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Bitcoin Up 2 Weeks: Beginning or End?Daily $5000U Airdrop: One Tap to ClaimHTX DAO's First Hackathon Launches!Editor's Note: Just as the market regained upward momentum driven by liquidity, new uncert

Editor's Note: Just as the market regained upward momentum driven by liquidity, new uncertainties have already accumulated on the other side. The renewed turmoil in the Iranian situation and the looming risks in the Strait of Hormuz have brought geopolitical conflict back into the core variables of asset pricing. In just a few days, the market has shifted from a single logic of "capital-driven" to a dual game of "liquidity vs. risk events."

The market is currently caught in a tug-of-war between "liquidity-driven gains" and "the risk shock from the escalating Iranian situation." On the one hand, the Federal Reserve and the U.S. Treasury injected nearly $200 billion in liquidity into the financial system in a short period, driving a rapid rebound in stocks and risk assets; on the other hand, geopolitical uncertainty, private lending risks, and overheated sentiment make the market still fragile.

In this structure, Bitcoin's role is beginning to change. Unlike traditional risk assets, it is more sensitive to changes in liquidity and often gives the first signal when the funding environment shifts. Historically, whether it was the early decline in October 2025 or its early stabilization in this rebound, Bitcoin has played a leading indicator role to some extent.

 Therefore, the question is no longer simply "Will the market rise?", but rather—when liquidity continues to be released and the risk of war resurfaces, which force will dominate pricing? If funds cannot continuously hedge against external shocks, then the current rise may only be a temporary misallocation; and once liquidity continues, the market may continue to rise amidst volatility.

Going forward, the key is not a single variable, but the relative strength between them. And Bitcoin may once again be the first asset to provide the answer.

The following is the original text:

"Oh, think twice

Editor's Note: Just as the market regained upward

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Bitcoin Up 2 Weeks: Beginning or End?Daily $5000U Airdrop: One Tap to ClaimPost To Earn BonusTop 2 Reasons Why XRP Price Stuck at $1.40? $XRP price hovered at $1.41 on Sunday after a week of steady bu

Top 2 Reasons Why XRP Price Stuck at $1.40?

$XRP price hovered at $1.41 on Sunday after a week of steady bullish momentum across the broader cryptocurrency market.

Top 2 Reasons Why XRP Price Stuck at $1.40

WL: Ethereum L2/Sidechain

Bitcoin Up 2 Weeks: Beginning or End?Daily $5000U Airdrop: One Tap to ClaimHTX DAO's First Hackathon Launches!On April 17, 2026, the AI funding world was buzzing again. A screenshot went viral among i

On April 17, 2026, the AI ​​funding world was buzzing again.

A screenshot went viral among investors, showing that Anthropic's implied valuation on secondary markets and derivatives platforms like Caplight and Ventures quietly crossed a threshold: $1 trillion.

Short-lived, but real, it surpassed OpenAI.

No official announcement, no press release, no statement from CEO Dario Amodei—it was simply the pre-IPO market voting for it.

Investors watched the revenue curve with excitement. Anthropic's annualized revenue jumped from $9 billion at the end of 2025 to $30 billion—a 233% increase in just four months—and then the news spread like wildfire: the AI ​​leader has changed.

Let's clarify one thing first.  Anthropic's latest official post-money valuation is $380 billion, based on its Series G funding round completed in February 2026. Several venture capital firms subsequently offered $800 billion or higher, but Anthropic has not yet accepted.

That $1 trillion figure is an implicit number on secondary market platforms.

Almost simultaneously, another piece of news emerged from Hangzhou.

DeepSeek is planning its first external funding round since its inception, targeting a valuation exceeding $10 billion and planning to raise at least $300 million. This is the first time in three years.

One company was being chased by capital, reaching the trillion-dollar mark. The other shut out capital for three years, then chose what it felt was the right time to open the door a crack.

Reading these two news items together reveals the same thing: this spring, two of the most important AI companies in two different countries have reached the boundaries of their respective paths.

Anthropic's list of allies

Let's start with Anthropic.

