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On March 29, the prediction market platform Kalshi was approved to provide margin trading services to professional clients, allowing them to establish trading positions with less initial capital. This move aims to enhance Kalshi's appeal to institutional investors; the feature may first be launched with new products rather than its core event contract category. Traditional prediction markets typically require full collateral for positions, and Kalshi's introduction of margin functionality breaks this industry norm. As trading volume and investment interest in the prediction market sector continue to rise, Kalshi recently completed a $1 billion funding round, providing a backdrop for the official launch of this feature.

[Kalshi Obtains License to Offer Margin Trading Services to Institutional Investors]On March 29, the prediction market platform Kalshi was approved to provide margin trading services to professional clients, allowing them to establish trading positions with less initial capital. This move aims to enhance Kalshi's appeal to institutional investors; the feature may first be launched with new products rather than its core event contract category. Traditional prediction markets typically require full collateral for positions, and Kalshi's introduction of margin functionality breaks this industry norm. As trading volume and investment interest in the prediction market sector continue to rise, Kalshi recently completed a $1 billion funding round, providing a backdrop for the official launch of this feature.

Kalshi Obtains License to Offer Margin Trading Services to Institutional Investors

On March 29, Canada's Bill C-25 will prohibit the use of cryptocurrencies, money orders, and prepaid cards for donations within the federal political system, effectively closing a fundraising channel that has seen little use since cryptocurrency donations were first allowed in 2019. The Chief Electoral Officer initially favored strengthening regulations but shifted to recommending a complete ban in 2024, citing the 'pseudo-anonymity' of cryptocurrencies and fundamental difficulties in verifying donor identities. This bill is a reintroduced version of the previously failed Bill C-65, which stipulates that illegal cryptocurrency donations must be refunded or surrendered within 30 days, and imposes penalties for violations: corporations could face fines of up to twice the donation amount plus $100,000. The bill is currently in the first reading stage in the House of Commons.

[Canada Proposes Ban on Cryptocurrency Donations in Election Campaigns]On March 29, Canada's Bill C-25 will prohibit the use of cryptocurrencies, money orders, and prepaid cards for donations within the federal political system, effectively closing a fundraising channel that has seen little use since cryptocurrency donations were first allowed in 2019. The Chief Electoral Officer initially favored strengthening regulations but shifted to recommending a complete ban in 2024, citing the 'pseudo-anonymity' of cryptocurrencies and fundamental difficulties in verifying donor identities. This bill is a reintroduced version of the previously failed Bill C-65, which stipulates that illegal cryptocurrency donations must be refunded or surrendered within 30 days, and imposes penalties for violations: corporations could face fines of up to twice the donation amount plus $100,000. The bill is currently in the first reading stage in the House of Commons.

Canada Proposes Ban on Cryptocurrency Donations in Election Campaigns

On March 29, Business Insider reported that the last remaining member of the initial founding team at Elon Musk's xAI has left the company. According to sources familiar with the matter, Ross Nordeen, one of the 11 individuals who co-founded the company with Musk, departed this week. Furthermore, Nordeen's employee designation on the X platform has also disappeared, which previously indicated his employment with xAI. His departure comes as Musk is restructuring xAI and preparing for a large-scale initial public offering for his rocket company, SpaceX. The report states that Nordeen, 36, reported directly to Musk at xAI, serving as a key aide responsible for coordinating internal company priorities and driving task execution. (Jingshi)

[Last xAI Co-Founder Reportedly Departs Company]On March 29, Business Insider reported that the last remaining member of the initial founding team at Elon Musk's xAI has left the company. According to sources familiar with the matter, Ross Nordeen, one of the 11 individuals who co-founded the company with Musk, departed this week. Furthermore, Nordeen's employee designation on the X platform has also disappeared, which previously indicated his employment with xAI. His departure comes as Musk is restructuring xAI and preparing for a large-scale initial public offering for his rocket company, SpaceX. The report states that Nordeen, 36, reported directly to Musk at xAI, serving as a key aide responsible for coordinating internal company priorities and driving task execution. (Jingshi)

Last xAI Co-Founder Reportedly Departs Company

On March 29th, the US-Iran conflict has continued for a full month. The upcoming week remains one filled with uncertainty and potential black swan events. Whether peace talks or conflict escalation, every small step will tug at the market's taut nerves. In addition to geopolitical conflicts, the Bank of Japan and the Federal Reserve will present their interest rate hike expectation roadmaps to the market. US non-farm payroll data will also significantly impact market liquidity expectations. Details are as follows:

Monday 07:50, the Bank of Japan releases the Summary of Opinions from its March monetary policy meeting.

