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On April 27, President Trump stated in an interview with CBS that he was unsure if he was a target of the attacker at the White House Correspondents' Dinner. He said, 'I don't know. It sounds like he is an extreme person. Based on what he has written, he has gone through a lot. His brother complained about him, and his sister also had issues with him. His family is very concerned about him. He is likely a person in very poor mental health.' (Jinshi)

[Trump: Uncertain if He Was Target of Shooter's Attack]On April 27, President Trump stated in an interview with CBS that he was unsure if he was a target of the attacker at the White House Correspondents' Dinner. He said, 'I don't know. It sounds like he is an extreme person. Based on what he has written, he has gone through a lot. His brother complained about him, and his sister also had issues with him. His family is very concerned about him. He is likely a person in very poor mental health.' (Jinshi)

Trump: Uncertain if He Was Target of Shooter's Attack

On April 27, the South Korean KOSPI index opened up 69.68 points, an increase of 1.08%, reaching 6545.31 points. The Nikkei 225 index opened up 114.74 points, an increase of 0.19%, reaching 59830.92 points.

[Japanese and South Korean Stock Markets Open Higher]On April 27, the South Korean KOSPI index opened up 69.68 points, an increase of 1.08%, reaching 6545.31 points. The Nikkei 225 index opened up 114.74 points, an increase of 0.19%, reaching 59830.92 points.

Japanese and South Korean Stock Markets Open Higher

On April 27, a paper by researchers from the London Business School and Yale University analyzed all transactions on Polymarket from 2023 to 2025, finding that approximately 3% of accounts generated most of the price discovery on the platform. The study covered 1.72 million accounts, 210,322 markets, and about $13.76 billion in trading volume. The paper states that only 3.14% of accounts can be classified as 'skilled winners,' meaning their order flow consistently predicts short-term price fluctuations and final outcomes. This group of accounts, along with market makers, accounts for less than 3.5% of all accounts but has earned over 30% of all profits. Accounts categorized as unlucky or poorly skilled, which represent 67% of the total, bear all of the platform's total losses. Regarding suspected insider trading, the authors identified 1,950 accounts that were opened shortly before a single event and went silent after the event settled. These accounts pushed prices about 7 to 12 times more per dollar than skilled traders, but due to their excessive focus on isolated events, they failed to drive overall accuracy. The paper includes a case study focusing on three accounts opened between December 27 and January 3, which bet on Maduro's ousting before the disclosure of U.S. military actions, collectively profiting over $630,000. This scenario aligns with the first insider trading lawsuit involving event contracts filed by the U.S. CFTC on Thursday, which accuses U.S. Army Sergeant Gannon Ken Van Dyke of trading based on confidential information before a raid.

[Study: Only 3% of Polymarket Accounts Drive Price Discovery and Earn Over 30% Profits, 67% of Accounts Bear All Losses]On April 27, a paper by researchers from the London Business School and Yale University analyzed all transactions on Polymarket from 2023 to 2025, finding that approximately 3% of accounts generated most of the price discovery on the platform. The study covered 1.72 million accounts, 210,322 markets, and about $13.76 billion in trading volume. The paper states that only 3.14% of accounts can be classified as 'skilled winners,' meaning their order flow consistently predicts short-term price fluctuations and final outcomes. This group of accounts, along with market makers, accounts for less than 3.5% of all accounts but has earned over 30% of all profits. Accounts categorized as unlucky or poorly skilled, which represent 67% of the total, bear all of the platform's total losses. Regarding suspected insider trading, the authors identified 1,950 accounts that were opened shortly before a single event and went silent after the event settled. These accounts pushed prices about 7 to 12 times more per dollar than skilled traders, but due to their excessive focus on isolated events, they failed to drive overall accuracy. The paper includes a case study focusing on three accounts opened between December 27 and January 3, which bet on Maduro's ousting before the disclosure of U.S. military actions, collectively profiting over $630,000. This scenario aligns with the first insider trading lawsuit involving event contracts filed by the U.S. CFTC on Thursday, which accuses U.S. Army Sergeant Gannon Ken Van Dyke of trading based on confidential information before a raid.

