midterm elections. Despite these factors, Trump remained resolute, stating that the decision on when to end the war would be his alone. This demonstrates the extent of the president's power to act on his own instincts and shows how little opposition he faced within his team, even as he abandoned key campaign promises such as ending overseas wars.

Analysis: Trump's Decision to Engage Iran Exposes Limitations of a 'Compliant Cabinet'

On-chain data from Dune shows that US spot Bitcoin ETFs now hold a total of over 1.58 million BTC. The current holdings stand at 1.582 million BTC, representing 7.91% of the circulating BTC supply. In the past week, there has been an inflow of 16,120 BTC, with the on-chain holdings valued at $160.2 billion.

[US Spot Bitcoin ETFs Hold Over 1.58 Million BTC On-Chain]On-chain data from Dune shows that US spot Bitcoin ETFs now hold a total of over 1.58 million BTC. The current holdings stand at 1.582 million BTC, representing 7.91% of the circulating BTC supply. In the past week, there has been an inflow of 16,120 BTC, with the on-chain holdings valued at $160.2 billion.

US Spot Bitcoin ETFs Hold Over 1.58 Million BTC On-Chain

According to official data from BlackRock, as of March 19th, IBIT's holdings have reached a market value of $54,541,293,514.12, with the total amount of BTC held reaching 785,308.84570.

[BlackRock IBIT Holdings Reach $54.5 Billion]According to official data from BlackRock, as of March 19th, IBIT's holdings have reached a market value of $54,541,293,514.12, with the total amount of BTC held reaching 785,308.84570.

BlackRock IBIT Holdings Reach $54.5 Billion

According to CoinGecko data, the total market capitalization of AI agent sector tokens has fallen to $2.931 billion, with a 24-hour increase of 2.4%. Among them:
FET saw a 24-hour increase of 1.9%, with its market cap currently at $506 million;
VIRTUAL experienced a 24-hour decrease of 0.1%, with its market cap currently at $456 million;
KITE recorded a 24-hour increase of 0.3%, with its market cap currently at $395 million.

[AI Agent Token Market Cap Reaches $2.9 Billion]According to CoinGecko data, the total market capitalization of AI agent sector tokens has fallen to $2.931 billion, with a 24-hour increase of 2.4%. Among them:
FET saw a 24-hour increase of 1.9%, with its market cap currently at $506 million;
VIRTUAL experienced a 24-hour decrease of 0.1%, with its market cap currently at $456 million;
KITE recorded a 24-hour increase of 0.3%, with its market cap currently at $395 million.

AI Agent Token Market Cap Reaches $2.9 Billion

According to Alex Thorn, head of company-wide research at investment firm Galaxy, the recent guidance issued by the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) and the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) on establishing digital asset classifications marks "the end of an era" for SEC policy under former Chairman Gary Gensler.

The SEC's guidance, released on Tuesday, establishes a framework for classifying digital assets into five categories: digital commodities, digital collectibles (such as non-fungible tokens (NFTs)), digital instruments, stablecoins, and tokenized securities.

Thorn stated that the new regulatory approach provides much-needed clarity for the cryptocurrency industry over the next 30 months; however, he clarified that the CLARITY for Crypto Market Structure Act must be codified into law to solidify these rules for decades to come.

[Analyst: SEC's Crypto Guidance Marks "End of an Era" for Gensler's Tenure]According to Alex Thorn, head of company-wide research at investment firm Galaxy, the recent guidance issued by the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) and the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) on establishing digital asset classifications marks "the end of an era" for SEC policy under former Chairman Gary Gensler.

The SEC's guidance, released on Tuesday, establishes a framework for classifying digital assets into five categories: digital commodities, digital collectibles (such as non-fungible tokens (NFTs)), digital instruments, stablecoins, and tokenized securities.

Thorn stated that the new regulatory approach provides much-needed clarity for the cryptocurrency industry over the next 30 months; however, he clarified that the CLARITY for Crypto Market Structure Act must be codified into law to solidify these rules for decades to come.

Analyst: SEC's Crypto Guidance Marks "End of an Era" for Gensler's Tenure

According to DefiLlama data, the Total Value Locked (TVL) in the Real World Assets (RWA) sector has risen to $22.83 billion. Among them:

* Tether Gold TVL reached $3.202 billion;
* BlackRock BUIDL TVL reached $2.573 billion;
* US Yield Coin TVL reached $2.455 billion.

[RWA Sector TVL Reaches $22.83 Billion]According to DefiLlama data, the Total Value Locked (TVL) in the Real World Assets (RWA) sector has risen to $22.83 billion. Among them:

* Tether Gold TVL reached $3.202 billion;
* BlackRock BUIDL TVL reached $2.573 billion;
* US Yield Coin TVL reached $2.455 billion.

RWA Sector TVL Reaches $22.83 Billion

HTX data showed that SOL broke through 90  USDT and is now at 90.0081 USDT, with a increase of 1.18% in 24H.

[SOL broke through 90  USDT] HTX data showed that SOL broke through 90  USDT and is now at 90.0081 USDT, with a increase of 1.18% in 24H.

SOL broke through 90  USDT

According to L2BEAT data, the total value locked (TVL) on Ethereum Layer 2 has fallen to $32.34 billion, a 1.23% decrease over the past seven days. The top five protocols by TVL are:

Arbitrum One: $16.22 billion, down 0.65% in seven days;
Base: $10.94 billion, down 0.42% in seven days;
OP Mainnet: $1.57 billion, down 0.64% in seven days;
Lighter: $831 million, down 5.64% in seven days;
Starknet: $534 million, down 1.2% in seven days.

[Ethereum L2 TVL Drops to $32.34 Billion, Down 1.23% in Seven Days]According to L2BEAT data, the total value locked (TVL) on Ethereum Layer 2 has fallen to $32.34 billion, a 1.23% decrease over the past seven days. The top five protocols by TVL are:

Arbitrum One: $16.22 billion, down 0.65% in seven days;
Base: $10.94 billion, down 0.42% in seven days;
OP Mainnet: $1.57 billion, down 0.64% in seven days;
Lighter: $831 million, down 5.64% in seven days;
Starknet: $534 million, down 1.2% in seven days.

Ethereum L2 TVL Drops to $32.34 Billion, Down 1.23% in Seven Days

HTX data showed that BTC broke through 73000  USDT and is now at 73020.88 USDT, with a increase of 3.91% in 24H.

[BTC broke through 73000  USDT] HTX data showed that BTC broke through 73000  USDT and is now at 73020.88 USDT, with a increase of 3.91% in 24H.

BTC broke through 73000 USDT

Disclaimer：Il contenuto di cui sopra non rappresenta le posizioni di HTX.，HTX non fornisce alcuna raccomandazione di trading.。

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