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HTX Community Spring Creation ContestBitcoin Up 2 Weeks: Beginning or End?Post To Earn Bonus Prediction market volumes to hit $1 trillion by 2030 with Robinhood, Coinbase as key players, Bernstein say


Prediction market volumes to hit $1 trillion by 2030 with Robinhood, Coinbase as key players, Bernstein says



Wall Street broker Bernstein expects prediction market volumes to reach roughly $1 trillion by 2030, as the sector evolves from niche wagering into broad-based “information markets” spanning sports, crypto, politics and the economy.

Volumes hit $51 billion last year and are on pace to reach about $240 billion in 2026, implying roughly 80% compound annual growth through the end of the decade, the report said. Activity has already accelerated in 2026, with Polymarket and Kalshi recording combined year-to-date volumes of $60 billion.

"Increasing regulatory clarity at the federal level is expanding the addressable market, while blockchain-based tokenization and integration with crypto markets is enabling global liquidity, long-tail event creation and participation from institutions," wrote analysts led by Gautam Chhugani.

Prediction markets have surged from a niche corner of crypto and academic experimentation into a fast-growing segment of global trading activity in just a few years.

Volumes have spiked alongside major news cycles, most notably the 2024 U.S. election, while platforms like Polymarket and Kalshi have expanded access beyond politics into sports, crypto and macroeconomic events.

The combination of clearer U.S. regulatory footing, improved user experience and the integration of blockchain-based liquidity has accelerated adoption, pushing the sector toward mainstream relevance

The report attributed the growth to improving federal regulatory clarity, which expands access beyond fragmented state-level gaming rules, alongside blockchain-based infrastructure that enables global liquidity and rapid creation of new event contracts.

Sports currently accounts for about 62% of volumes, benefiting from lower effective take rates versus traditional online

Prediction market volumes to hit $1 trillion by 2

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Markets are increasingly pricing in "peace" as a key macro driver in the current cycle. Notably, the current setup appears to be supporting that narrative. According to The Kobeissi Letter, another ag

Markets are increasingly pricing in "peace" as a key macro driver in the current cycle.

Notably, the current setup appears to be supporting that narrative. According to The Kobeissi Letter, another agreement may now be on the table.

A new round of negotiations between the U.S. and Iran could take place as soon as Thursday, the 16th of April, following earlier failed attempts to reach a deal.

The market reaction has been notable. Following the news, Bitcoin [BTC] closed the day up 5.23%, with the wick extending as high as $74,911.

This reinforces the idea that investors are closely tracking geopolitical developments, with macro headlines continuing to act as a key driver for price action.

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Markets are increasingly pricing in "peace" as a k

HTX Community Spring Creation ContestBitcoin Up 2 Weeks: Beginning or End? Blockchain Forum 2026, Moscow NVT Analysis Shows Why XRP Is More Fundamentally Sound at $1.37 Than at 2025 Highs $XRP has see

NVT Analysis Shows Why XRP Is More Fundamentally Sound at $1.37 Than at 2025 Highs

$XRP has seen a sharp price drop this year, but NVT data suggests the asset is now in a stronger position than when it traded at higher levels last year.

While $XRP has declined 51.7% since October 2025, an analysis from CryptoQuant author YJ shows that the current price has better support from real network activity, indicating that the $XRP market may have moved away from speculative trading toward more stable fundamentals.

NVT Analysis Shows Why XRP Is More Fundamentally S

On April 15, according to Lebanon's Al-Manar TV, a senior Iranian political security source stated that under Iranian supervision and pressure, the ceasefire in Lebanon is expected to be approved toni

Sources: Lebanon Ceasefire Expected to Take Effect Tonight, Netanyahu May Again Undermine Agreement

WL: Ethereum L2/Sidechain

$BEAT Weekly Token Velocity Tracking velocity reveals the real market pulse. This week shows healthy, consistent circulation — active participation without panic selling, while strong hands keep holdi

edgeX: Sub-10ms Global DeFi Layer

On April 15, according to market news, the State Bank of Pakistan officially ended its ban on virtual assets that had been in place since 2018. It now allows banks to open independent interest-free ru

Pakistan Central Bank Lifts Ban on Virtual Assets, Licensed VASPs Integrated into Banking System

Bitcoin Up 2 Weeks: Beginning or End?HTX Community Spring Creation ContestClaim1,200 USDT in the Monthly Creation ChallengeETHGas and ether.fi Lock In a $3 Billion Deal to Build Out Institutional Bloc

ETHGas and ether.fi Lock In a $3 Billion Deal to Build Out Institutional Blockspace Markets

ETHGas, a performance infrastructure company bringing forward markets and execution guarantees to Ethereum, and ether.fi, the leading non-custodial staking protocol and on-chain banking alternative, have announced a $3 billion, three-year commercial agreement to advance institutional-grade blockspace markets on Ethereum. The deal commits $3Bn in ETH to ETHGas’ High-Performance Staking (HPS) Service, marking a significant step toward forward-pricing infrastructure for Ethereum’s growing institutional settlement layer.
Ethereum currently allocates blockspace through a real-time spot auction — with no mechanism for forward pricing, pre-purchase, or execution guarantees. Every block is contested at the last second, leaving validators with unpredictable revenue, applications without certainty of execution, and institutions without the risk management tools they need to operate at scale.

As institutional activity on Ethereum accelerates — evidenced by more than $25 billion in ETH held across institutional vehicles — the absence of a forward market for blockspace becomes an increasingly critical gap in the network’s financial infrastructure.
ETHGas introduces an exchange layer where validators can pre-sell future block inclusion rights, and buyers — including rollups, traders, solvers, and on-chain applications — can purchase guaranteed execution in advance.

This creates a forward curve for Ethereum blockspace, enabling genuine price discovery for the network’s most fundamental resource and providing institutional participants with the risk-management tools they need to operate confidently at scale.




ETHGas and ether.fi Lock In a $3 Billion Deal to B

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Asian currencies traded within a narrow range on Wednesday as investors awaited further developments in U.S.-Iran ceasefire negotiations, while softer-than-expected U.S. inflation data offered modest 

Asian Currencies Hold Steady Amid U.S.-Iran Ceasefire Hopes and Soft U.S. Inflation Data - EconoTime

Disclosure: This article does not represent investment advice. The content and materials featured on this page are for educational purposes only. AI trading bots gain momentum as investors seek consis

Top 8 free AI trading bots for crypto and stocks (2026 beginner’s guide)

Following a significant surge yesterday, ETHUSD is consolidating in a small range. It is presently ranging around $2314 following yesterday's high of $2417.TechnicalsCMP -$2314.38Trend4- Hour chartVal

Ethereum Consolidates: ETH/USD Pauses After Breakout as Bulls Eye $3,000 - EconoTimes

Cardano and the decentralized revolution
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比特币：第三季度 BTC 会走向 11 万美元甚至更高吗？ 随着波动性上升，比特币的下一轮走势取决于谁会落入陷阱。 比特币乘着新一轮上涨势头，USDT 供应量创历史新高。 杠杆空头会掌控市场并引发下行波动吗？ 加密货币市场正处于剑拔弩张的境地。多头和空头在高风险的拉锯战中争夺比特币 [BTC] 的控制权，市场情绪保持中立。 这种情况通常会为投机取巧的交易者打开大门，为新一轮的波动性挤压创造绝佳条件

比特币：第三季度 BTC 会走向 11 万美元甚至更高吗？

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