 On February 13, 2026, Anthropic completed its Series G funding round, raising $30 billion and valuing the company at $380 billion p

On April 17, 2026, the AI ​​funding world was buzz

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Citadel founder and CEO Ken Griffin is sounding the alarm on rising global risks as the Middle East conflict intensifies, warning that the world economy may be entering a “treacherous moment.” Speakin

Citadel founder and CEO Ken Griffin is sounding the alarm on rising global risks as the Middle East conflict intensifies, warning that the world economy may be entering a “treacherous moment.”
Speaking at the Semafor World Economy Summit in Washington, D.C., Griffin said the escalation in Iran-related tensions has already triggered an energy shock, with potentially far-reaching consequences.
He cautioned that higher energy prices could quickly translate into demand destruction, slowing economic activity across multiple regions. This, in turn, raises the probability of a global recession.
According to Griffin, central banks now face an extremely difficult dilemma:
Should they treat the inflation spike as temporary and maintain current policy?
Or should they raise interest rates further to prevent inflation expectations from becoming unanchored?
“There are no easy answers,” his remarks imply—only trade-offs in a fragile macro environment.
A key risk scenario he highlighted is the potential disruption of the Strait of Hormuz. If oil and gas flows through this critical chokepoint were severely constrained for 6 to 12 months, Griffin warned that: “The world is going to end up in a recession. There’s no way to avoid that.”
At the same time, he noted that sustained pressure on fossil fuel supply could accelerate long-term structural change in global energy systems. In response to scarcity, investment and policy shifts may speed up toward:
Nuclear energy
Wind power
Solar energy
However, he emphasized that such transitions take years, not months—meaning they cannot offset short-term shocks.
Bottom line:
Griffin’s message is clear: the global economy is facing a rare convergence of geopolitical risk, energy instability, and monetary policy uncertainty.


Citadel’s Ken Griffin Warns: Middle East Conflict

Bitcoin Up 2 Weeks: Beginning or End?Daily $5000U Airdrop: One Tap to ClaimHTX DAO's First Hackathon Launches!Bitcoin is trading near $75,000 ahead of a large options expiry due this Friday on Deribit

Bitcoin is trading near $75,000 ahead of a large options expiry due this Friday on Deribit.  Summary Bitcoin is nearing a $7.9 billion Deribit options expiry, with $75,000 the main battleground. Heavy call positioning and negative gamma at $75,000 could increase Bitcoin price swings this week. Negative funding rates show short buildup, raising the risk of a squeeze above $75,000. The contracts are worth about $7.9 billion, making the event one of the main short-term drivers for price action this week. Positioning data points to two levels that traders are watching. The first is $75,000, where call open interest is heavily concentrated. The second is $62,000, where the largest block of put open interest sits. These levels have placed Bitcoin inside a defined range going into expiry. You might also like: Aave price drops to $90 after Kelp DAO exploit, derivatives hint at potential rebound Heavy call interest builds pressure around $75,000 Data shows about $395 million in call open interest at the $75,000 strike. Call options are often used to position for higher prices, so this level has become a key point for near-term trading activity. The report also said gamma exposure at $75,000 is deeply negative. That means dealer hedging flows may add to price swings instead of calming them. If Bitcoin rises, dealers may need to buy more. If it falls, they may need to sell more. This can increase volatility around the same level. In addition, between the $62,000 put concentration and the $75,000 call concentration sits the max pain level near $71,000. This is the price where the largest share of options would expire worthless at settlement, based on current positioning. The report said this level can act like a magnet before expiry. Bitcoin is now trading above max pain, unlike in March when it traded below that point. That leaves the market watching whether the 

Bitcoin is trading near $75,000 ahead of a large o

Claim1,200 USDT in the Monthly Creation ChallengeHTX Community Spring Creation ContestVote to help HTX win & share 300 USDT!dataIran’s Foreign Ministry came out swinging on Sunday, accusing the United

Claim1,200 USDT in the Monthly Creation Challenge

dataIran’s Foreign Ministry came out swinging on Sunday, accusing the United States of committing war crimes through what it described as an unlawful naval blockade — a charge that landed just hours after US President Donald Trump accused Tehran of firing in the Strait of Hormuz and breaking the terms of an active ceasefire.

Both Sides Point Fingers
Spokesperson Esmail Baghaei posted the accusation directly on X, arguing the US blockade of Iranian ports and coastline violated not just the ceasefire brokered by Pakistan, but international law.

He cited Article 2(4) of the UN Charter and referenced a 1974 UN General Assembly resolution that explicitly defines a naval blockade as an act of aggression.

