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HTX Community Spring Creation ContestPost To Earn BonusBitcoin is looking like it might be turning bullish above $70,000 again, but technical analysis shows that something bad may be coming soon for t

Bitcoin is looking like it might be turning bullish above $70,000 again, but technical analysis shows that something bad may be coming soon for the price action.

The price action at the end of last week is starting to generate optimistic views for the Bitcoin price, but a pattern that has repeated across every major Bitcoin market cycle shows that the leading cryptocurrency is still in a sell zone.

A Repeating 4-Year Cycle That Ends The Same Way
Technical analysis of Bitcoin’s price action on the weekly candlestick timeframe chart shows an interesting observation. The analysis was done by a crypto analyst called Tony Research, who looked at one of the most consistently observed structures in Bitcoin’s history: the four-year cycle.

The analysis looked at the following durations from bottom to bottom across three distinct cycles. Cycle 1 (2015 to 2018) ran for 1,431 days; Cycle 2 (2019 to 2022) covered 1,421 days; and the current Cycle 3 (2023 to 2026) is tracking at approximately 1,390 days.

The Gaussian Channel indicator on the weekly timeframe chart shows that each of these cycles has followed the same general structure. The structure involves a recovery from a bear market bottom, a bull run that carries the BTC price to new all-time highs, and then a final distribution phase before a major drawdown.


Source: Chart from Tony Research on X
Bitcoin formed bull market tops in November 2013, December 2017, and November 2021, with each cycle spanning approximately four years from peak to peak. Consistent with this structure, the most recent cycle appears to have peaked on October 6, 2025, at just above $126,000.

Price action trading between $60,000 and $76,000 is, in Tony’s view, not for nothing but a reflection of indecision at a critical point in the cycle. The conclusion is that this range is the final stage before a deeper correction.

Bitcoin Might Be In The Sell Zone
History shows that the moment Bit

Bitcoin is looking like it might be turning bullis

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The memecoin news shaking Washington this week is a formal Senate investigation into an April 25 conference at Mar-a-Lago where attendance is restricted to the top 297 TRUMP token holders and the top 

The memecoin news shaking Washington this week is a formal Senate investigation into an April 25 conference at Mar-a-Lago where attendance is restricted to the top 297 TRUMP token holders and the top 29 receive VIP access to the president, with Senators Warren, Schiff, and Blumenthal sending a letter to Fight LLC demanding documents and answers by April 21. Summary The Senate Banking Committee Democrats sent their letter on April 8, raising concerns that event promoters are promising access to Trump on a day he may not actually attend because the White House Correspondents Association dinner is also scheduled for April 25 in Washington DC, creating an obvious scheduling conflict between the two competing commitments. The Trump family and its partners have earned more than $320 million in trading fees since the TRUMP memecoin launched in January 2025, and a Bloomberg analysis found that 19 of the top 25 memecoin holders are likely foreign nationals, with Justin Sun, a Chinese crypto entrepreneur who previously faced SEC fraud allegations, holding the top position. The investigation adds direct pressure to the CLARITY Act negotiations because Senate Democrats have made ethics provisions targeting government officials' crypto holdings a non-negotiable condition for their votes, and the memecoin dinner is now the sharpest available illustration of why they consider those provisions essential. The senators wrote directly

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Post To Earn BonusJapan's central bank cools rate hike expectations, removing a key risk for bitcoin's rally Bitcoin's breakout past $74,000 on Monday got a helping hand from Japan. Bank of Japan Gove

Japan's central bank cools rate hike expectations, removing a key risk for bitcoin's rally

Bitcoin's breakout past $74,000 on Monday got a helping hand from Japan.

Bank of Japan Governor Kazuo Ueda cooled expectations for an interest rate hike at the upcoming April 28 policy meeting, signaling a more cautious stance amid uncertainty over how the Iran war will affect Japan's economy.

Such decisions have shown to spillover to the crypto market in previous years. On August 5, 2024, a surprise BOJ rate hike triggered a yen carry trade unwind that crashed bitcoin from $64,000 to $49,000 in 48 hours.

The carry trade, where investors borrow cheaply in yen and deploy into higher-yielding assets including crypto, had become one of the largest sources of leveraged risk-asset exposure globally. A yen unwind tends to cause quick sell-offs in risk assets, with bitcoin and major cryptocurrencies the first to be hit.

But Ueda just signaled that trade stays intact for at least another month. Japan's 20-year bond auction on Tuesday drew its strongest demand since 2019, with a bid-to-cover ratio of 4.82 against a 12-month average of 3.27, confirming that institutional capital agrees the hiking cycle is pausing.

Twenty-year yields, near their highest since 1997, fell nine basis points after the auction.

A dovish BOJ keeps the yen weak, currently near 160 against the dollar. A weak yen keeps carry trade funding cheap. Cheap carry funding supports leveraged positions across risk assets, including the perpetual futures markets where bitcoin's rally is being built.