Tuesday 04:00, New York Fed President Williams delivers a speech.

Wednesday 00:00, Chicago Fed President Goolsbee delivers opening remarks at an event hosted by the bank.

Wednesday 23:00, 2026 FOMC voting member and Dallas Fed President Logan delivers a speech.

Thursday 20:30, US Initial Jobless Claims for the week ending March 28th, US February Trade Balance.

Friday 20:30, US March Unemployment Rate, US March Nonfarm Payrolls (seasonally adjusted), US March Average Hourly Earnings (year-on-year), US March Average Hourly Earnings (month-on-month).

Friday 21:45, US March S&P Global Services PMI Final.

Finally, on April 3rd (Friday), the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) and Nasdaq will be closed all day. Precious metals and US crude oil futures trading will be suspended all day. Stock index futures will end early (Beijing time 21:15). Forex and US Treasury futures will end early (Beijing time 23:15). Brent crude oil futures will be suspended all day.

[Next Week's Macro Outlook: US-Iran Conflict at Critical Juncture, Central Banks of Japan and US May Signal Rate Hikes]On March 29th, the US-Iran conflict has continued for a full month. The upcoming week remains one filled with uncertainty and potential black swan events. Whether peace talks or conflict escalation, every small step will tug at the market's taut nerves. In addition to geopolitical conflicts, the Bank of Japan and the Federal Reserve will present their interest rate hike expectation roadmaps to the market. US non-farm payroll data will also significantly impact market liquidity expectations. Details are as follows:

Monday 07:50, the Bank of Japan releases the Summary of Opinions from its March monetary policy meeting.

Tuesday 04:00, New York Fed President Williams delivers a speech.

Wednesday 00:00, Chicago Fed President Goolsbee delivers opening remarks at an event hosted by the bank.

Wednesday 23:00, 2026 FOMC voting member and Dallas Fed President Logan delivers a speech.

Thursday 20:30, US Initial Jobless Claims for the week ending March 28th, US February Trade Balance.

Friday 20:30, US March Unemployment Rate, US March Nonfarm Payrolls (seasonally adjusted), US March Average Hourly Earnings (year-on-year), US March Average Hourly Earnings (month-on-month).

Friday 21:45, US March S&P Global Services PMI Final.

Finally, on April 3rd (Friday), the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) and Nasdaq will be closed all day. Precious metals and US crude oil futures trading will be suspended all day. Stock index futures will end early (Beijing time 21:15). Forex and US Treasury futures will end early (Beijing time 23:15). Brent crude oil futures will be suspended all day.

Next Week's Macro Outlook: US-Iran Conflict at Critical Juncture, Central Banks of Japan and US May Signal Rate Hikes

On March 29, U.S. Central Command announced on the 28th that U.S. Marines and other personnel aboard the amphibious assault ship USS Tripoli have arrived in the U.S. Central Command's area of responsibility. (Xinhua News Agency)

[US Marines Arrive in CENTCOM Area of Responsibility]On March 29, U.S. Central Command announced on the 28th that U.S. Marines and other personnel aboard the amphibious assault ship USS Tripoli have arrived in the U.S. Central Command's area of responsibility. (Xinhua News Agency)

US Marines Arrive in CENTCOM Area of Responsibility

opn Surges 15.89% in 24H, Currently at 0.2203 USDT

【opn currently trades at 0.2203 USDT, up 15.89% in 24h, according to HTX market data.】opn Surges 15.89% in 24H, Currently at 0.2203 USDT

opn currently trades at 0.2203 USDT, up 15.89% in 24h, according to HTX market data.

On March 29, the U.S. Central Command announced that U.S. Marines and other personnel aboard the USS Tripoli amphibious assault ship have arrived in the Central Command area of responsibility. (Xinhua News Agency)

[U.S. Marines Arrive in Central Command Area of Responsibility]On March 29, the U.S. Central Command announced that U.S. Marines and other personnel aboard the USS Tripoli amphibious assault ship have arrived in the Central Command area of responsibility. (Xinhua News Agency)

U.S. Marines Arrive in Central Command Area of Responsibility

On March 28th, Cryptoquant analyst Darkfost published an article stating that Bitcoin has so far failed to reclaim the realized price after excluding dormant circulating supply.

