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On May 2, U.S. President Trump stated: (regarding options for Iran) either completely destroy it or reach an agreement, expressing no concerns about the U.S. missile stockpile. (Jin Shi)

[Trump: Either Completely Destroy Iran or Reach an Agreement]On May 2, U.S. President Trump stated: (regarding options for Iran) either completely destroy it or reach an agreement, expressing no concerns about the U.S. missile stockpile. (Jin Shi)

Trump: Either Completely Destroy Iran or Reach an Agreement

On May 2, Miles Jennings, head of policy at a16z crypto, stated, "We have formally responded to the proposed rulemaking by the U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) regarding predictive markets. Predictive markets are one of the most powerful tools available today, capable of transforming fragmented and decentralized information into effective information with real reference value. Unlike opinion polls, predictive markets operate continuously around the clock and feature an incentive mechanism. Participants invest real money based on their views, meaning that the market prices reflect genuine positions rather than arbitrary subjective opinions. 

Predictive markets are experiencing rapid growth. Kalshi's weekly trading volume has surged tenfold this year, reaching $3 billion. However, what is even more noteworthy is the future development trend: AI agents can process vast amounts of information and autonomously execute trades on permissionless public chains. The combination of these two technologies will give rise to entirely new business models that far exceed the current industry scale. 

Despite the promising outlook, regulatory uncertainty poses a threat to the future development of this industry. 

Our proposed solutions will help the industry unlock its potential: clearly reaffirming the CFTC's exclusive jurisdiction, improving the contract dispute resolution mechanism, strictly controlling market manipulation and insider trading, adopting a case-by-case approach for public interest determinations, and exploring diversified compliance pathways. 

The significance of predictive markets is not merely about betting on various events; at its core, it is an information machine. The regulatory rules currently being developed by the CFTC will directly determine whether this technology is constrained in its infancy or can fully unleash its development potential. 

We hope the committee can seize this opportunity.

[a16z Crypto Policy Head: Predictive Markets as Information Machines, AI Agents + Public Chains to Create New Business Models]On May 2, Miles Jennings, head of policy at a16z crypto, stated, "We have formally responded to the proposed rulemaking by the U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) regarding predictive markets. Predictive markets are one of the most powerful tools available today, capable of transforming fragmented and decentralized information into effective information with real reference value. Unlike opinion polls, predictive markets operate continuously around the clock and feature an incentive mechanism. Participants invest real money based on their views, meaning that the market prices reflect genuine positions rather than arbitrary subjective opinions. 

Predictive markets are experiencing rapid growth. Kalshi's weekly trading volume has surged tenfold this year, reaching $3 billion. However, what is even more noteworthy is the future development trend: AI agents can process vast amounts of information and autonomously execute trades on permissionless public chains. The combination of these two technologies will give rise to entirely new business models that far exceed the current industry scale. 

Despite the promising outlook, regulatory uncertainty poses a threat to the future development of this industry. 

Our proposed solutions will help the industry unlock its potential: clearly reaffirming the CFTC's exclusive jurisdiction, improving the contract dispute resolution mechanism, strictly controlling market manipulation and insider trading, adopting a case-by-case approach for public interest determinations, and exploring diversified compliance pathways. 

The significance of predictive markets is not merely about betting on various events; at its core, it is an information machine. The regulatory rules currently being developed by the CFTC will directly determine whether this technology is constrained in its infancy or can fully unleash its development potential. 

We hope the committee can seize this opportunity.

a16z Crypto Policy Head: Predictive Markets as Information Machines, AI Agents + Public Chains to Create New Business Models

On May 2, USDC issuer Circle announced that it is using the Say platform to allow verified shareholders to submit questions and vote ahead of the earnings call on May 11. Shareholders can submit and vote on questions by 9 AM ET on May 8 (Friday), and management will address some of the questions during the call.

[Circle: Shareholders Can Pre-submit Questions for Earnings Call]On May 2, USDC issuer Circle announced that it is using the Say platform to allow verified shareholders to submit questions and vote ahead of the earnings call on May 11. Shareholders can submit and vote on questions by 9 AM ET on May 8 (Friday), and management will address some of the questions during the call.

Circle: Shareholders Can Pre-submit Questions for Earnings Call

On May 2, U.S. President Trump stated that Iran has made 'significant progress' towards reaching an agreement, but he is unsure 'if they will ultimately be able to reach a deal.' Regarding the possibility of a new round of face-to-face talks in Pakistan, Trump mentioned that the U.S. 'respects' Pakistan and its leaders, but that 'the journey is very long.' He noted that all current negotiations are being conducted via phone. (Al Jazeera)

[Trump Says Iran Negotiations Have Made Progress, But Not Enough]On May 2, U.S. President Trump stated that Iran has made 'significant progress' towards reaching an agreement, but he is unsure 'if they will ultimately be able to reach a deal.' Regarding the possibility of a new round of face-to-face talks in Pakistan, Trump mentioned that the U.S. 'respects' Pakistan and its leaders, but that 'the journey is very long.' He noted that all current negotiations are being conducted via phone. (Al Jazeera)

Trump Says Iran Negotiations Have Made Progress, But Not Enough

On May 2, U.S. President Trump stated that Iran has made 'significant progress' in reaching an agreement, but he is unsure 'if they will ultimately be able to reach a deal.' Regarding the possibility of a new round of face-to-face talks in Pakistan, Trump mentioned that the U.S. 'respects' Pakistan and its leaders very much, but 'the journey is very long,' and currently all negotiations are being conducted via phone. According to monitoring by PolyBeats, the probability of a 'next round of U.S.-Iran diplomatic meetings' on the prediction market Polymarket was 6% five days ago, 25% fifteen days ago, and 48% before the end of this month.

