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According to PolyBeats monitoring, on the prediction market Polymarket, two high-win-rate addresses have collectively invested $9,700 in a political event prediction. They have bet 'No' on the question of 'Will the US military invade Iran this year?' Currently, the probability of 'No' for this event stands at 40%. The determination of an 'invasion' event differs from 'attacks' or 'US military entry'; the criteria for a US invasion of Iran are met by a military offensive launched by the US aimed at controlling any part of Iranian territory. When asked by reporters today at the White House whether he would send US ground troops to Iran during his meeting with Japanese Prime Minister Fumio Kishida, Trump stated, 'I am not putting any troops anywhere.' Trump further emphasized the threat of remote retaliation against Iran for its continued strikes on Qatar. At a Pentagon press conference, Secretary of Defense Lloyd Austin reiterated the US military's objectives: to destroy Iran's missile launch capabilities, strike its defense industry and navy, and prevent it from acquiring nuclear weapons. He specifically refuted claims that the US is sliding into 'endless war' or a 'quagmire.' Note: Based on their past trading patterns, these traders are not betting on whether the event will actually occur but rather on taking profits or cutting losses at a certain point after opening their positions. Accounts: 0x60a92c8620846d81f5ea17b0564e0d4b7c545a71 0x12d6cccfc7470a3f4bafc53599a4779cbf2cf2a8 Total Investment: $9.7k --------------------------------- See tomorrow, today. Follow @PolyBeatsEN

[Smart Money Bets $9,700 Against US Invasion of Iran This Year]According to PolyBeats monitoring, on the prediction market Polymarket, two high-win-rate addresses have collectively invested $9,700 in a political event prediction. They have bet 'No' on the question of 'Will the US military invade Iran this year?' Currently, the probability of 'No' for this event stands at 40%. The determination of an 'invasion' event differs from 'attacks' or 'US military entry'; the criteria for a US invasion of Iran are met by a military offensive launched by the US aimed at controlling any part of Iranian territory. When asked by reporters today at the White House whether he would send US ground troops to Iran during his meeting with Japanese Prime Minister Fumio Kishida, Trump stated, 'I am not putting any troops anywhere.' Trump further emphasized the threat of remote retaliation against Iran for its continued strikes on Qatar. At a Pentagon press conference, Secretary of Defense Lloyd Austin reiterated the US military's objectives: to destroy Iran's missile launch capabilities, strike its defense industry and navy, and prevent it from acquiring nuclear weapons. He specifically refuted claims that the US is sliding into 'endless war' or a 'quagmire.' Note: Based on their past trading patterns, these traders are not betting on whether the event will actually occur but rather on taking profits or cutting losses at a certain point after opening their positions. Accounts: 0x60a92c8620846d81f5ea17b0564e0d4b7c545a71 0x12d6cccfc7470a3f4bafc53599a4779cbf2cf2a8 Total Investment: $9.7k --------------------------------- See tomorrow, today. Follow @PolyBeatsEN

Smart Money Bets $9,700 Against US Invasion of Iran This Year

On March 20, JPMorgan predicted that the Bank of England will raise interest rates by 25 basis points each in April and July 2026, a shift from its previous forecast of maintaining unchanged rates throughout the year. The firm has factored in expectations for two rate cuts, but anticipates these will not occur until the second and fourth quarters of 2027. JPMorgan expects inflation to fall back next year, but not until the spring. (Jins10)

[JPMorgan Forecasts Two 25 Basis Point Rate Hikes by Bank of England in 2026]On March 20, JPMorgan predicted that the Bank of England will raise interest rates by 25 basis points each in April and July 2026, a shift from its previous forecast of maintaining unchanged rates throughout the year. The firm has factored in expectations for two rate cuts, but anticipates these will not occur until the second and fourth quarters of 2027. JPMorgan expects inflation to fall back next year, but not until the spring. (Jins10)

