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On April 30, several institutions shared their forward-looking views on Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell's press conference. Most institutions believe that, in light of improvements in employment and inflationary pressures, the Federal Reserve will maintain a cautious stance in the short term, with an overall tone that carries hawkish risks. Citigroup and JPMorgan expect Powell to acknowledge improvements in the labor market while emphasizing that PCE inflation remains resilient, and that energy prices and the situation in Iran continue to pose upward risks, thus leaning towards a 'wait-and-see' policy stance. Societe Generale pointed out that, with inflation risks not yet resolved, Powell is unlikely to proactively pave the way for rate cuts before his successor takes over. MUFG stated that if this FOMC statement does not strengthen the language on inflation risks, Powell may signal a more hawkish tone during the press conference. Wells Fargo anticipates that Powell will focus on the high uncertainty brought by the conflict in Iran and its impact on the Fed's dual mandate, emphasizing that the current policy framework helps to continue monitoring economic data. Additionally, Danske Bank is interested in whether Powell will reveal if he will continue to serve as a Fed governor after stepping down as chairman; ING believes that Powell will likely maintain his consistent prudent style, avoiding comments on the future policy direction of Waller to ensure market stability during the transition of power.

[Institutions Anticipate Powell's Press Conference: Market on Alert for Hawkish Risks, May Emphasize 'Patience and Caution']On April 30, several institutions shared their forward-looking views on Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell's press conference. Most institutions believe that, in light of improvements in employment and inflationary pressures, the Federal Reserve will maintain a cautious stance in the short term, with an overall tone that carries hawkish risks. Citigroup and JPMorgan expect Powell to acknowledge improvements in the labor market while emphasizing that PCE inflation remains resilient, and that energy prices and the situation in Iran continue to pose upward risks, thus leaning towards a 'wait-and-see' policy stance. Societe Generale pointed out that, with inflation risks not yet resolved, Powell is unlikely to proactively pave the way for rate cuts before his successor takes over. MUFG stated that if this FOMC statement does not strengthen the language on inflation risks, Powell may signal a more hawkish tone during the press conference. Wells Fargo anticipates that Powell will focus on the high uncertainty brought by the conflict in Iran and its impact on the Fed's dual mandate, emphasizing that the current policy framework helps to continue monitoring economic data. Additionally, Danske Bank is interested in whether Powell will reveal if he will continue to serve as a Fed governor after stepping down as chairman; ING believes that Powell will likely maintain his consistent prudent style, avoiding comments on the future policy direction of Waller to ensure market stability during the transition of power.

Institutions Anticipate Powell's Press Conference: Market on Alert for Hawkish Risks, May Emphasize 'Patience and Caution'

On April 30, the Kremlin announced that Russian President Vladimir Putin and U.S. President Donald Trump held a phone conversation lasting over 1.5 hours, characterized by a friendly atmosphere. The two leaders discussed the situation in Iran, during which Putin proposed suggestions regarding Iran's nuclear program and expressed support for Trump's decision to extend the ceasefire in Iran. They also explored potential cooperation opportunities in economic and energy projects. Putin suggested implementing a ceasefire between Russia and Ukraine during the Victory Day celebrations on May 9, to which Trump responded positively. Trump believes that an agreement to resolve the Ukraine conflict is imminent. Putin condemned the recent assassination attempt on President Trump.

[Putin and Trump Discuss Iranian Nuclear Program in Phone Call]On April 30, the Kremlin announced that Russian President Vladimir Putin and U.S. President Donald Trump held a phone conversation lasting over 1.5 hours, characterized by a friendly atmosphere. The two leaders discussed the situation in Iran, during which Putin proposed suggestions regarding Iran's nuclear program and expressed support for Trump's decision to extend the ceasefire in Iran. They also explored potential cooperation opportunities in economic and energy projects. Putin suggested implementing a ceasefire between Russia and Ukraine during the Victory Day celebrations on May 9, to which Trump responded positively. Trump believes that an agreement to resolve the Ukraine conflict is imminent. Putin condemned the recent assassination attempt on President Trump.

