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BTC Daily Price PredictionHTX Community Spring Creation ContestCommunity Mega AirdropBitcoin has traded below Grand Trend’s Forecasting support level since January 2026. Since the trend’s breakdown, B

Bitcoin has traded below Grand Trend’s Forecasting support level since January 2026. Since the trend’s breakdown, BTC has experienced strong bearish pressure, falling below both long-term and short-term realized prices.

Amid this extended, weakened structure, crypto analysts have expressed greater pessimism and projected a prolonged decline, citing realized price data.

Bitcoin continues to show cracks

According to Darkfost, BTC has held below the realized price that excludes inactive supply for two months.

The analyst noted that the realized price, after the adjustment, is approximately $72,500. These price levels now act as immediate resistance.



Source: Darkfost/X

Looking at the previous bear cycle, Bitcoin held below this cost basis between six and 10 months. If the historical pattern repeats, BTC could see more difficult months before reclaiming and flipping $72,500.

Typically, when market prices remain below realized prices, it means most buyers are holding at a loss. Often, an increase in the number of loss holders increases selling risk, which, if realized, results in more losses.

This is evidenced by the Short-Term Realized Price, which currently stands at $82.3k, according to Checkonchain data. This implies that recent buyers are currently sitting on significant losses, which increases the cohort’s capitulation risk.



Source: Checkonchain

In fact, realized losses for short-term holders have stabilized above $300 million per day, with an average of 5k BTC sold at a loss. On the 29th of March, the STH cohort reported a $372 million loss, confirming bearishness.

Historically, continued loss realization has further weakened the market, leading to extended price decline.

Can BTC avoid further slips?

Bitcoin has traded within a bearish structure for nearly five months and stayed below the realized price for two months, reflecting strong downside press

Bitcoin has traded below Grand Trend’s Forecasting

WAR: Geopolitical Meme Coin on Solana

Global Adoption of Bitcoin Each era tells a different story. Satoshi Era is over. Those early coins are no longer active in the market. Miners no longer hold the same share of Bitcoin as before. Their

BTC Daily Price PredictionHTX Community Spring Creation ContestCommunity Mega AirdropA new report about possible US ground action in Iran has added fresh tension to global markets. Summary Washington 

A new report about possible US ground action in Iran has added fresh tension to global markets.  Summary Washington Post said planners reviewed Iran ground raid options while Bitcoin held near $66,500 Sunday. Bitcoin stayed flat through Sunday trading as investors waited for traditional markets to reopen overnight. Officials kept diplomacy in focus even as reports outlined possible raids near Iran’s Kharg Island. Bitcoin stayed near $66,500 on Sunday, but traders are watching whether broader risk assets react more sharply when US markets reopen. The Washington Post reported that the Pentagon is preparing options for ground operations in Iran that could last for weeks. The planning includes Special Operations forces and conventional infantry, though it remains unclear whether President Donald Trump would approve that step. You might also like: Kalshi faces new state lawsuit as gambling claims grow The reported options include moves against Kharg Island and other coastal targets near the Strait of Hormuz. The report described the planning as limited raids rather than a full invasion, with US officials weighing how far to push military pressure while the war enters its fifth week. Diplomacy remains part of the public message Even with those reports, public statements from top officials still point to a diplomatic track. On March 26 that Secretary of State Marco Rubio said the war should last “weeks, not months” and that the United States could meet its goals without ground troops, even as contingency plans stay in place. At the same time, regional diplomacy has not ended. The Associated Press reported that mediators gathered in Pakistan for talks aimed at ending the monthlong war, even as fighting continued and both sides kept pressure on key energy and security routes. Bitcoin holds steady as traders wait for market reaction Bitcoin showed a muted reaction over the weekend. It t

A new report about possible US ground action in Ir

On March 29, Iran's Islamic Republic Broadcasting reported that an MQ-9 Reaper drone was shot down by the Iranian Army's air defense forces in the eastern part of the Strait of Hormuz. (Xinhua News Ag

Iran Claims Downing of MQ-9 Reaper Drone

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BTC Daily Price PredictionHTX Community Spring Creation ContestClaim1,200 USDT in the Monthly Creation ChallengeShiba Inu (SHIB) Launches Its Shibarium Layer-2 Blockchain Shiba Inu, one of the most po