JPMorgan Forecasts Two 25 Basis Point Rate Hikes by Bank of England in 2026

According to 1M AI News monitoring, the U.S. Attorney's Office for the Southern District of New York has unsealed an indictment charging Yih-Shyan "Wally" Liaw, a co-founder and board member of server manufacturer Super Micro Computer, along with Taiwanese sales manager Ruei-Tsan "Steven" Chang and contractor Ting-Wei "Willy" Sun, with violating the Export Control Reform Act by illegally shipping servers equipped with Nvidia AI chips to China. Since 2024, the three individuals allegedly used Southeast Asian intermediaries to falsify documents, disguising the servers as intended for local use before entrusting logistics companies to repackage and transship them to China. When the company's compliance team and auditors conducted on-site checks, the trio presented "fake" servers to deceive the inspection and proactively arranged for "friendly" auditors to conduct reviews. After an audit passed in August 2025, Liaw exclaimed, "That's spectacular!" and immediately urged, "Order now!" On August 20, 2025, the U.S. Department of Commerce's Bureau of Industry and Security (BIS) informed Super Micro that there were reasons to believe a Southeast Asian company was transshipping servers to China, and subsequently arranged for an on-site inspection. The day before federal inspectors visited on December 18, 2025, Sun and accomplices used hairdryers in a warehouse to peel off original server serial number stickers, reattaching them one by one to fake servers and packaging boxes before repacking them for the inspection. Warehouse surveillance cameras recorded the entire process, with screenshots included in the indictment. During the inspection the following day, Sun, under the alias "Michael" and posing as an assistant at a local law firm, received the federal inspectors, answered all questions, and falsely claimed the servers had never left the designated warehouse. The indictment indicates that the total value of the illicit transactions since 2024 amounts to approximately $2.5 billion, with about $510 million flowing into China from late April to mid-May 2025. Super Micro itself is not a defendant. Liaw and Sun were arrested on the day of the indictment, while Chang remains at large. The company stated that the aforementioned actions "violated company compliance policies." This case represents the latest development in the recent escalation of enforcement actions related to AI chip export controls. The U.S. government has long been investigating how Nvidia's high-performance chips bypass controls and enter China. Following the exposure of this case, SMCI's stock price fell 12% in after-hours trading.

[Super Micro Co-Founder and Two Others Charged in Scheme to Smuggle Nvidia AI Servers to China; SMCI Shares Drop 12% After Hours]According to 1M AI News monitoring, the U.S. Attorney's Office for the Southern District of New York has unsealed an indictment charging Yih-Shyan "Wally" Liaw, a co-founder and board member of server manufacturer Super Micro Computer, along with Taiwanese sales manager Ruei-Tsan "Steven" Chang and contractor Ting-Wei "Willy" Sun, with violating the Export Control Reform Act by illegally shipping servers equipped with Nvidia AI chips to China. Since 2024, the three individuals allegedly used Southeast Asian intermediaries to falsify documents, disguising the servers as intended for local use before entrusting logistics companies to repackage and transship them to China. When the company's compliance team and auditors conducted on-site checks, the trio presented "fake" servers to deceive the inspection and proactively arranged for "friendly" auditors to conduct reviews. After an audit passed in August 2025, Liaw exclaimed, "That's spectacular!" and immediately urged, "Order now!" On August 20, 2025, the U.S. Department of Commerce's Bureau of Industry and Security (BIS) informed Super Micro that there were reasons to believe a Southeast Asian company was transshipping servers to China, and subsequently arranged for an on-site inspection. The day before federal inspectors visited on December 18, 2025, Sun and accomplices used hairdryers in a warehouse to peel off original server serial number stickers, reattaching them one by one to fake servers and packaging boxes before repacking them for the inspection. Warehouse surveillance cameras recorded the entire process, with screenshots included in the indictment. During the inspection the following day, Sun, under the alias "Michael" and posing as an assistant at a local law firm, received the federal inspectors, answered all questions, and falsely claimed the servers had never left the designated warehouse. The indictment indicates that the total value of the illicit transactions since 2024 amounts to approximately $2.5 billion, with about $510 million flowing into China from late April to mid-May 2025. Super Micro itself is not a defendant. Liaw and Sun were arrested on the day of the indictment, while Chang remains at large. The company stated that the aforementioned actions "violated company compliance policies." This case represents the latest development in the recent escalation of enforcement actions related to AI chip export controls. The U.S. government has long been investigating how Nvidia's high-performance chips bypass controls and enter China. Following the exposure of this case, SMCI's stock price fell 12% in after-hours trading.

