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The USD/CAD pair dropped to a three-week low on Thursday, as rising oil prices gave a strong boost to the Canadian dollar — even though the U.S. dollar showed signs of recovery. Oil jumped about 2.4%,

The USD/CAD pair dropped to a three-week low on Thursday, as rising oil prices gave a strong boost to the Canadian dollar — even though the U.S. dollar showed signs of recovery.
Oil jumped about 2.4%, reaching $93.52 per barrel. Since Canada is a major oil exporter, higher crude prices tend to strengthen its currency, putting downward pressure on USD/CAD.
Meanwhile, the U.S. dollar managed to break an eight-day losing streak. Ongoing uncertainty around U.S.–Iran negotiations has reduced expectations of a quick resolution, adding some support to the greenback. Stronger labor market data also helped, with jobless claims falling by 11,000 to 207,000 last week.
On the domestic side, Canadian housing data showed a slight slowdown. Home sales dipped 0.1% in March, and prices also declined, signaling some cooling in the real estate market.
Looking ahead, investors expect the Bank of Canada to keep its interest rate unchanged at 2.25% in the upcoming April 29 meeting. However, markets are still pricing in one rate hike before the end of the year.
From a technical perspective, immediate resistance stands at 1.3761 (50% Fibonacci level). A break above this could push the pair toward 1.3791. On the downside, support is seen at 1.3674 (61.8% Fibonacci), with a deeper move potentially targeting 1.3642.
Trade idea: Selling around 1.3720 could be favorable, with a stop loss at 1.3770 and a target near 1.3660.
Beyond forex, broader markets are showing signs of stress:
Gold — typically seen as a safe-haven asset — is surprisingly under pressure despite geopolitical tensions, raising questions about shifting investor behavior.
Wall Street is also facing headwinds, weighed down by uncertainty surrounding the Iran situation, rising oil prices, and growing concerns about the sustainability of the AI-driven rally.
At the same time, major developments continue across industries. SpaceX is reportedly preparing for a 

The USD/CAD pair dropped to a three-week low on Th

Bitcoin Up 2 Weeks: Beginning or End?HTX Community Spring Creation ContestVote to help HTX win & share 300 USDT!Ripple holds above critical threshold as risk-on sentiment expands Ripple ($XRP) is trad

Ripple holds above critical threshold as risk-on sentiment expands


Ripple ($XRP) is trading at $1.44 at the time of writing on Friday, its upside seemingly capped by its weekly peak around $1.47. Still, the overall tone remains bullish as the remittance token holds above key support levels at $1.40 and $1.30.

$XRP buoyant amid renewed retail and institutional demand

The $XRP derivatives market is gaining traction as Open Interest (OI), reflecting the notional value of outstanding futures and options contracts, increased to to $2.71 billion on Friday from $2.58 billion the previous day.

On Monday, the OI averaged $2.38 billion, underscoring growing risk appetite and retail capital influx. $XRP requires a highly concentrated retail market to sustain short to medium-term gains.


$XRP Futures OI | Source: CoinGlass

$XRP spot Exchange-Traded Funds (ETFs) also uphold a positive outlook, evidenced by the $11.87 million in inflows on Thursday. SoSoValue data shows that US-listed $XRP spot ETFs have maintained a bullish streak for five consecutive days, bringing cumulative inflows to $1.26 billion and net assets under management to $1.08 billion.

Ripple holds above critical threshold as risk-on s

WL: Ethereum L2/Sidechain

#Flow Capital Partners is set to bring its $150 million private credit fund to the DigiFT tokenization platform by the end of April. Summary Flow Capital Partners will move its $150 million private cr