[Trump Discusses Possibility of New Face-to-Face Talks: 'The Journey is Very Long', Currently Conducting Negotiations via Phone]On May 2, U.S. President Trump stated that Iran has made 'significant progress' in reaching an agreement, but he is unsure 'if they will ultimately be able to reach a deal.' Regarding the possibility of a new round of face-to-face talks in Pakistan, Trump mentioned that the U.S. 'respects' Pakistan and its leaders very much, but 'the journey is very long,' and currently all negotiations are being conducted via phone. According to monitoring by PolyBeats, the probability of a 'next round of U.S.-Iran diplomatic meetings' on the prediction market Polymarket was 6% five days ago, 25% fifteen days ago, and 48% before the end of this month.

Trump Discusses Possibility of New Face-to-Face Talks: 'The Journey is Very Long', Currently Conducting Negotiations via Phone

On May 2, U.S. President Trump stated: 'Regarding Iran, I am not satisfied with the latest proposal. We are negotiating over the phone, and I am not sure if we can reach an agreement.' (Jinshi)

[Trump: Unsatisfied with Iran's Latest Proposal]On May 2, U.S. President Trump stated: 'Regarding Iran, I am not satisfied with the latest proposal. We are negotiating over the phone, and I am not sure if we can reach an agreement.' (Jinshi)

Trump: Unsatisfied with Iran's Latest Proposal

On May 2, USDC issuer Circle announced that it is using the Say platform to allow verified shareholders the opportunity to submit questions and vote ahead of the earnings call on May 11. Shareholders can submit and vote on questions by 9 AM ET on May 8 (Friday), and management will address some of the questions during the call.

[Circle: Shareholders Can Pre-submit Questions for Earnings Call]On May 2, USDC issuer Circle announced that it is using the Say platform to allow verified shareholders the opportunity to submit questions and vote ahead of the earnings call on May 11. Shareholders can submit and vote on questions by 9 AM ET on May 8 (Friday), and management will address some of the questions during the call.

opg Surges 10.71% in 24H, Currently at 0.246 USDT

【opg currently trades at 0.246 USDT, up 10.71% in 24h, according to HTX market data.】opg Surges 10.71% in 24H, Currently at 0.246 USDT

opg currently trades at 0.246 USDT, up 10.71% in 24h, according to HTX market data.

On May 1, US stock indices slightly retraced their gains after President Trump announced a 25% tariff on EU cars. (Sina Finance)

[US Stock Indices Slightly Retrace Gains After Trump's Announcement of 25% Tariff on EU Cars]On May 1, US stock indices slightly retraced their gains after President Trump announced a 25% tariff on EU cars. (Sina Finance)

US Stock Indices Slightly Retrace Gains After Trump's Announcement of 25% Tariff on EU Cars

On May 1, the U.S. Senate unanimously passed a regulation on Thursday that prohibits senators from participating in prediction market trading, which takes effect immediately. This move comes amid growing concerns over insider trading on prediction market platforms such as Kalshi and Polymarket, as well as contracts related to events that may involve death or violence.

[U.S. Senate Passes Regulation Limiting Senators' Participation in Prediction Market Trading]On May 1, the U.S. Senate unanimously passed a regulation on Thursday that prohibits senators from participating in prediction market trading, which takes effect immediately. This move comes amid growing concerns over insider trading on prediction market platforms such as Kalshi and Polymarket, as well as contracts related to events that may involve death or violence.

U.S. Senate Passes Regulation Limiting Senators' Participation in Prediction Market Trading

Coinbase Is Pulling Institutional Investors Into XRP And This Is How They’re Doing It

Bitcoin 20% Price Crash Is Coming As Analyst Points Out Possible Bottom

Bitcoin Short-Term Holders Back In Profit As Price Recovers Upward Momentum

Bitcoin Has Entered A Bull Market And Will Continue To Rise; Analyst Shares Why

Analyst Reveals Accumulation Level For Dogecoin Before It Rallies To $2

The True Value of DeepSeek V4 Lies Beyond Parameters

a16z Crypto: 9 Charts to Understand the Evolution of Stablecoins

Kelp DAO Hack: Aave DAO Proposes To Contribute 25,000 ETH To Recovery Efforts

XRP And Bitcoin Investors Are ‘Trapped’, But Is There A Way Out?

OpenClaw vs. Hermes: Which One Is Right for You?

Article

U.S. Mortgage Rates Surge to 6.3%, First Increase in a Month

U.S. Senate Passes Regulation Limiting Senators' Participation in Prediction Market Trading

Clause de non-responsabilité：Le contenu ci-dessus ne représente pas les positions de HTX.，HTX ne fournit pas de recommandations de trading.。

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