Super Micro Co-Founder and Two Others Charged in Scheme to Smuggle Nvidia AI Servers to China; SMCI Shares Drop 12% After Hours

On March 20th, according to Farside Investors, US spot Bitcoin ETFs experienced a net outflow of $90.2 million yesterday. Key outflows included:

*   BlackRock IBIT: -$38.3 million
*   Fidelity FBTC: -$26.0 million
*   Bitwise BITB: -$17.2 million
*   ARK ARKB: -$15.2 million
*   Grayscale GBTC: -$5.5 million

Inflows were seen from:

*   Franklin EZBC: +$4.1 million
*   Invesco BRRR: +$3.2 million
*   Grayscale Mini BTC: +$4.7 million

Additionally, US spot Ethereum ETFs saw a net outflow of $131.2 million yesterday. Notable figures include:

*   BlackRock ETHA: -$102.3 million
*   Fidelity FETH: -$11.8 million
*   Bitwise ETHW: -$5.8 million
*   VanEck ETHV: -$7.1 million
*   Invesco QETH: -$3.4 million
*   Grayscale Mini ETH: -$8.5 million

BlackRock ETHB saw a net inflow of +$7.7 million.

[US Bitcoin and Ethereum ETFs See Significant Outflows]On March 20th, according to Farside Investors, US spot Bitcoin ETFs experienced a net outflow of $90.2 million yesterday. Key outflows included:

*   BlackRock IBIT: -$38.3 million
*   Fidelity FBTC: -$26.0 million
*   Bitwise BITB: -$17.2 million
*   ARK ARKB: -$15.2 million
*   Grayscale GBTC: -$5.5 million

Inflows were seen from:

*   Franklin EZBC: +$4.1 million
*   Invesco BRRR: +$3.2 million
*   Grayscale Mini BTC: +$4.7 million

Additionally, US spot Ethereum ETFs saw a net outflow of $131.2 million yesterday. Notable figures include:

*   BlackRock ETHA: -$102.3 million
*   Fidelity FETH: -$11.8 million
*   Bitwise ETHW: -$5.8 million
*   VanEck ETHV: -$7.1 million
*   Invesco QETH: -$3.4 million
*   Grayscale Mini ETH: -$8.5 million

BlackRock ETHB saw a net inflow of +$7.7 million.

US Bitcoin and Ethereum ETFs See Significant Outflows

On March 20th, Mike Cagney, co-founder and executive chairman of blockchain capital markets company Figure, announced via Twitter the launch of the Figure Forge service. This service can tokenize blockchain-native loans and other Real-World Assets (RWAs) into standardized Participation Tokens. Initially, it will be used in the Democratized Prime DeFi market, operating on the Provenance Blockchain Foundation, and will offer users additional yield options through the Hastra protocol. A limit order book, funded by Figure, will support liquidity.

[Figure Launches Figure Forge Service to Tokenize Crypto Loans and Other RWAs]On March 20th, Mike Cagney, co-founder and executive chairman of blockchain capital markets company Figure, announced via Twitter the launch of the Figure Forge service. This service can tokenize blockchain-native loans and other Real-World Assets (RWAs) into standardized Participation Tokens. Initially, it will be used in the Democratized Prime DeFi market, operating on the Provenance Blockchain Foundation, and will offer users additional yield options through the Hastra protocol. A limit order book, funded by Figure, will support liquidity.