#Flow Capital Partners is set to bring its $150 million private credit fund to the DigiFT tokenization platform by the end of April. Summary Flow Capital Partners will move its $150 million private credit fund onto the DigiFT tokenization platform by the end of April as part of a plan to reach $250 million in assets by 2026. Total market capitalization for real-world assets climbed to a record $58 billion this month, with Ethereum-based tokenization alone growing 200% year-over-year. Bloomberg reported Friday that the Hong Kong-based asset manager will offer on-chain shares of the fund, which originally debuted in June 2025. Management also intends to secure a further $30 million in tokenized investment by the end of this year.  Such initiatives highlight a growing trend where traditional financial products are being replatformed onto public blockchains to tap into 24/7 liquidity.  Global demand for these instruments has pushed the total real-world asset (RWA) market capitalization to a record $58 billion as of mid-April, according to data from CoinGecko. Scaling on-chain private credit Jacky Tian, chief investment officer of Flow Capital, said the company intends to scale the fund to $250 million by the end of 2026. The move follows successful entries into the space by major institutions like BlackRock, whose BUIDL fund has become a primary vehicle for on-chain Treasuries, and JPMorgan, which opened its MONY money-market fund to external investors after an initial $100 million internal seeding.  You might also like: Crypto fund founder Joe McCann questioned after fiancée dies in Zanzibar hotel Ethereum serves as a primary hub for this activity, with its specific RWA market cap climbing over 200% year-over-year to $19.3 billion. Bitfinex analysts pointed out in a recent report that the current market evolution centers on infrastructure, noting that on-chain assets provide “real-time transfer, global auditability, and improved transparency” when compared to tradition

Flow Capital Partners is set to bring its $150 mil

Blockchain Forum 2026, Moscow8,000 Jobs'—Polymarket Sees Tech Layoff Surge As Meta AI Push Bites We're starting to see projects that used to require big teams now be accomplished by a single very tale

8,000 Jobs'—Polymarket Sees Tech Layoff Surge As Meta AI Push Bites
We're starting to see projects that used to require big teams now be accomplished by a single very talented person." That was Mark Zuckerberg, talking up the rise of artificial intelligence inside Meta this year. On Friday, Reuters reported the corollary: the Meta layoffs investors had been bracing for are coming, with roughly 8,000 jobs cut starting May 20, about 10% of its 79,000-person workforce.

Bettors on Polymarket, the prediction market backed by Wall Street's Intercontinental Exchange, saw it coming. The site's Meta headcount and Meta share-price markets, with about $112,000 in combined volume, were already pricing the cuts as both inevitable and good for the stock before Reuters published. The broader "Tech Layoffs Up or Down in 2026?" book has been at 77% Up all month and the Q1 companion has collapsed to 96% Up, essentially calling the quarter resolved before it formally settles on May 5.

How Many Tech Workers Polymarket Sees Losing Jobs

The Meta-specific markets tell the cleaner version of the story. A Polymarket book on "Meta headcount above ___ in Q1?" with about $46,000 in volume is essentially certain Meta finished the quarter above 75,000 employees (99%) and 76,000 (98%), but only gives 32% odds it stayed above 77,000 and 11% odds above 78,000. That implies an end-of-Q1 headcount near 76,500, down from the 79,000 figure Reuters used as the baseline. About 2,500 Meta jobs are already gone. The May 20 wave will take that to roughly 11,000 cuts on the year.

The market is pricing the cuts as good news for the stock. A separate "What price will Meta hit in April?" book with $66,000 in volume has Meta already clearing $700 (85% Yes), $730 priced at 42%, and a downside dip to $540 trading at just 5.75%. The combined volume on the Meta-specific markets is over $112,000, well above the threshold for serious sentiment. The sector-wide markets agree. Polymar

8,000 Jobs'—Polymarket Sees Tech Layoff Surge As M

Bitcoin Up 2 Weeks: Beginning or End?HTX Community Spring Creation ContestMarket Rally! Claim Your AirdropIran’s move to fully reopen the Strait of Hormuz while Donald Trump keeps Iran’s ships under b

Iran’s move to fully reopen the Strait of Hormuz while Donald Trump keeps Iran’s ships under blockade has left oil and Bitcoin trading the ceasefire headline by headline. Summary Iran says the Strait of Hormuz is fully open to commercial traffic again. Trump vows the US naval blockade on Iranian ships and ports “will remain in full force.” Bitcoin holds near war‑zone ranges as oil traders weigh partial relief for supply. Iran’s announcement that it has fully reopened the Strait of Hormuz has eased the worst energy shock fears, but President Donald Trump’s decision to maintain a US naval blockade on Iranian ships and ports has kept oil and crypto markets on edge. Around 20% of the world’s oil normally moves through the strait, making it one of the most important chokepoints for global energy and a key macro driver for Bitcoin’s (BTC) role as a geopolitical hedge. Iranian Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi said on X that the waterway is now “fully open” to commercial vessels, signaling Tehran’s willingness to restore flows even as a fragile 10‑day truce between Israel and Iran‑backed Hezbollah in Lebanon holds. Trump initially echoed that tone, posting that Iran had declared the strait “fully open and ready for full passage” before reversing minutes later and insisting the blockade will continue “UNTIL SUCH TIME AS OUR TRANSACTION WITH IRAN IS 100% COMPLETE.” Hormuz reopening meets unresolved U.S. blockade Trump first ordered the blockade earlier this week after Iran partially restricted traffic through the strait, a move Washington framed as a breach of the Pakistan‑brokered ceasefire between the US, Israel and Iran. At the time, Trump said the navy would enforce an “all or none” policy, effectively turning Hormuz into leverage over nuclear talks, tanker insurance and any attempt by Tehran to monetize exports via schemes such as the mooted $1‑per‑barrel crypto