Putin and Trump Discuss Iranian Nuclear Program in Phone Call

On April 30, S&P announced that it has raised its WTI and Brent crude oil price forecasts for the remainder of 2026 by $15 per barrel and by $5 per barrel for 2027. The latest forecasts indicate a target price of $95 per barrel for WTI crude and $100 per barrel for Brent crude in 2026. S&P attributes this increase to two core factors: the ongoing intensification of oil supply disruptions and the geopolitical risk premium heightened by the stalemate in U.S.-Iran nuclear negotiations. Regarding the outlook for the Strait of Hormuz, S&P's language is cautious—stating that even if the strait is fully reopened, oil flows may only gradually recover, and any reopening scenario would be relatively fragile and susceptible to intermittent disruptions. S&P also noted that current oil prices need to rise further or maintain high levels over the long term to effectively curb demand and improve the global supply-demand balance. Price assumptions for 2028 and beyond remain unchanged.

[S&P Raises Oil Price Forecast Significantly, Long-Term Highs Needed to Improve Global Supply-Demand Balance]On April 30, S&P announced that it has raised its WTI and Brent crude oil price forecasts for the remainder of 2026 by $15 per barrel and by $5 per barrel for 2027. The latest forecasts indicate a target price of $95 per barrel for WTI crude and $100 per barrel for Brent crude in 2026. S&P attributes this increase to two core factors: the ongoing intensification of oil supply disruptions and the geopolitical risk premium heightened by the stalemate in U.S.-Iran nuclear negotiations. Regarding the outlook for the Strait of Hormuz, S&P's language is cautious—stating that even if the strait is fully reopened, oil flows may only gradually recover, and any reopening scenario would be relatively fragile and susceptible to intermittent disruptions. S&P also noted that current oil prices need to rise further or maintain high levels over the long term to effectively curb demand and improve the global supply-demand balance. Price assumptions for 2028 and beyond remain unchanged.

S&P Raises Oil Price Forecast Significantly, Long-Term Highs Needed to Improve Global Supply-Demand Balance

On April 30, the RWA tokenization protocol KAIO officially announced the launch of its governance token KAIO, with a fixed total supply of 10 billion tokens. The KAIO Foundation has also been established to oversee ecological governance, treasury management, and protocol development. KAIO is incubated by Nomura Group's digital asset division, Laser Digital, and has received strategic investments from institutions such as Tether (the world's largest stablecoin issuer), BH Digital Assets, and Further. The platform currently has five institutional-grade funds launched, with a total value locked (TVL) of approximately $100 million, spanning over 10 blockchains. Supported asset managers include BlackRock, Brevan Howard, Hamilton Lane, and Laser Digital, with a collaboration with Mubadala Capital expected to be announced soon. In terms of token distribution, the community and liquidity incentives account for the highest proportion at 37.5%; the foundation holds 17%; and the team, investors, and Pre-TGE sales collectively account for 45.5%, with a zero lock-up ratio on the day of TGE. Unlocking has a cliff period of 6 to 12 months, followed by monthly linear releases, with a maximum period of 60 months. The core uses of the token include access to protocol products, participation in staking for rewards, and governance voting rights on key protocol decisions and treasury allocations. The protocol will generate revenue by charging basis points on tokenized assets, but token holders do not have statutory rights to fee distribution. A retail-focused KASH product is planned to launch in the second quarter of 2026, aimed at providing ordinary users with exposure to RWA returns.

[Nomura Group's KAIO Announces Governance Token Launch, Targeting $30 Trillion RWA Market]On April 30, the RWA tokenization protocol KAIO officially announced the launch of its governance token KAIO, with a fixed total supply of 10 billion tokens. The KAIO Foundation has also been established to oversee ecological governance, treasury management, and protocol development. KAIO is incubated by Nomura Group's digital asset division, Laser Digital, and has received strategic investments from institutions such as Tether (the world's largest stablecoin issuer), BH Digital Assets, and Further. The platform currently has five institutional-grade funds launched, with a total value locked (TVL) of approximately $100 million, spanning over 10 blockchains. Supported asset managers include BlackRock, Brevan Howard, Hamilton Lane, and Laser Digital, with a collaboration with Mubadala Capital expected to be announced soon. In terms of token distribution, the community and liquidity incentives account for the highest proportion at 37.5%; the foundation holds 17%; and the team, investors, and Pre-TGE sales collectively account for 45.5%, with a zero lock-up ratio on the day of TGE. Unlocking has a cliff period of 6 to 12 months, followed by monthly linear releases, with a maximum period of 60 months. The core uses of the token include access to protocol products, participation in staking for rewards, and governance voting rights on key protocol decisions and treasury allocations. The protocol will generate revenue by charging basis points on tokenized assets, but token holders do not have statutory rights to fee distribution. A retail-focused KASH product is planned to launch in the second quarter of 2026, aimed at providing ordinary users with exposure to RWA returns.