Figure Launches Figure Forge Service to Tokenize Crypto Loans and Other RWAs

According to PolyBeats monitoring, on the prediction market Polymarket, two addresses have invested $55,500 to bet 'Yes' on the question 'Will the United States confirm the existence of extraterrestrials before 2027?'. The current probability for this outcome is 17%. Among these investors, one account is identified as a 'smart money' account, and another account has made historical trades totaling over $1.25 million. Last month, former US President Trump publicly announced that he would instruct the Department of Defense and relevant federal agencies to begin declassifying and releasing documents related to unidentified flying objects and extraterrestrial life. This week, a bright fireball accompanied by a sonic boom was observed over the skies from Ohio to Pennsylvania, sparking widespread discussion about UFOs on social media. Concurrently, according to public domain registration records, the US Cybersecurity and Infrastructure Security Agency officially registered and activated the government-exclusive domain name 'aliens.gov' on March 17th. It is important to note that the US Department of Defense's All-domain Anomaly Resolution Office (AARO) has explicitly stated in past comprehensive review reports that there is no empirical evidence to suggest the existence of extraterrestrial technology. Furthermore, reviewing past declassification promises, the content of the archives ultimately released has often been attributed to conventional meteorological equipment, classified military tests, or simple visual illusions, with no official acknowledgment of the existence of extraterrestrial intelligent life at a sovereign level. Note: Based on their past trading patterns, this trader is not betting on the event actually happening, but rather on closing their position at a certain point in time for profit or loss. Addresses: 0xa61ef8773ec2e821962306ca87d4b57e39ff0abd, 0x72e4daa9b93fd3786f231c3b73c1bdbc4c48740a Total Investment: $55.5k --------------------------------- See tomorrow, today. Follow @PolyBeatsEN

[Two Addresses Bet $55.5K on US Confirming Extraterrestrial Existence by 2027]According to PolyBeats monitoring, on the prediction market Polymarket, two addresses have invested $55,500 to bet 'Yes' on the question 'Will the United States confirm the existence of extraterrestrials before 2027?'. The current probability for this outcome is 17%. Among these investors, one account is identified as a 'smart money' account, and another account has made historical trades totaling over $1.25 million. Last month, former US President Trump publicly announced that he would instruct the Department of Defense and relevant federal agencies to begin declassifying and releasing documents related to unidentified flying objects and extraterrestrial life. This week, a bright fireball accompanied by a sonic boom was observed over the skies from Ohio to Pennsylvania, sparking widespread discussion about UFOs on social media. Concurrently, according to public domain registration records, the US Cybersecurity and Infrastructure Security Agency officially registered and activated the government-exclusive domain name 'aliens.gov' on March 17th. It is important to note that the US Department of Defense's All-domain Anomaly Resolution Office (AARO) has explicitly stated in past comprehensive review reports that there is no empirical evidence to suggest the existence of extraterrestrial technology. Furthermore, reviewing past declassification promises, the content of the archives ultimately released has often been attributed to conventional meteorological equipment, classified military tests, or simple visual illusions, with no official acknowledgment of the existence of extraterrestrial intelligent life at a sovereign level. Note: Based on their past trading patterns, this trader is not betting on the event actually happening, but rather on closing their position at a certain point in time for profit or loss. Addresses: 0xa61ef8773ec2e821962306ca87d4b57e39ff0abd, 0x72e4daa9b93fd3786f231c3b73c1bdbc4c48740a Total Investment: $55.5k --------------------------------- See tomorrow, today. Follow @PolyBeatsEN

Two Addresses Bet $55.5K on US Confirming Extraterrestrial Existence by 2027

On March 20th, Matthew Sigel, Head of Digital Asset Research at VanEck, posted on social media stating that while the 30-day average price of Bitcoin has fallen by 19%, the spot price has stabilized. Market volatility has significantly decreased, with realized volatility dropping from 80% to 50%, and futures funding rates declining from 4.1% to 2.7%. On-chain activity has cooled down, with transaction volume decreasing by 31%, daily average fees reduced by 27%, and the distribution speed of long-term holders slowing down. Regarding miners, they have largely maintained a 'mine-and-sell' state, disposing of almost all newly issued Bitcoin. In the options market, defensive sentiment has reached its peak, with the put/call open interest ratio averaging 0.77, a new high since June 2021. The premium of put options relative to spot volume has reached a historical high of 4 basis points.

[VanEck: Bitcoin Miners Maintain 'Mine-and-Sell' Stance, Options Market Defensive Signals Peak]On March 20th, Matthew Sigel, Head of Digital Asset Research at VanEck, posted on social media stating that while the 30-day average price of Bitcoin has fallen by 19%, the spot price has stabilized. Market volatility has significantly decreased, with realized volatility dropping from 80% to 50%, and futures funding rates declining from 4.1% to 2.7%. On-chain activity has cooled down, with transaction volume decreasing by 31%, daily average fees reduced by 27%, and the distribution speed of long-term holders slowing down. Regarding miners, they have largely maintained a 'mine-and-sell' state, disposing of almost all newly issued Bitcoin. In the options market, defensive sentiment has reached its peak, with the put/call open interest ratio averaging 0.77, a new high since June 2021. The premium of put options relative to spot volume has reached a historical high of 4 basis points.

