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Bitcoin retakes the 200-day moving average on the way downIn this month of May 2026 the price of Bitcoin has in fact returned to the 200-day moving average.

The problem is that this average has been falling for five months, and shows no signs of reversal.

This leads some analysts to argue that the decline in the price of Bitcoin could continue precisely by following that of the 200-day moving average.

The 200-day moving average
The simple 200-day moving average (SMA200) has become one of the most closely watched technical indicators for those who analyze price trends on financial markets.

However, it was identified as a reference point many years ago, well before cryptocurrencies were created.

The fact is that traditional stock exchanges have about 250 trading days a year, because they are closed on weekends and holidays. Instead, the crypto market is always open, 365 days a year.

200 days is a convenient proxy for “almost a year” of prices on traditional exchanges, and it is used to eliminate short-term noise and show the structural trend of an asset’s price. The SMA200 is slow enough to filter out daily volatility, but reactive enough to capture genuine regime changes, such as those between bull markets and bear markets.

Moreover, banks, hedge funds, algorithms and retail traders watch it, so that for example when a price falls below the SMA200 many operators interpret it as a possible sell signal.

However, it is in fact a coordinated convention, and not an economic/financial law.

The crypto market
Applying the SMA200 to crypto assets can make sense, but only as long as the SMA365, that is the average price of the last year, is not underestimated.



Bitcoin retakes the 200-day moving average on the

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3100之上，鲸鱼套现 vs 交易所ETH枯竭，谁主导后市？

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