Data from last week showed $2.1 billion in new bitcoin open interest and $2.2 billion in ether open interest in 24 hours following the ceasefire, with coin-denominated OI confirming net new longs. Some portion of that positioning maybe funded, directly or indirectly, by the same yen liquidity that Ueda just preserved.

Japan is also among the economies most exposed to the Strait of Hormuz, through wh

Japan's central bank cools rate hike expectations,

The US Securities and Exchange Commission’s (SEC) Division of Trading and Markets has issued new staff guidance aimed at bringing more clarity to how certain crypto trading tools may operate without t

What The SEC’s Latest Crypto Self-Custody Update Means For DeFi, Wallets, And Bitcoin

Trading felt unpredictable to me at first because I didn’t understand how to read the market properly. I would react to movements without having a clear plan, which made my experience stressful. Over 

Trading felt unpredictable to me at first because I didn’t understand how to read the market properly. I would react to movements without having a clear plan, which made my experience stressful. Over time, I learned how to approach things more calmly and logically. This change helped me feel more in control and less overwhelmed. CAMILAHFX on T£L£GRA.M helped me build that level of understanding.$


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The US politics story with the most direct impact on American households went live Monday morning when the Navy blockade of Iranian ports took effect at 10 AM ET, pushing Brent crude above $103, WTI t

US Politics Today: Trump’s Iran Blockade Is Now in Effect and What It Means for Oil Prices, Inflatio

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₿ Are the gold peaks already behind us? I came across an interesting chart of the BTC/gold ratio: previously, it took ~395 days from the peak of BTC dominance to its trough, after which it started to 

HTX Community Spring Creation ContestTap Now, Claim Airdrop Tomorrow! Blockchain Forum 2026, Moscow Japan's central bank cools rate hike expectations, removing a key risk for bitcoin's rally Bitcoin's

Japan's central bank cools rate hike expectations, removing a key risk for bitcoin's rally

Bitcoin's breakout past $74,000 on Monday got a helping hand from Japan.

Bank of Japan Governor Kazuo Ueda cooled expectations for an interest rate hike at the upcoming April 28 policy meeting, signaling a more cautious stance amid uncertainty over how the Iran war will affect Japan's economy.

Such decisions have shown to spillover to the crypto market in previous years. On August 5, 2024, a surprise BOJ rate hike triggered a yen carry trade unwind that crashed bitcoin from $64,000 to $49,000 in 48 hours.

The carry trade, where investors borrow cheaply in yen and deploy into higher-yielding assets including crypto, had become one of the largest sources of leveraged risk-asset exposure globally. A yen unwind tends to cause quick sell-offs in risk assets, with bitcoin and major cryptocurrencies the first to be hit.

But Ueda just signaled that trade stays intact for at least another month. Japan's 20-year bond auction on Tuesday drew its strongest demand since 2019, with a bid-to-cover ratio of 4.82 against a 12-month average of 3.27, confirming that institutional capital agrees the hiking cycle is pausing.

Twenty-year yields, near their highest since 1997, fell nine basis points after the auction.

A dovish BOJ keeps the yen weak, currently near 160 against the dollar. A weak yen keeps carry trade funding cheap. Cheap carry funding supports leveraged positions across risk assets, including the perpetual futures markets where bitcoin's rally is being built.

Data from last week showed $2.1 billion in new bitcoin open interest and $2.2 billion in ether open interest in 24 hours following the ceasefire, with coin-denominated OI confirming net new longs. Some portion of that positioning maybe funded, directly or indirectly, by the same yen liquidity that Ueda just preserved

HTX Community Spring Creation Contest The memecoin news shaking Washington this week is a formal Senate investigation into an April 25 conference at Mar-a-Lago where attendance is restricted to the to

The memecoin news shaking Washington this week is a formal Senate investigation into an April 25 conference at Mar-a-Lago where attendance is restricted to the top 297 TRUMP token holders and the top 29 receive VIP access to the president, with Senators Warren, Schiff, and Blumenthal sending a letter to Fight LLC demanding documents and answers by April 21. Summary The Senate Banking Committee Democrats sent their letter on April 8, raising concerns that event promoters are promising access to Trump on a day he may not actually attend because the White House Correspondents Association dinner is also scheduled for April 25 in Washington DC, creating an obvious scheduling conflict between the two competing commitments.

The Trump family and its partners have earned more than $320 million in trading fees since the TRUMP memecoin launched in January 2025, and a Bloomberg analysis found that 19 of the top 25 memecoin holders are likely foreign nationals, with Justin Sun, a Chinese crypto entrepreneur who previously faced SEC fraud allegations, holding the top position. The investigation adds direct pressure to the CLARITY Act negotiations because Senate Democrats have made ethics provisions targeting government officials' crypto holdings a non-negotiable condition for their votes, and the memecoin dinner is now the sharpest available illustration of why they consider those provisions essential. The senators wrote directly that "Congress must also take steps to prohibit and prevent these egregious conflicts of interest," framing the investigation as part of a broader inquiry into whether Trump is using the presidency for personal crypto profit.

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Minimum buy amount 10$ not good&nbsp; and don't have convert options in this application .

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