Claim1,200 USDT in the Monthly Creation Challenge

Shiba Inu (SHIB) Launches Its Shibarium Layer-2 Blockchain
Shiba Inu, one of the most popular meme cryptocurrencies, has officially launched Shibarium, its highly anticipated layer-2 blockchain solution. This marks a major milestone in Shiba Inu’s roadmap, aiming to expand its ecosystem, enhance transaction speed, and significantly reduce fees for users.
 What Is Shibarium?
Shibarium is a layer-2 blockchain network built on top of Ethereum, designed to provide:
Lower transaction fees – making microtransactions and everyday payments more feasible.
Faster transaction processing – significantly reducing congestion compared to Ethereum’s mainnet.
Enhanced scalability – enabling a growing ecosystem of decentralized applications (dApps) and games.
By introducing Shibarium, Shiba Inu is moving from being just a meme token to a more functional, utility-driven cryptocurrency with real-world applications.
⚡ Key Features
Some of the standout features of Shibarium include:
Decentralized Application Support – A platform for developers to build dApps, NFTs, and DeFi products.
Token Utility Expansion – SHIB, LEASH, and BONE tokens can now be used more efficiently across the Shibarium network.
Cost Efficiency – By reducing gas fees, users can perform smaller transactions without worrying about high costs.
Ecosystem Growth – Supports gaming, NFTs, and other Shiba Inu ecosystem projects, creating more opportunities for adoption.
 Market Impact
The launch of Shibarium is expected to:
Increase user adoption by providing a faster and cheaper alternative to Ethereum
Strengthen SHIB’s position in the crypto market as more than a meme token
Encourage developers to build on Shibarium, fueling the growth of its decentralized ecosystem
 Community and Developer Significance
Shiba Inu has always been driven by a passionate community. Shibarium now provides developers and u

Shiba Inu (SHIB) Launches Its Shibarium Layer-2 Bl

BTC Daily Price PredictionHTX Community Spring Creation ContestClaim1,200 USDT in the Monthly Creation Challenge Morgan Stanley sets spot bitcoin ETF fee at 0.14%, undercutting every rival on the mark

Morgan Stanley sets spot bitcoin ETF fee at 0.14%, undercutting every rival on the market

Morgan Stanley revealed a 0.14% annualized sponsor fee for its proposed spot bitcoin ETF in an S-1 filing, which would make it the cheapest such product in the U.S. if approved.

The fee undercuts Grayscale's Bitcoin Mini Trust, currently the low-cost leader at 0.15%, and sits 11 basis points below BlackRock's iShares Bitcoin Trust at 0.25%.

Bloomberg ETF analyst James Seyffart called the pricing a "big move" and predicted a launch in early April.

Morgan Stanley disclosed the fee structure for its proposed spot bitcoin exchange-traded fund in an amended S-1 filing with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission on Friday. The fund will charge a 0.14% annualized "Delegated Sponsor Fee," which would make MSBT the lowest-cost spot bitcoin ETF on the market.

Morgan Stanley sets spot bitcoin ETF fee at 0.14%,

BTC Daily Price PredictionHTX Community Spring Creation ContestCommunity Mega AirdropThe Chicago Board Options Exchange Volatility Index (VIX) closed at 31.05 on Friday, a 13.16% increase, pushing Wal

The Chicago Board Options Exchange Volatility Index (VIX) closed at 31.05 on Friday, a 13.16% increase, pushing Wall Street's VIX to its highest closing price since the end of 2025. Meanwhile, gold prices remained near $4,491 an ounce, supported by geopolitical anxieties stemming from the Middle East conflict, while silver prices rebounded to $69.82.

The VIX surged to its highest closing price since 2025.

The VIX, derived from S&P 500 options pricing, measures expected volatility over the next 30 days. A reading above 30 indicates that traders have priced in significant recent volatility. It closed at 31.05 on Friday, up 3.61 points during the session, after closing above 25 for four consecutive weeks, its longest winning streak since 2022.

High open interest and contract skew in the options market reflect market demand for hedging against downside risks in April.  VIX futures remain at a premium, meaning traders expect volatility to persist rather than disappear. This cautious stance is reflected in the six contracts traded in April 2022.


Chicago Options Exchange Volatility provides index analysis via tradingview.com.


The primary cause of this pressure is the ongoing conflict. The US-Israel military action against Iran in the Middle East escalated in late February and early March 2026, raising concerns about supply chains in the region surrounding Iran. The Strait of Hormuz carries approximately 20% of the world's oil.


Brent and WTI crude oil prices have fluctuated between $99 and $115 per barrel in recent trading days, retreating from earlier highs exceeding $120 but remaining at relatively high levels. Shipping patterns over the past few days indicate significantly reduced transit activity.


Rising energy costs have driven up transportation, production, and consumption prices. US inflation data shows that rising energy prices have fueled the economic recovery, fur

The Chicago Board Options Exchange Volatility Inde

The global macro environment has been one of the major defining factors in Bitcoin and the broader crypto market so far this year. From the brewing geopolitical tensions in the Middle East to the risi

How Weakening US Labor Data Could Impact Bitcoin Market — Report

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Pixels: Farming Metaverse on Ronin

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Santiment: Retail Sentiment Hits 'Extreme Fear,' Bitcoin Price May Rebound

TRX broke through 0.32  USDT

Fed's April Rate Hike Probability Drops to 4.1%

cfg soared to 0.1688 USDT, a new high with a 24-hour increase of 4.96%. It currently trades at 0.163 USDT on HTX.

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