The United States’ so-called “blockade” of Iran’s ports or coastline is not only a violation of Pakistani-mediated ceasefire but also both unlawful and criminal. It violates Article 2(4) of the UN Charter; it constitutes an act of aggression under Article 3(c) of the UN General...

— Esmaeil Baqaei (@IRIMFA_SPOX) April 19, 2026

Baghaei went further, saying the blockade amounted to collective punishment of Iranian civilians — language that under international law falls under war crimes and crimes against humanity.

Trump, for his part, told reporters that Iran fired shots in the Strait of Hormuz, calling it a serious breach of the ceasefire set to expire Wednesday, April 22.

President Trump tells me Iran has committed a “serious violation” of the ceasefire but he still thinks he can get a peace deal:

“It will happen. One way or another. The nice way or the hard way. It’s going to happen. You can quote me.

He still expressed confidence a deal could be reached. “It will happen,” he said, as quoted by an ABC News correspondent. “One way or another. The nice way or the hard way.”

The exchange set u

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Global geopolitics is entering a more volatile phase as tensions escalate across the Middle East and East Asia, with China increasingly positioning itself as a key stabilizing force amid shifting inte

Global geopolitics is entering a more volatile phase as tensions escalate across the Middle East and East Asia, with China increasingly positioning itself as a key stabilizing force amid shifting international dynamics.
In the Middle East, uncertainty continues around critical shipping routes such as the Strait of Hormuz, where ongoing military and diplomatic tensions are placing pressure on global energy flows and trade stability. The situation has heightened concerns over supply chain disruptions and broader macroeconomic impacts, particularly in energy-dependent economies.
Against this backdrop, China has been expanding its diplomatic engagement with multiple international partners, emphasizing messages of peace, sovereignty, and multilateral cooperation. Beijing is also actively strengthening its global image as a reliable economic and political partner at a time when U.S. foreign policy is facing criticism in parts of Europe and other regions.
In East Asia, Taiwan remains a central flashpoint in regional geopolitics. Beijing continues to closely monitor Taiwan’s political developments, with expectations that future elections could influence cross-strait relations. The divergence between major political parties in Taiwan is increasingly viewed as a key variable in regional stability.
At the same time, Japan is deepening its security cooperation with Western allies, including NATO-linked frameworks, contributing to growing strategic competition in the Asia-Pacific region. This evolving alignment is adding further complexity to an already sensitive regional balance.
China’s role in broader global tensions, including the Middle East, remains cautious and indirect. While maintaining official neutrality, analysts suggest Beijing continues to protect its economic and strategic interests through limited engagement and selective cooperation, particularly in areas tied to energy and trade routes.


Rising Geopolitical Tensions Reshape Global Power

U.S. stock futures moved lower on Monday as renewed geopolitical tensions between the United States and Iran unsettled global markets and raised concerns about the future of a fragile ceasefire expect

U.S. Stock Futures Fall as Iran Tensions Rise, Oil Prices Surge - EconoTimes

Halfway through Q2, the market is already pricing in end-of-quarter targets. From a technical standpoint, Bitcoin’s [BTC] 10% move so far could just be the early leg of a setup similar to 2025, where 

Halfway through Q2, the market is already pricing in end-of-quarter targets. 

From a technical standpoint, Bitcoin’s [BTC] 10% move so far could just be the early leg of a setup similar to 2025, where Q2 closed with 30% gains. If we get a repeat of that structure, BTC could still be on track to finish Q2 somewhere in the $85k–$90k range. In that case, the $65k–$70k zone would likely stand out as a local bottom for this cycle. 

The key question now is whether on-chain signals support that range as a potential local bottom. At the macro level, BTC started the week by breaking below the $75k level as uncertainty around the Strait of Hormuz picks up again, adding pressure to the “bottom is in” narrative. That pressure is now starting to show up in on-chain metrics as well.



Bitcoin eyes $85K in Q2 – Why BTC traders must wat

Iran news today centers on Tehran’s formal refusal to send negotiators to Islamabad, Al Jazeera reported Monday, with Foreign Ministry spokesman Esmaeil Baghaei stating that “no clear prospect for pro

Iran Pulls Out of Second-Round Pakistan Talks as Ceasefire Nears Expiry The Gap Between the Two Side

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