Study: Only 3% of Polymarket Accounts Drive Price Discovery and Earn Over 30% Profits, 67% of Accounts Bear All Losses

On April 27, CITIC Securities reported that DeepSeek-V4 was released concurrently with GPT-5.5. The former, utilizing CSA/HCA attention compression and mHC network reconstruction, not only closely competes with proprietary flagship models but also reduces the cost of million-context inference to a very low level, successfully operating on domestically produced computing infrastructure. The latter relies on strong software-hardware coupling, focusing on high-complexity knowledge work, and continues the business model of high pricing matched with high intelligence. Meanwhile, the generational leap of the base model resonates with Agent frameworks like OpenClaw and Hermes, accelerating the commercialization of the Agent ecosystem through the expansion of intelligent limits and optimization of inference costs.

[CITIC Securities: DeepSeek V4 and Multiple Model Updates, Computing Power Demand Remains Tight]On April 27, CITIC Securities reported that DeepSeek-V4 was released concurrently with GPT-5.5. The former, utilizing CSA/HCA attention compression and mHC network reconstruction, not only closely competes with proprietary flagship models but also reduces the cost of million-context inference to a very low level, successfully operating on domestically produced computing infrastructure. The latter relies on strong software-hardware coupling, focusing on high-complexity knowledge work, and continues the business model of high pricing matched with high intelligence. Meanwhile, the generational leap of the base model resonates with Agent frameworks like OpenClaw and Hermes, accelerating the commercialization of the Agent ecosystem through the expansion of intelligent limits and optimization of inference costs.

CITIC Securities: DeepSeek V4 and Multiple Model Updates, Computing Power Demand Remains Tight

On April 27, more than three years after acquiring Twitter (now named X), Elon Musk stated that he is moving towards his long-term goal of turning the app into a 'universal app,' which will include a new financial service tool he previously promised to launch to the public this month. Based on the timeline Musk provided last month, the banking and payment platform X Money, integrated within the social network X, is expected to be publicly available soon. Early users of the service have praised its competitive offerings, including 3% cash back on eligible purchases and a 6% interest rate on cash savings—approximately 15 times the national average. Reports from early users suggest that Musk's new product is also expected to offer free peer-to-peer transfers, a metal Visa debit card featuring the user's X signature, and an AI assistant service developed by Musk's startup xAI to track spending and organize past transaction records. (Sina Finance)

[Musk Aims to Transform X into a Super App with Banking and Payment Features Expected Soon]On April 27, more than three years after acquiring Twitter (now named X), Elon Musk stated that he is moving towards his long-term goal of turning the app into a 'universal app,' which will include a new financial service tool he previously promised to launch to the public this month. Based on the timeline Musk provided last month, the banking and payment platform X Money, integrated within the social network X, is expected to be publicly available soon. Early users of the service have praised its competitive offerings, including 3% cash back on eligible purchases and a 6% interest rate on cash savings—approximately 15 times the national average. Reports from early users suggest that Musk's new product is also expected to offer free peer-to-peer transfers, a metal Visa debit card featuring the user's X signature, and an AI assistant service developed by Musk's startup xAI to track spending and organize past transaction records. (Sina Finance)

Musk Aims to Transform X into a Super App with Banking and Payment Features Expected Soon

On April 27, crude oil futures rose over 2% in early trading on Monday due to a stalemate in peace negotiations between the United States and Iran, while oil transport through the Strait of Hormuz remains limited, keeping global oil supply tight. Recently, crude oil futures prices have been highly volatile, with traders needing to predict not only when oil exports from the Persian Gulf will resume but also how long it will take for production in the region to return to pre-war levels. On Sunday, Trump stated that Iran's inability to export oil is increasing domestic pressure, which could potentially cause long-term damage to its energy export infrastructure. Analysts at Goldman Sachs indicated on Sunday that they have pushed back their expectation for the normalization of export levels through the Strait of Hormuz from mid-May to late June. Meanwhile, they raised their price forecast for fourth-quarter WTI crude oil from $75 per barrel to $83 per barrel.

[US-Iran Peace Talks Stalemated, Crude Oil Futures Rise Over 2% on Monday]On April 27, crude oil futures rose over 2% in early trading on Monday due to a stalemate in peace negotiations between the United States and Iran, while oil transport through the Strait of Hormuz remains limited, keeping global oil supply tight. Recently, crude oil futures prices have been highly volatile, with traders needing to predict not only when oil exports from the Persian Gulf will resume but also how long it will take for production in the region to return to pre-war levels. On Sunday, Trump stated that Iran's inability to export oil is increasing domestic pressure, which could potentially cause long-term damage to its energy export infrastructure. Analysts at Goldman Sachs indicated on Sunday that they have pushed back their expectation for the normalization of export levels through the Strait of Hormuz from mid-May to late June. Meanwhile, they raised their price forecast for fourth-quarter WTI crude oil from $75 per barrel to $83 per barrel.