Nomura Group's KAIO Announces Governance Token Launch, Targeting $30 Trillion RWA Market

On April 30, according to CCTV News, U.S. President Trump stated that he would continue the maritime blockade against Iran until the country agrees to a deal that alleviates U.S. concerns regarding Iran's nuclear program. Reports indicate that Trump rejected Iran's proposal to 'lift the blockade, restore navigation in the Strait of Hormuz, and then postpone nuclear negotiations,' emphasizing that the blockade is currently the most effective means of pressure. He stated that compared to direct military strikes, the blockade is 'more effective' and noted that Iran is under immense pressure due to its inability to export oil. Sources reveal that the U.S. military has prepared a 'short-term and powerful' strike plan, and if negotiations remain stalled, the U.S. may consider targeting Iran's critical infrastructure to compel it to return to the negotiating table.

[Sources: U.S. Military Prepared with 'Short-term and Powerful' Strike Plan Against Iran]On April 30, according to CCTV News, U.S. President Trump stated that he would continue the maritime blockade against Iran until the country agrees to a deal that alleviates U.S. concerns regarding Iran's nuclear program. Reports indicate that Trump rejected Iran's proposal to 'lift the blockade, restore navigation in the Strait of Hormuz, and then postpone nuclear negotiations,' emphasizing that the blockade is currently the most effective means of pressure. He stated that compared to direct military strikes, the blockade is 'more effective' and noted that Iran is under immense pressure due to its inability to export oil. Sources reveal that the U.S. military has prepared a 'short-term and powerful' strike plan, and if negotiations remain stalled, the U.S. may consider targeting Iran's critical infrastructure to compel it to return to the negotiating table.

Sources: U.S. Military Prepared with 'Short-term and Powerful' Strike Plan Against Iran

On April 30, on-chain data from Arkham revealed that Vitalik Buterin's address (0xAb5...) is intensively selling various Meme tokens, with a transfer frequency reaching several times per minute. The flow of funds indicates a continuous inflow of ETH during the same period. The market widely speculates that he is using an automated script to batch liquidate the airdropped junk tokens in his wallet. The amounts per transaction generally range from tens to hundreds of dollars. This is not the first time such actions have occurred. In 2021, Vitalik sold or donated a large number of Meme coins (including SHIB) that were airdropped to his address, causing significant market fluctuations. It remains unclear whether this operation is manually triggered or entirely executed by an automated program. Given the market influence of Vitalik's address, holders of related Meme coins should be aware of potential selling pressure risks.

[Vitalik's Address Allegedly Initiates Programmatic Liquidation of 'Junk Meme Coins', Selling Continuously at Minute Intervals]On April 30, on-chain data from Arkham revealed that Vitalik Buterin's address (0xAb5...) is intensively selling various Meme tokens, with a transfer frequency reaching several times per minute. The flow of funds indicates a continuous inflow of ETH during the same period. The market widely speculates that he is using an automated script to batch liquidate the airdropped junk tokens in his wallet. The amounts per transaction generally range from tens to hundreds of dollars. This is not the first time such actions have occurred. In 2021, Vitalik sold or donated a large number of Meme coins (including SHIB) that were airdropped to his address, causing significant market fluctuations. It remains unclear whether this operation is manually triggered or entirely executed by an automated program. Given the market influence of Vitalik's address, holders of related Meme coins should be aware of potential selling pressure risks.