Iran’s move to fully reopen the Strait of Hormuz w

Claim1,200 USDT in the Monthly Creation ChallengeVote to help HTX win & share 300 USDT!HTX Community Spring Creation ContestThose releases land directly on top of the new oil shock. They will shape wh

Claim1,200 USDT in the Monthly Creation Challenge

Those releases land directly on top of the new oil shock. They will shape whether markets see the latest rise in energy as a temporary disruption or the start of another inflation leg that keeps policy tighter for longer.

XRP’s response to that sequence could define the next phase of its cycle. A hotter payrolls print would strengthen the view that labor conditions remain firm enough to keep the Federal Reserve cautious.

Hawkish signals in the minutes would add another layer of restraint. A hotter CPI print next Friday would confirm that the oil move has arrived inside an already sensitive inflation backdrop.

Those releases land directly on top of the new oil

Bitcoin Up 2 Weeks: Beginning or End?HTX Community Spring Creation Contest Blockchain Forum 2026, Moscow UBS Analysts Have Stated That They Expect the Fed to Cut Interest Rates Twice More This Year Gl

UBS Analysts Have Stated That They Expect the Fed to Cut Interest Rates Twice More This Year

Global financial giant UBS has published a noteworthy assessment of US monetary policy. The bank stated that it maintains its expectation that the Fed will cut interest rates later in the year.

A research note published by UBS emphasized that the Fed remains on a path of monetary policy easing under the current outlook. The report highlighted that Fed Chairman Jerome Powell has recently indicated that the need for tightening is limited despite the rise in energy prices. It recalled Powell’s statement that supply shocks, particularly those like rising oil prices, are generally ignored as long as inflation expectations remain under control.

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UBS analysts stated that the Fed is looking for more evidence of a sustained decline in core inflation before returning to loose monetary policy, but they still expect a total of 50 basis points of interest rate cuts by the end of the year.

On the other hand, the report also included projections for the US bond market. UBS pointed out that current US Treasury yields are significantly higher than before the geopolitical tensions, arguing that there is therefore room for downward movement in yields. The bank stated its year-end forecast for the 2-year US Treasury yield is 3.25%, and for the 10-year Treasury yield is 3.75%.



UBS Analysts Have Stated That They Expect the Fed

原始链接:Empire Podcast - Markets Bounce Back, The Hyperliquid Thesis and Kraken Raises $200M 主持人: Jason

播客笔记：Hyperliquid 已成传统对冲基金的头号兴趣点

The Morning Minute (4.17) Powered by @yeet ⏰Top News: -Crypto majors rally as Trump says war should end soon; BTC at $75,500 -Stocks close green for record-tying 12th day in a row -Schwab moves to off

BASED: Hyperliquid’s On-Chain Super App

Fake Ledger Wallet Exposed With Hidden Chip Stealing Seed Phrases and PINs A cybersecurity researcher from Brazil exposed a large-scale scam operation after buying a “Ledger” hardware wallet from a Ch

Fake Ledger Wallet Exposed With Hidden Chip Stealing Seed Phrases and PINs
A cybersecurity researcher from Brazil exposed a large-scale scam operation after buying a “Ledger” hardware wallet from a Chinese marketplace listing that looked legitimate and was priced the same as the official store. The packaging appeared original from a distance, but the device was counterfeit.

When the researcher connected it to Ledger Live installed from ledger.com, it failed the Genuine Check, confirming it was not a real Ledger device. This failure led the researcher to open the device and examine its internal hardware and firmware



Fake Ledger Wallet Exposed With Hidden Chip Steali

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