US-Iran Peace Talks Stalemated, Crude Oil Futures Rise Over 2% on Monday

On April 27, U.S. President Trump stated on the 26th that if Iran wishes to end the conflict between the two countries through negotiations, it can proactively contact the United States. (Xinhua News Agency)

[Trump: Hopes Iran Will Reach Out to the U.S.]On April 27, U.S. President Trump stated on the 26th that if Iran wishes to end the conflict between the two countries through negotiations, it can proactively contact the United States. (Xinhua News Agency)

Trump: Hopes Iran Will Reach Out to the U.S.

On April 26, Musk commented again on the shooting incident at the White House Correspondents' Dinner: "If they are willing to die for assassination, imagine what they would do if they gained political power." Earlier today, Musk stated, "They are willing to die to kill a democratically elected president." BlockBeats believes Musk's overt criticism of the assassin is actually a veiled political critique of the opposition Democrats. Meanwhile, more information has emerged about the shooter, Cole Thomas Allen, who made small donations to Democratic presidential candidate Kamala Harris as a teacher just before the 2024 U.S. elections and registered to vote as an 'independent,' indicating a closer political association with the Democrats. The suspect's potential political leanings may provide the Trump camp with a means to undermine their opponents, but as the incumbent rather than a challenger, Trump has moderated his approach. After today's shooting, he referred to the assassin as a "lone wolf" to downplay the partisan narrative.

[Musk Criticizes Shooting Incident, Implicitly Targets Democrats: 'Imagine What They Would Do If They Gained Political Power']On April 26, Musk commented again on the shooting incident at the White House Correspondents' Dinner: "If they are willing to die for assassination, imagine what they would do if they gained political power." Earlier today, Musk stated, "They are willing to die to kill a democratically elected president." BlockBeats believes Musk's overt criticism of the assassin is actually a veiled political critique of the opposition Democrats. Meanwhile, more information has emerged about the shooter, Cole Thomas Allen, who made small donations to Democratic presidential candidate Kamala Harris as a teacher just before the 2024 U.S. elections and registered to vote as an 'independent,' indicating a closer political association with the Democrats. The suspect's potential political leanings may provide the Trump camp with a means to undermine their opponents, but as the incumbent rather than a challenger, Trump has moderated his approach. After today's shooting, he referred to the assassin as a "lone wolf" to downplay the partisan narrative.

Musk Criticizes Shooting Incident, Implicitly Targets Democrats: 'Imagine What They Would Do If They Gained Political Power'

On April 26, a day earlier in local time, an Iranian diplomatic official stated that Iran and the US delegation might hold a second round of negotiations in the coming days. It is understood that Iran has conveyed a message to the US, requesting President Trump to reduce threatening rhetoric. The official also indicated that if the US stance becomes more conciliatory, hardliners within Iran would be more likely to support participation in the negotiations. (CCTV News)

[Iranian Official Says Second Round of Talks with US Possible in Coming Days]On April 26, a day earlier in local time, an Iranian diplomatic official stated that Iran and the US delegation might hold a second round of negotiations in the coming days. It is understood that Iran has conveyed a message to the US, requesting President Trump to reduce threatening rhetoric. The official also indicated that if the US stance becomes more conciliatory, hardliners within Iran would be more likely to support participation in the negotiations. (CCTV News)

Iranian Official Says Second Round of Talks with US Possible in Coming Days

Основатель аналитического сервиса Checkonchain Джеймс Чек (James Check) заявил, что возможная продажа биткоинов эпохи Сатоси Накамото при развитии квантовых технологий, не окажет фатального влияния на крипторынок.

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Article

Overview of Trump's Assassination Attempts: Four Major Shooting/Assassination Incidents, Trump Only Injured Once

Trump: Does Not Believe Shooting Incident Related to Iran Conflict

Clause de non-responsabilité：Le contenu ci-dessus ne représente pas les positions de HTX.，HTX ne fournit pas de recommandations de trading.。

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