Vitalik's Address Allegedly Initiates Programmatic Liquidation of 'Junk Meme Coins', Selling Continuously at Minute Intervals

On April 30, local time April 29, U.S. President Trump stated that he would continue the maritime blockade against Iran until the Iranian side agrees to reach an agreement that alleviates U.S. concerns about Iran's nuclear program. Reports indicate that Trump rejected Iran's proposal to 'lift the blockade first, restore navigation in the Strait of Hormuz, and then postpone nuclear issue negotiations,' emphasizing that the blockade is currently the most effective means of pressure. He stated that compared to direct military strikes, the blockade is 'more effective' and noted that Iran is under immense pressure due to its inability to export oil. Sources say that the U.S. military has prepared a 'short-term and powerful' strike plan, and if negotiations remain stalled, the U.S. may consider striking Iran's critical infrastructure to force it back to the negotiating table. (CCTV)

[Sources: U.S. Military Prepared a 'Short-term and Powerful' Strike Plan Against Iran]On April 30, local time April 29, U.S. President Trump stated that he would continue the maritime blockade against Iran until the Iranian side agrees to reach an agreement that alleviates U.S. concerns about Iran's nuclear program. Reports indicate that Trump rejected Iran's proposal to 'lift the blockade first, restore navigation in the Strait of Hormuz, and then postpone nuclear issue negotiations,' emphasizing that the blockade is currently the most effective means of pressure. He stated that compared to direct military strikes, the blockade is 'more effective' and noted that Iran is under immense pressure due to its inability to export oil. Sources say that the U.S. military has prepared a 'short-term and powerful' strike plan, and if negotiations remain stalled, the U.S. may consider striking Iran's critical infrastructure to force it back to the negotiating table. (CCTV)

Sources: U.S. Military Prepared a 'Short-term and Powerful' Strike Plan Against Iran

UP fluctuated by 54.6% within 24 hours, current price $0.13351

【UP24-hour fluctuation exceeds 50%!】UP fluctuated by 54.6% within 24 hours, current price $0.13351

UP24-hour fluctuation exceeds 50%!

On April 30, U.S. President Trump gave an interview to Israel's Channel 12 News, stating, "I will not lift the naval blockade on Iran until an agreement regarding their nuclear program is reached." He remarked, "In a sense, the naval blockade is more effective than bombing." The U.S. President discussed this measure, saying, "Iranians are suffocating—like a fat pig. The situation will only get worse for them. They cannot have nuclear weapons." Trump claimed, "Iranians want to reach a reconciliation. They do not want me to continue the blockade." He further elaborated on the effectiveness of the naval blockade, stating, "Iran's oil reserves and pipelines will soon burst due to the blockade." (Jinshi)

[Trump: Iranians 'Suffocating Like Fat Pigs', Naval Blockade Will Continue Until Nuclear Deal Reached]On April 30, U.S. President Trump gave an interview to Israel's Channel 12 News, stating, "I will not lift the naval blockade on Iran until an agreement regarding their nuclear program is reached." He remarked, "In a sense, the naval blockade is more effective than bombing." The U.S. President discussed this measure, saying, "Iranians are suffocating—like a fat pig. The situation will only get worse for them. They cannot have nuclear weapons." Trump claimed, "Iranians want to reach a reconciliation. They do not want me to continue the blockade." He further elaborated on the effectiveness of the naval blockade, stating, "Iran's oil reserves and pipelines will soon burst due to the blockade." (Jinshi)

Trump: Iranians 'Suffocating Like Fat Pigs', Naval Blockade Will Continue Until Nuclear Deal Reached

28 апреля, согласно мониторингу Arkham, Bitmine только что поставил $214 миллионов в ETH. В настоящее время Bitmine владеет в общей сложности $8.45 миллиардов в ставленном ETH, что составляет 9.5% от общего объема ставленного ETH в сети.

[Bitmine ставит $214 миллионов в ETH] 28 апреля, согласно мониторингу Arkham, Bitmine только что поставил $214 миллионов в ETH. В настоящее время Bitmine владеет в общей сложности $8.45 миллиардов в ставленном ETH, что составляет 9.5% от общего объема ставленного ETH в сети.

Bitmine ставит $214 миллионов в ETH

Clause de non-responsabilité：Le contenu ci-dessus ne représente pas les positions de HTX.，HTX ne fournit pas de recommandations de trading.。

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