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HTX Year-End Carnival: 150,000 USDT Over 28 Days!The Sichuanese "老子" Meme Taking Crypto by StormClaim1,200 USDT in the Monthly Creation ChallengePrediction market volume hits record $702M despite rece

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Prediction market volume hits record $702M despite recent scrutiny

Recent US regulatory action seeking to restrict prediction markets hasn’t slowed activity in the first weeks of 2026, with trading volumes hitting a record $701.7 million on Monday.

Prediction market Kalshi accounted for two-thirds of total trading volume at $465.9 million, while competitors Polymarket and Opinion tallied $100 million worth of trades, Dune Analytics data from Gate Research shows.

The $701.7 million tally beat the previous record of $666.6 million set the day before, with Kalshi leading trading volumes by a similar margin.

Daily trading volume on prediction markets since September 2024. Source: Dune Analytics


Prediction markets have become one of crypto’s hottest use cases, with adoption accelerating exponentially since August.

Several crypto exchanges, including Coinbase and Gemini, have, or are planning to, integrate prediction markets, while self-custody wallets like MetaMask have made similar moves.

The integrations and rising trading volumes have attracted interest from Wall Street, with market leaders Polymarket and Kalshi now boasting multibillion-dollar valuations.

Prediction markets back under the microscope

Prediction markets went back under regulatory spotlight earlier this month when an anonymous Polymarket user bet roughly $30,000 that Venezuela’s Nicolás Maduro would be ousted as president just a few hours before he was captured — a bet that paid them out more than $400,000

New York lawmakers are also set to review legislation seeking to ban certain markets tied to politics, sports, the stock market, and others.

Connecticut, New York, Nevada, and New Jersey are among the other US states that have attempted to place restrictions on prediction market operators — promp

Prediction market volume hits record $702M despite

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river soared to 36.0239 USDT, a new high with a 24-hour increase of 13.36%. It currently trades at 34.2111 USDT on HTX.

ETH fell below 3000  USDT

BTC fell below 90000  USDT

river currently trades at 37.7751 USDT, up 23.51% in 24h, according to HTX market data.

Mastercard is weighing a strategic investment in Zerohash over an acquisition.

XMR fell below 500  USDT

The US spot Solana ETF saw a total net inflow of $3.08 million in a single day.

The US spot XRP ETF saw a net outflow of $53.32 million in a single day.

Bessenter: Not worried about a sell-off of US Treasury bonds; Japanese counterparts will intervene.

State Street Investment Management: The Federal Reserve may cut interest rates three times in 2026.

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