The chart displays a cost basis benchmark that excludes holdings older than 7 years, aiming to more realistically reflect the actual circulating supply of Bitcoin in the market. This metric filters out lost bitcoins and long-term locked-up holdings, commonly referred to as "diamond hands" in the market.

After this adjustment, the realized price is approximately $72,500, which currently acts as a key resistance level. Bitcoin has been trading below this price for nearly two months. Looking back at previous bear market cycles, Bitcoin has typically oscillated below this cost basis for 6 to 10 months, consistently failing to reclaim this level. If historical patterns repeat, Bitcoin may experience several more months of downward pressure, with prices likely to remain below $72,500.

[Cryptoquant Analyst: BTC Below Key Realized Price of ~$72.5K, May See Months of Weakness]On March 28th, Cryptoquant analyst Darkfost published an article stating that Bitcoin has so far failed to reclaim the realized price after excluding dormant circulating supply.

The chart displays a cost basis benchmark that excludes holdings older than 7 years, aiming to more realistically reflect the actual circulating supply of Bitcoin in the market. This metric filters out lost bitcoins and long-term locked-up holdings, commonly referred to as "diamond hands" in the market.

After this adjustment, the realized price is approximately $72,500, which currently acts as a key resistance level. Bitcoin has been trading below this price for nearly two months. Looking back at previous bear market cycles, Bitcoin has typically oscillated below this cost basis for 6 to 10 months, consistently failing to reclaim this level. If historical patterns repeat, Bitcoin may experience several more months of downward pressure, with prices likely to remain below $72,500.

Cryptoquant Analyst: BTC Below Key Realized Price of ~$72.5K, May See Months of Weakness

HTX data showed that BTC fell below 67000  USDT and is now at 66995.65 USDT, with a increase of 1.36% in 24H.

[BTC fell below 67000  USDT] HTX data showed that BTC fell below 67000  USDT and is now at 66995.65 USDT, with a increase of 1.36% in 24H.

BTC fell below 67000  USDT

According to Beincrypto, the ongoing battle between fintech firm Ripple and the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) could be coming to a conclusion. However, the regulator’s chances of a victory are growing slimmer according to legal experts. Crypto legal experts have hinted that the SEC could be looking at a “bruising defeat” in its case against Ripple. A verdict against the regulator could severely limit its capacity to oversee the regulation of the crypto asset sector. This would be a big win for the industry and innovation in the U.S. On Oct 30, senior analyst Roslyn Layton said: “If that’s how it ends, it will have been a self-inflicted disaster from the start. The SEC has had no allies, not even its own expert witnesses who ended up giving ammunition to the defense.”

Detail

【SEC could face ‘bruising defeat’ against Ripple, says legal experts】According to Beincrypto, the ongoing battle between fintech firm Ripple and the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) could be coming to a conclusion. However, the regulator’s chances of a victory are growing slimmer according to legal experts. Crypto legal experts have hinted that the SEC could be looking at a “bruising defeat” in its case against Ripple. A verdict against the regulator could severely limit its capacity to oversee the regulation of the crypto asset sector. This would be a big win for the industry and innovation in the U.S. On Oct 30, senior analyst Roslyn Layton said: “If that’s how it ends, it will have been a self-inflicted disaster from the start. The SEC has had no allies, not even its own expert witnesses who ended up giving ammunition to the defense.”

SEC could face ‘bruising defeat’ against Ripple, says legal experts

Article

Iran: No Decision Yet on Responding to US Proposal Amid Attacks

Trump, Modi Discuss Middle East; Musk Joins Call

US Stocks Close Lower; Nasdaq Down 2.15%

Iran Warns US: Equal Retaliation if Ground Action is Launched

Thailand and Iran Reach Agreement on Strait of Hormuz Passage

SEC could face ‘bruising defeat’ against Ripple, says legal experts

Clause de non-responsabilité：Le contenu ci-dessus ne représente pas les positions de HTX.，HTX ne fournit pas de recommandations de trading.。

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