VanEck: Bitcoin Miners Maintain 'Mine-and-Sell' Stance, Options Market Defensive Signals Peak

According to 1M AI News monitoring, Dax Raad, co-founder of the open-source AI programming tool OpenCode, announced that due to a legal request from Anthropic, version 1.3.0 of OpenCode will remove all Anthropic-related integrations. The corresponding GitHub PR is titled 'anthropic legal requests' and the removed content includes Anthropic prompt files, the built-in authentication plugin opencode-anthropic-auth, and Anthropic references in provider enumeration and provider hints. This plugin has been removed from GitHub and marked as deprecated on npm. Dax stated on X that the team had tried to persuade Anthropic to support developers' freedom of choice, "but they sent lawyers." He also praised OpenAI, GitHub, and GitLab for "supporting developer freedom." OpenCode, developed by Anomaly, has over 126,000 stars on GitHub, surpassing Anthropic's official Claude Code (around 80,000 stars), making it one of the most popular open-source AI programming terminal tools. Previously, users had reported being banned when logging in through Anthropic OAuth using OpenCode. Following this removal, the community has begun developing a third-party alternative plugin, opencode-claude-auth.

[Open-Source AI Tool OpenCode Removes Claude Integrations After Legal Threat from Anthropic]According to 1M AI News monitoring, Dax Raad, co-founder of the open-source AI programming tool OpenCode, announced that due to a legal request from Anthropic, version 1.3.0 of OpenCode will remove all Anthropic-related integrations. The corresponding GitHub PR is titled 'anthropic legal requests' and the removed content includes Anthropic prompt files, the built-in authentication plugin opencode-anthropic-auth, and Anthropic references in provider enumeration and provider hints. This plugin has been removed from GitHub and marked as deprecated on npm. Dax stated on X that the team had tried to persuade Anthropic to support developers' freedom of choice, "but they sent lawyers." He also praised OpenAI, GitHub, and GitLab for "supporting developer freedom." OpenCode, developed by Anomaly, has over 126,000 stars on GitHub, surpassing Anthropic's official Claude Code (around 80,000 stars), making it one of the most popular open-source AI programming terminal tools. Previously, users had reported being banned when logging in through Anthropic OAuth using OpenCode. Following this removal, the community has begun developing a third-party alternative plugin, opencode-claude-auth.

Open-Source AI Tool OpenCode Removes Claude Integrations After Legal Threat from Anthropic

Santiment revealed on the X platform that over the past three months, the number of Bitcoin whale wallets holding 100 or more $BTC has increased by 753, a total increase of +3.9%. During the same period, Bitcoin's market capitalization decreased by -20.2%.

[Santiment: Number of Bitcoin Whale Wallets Holding Over 100 BTC Increased by 753 in Three Months]Santiment revealed on the X platform that over the past three months, the number of Bitcoin whale wallets holding 100 or more $BTC has increased by 753, a total increase of +3.9%. During the same period, Bitcoin's market capitalization decreased by -20.2%.

Santiment: Number of Bitcoin Whale Wallets Holding Over 100 BTC Increased by 753 in Three Months

On August 25th, according to OpenSea data, the first NFT series issued by former US President Donald Trump, the Donald Trump Digital Trading Card, returned to Twitter and tweeted today. After that, the floor price rose to 0.193 ETH, with a daily increase of 41% and a trading volume increase of 258%.

[The Floor Price of the First NFT Series Issued by Trump Rose to 0.193ETH, an Intraday Increase of 41%]On August 25th, according to OpenSea data, the first NFT series issued by former US President Donald Trump, the Donald Trump Digital Trading Card, returned to Twitter and tweeted today. After that, the floor price rose to 0.193 ETH, with a daily increase of 41% and a trading volume increase of 258%.

The Floor Price of the First NFT Series Issued by Trump Rose to 0.193ETH, an Intraday Increase of 41%

Clause de non-responsabilité：Le contenu ci-dessus ne représente pas les positions de HTX.，HTX ne fournit pas de recommandations de trading.。

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